Mergers and Acquisitions - Zhongguangtianze plans to acquire 100% equity of Changsha Sports Industry Company for 29.6 million yuan, constituting a related party transaction [1] Earnings Disclosure - JinkoSolar reported a revenue of 13.843 billion yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 40.03%, with a net loss of 1.39 billion yuan compared to a net profit of 1.176 billion yuan in the same period last year [2] - Zhongjin Gold reported a revenue of 14.859 billion yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 12.88%, with a net profit of 1.038 billion yuan, up 32.65% year-on-year [3] - Northern Rare Earth achieved a revenue of 9.287 billion yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 61.19%, with a net profit of 431 million yuan, up 727.3% year-on-year [4] - Kweichow Moutai reported a revenue of 50.601 billion yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.54%, with a net profit of 26.847 billion yuan, up 11.56% year-on-year [5] Share Buybacks - Shanjin International plans to repurchase shares with a total amount between 100 million and 200 million yuan at a price not exceeding 29.7 yuan per share [6] - Sichuan Road and Bridge plans to repurchase shares with a total amount between 100 million and 200 million yuan at a price not exceeding 12.54 yuan per share [7] - China Railway plans to repurchase shares with a total amount between 800 million and 1.6 billion yuan at a price not exceeding 8.5 yuan per share [8] - Anhui Construction's controlling shareholder plans to increase its stake in the company with a total amount not exceeding 200 million yuan [9][10] Risk Matters - Chuangxing Resources' stock will be subject to delisting risk warning starting May 6, 2025, due to negative net profit for the fiscal year 2024 [11] - Yong'an Pharmaceutical clarified that rumors regarding a significant price increase of taurine are untrue [12] - *ST Xulan's stock will be delisted on April 30, 2025, as decided by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [13] - Dawi Technology's shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 3% of the company's total shares due to personal financial needs [14]

Core Viewpoint - The news highlights the performance and potential of state-owned enterprises (SOEs) in China, particularly in the context of ongoing reforms and the integration of artificial intelligence in operations, which may enhance their competitiveness and market performance [2][4]. Group 1: ETF Performance - As of April 29, 2025, the National Enterprise Win-Win ETF (159719) decreased by 0.47%, with a latest price of 1.48 yuan. Over the past week, it has seen a cumulative increase of 0.54% [1]. - The National Enterprise Win-Win ETF had a turnover of 1.2% during the trading session, with a transaction volume of 2.3576 million yuan. The average daily transaction volume over the past year was 17.9394 million yuan [1]. - The Greater Bay Area ETF (512970) increased by 0.43%, with a latest price of 1.16 yuan. Over the past year, it has accumulated a rise of 13.72% [4]. Group 2: Index and Component Stocks - The National Enterprise Win-Win ETF closely tracks the FTSE China National Enterprise Open Win-Win Index, which consists of 100 constituent stocks, including 80 A-share companies and 20 Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong. The top ten constituent stocks are predominantly "China National" stocks [4][6]. - The top ten stocks in the index include China Petroleum, China Petrochemical, China Construction, and China Mobile, with respective weightings of 15.58%, 12.33%, and 8.89% [6]. - The Greater Bay Area Development Theme Index (931000) saw a slight increase of 0.06%, with notable performers including Keda Manufacturing and Weigao Medical, which rose by 6.95% and 4.54%, respectively [4]. Group 3: Policy and Market Outlook - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) is actively promoting the "AI+" initiative, focusing on integrating artificial intelligence into enterprise operations to enhance efficiency [1]. - According to Galaxy Securities, SOEs are expected to play a crucial role in China's modernization process, with ongoing reforms aimed at improving core competitiveness and operational efficiency [2]. - The market-oriented operational mechanisms of SOEs are being refined, with plans to implement performance adjustments and exit strategies for underperforming entities by 2025, which may lead to improved profitability [2].

Core Points - The completion of the world's tallest hotel, the Dubai Blue Sky Hotel, marks a significant achievement for China Railway 18th Bureau, showcasing China's construction capabilities in the Middle East [1][3] - China's investment in infrastructure projects in the Middle East has reached several hundred billion dollars, with a notable increase in contracts from 2013 to 2017, tripling from $18.46 billion to $55.66 billion [3][4] - The Middle East's wealth from oil exports provides a strong financial foundation for infrastructure development, making it an ideal market for Chinese construction companies [4][22] Demand - The Middle East, holding 60% of the world's oil reserves, has transformed from nomadic tribes to modern wealthy nations in a few decades [5] - In 2023, Saudi Aramco's revenue reached $440 billion, contributing 40% to Saudi Arabia's GDP, while Abu Dhabi contributed 68% to the UAE's GDP with a total income of $310 billion [6] - The region's population growth and economic development are driving significant infrastructure demand, with a population exceeding 500 million and a 6% annual growth rate [9][10] Advantages - Chinese construction companies have become the largest contractors in the Middle East, holding a 40% market share since 2022, supported by their technological strength and competitive pricing [11][22] - The Chinese construction industry has a strong foundation due to government support and rapid industrial growth, leading to a significant presence in global markets [12][17] - China's construction costs are typically 40% to 60% lower than those in other regions, with project timelines being 60% to 70% shorter, enhancing competitiveness [17] Market Trends - Middle Eastern countries have set ambitious infrastructure development goals, with Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 plan aiming for $1.1 trillion in investments and the UAE planning to allocate 46% of its budget to infrastructure by 2025 [10][22] - The shift in global energy consumption patterns poses a challenge to the oil-dependent economies of the Middle East, prompting a diversification of their economic structures towards infrastructure, renewable energy, and high-end manufacturing [6][19] Conclusion - The journey of Chinese infrastructure in the Middle East began in 2009 with the Mecca Light Rail project, gradually building trust and reputation through high-quality and efficient project delivery [23] - As more projects are executed, the influence of Chinese construction firms in the Middle East and globally is expected to grow, positioning the region as a critical hub for international expansion [23]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 15.61 [6][4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of HKD 23.9 billion in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.5%, and an operating profit of HKD 3.96 billion, up 10.8% year-on-year [1][2]. - New contract signing amounted to HKD 50.5 billion in Q1 2025, a decline of 29.1% year-on-year, primarily due to a high base effect from a significant project in Q1 2024 [1][2]. - Excluding the impact of the major project, the year-on-year growth in new contracts would be 59%, with a compound annual growth rate of 10.2% from Q1 2023 to Q1 2025 [2]. Revenue Breakdown - In Q1 2025, revenue from technology-driven, investment-driven, construction, and operations segments were HKD 4.8 billion, HKD 11.4 billion, HKD 6.2 billion, and HKD 0.5 billion respectively, showing year-on-year growth of 22%, 5%, -9%, and 11% [2]. - The contribution of technology-driven revenue increased to 20% of total revenue, while construction revenue accounted for 26% [2]. Market Opportunities - The construction of the Northern Metropolis in Hong Kong is expected to boost engineering expenditures, with average annual spending projected to rise from HKD 90 billion to HKD 120 billion over the next five years [3]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from urban renewal initiatives in mainland China, leveraging its MiC technology for efficient and sustainable construction [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for the company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is HKD 10.31 billion, HKD 11.17 billion, and HKD 12.05 billion respectively [4][19]. - The company is valued at a price-to-earnings ratio (PE) of 8x for 2025, with a target price of HKD 15.61 based on this valuation [4][19].

Group 1 - The National Enterprise Win ETF (159719) has seen a recent increase of 0.54%, with a latest price of 1.49 yuan, and a cumulative increase of 1.58% over the past two weeks as of April 25, 2025 [1][3] - The ETF has a turnover rate of 1.98% and an average daily trading volume of 17.98 million yuan over the past year, indicating strong liquidity [1] - The management fee for the ETF is 0.25% and the custody fee is 0.05%, making it the lowest among comparable funds [1] Group 2 - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) emphasized the importance of state-owned enterprises (SOEs) in China's economy during a recent seminar, highlighting the need for theoretical research to address significant practical issues [1] - Analysts from Huafu Securities believe that in 2025, central SOEs may benefit from debt reduction and mergers and acquisitions, as well as from insurance capital entering the market and valuation restructuring opportunities [1] Group 3 - The CSI Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Development Theme Index (931000) has decreased by 0.82%, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [3] - The top-performing stocks include Dazhenglin (603233) with a rise of 5.70% and Gree Electric (000651) with an increase of 3.07%, while the worst performers include Oppein Home (603833) down 5.62% [3] - The Greater Bay Area ETF (512970) has also seen a decline of 0.69%, with a latest price of 1.15 yuan [3] Group 4 - The National Enterprise Win ETF closely tracks the FTSE China National Enterprise Open Win Index, which consists of 100 constituent stocks, including 80 A-share companies and 20 Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong [3] - The top ten constituent stocks of the index are predominantly state-owned enterprises, including China Petroleum, China Petrochemical, and China Construction [3][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market-B" for the construction industry [9] Core Insights - The fiscal policy for 2025 is expected to be more proactive, with an emphasis on increasing deficits and expanding the issuance of special bonds, which will support steady growth in infrastructure investment [10][12] - The approval of 10 new nuclear power units indicates a positive trend in the nuclear power sector, with a total investment expected to exceed 200 billion yuan [4][18] - The construction industry is anticipated to benefit from improved government investment and debt resolution measures, leading to a marginal improvement in the industry's fundamentals [3][10] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The political bureau meeting on April 25 emphasized the need for proactive macro policies, including the timely introduction of incremental reserve policies and enhanced counter-cyclical adjustments [3][16] - Infrastructure investment is expected to accelerate, driven by increased domestic demand and government support for local government debt issuance [3][17] Market Performance - The construction sector saw a weekly increase of 0.76%, underperforming the Shenzhen Composite Index but outperforming the CSI 300 and Shanghai Composite Index [20] - The chemical engineering sector performed notably well with a weekly increase of 5.34% [20] Company Announcements - The report highlights significant contract wins, including China Energy Construction winning a project worth approximately 5.118 billion yuan [33] - The report also notes the financial performance of various companies, with some showing substantial year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit [34][35] Key Focus Stocks - The report suggests focusing on undervalued construction state-owned enterprises such as China State Construction, China Communications Construction, and China Railway Construction, which are expected to benefit from improved financial metrics and market conditions [10][11][12] - It also recommends attention to construction design firms and international engineering service providers that are expanding their overseas presence [11][12]

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·建筑装饰 建筑装饰行业跟踪周报 政策定调积极，期待进一步增量政策 2025 年 04 月 27 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] （2）财政部下达水利发展资金 471 亿元，聚焦保安全惠民生促发展加 力支持水利建设：资金聚焦三个方向，重点支持包括中小河流治理、 山洪沟治理和水利工程维修养护，农村供水和农业节水，以及地下水 超采区生态补水、幸福河湖建设和水土保持整县推进工作。财政发力 重点支持水利领域，有望支撑水利投资延续快速增长，利好相关工程 和材料企业。 ◼ 周观点：（1）政治局会议指出要强化底线思维，充分备足预案，要加 紧实施更加积极有为的宏观政策，根据形势变化及时推出增量储备政 策，加强超常规逆周期调节，面对外部冲击影响，定调更加积极，利 好基建地产链条景气度企稳回升。一季度经济开门红，基建投资累计 同比增速 5.8%，财政发力支持下基建投资延续景气态势。增量的财政 政策支持和融资端的改善对投资端和实物量的效果将逐渐显现，同时 扩内需预期增强，基建投资和重点区域建设有望政策加码。我们建议 关注估值仍处历史低位、业绩稳健的基建龙 ...

免责 声 明 近日，由申万宏源主承销的"中国中铁股份有限公司2025年面向专业投资者公开发 行科技创新可续期公司债券(第二期)"成功发行，品种一和品种二发行规模分别为12.5 亿元、12.5亿元，期限为3+N、5+N年期，票面利率为2.10%、2.16%。本期债券品种 一和品种二均创中国中铁同期限永续债券票面利率历史新低。 本内容最终解释权归申万宏源证券有限公司所有。 作为科技部、国务院国资委和中华全国总工会授予的全国首批"创新型企业"，中国 中铁在从事铁路、公路、城市轨道交通等领域专用施工机械的制造与研发方面处于国内 乃至世界领先地位，在科技创新实力、核心技术优势、生产制造水平、品牌知名度等方 面竞争力突出。中国中铁是全球领先的盾构机/TBM研发制造商，是全球领先的道岔和 桥梁钢结构制造商、国内领先的铁路专用施工设备制造商、世界领先的基础设施建设服 务型装备制造商。中国中铁研发制造的隧道掘进机、隧道机械化专用设备、工程施工机 械、道岔、钢桥梁等产品市场需求充盈稳定，相关产品市占率持续保持行业领先。旗下 控股子公司中铁工业（股票代码600528.SH）是我国铁路基建装备领域产品最全、A股 主板唯一主营轨道交通 ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry or Company Involved - The conference call primarily discusses the Chinese economy, focusing on various sectors including real estate, infrastructure, consumer services, and the impact of external trade policies. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Economic Growth and Risk Management**: The Political Bureau meeting emphasized the dual focus on stabilizing growth and managing risks, indicating a stronger policy response to economic challenges, particularly in service consumption and support for foreign trade enterprises [1][2][3]. 2. **Real Estate Strategy**: The meeting highlighted the importance of real estate, proposing a new development model that includes increasing the supply of high-quality housing and optimizing land acquisition policies to stabilize the market [1][19][20]. 3. **Infrastructure Investment**: Government investment is seen as a key driver, with a focus on major projects in economically advantageous regions like the Yangtze River Delta and Greater Bay Area, as well as significant projects in western regions [1][28][29]. 4. **Service Consumption Growth**: There is a strong signal to boost income for low- and middle-income groups and develop service consumption, with expectations that service retail will account for over 40% of total retail sales by 2027 [1][37][41]. 5. **Impact of Tariffs on Textile and Apparel**: Chinese textile and apparel companies are adapting to U.S. tariff policies by relocating production to Southeast Asia, while maintaining competitiveness through price adjustments [1][42][44]. 6. **Cross-Border E-commerce**: The cross-border e-commerce market is thriving despite tariff challenges, with companies like Dunhuang.com performing well in the U.S. market [1][43]. 7. **AI and Technology in Retail**: The integration of AI technology is transforming the retail landscape, with major Chinese internet companies investing heavily in AI infrastructure and applications [1][50][51]. Other Important but Potentially Overlooked Content 1. **Challenges in Land Acquisition**: The government faces challenges in land acquisition policies, including pricing and funding issues, which may hinder the execution of real estate strategies [1][22][23]. 2. **Slow Progress in Urban Village Renovation**: Urban village renovation has been slow, with various obstacles such as funding models and compensation mechanisms affecting progress [1][24]. 3. **Consumer Behavior Trends**: New consumption trends are emerging, with a focus on personalized and unique experiences driving growth in sectors like beauty care and personal grooming [1][48][49]. 4. **Investment Opportunities in Infrastructure**: The emphasis on urban renewal and infrastructure investment presents significant opportunities for growth in the construction and related sectors [1][31][32]. 5. **Potential for High-Quality Housing**: The trend towards high-quality housing is gaining momentum, with local governments implementing new standards to enhance living conditions [1][21][25]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing insights into the current economic landscape and potential investment opportunities within various sectors.

看好 ——政治局会议点评 建筑装饰 2025 年 04 月 27 日 "两重"建设与城市更新行动有望加快发力 证券分析师 袁豪 A0230520120001 yuanhao@swsresearch.com 唐猛 A0230523080003 tangmeng@swsresearch.com 研究支持 唐猛 A0230523080003 tangmeng@swsresearch.com 联系人 唐猛 (8621)23297818× tangmeng@swsresearch.com 事件： ⚫ 2025 年 4 月 25 日，中共中央政治局召开会议，会议指出：我国经济持续回升向好的 基础还需要进一步稳固，外部冲击影响加大。要强化底线思维，充分备足预案，扎实做 好经济工作。统筹国内经济工作和国际经贸斗争，坚定不移办好自己的事，坚定不移扩 大高水平对外开放。加大资金支持力度，扩围提质实施"两新"政策，加力实施"两 重"建设。加力实施城市更新行动，有力有序推进城中村和危旧房改造。 点评： 行 业 及 产 业 表 1：建筑行业重点公司估值表 | 证券简称 | 证券代码 | 收盘价（元/股） | | EPS（元/股） | ...