2026年2月25日，A股三大股指小幅高开，磷化工、锂矿概念、小金属概念股、稀土永磁等涨幅居前。2月24日，百川盈孚数据显示，稀土产品价格加速上 涨。氧化镨钕等主要稀土产品价格近期持续走高，现货供应紧张，下游磁材企业存在备货采购需求，共同推动价格上涨。 海外消息，近日特朗普官员初步将OPEN的AI定价模型聚焦于锗、镓、锑和钨四种关键矿产，随后将逐步扩大覆盖范围，此举揭示了特朗普政府试图主动介 入关键矿产定价的路径，消息公布后，外盘有色金属出现明显涨幅。现货方面，当前市场仍处于节后恢复初期，锡锭库存季节性累增中，预计短期锡价仍以 高位震荡偏强为主。 锗方面，作为光纤的关键材料，海外锗价突破4000美元/kg。锗目前已被多个国家列为战略性保护矿产资源。展望未来，供给端，中国作为最大的锗生产 国，近年来持续加强对锗的出口管制，全球范围内的锗供应量或继续受限。需求端，随着军事红外、低轨卫星、通信、光伏等领域的景气提升，对锗的需求 量预计将持续增长。东莞证券认为，尽管目前高位的锗价使得下游企业的购买热情有所退却，但供弱需强的局面奠定了锗价上行的基础，预计未来锗价将再 度开启上升通道。 此外，全球能源转型正从政策驱动迈向 ...

今日盘间，有色金属板块大幅走高，有色ETF富国（159168）涨幅一度达到5.32%。 标的指数成分股中，锡业股份、北方稀土、驰宏锌锗均10CM涨停，盛和资源涨超9%，超九成个股上 涨。 美伊摩擦持续升级，叠加美国政府宣布对全球商品加征10%~15%替代性关税，市场对"政策不确定 性"和"供应链重构"的担忧显著升温，这一宏观环境强化了关键矿产的避险属性与滞胀交易逻辑。 研究机构认为，进入2026年，随着市场进入牛市第二阶段——盈利驱动上涨阶段，在"反内卷"和扩内需 驱动下，国内再通膨叙事强化，有色金属的强周期属性有望体现，而金融属性及产业趋势将为行业带来 重估机遇。 投资者若想布局有色金属板块，可以考虑关注有色ETF富国（159168），其紧密跟踪工业有色指数 （H11059.CSI），严格筛选30只业务涉及铜、铝、稀土、铅锌、钨钼等工业金属领域的上市公司，聚 焦"工业金属"，更有望受益于产业升级等趋势下的增长红利。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 电子元器件和周期品涨价，是最近市场的主要交易逻辑。 今天上午，周期品涨价主线表现更强，化工、有色金属、港口航运等板块上涨，市场对周期股的热情又 蔓延至钢铁、煤炭、水泥、造纸等其他周期板块。周期股上午掀起涨停潮，其中，北方稀土、包钢股份 等龙头股涨停。 截至上午收盘，上证指数上涨1.2%，深证成指上涨1.47%，创业板指上涨1.43%，科创综指上涨0.77%。 | 上证指数 | 深证成指 | 科创综指 | | --- | --- | --- | | 4166.72 | 14501.50 | 1812.09 | | +49.31 +1.20% | +209.94 +1.47% | +13.88 +0.77% | | 万得全A | 创业板指 | 北证50 | | 6915.91 | 3355.66 | 1539.69 | | +87.33 +1.28% | +47.39 +1.43% | +4.26 +0.28% | 具体看周期品涨价主线，化工板块中，磷化工、钛白粉、化肥、草甘膦等板块大涨，清水源（维权）、 川金诺等个股大涨。 | V | 磷 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Invesco ETF (560290) in the non-ferrous metal sector, which opened down by 0.20% at 0.977 yuan [1] - Major holdings in the ETF include Zijin Mining, which rose by 0.20%, and other companies like Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and China Aluminum, showing varied performance with some stocks like Ganfeng Lithium and Xinyi Silver rising by 1.43% and 1.49% respectively [1] - The performance benchmark for the Invesco ETF is the CSI Nonferrous Metals Mining Theme Index, with a return of -2.34% since its establishment on January 26, 2026 [1]

电子元器件和周期品涨价，是最近市场的主要交易逻辑。 今天上午，周期品涨价主线表现更强，化工、有色金属、港口航运等板块上涨，市场对周期股的热情又蔓延至钢铁、煤炭、水泥、造纸等其他周期板块。 周期股上午掀起涨停潮，其中，北方稀土、包钢股份等龙头股涨停。 另外，最近油价上涨，也带动了化工品涨价预期。 对于化工板块的投资逻辑，业内人士表示，从行业数据看，2025年三季度化工板块在建工程已连续三个季度同比下滑，资本开支增速显著放缓，供给端压 力大幅下降。需求端，从全球视角来看，化工整体需求在逐步改善。同时，当前化工行业大多数子行业开工率维持在80%以上，库存处于偏低水平，一旦 需求改善，化工品价格弹性可能非常大。 分析人士表示，化工板块估值修复将呈现轮动、扩散式特征，而非全品种普涨。估值先行修复的品种主要有以下特征：具备成本优势、供应受限且出口增 加、全球产能出清后供需紧平衡、与新质生产力紧密相关。 | 女达科技 | 7.88 | 11.46% | 36.2 乙 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 融 920809 | | | | | 川发龙蟒 | 14.04 | 10.03% | 264亿 | ...

2月25日，A股主要指数早盘集体上涨。截至午盘，沪指涨1.2%，深证成指涨1.47%，创业板指涨1.43%。沪深北三市半日成交15322亿元，较上日放量112 亿元。全市场近4000只个股上涨。 盘面上，化工、稀土等涨价题材股全线大涨，云天化等多股涨停。港口航运板块同样受涨价逻辑影响，招商轮船（601872）、中远海能（600026）盘初均 直线拉升涨停，双双走出4天3板。 12.70 -5.26% -10.51% 25.7万 02/12 02/13 02/25 02/11 02/24 2月25日，油运概念继续走强，中远海能（600026）、招商轮船（601872）盘初双双直线涨停，招商南油、海通发展、国航远洋等涨幅居前。值得关注的 是，中远海能、招商轮船已4天3板，最新总市值都已突破1100亿元。 消息面上，近期油运行业景气度显著提升，成为市场关注热点。周二的最新数据显示，租用一艘超大型油轮（VLCC）将中东原油运到中国的价格，已突 破17万美元，创下2020年4月以来近六年新高。 欧佩克在最新月度报告中表示，油轮市场在2026年开局表现积极。在地缘政治不确定性、天气干扰、计划外停产以及稳定的装货活动的支撑 ...

Market Overview - The market experienced a strong upward trend in early trading, with all three major indices rising over 1%. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.52 trillion yuan, an increase of 10.4 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - Nearly 4,000 stocks in the market saw gains, driven by price increase catalysts in sectors such as rare earths, phosphate chemicals, shipping, and oil and gas [1][8] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.2%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.47%, and the ChiNext Index gained 1.43% [1] Sector Performance Rare Earths - The rare earth permanent magnet sector was notably active, with stocks like Northern Rare Earth and Baotou Steel rising to their daily limits. Heavy rare earth prices surged, with prices for yttrium reaching $850 per kilogram and dysprosium at $1,100 per kilogram, marking the highest levels since 2015 [3][18] - Analysts predict that the domestic rare earth prices will continue to rise, with expectations of sustained high growth in the rare earth industry through the first quarter of 2026 [3][18] Phosphate Chemicals - The phosphate chemical sector maintained its strong performance, with stocks such as Chengxing Phosphate and Liuguo Chemical achieving consecutive daily limits. The international price of phosphate fertilizers has exceeded $700 per ton due to supply chain restructuring [2][3] - Supply constraints from environmental policies and increasing demand from the new energy sector are tightening the supply-demand balance in the phosphate market [3] Lithium Mining - Lithium mining stocks also performed well, with companies like Dazhong Mining and Yongshan Lithium Industry hitting their daily limits. The price of lithium carbonate futures reached 170,000 yuan per ton, reflecting a nearly 5% increase [6][7] - UBS reports suggest that the global lithium market may enter a third super cycle, with demand expected to double to 3.4 million tons by 2030 [7] Shipping - The shipping sector saw significant price increases, with the cost of renting a super-large oil tanker to transport crude oil from the Middle East to China exceeding $170,000 per day, tripling since the beginning of the year [29] Stock Highlights - A total of 68 stocks hit their daily limits in early trading, with a limit-up rate of 82%. Notable stocks included Yunnan Tin and Huayou Cobalt, which are linked to the lithium and phosphate sectors [1][9] - The stock performance was driven by strong fundamentals and market sentiment surrounding price increases in key commodities [1][8]

Market Overview - The market experienced a strong upward trend with all three major indices rising over 1%: Shanghai Composite Index increased by 1.2%, Shenzhen Component Index by 1.47%, and ChiNext Index by 1.43% [1] - Nearly 4,000 stocks in the market saw gains [1] Sector Performance - The sectors that performed strongly included rare earths, phosphorus chemicals, shipping, and oil and gas, driven by price increases [1] - Conversely, the film and cinema sector saw a significant decline [1] Lithium and Phosphorus Chemicals - The lithium mining sector surged, with major companies like Dazhong Mining hitting the daily limit [3] - The price of lithium carbonate futures reached 170,000 yuan/ton [3] - The phosphorus chemical sector continued its strong performance, with companies like Chengxing Co., Liuguo Chemical, and Hebang Bio achieving consecutive gains [3] - The U.S. has classified elemental phosphorus and glyphosate as critical defense materials, leading to a global restructuring of the phosphorus supply chain and pushing international phosphorus fertilizer prices above 700 USD/ton [3] Rare Earths - The rare earth permanent magnet sector was active, with companies like Northern Rare Earth and Baogang Co. hitting the daily limit [3] - Prices for heavy rare earths have significantly increased, with yttrium reaching 850 USD/kg and dysprosium at 1,100 USD/kg, marking the highest levels since 2015 [3] Film and Cinema Sector - The film and cinema sector faced a downturn, with companies like Hengdian Film and Television experiencing consecutive declines [3][6]

该机构认为，短期关税裁决与地缘冲突对贵金属形成共振驱动，中长期角度来看，去美元化、地缘风险 等因素将支撑黄金重回上行通道。由于工业属性与金融属性共振，短期白银有望延续震荡偏强走势。 工业金属方面，LME锡涨超3%，现报51920美元/吨，锌、铜、铝、镍等不同幅度上涨。 长江证券分析认为，从国内场景看，基建项目加速落地，电网升级、光伏电站建设等工程密集开工，带 动锡镍等工业金属需求刚性增长；新能源汽车、AI算力基础设施等新兴领域产能快速恢复，单台AI服 务器用锡量远超传统设备，成为需求新增长点。海外市场同样传来积极信号，全球央行宽松预期延续， 欧美"再工业化"进程推动制造业复苏，带动金属出口需求稳步回升，为国内下游需求形成补充。 有色矿业ETF招商（159690）所跟踪的有色矿业指数是一只高度聚焦于有色金属产业链最上游——矿产 资源开采环节的指数。当有色金属价格（如铜价、金价、锂价）上涨时，上游企业的利润会直接、快速 地提升，因此有色矿业指数表现出更强的价格弹性，贝塔值更高，在商品牛市或通胀环境中进攻性十 足。 2月25日，有色板块延续大涨，有色矿业ETF招商（159690）涨3.31%，成份股云南锗业、华锡有 ...

业内分析指出，锌铟等小金属价格上行、镍矿等品种海外供给收缩为有色金属行业提供直接支撑，全球 铝产业合作项目落地与美欧钢铝贸易关系缓和的预期，进一步利好工业金属领域的需求释放，叠加国内 有色金属产量稳步增长夯实行业发展根基，行业整体供需格局持续优化，各细分品种迎来轮动向好的发 展态势。 有色ETF银华（159871）紧密跟踪中证有色金属指数。该指数选取涉及有色金属采选、有色金属冶炼与 加工业务的上市公司，反映有色金属类相关上市公司的整体表现，前十大重仓股包含紫金矿业、洛阳钼 业、北方稀土等龙头企业，权重合计46.48%。 消息面上，2月25日，国内锌铟板块行情走高，24日上海钢联数据显示，国内粗铟中间价报4600元/公 斤、精铟中间价报4700元/公斤，均较节前上涨300元/公斤；印尼莫罗瓦利镍矿中心发生山体滑坡影响 当地镍矿产出，且该国2026年镍矿配额预计2.5-2.6亿吨，较2025年的3.79亿吨降幅超34%，全球镍供给 端收缩态势凸显。2月24日，阿联酋环球铝业与美国铝业、世纪铝业达成合作协议，推进俄克拉荷马州 铝中心建设，当地原铝项目预计于今年年底启动；欧盟官员预计美国将在未来几周降低对含钢铝加工产 ...