Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Hold" rating for the non-ferrous metals industry [7] Core Insights - The non-ferrous metals industry index increased by 2.85% over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index and ranking 14th among 31 first-level industries [2][14] - The report highlights a broad increase in metal prices, driven by various factors including global geopolitical tensions and supply shortages [5] - Key investment opportunities are identified in industrial metals and rare earths [5] Summary by Sections Market Review - The non-ferrous metals industry index rose by 2.85% from July 7 to July 18, 2025, with small metals, new metal materials, and energy metals leading the gains at 13.93%, 7.71%, and 5.01% respectively [2][14] - Precious metals and industrial metals showed minimal changes, with precious metals up by 0.15% and industrial metals down by 0.56% [14] Metal Prices - As of July 18, 2025, COMEX gold closed at $3,355.50 per ounce, up 0.58% over two weeks; COMEX silver closed at $38.43 per ounce, up 3.74% [3][21] - Black tungsten concentrate (≥65%) price rose to 180,000 CNY per ton, up 4.05% [21] - The rare earth price index reported at 192.24, up 5.17% over two weeks [3][47] Important Events - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced ongoing efforts to implement high-quality development plans for the copper, aluminum, and gold industries, focusing on stabilizing growth and promoting transformation [4][63] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on industrial metals and rare earth investment opportunities due to rising prices and market demand [5]

该基金属于偏股混合型基金。截至7月18日，单位净值为0.943元。基金经理是郭晓林，目前管理6只基金近一年均为正收益。其中，截至7月18日，博时专精 特新主题混合A近一年复权单位净值增长率最高，达66.18%；博时新能源主题混合A最低，为21.14%。 基金管理人在二季报中表示，展望下半年，国内经济将在政策持续推进下展现出积极变化；制造业继续向新质生产力升级；房地产市场随着一系列精准调控 政策的深入实施，销售数据逐步企稳，预期有望逐步改善；消费领域在各项补贴政策的支撑下有望稳中有升，新兴消费热点不断涌现。海外局势依旧复杂多 变，美国政策在多方面的频繁调整，如贸易关税政策的波动、货币政策节奏的改变，给全球经济格局与贸易环境增添了不确定性，进而对我国外需产生一定 程度的影响。 我们认为A股市场整体估值处于合理区间，指数层面有望保持平稳。从企业盈利趋势来看，总量的机会相对稀缺，但细分方向仍然可以找出许多结构性的亮 点，比如AI算力、新兴消费等领域。我们将继续关注AI技术的创新进展，AI应用已经在不知不觉中渗透到日常生活和工作中的各方面；AI大模型的tokens消 耗就如同移动互联网时代的流量消耗，已经开始呈现指数级 ...

Group 1: Macroeconomic Insights - The first half of tariff measures has shown a high opening and low closing trend, with actual tariff rates increasing by only 6.5% from January to May, significantly lower than the theoretical increase of 14.5% [1][24] - China's exports have maintained stable volume and increased prices, but are expected to moderate in the future due to reduced tariff impacts from re-exporting and increased orders from non-US sources [1][24] - The economic impact of tariffs is less than expected, with the US inflation remaining low despite tariff increases, influenced by weak demand in the automotive market and fluctuations in oil prices [2][24] Group 2: Sectoral Performance - The second quarter of 2025 shows that total growth still faces bottlenecks, but emerging technologies and certain cyclical sectors are beginning to show performance improvements [3][4] - The electronics, military, non-bank financials, and non-ferrous metals sectors are experiencing high growth, while sectors like steel and aquaculture are showing initial signs of performance recovery [3][4] - The beverage sector, particularly Nongfu Spring, is highlighted as a rare super brand in China with strong growth potential, benefiting from its competitive advantages in brand, channel, and supply chain [13][15] Group 3: Investment Strategies - The Hong Kong stock market has been under pressure since late June, but is expected to outperform the A-share market in the second half of the year due to accumulating positive factors [10][35] - The technology sector in Hong Kong is poised for significant growth, especially with the easing of US chip export restrictions and the acceleration of AI applications [12][35] - The beverage company Nongfu Spring is projected to maintain a high growth trajectory in its packaging water and tea segments, supported by favorable market conditions and competitive positioning [14][16]

Group 1: Market Overview - The infrastructure concept has strengthened significantly, with sectors such as engineering machinery, civil explosives, and cement leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.72%, marking a four-day winning streak and reaching a new high for the year; the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.86%, and the ChiNext Index rose by 0.87% [2] - The total market turnover was approximately 1.73 trillion yuan, an increase of 133.9 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with over 4,000 stocks rising [2] Group 2: Stock Performance - Northern Rare Earth (600111) reached a peak price of 35.75 yuan per share, setting a historical high, and closed at 35.05 yuan with a trading volume of 146.64 billion yuan, ranking first in A-share trading volume [4][7] - Other notable stocks with trading volumes exceeding 10 billion yuan include Dongfang Caifu, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Xinyi Sheng [4] - Several high-priced stocks experienced adjustments, with Forest Packaging hitting the daily limit down, Sifang Jingchuang down nearly 8%, and Zhongdian Port down over 7% [5] Group 3: Northern Rare Earth Insights - Northern Rare Earth's stock price surged due to multiple favorable news factors, including a tight supply of mainstream rare earths and stable domestic demand, with international orders recovering [9] - The company is accelerating capacity construction and technological upgrades, including a 5,000-ton/year rare earth permanent magnet industrialization project and a 3,000-ton/year high-performance NdFeB magnetic material project [9][10] - Future strategies include mergers and acquisitions to enhance the supply chain, improve production capacity and technology levels, and strengthen resource security for rare earth metals [10] Group 4: Aluminum Sector Performance - The aluminum sector saw significant gains, with companies like Tianshan Aluminum, Jiaozuo Wanfang, and Shenhuo Co. leading the rise [11][12] - The price of alumina futures increased by 8.39% by the end of the trading day [12] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology plans to implement a new round of growth stabilization measures for the non-ferrous metals industry, focusing on high-quality development and resource efficiency [14]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share rare earth sector has shown renewed strength, driven by the discovery of a new rare earth mineral, "Neodymium Huanghe," which is expected to enhance China's strategic value in rare earth resources [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - Since early July, the rare earth sector has entered a new phase of oscillating upward momentum, with the rare earth ETF (516780) becoming a popular product for investors looking to capitalize on industry trends [1]. - The trading volume of the rare earth ETF reached 235 million yuan on the day of reporting, reflecting active market participation [1]. - From July onwards, the rare earth ETF has seen a cumulative inflow of 217 million yuan, resulting in a net increase of 17.8 million shares and 34.9 million yuan in scale, marking increases of 18.22% and 31.10% respectively compared to the end of June [1]. Group 2: Industry Insights - The rare earth ETF (516780) closely tracks the CSI Rare Earth Industry Index, which includes companies involved in rare earth mining, processing, trading, and applications, providing a comprehensive view of the sector's performance [1]. - The top five constituent stocks of the index include Northern Rare Earth, China Rare Earth, China Aluminum, Grinm Advanced Materials, and Lingyi iTech, all of which are competitive leaders in the industry [1]. - The fund manager of the rare earth ETF indicated that the sustainability of the recent price increases will depend on the supply-demand fundamentals, including the issuance of mining and smelting quotas and the economic conditions of downstream industries such as new energy vehicles and robotics [2].

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.69% to 3534.48 points, while the CSI 300 Index rose by 1.09% to 4058.55 points. The SW Nonferrous Metals Industry Index saw a gain of 1.82%, reaching 5294.21 points [1][2]. Sub-industry Performance - Among the five sub-industries in the nonferrous metals sector, the changes compared to the previous week were as follows: Industrial metals +1.00%, Precious metals +1.61%, Minor metals +4.45%, Energy metals +3.31%, and New metal materials +0.19% [1][2]. Key Metal Prices - The prices for key metals on the Shanghai Futures Exchange were as follows: Copper at 78,410 CNY/ton (-0.15%), Aluminum at 20,510 CNY/ton (-0.80%), Zinc at 22,295 CNY/ton (-0.42%), Lead at 16,820 CNY/ton (-1.67%), Nickel at 120,500 CNY/ton (-0.57%), and Tin at 264,540 CNY/ton (-0.41%) [3]. - On the London Metal Exchange, the prices were: Copper at 9,795 USD/ton (+1.39%), Aluminum at 2,638 USD/ton (+1.34%), Zinc at 2,824 USD/ton (+3.12%), Lead at 2,012 USD/ton (-0.49%), Nickel at 15,245 USD/ton (+0.31%), and Tin at 33,355 USD/ton (-0.87%) [3]. - Gold and silver prices on the Shanghai Futures Exchange were 777.02 CNY/gram (+0.50%) and 9,273 CNY/kilogram (+2.84%), respectively [3]. - The prices for lithium carbonate and other lithium products showed significant increases, with battery-grade lithium carbonate at 66,000 CNY/ton (+3.94%) and industrial-grade lithium carbonate at 65,000 CNY/ton (+4.00%) [3]. Policy Impact - The implementation of the revised Mineral Resources Law in China has led to stricter management and approval requirements for mining operations, affecting lithium mining activities. Local authorities have mandated that certain lithium mines complete resource verification reports by September 30 [4][5]. - The uncertainty in domestic lithium mining policies has caused supply-side disruptions, contributing to a significant rebound in lithium carbonate prices [5]. Investment Recommendations - Companies to watch include Tianqi Lithium, Ganfeng Lithium, Zhongjin Lingnan, Shengxin Lithium Energy, and Rongjie Co., due to the rebound in lithium prices [5]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is set to release a growth plan for key industries, including nonferrous metals, which will focus on structural adjustments and eliminating outdated capacity. Companies like China Aluminum, China Hongqiao, Tianshan Aluminum, Yunnan Copper, and Tongling Nonferrous Metals are highlighted for potential investment opportunities [5].

Group 1 - The A-share aluminum concept stocks strengthened in the afternoon, with Minfa Aluminum hitting the daily limit, and companies like China Nonferrous Metal Industry, Tianshan Aluminum, Jiaozuo Wanfang, China Aluminum, and Zhongfu Industrial rising over 5% [1] - The main contract for alumina rose by 8%, reaching 3375 yuan per ton [1]

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth industry is experiencing significant growth, with the China Rare Earth Industry Index rising by 3.36% and key stocks reaching their daily limit up, indicating strong market interest and potential investment opportunities [1][3]. Market Performance - The rare earth ETF, Jiashi (516150), has seen a 3.48% increase, marking its third consecutive rise [1]. - The ETF recorded a turnover rate of 7.84% and a transaction volume of 238 million yuan, with an average daily transaction of 297 million yuan over the past week, ranking first among comparable funds [3]. - The Jiashi rare earth ETF's scale increased by 336 million yuan in the past week, also leading among comparable funds [3]. - The ETF's shares grew by 18.4 million, achieving significant growth and ranking first in new share issuance among comparable funds [3]. - Over the past five trading days, the ETF experienced net inflows on three days, totaling 216 million yuan [3]. Historical Performance - The Jiashi rare earth ETF has seen a net value increase of 58.80% over the past year, ranking 168 out of 2917 in the index stock fund category, placing it in the top 5.76% [3]. - Since its inception, the ETF's highest monthly return was 41.25%, with the longest consecutive monthly gains being four months and a maximum cumulative increase of 83.89% [3]. Industry Outlook - The investment opportunities in the non-ferrous metals sector are viewed positively for the second half of 2025, with expectations of rising rare earth prices due to increasing demand and limited supply [3]. - The rare earth sector is recognized as a strategically important industry in China, with potential for increased attention and value reassessment driven by policy changes and its global leadership position [4]. - The permanent magnet sector is expected to benefit from the growth in humanoid robotics and the low-altitude economy [4]. Key Stocks - The top ten weighted stocks in the China Rare Earth Industry Index include Northern Rare Earth, China Rare Earth, China Aluminum, and others, collectively accounting for a significant portion of the index [4][6]. - Notable stock performances include Northern Rare Earth rising by 6.64%, China Rare Earth by 4.19%, and Wolong Electric Drive by 10% [6].

Core Insights - The 19th China CFO Conference, guided by the Ministry of Finance, focuses on "AI + Finance Driving Value Creation" to enhance financial management and promote digital transformation in enterprises [1][2] - The conference highlights the role of CFOs in leading financial intelligence transformation and optimizing capital allocation through AI [2][5] - The development of a new type of production relationship is essential for the advancement of the digital economy, with a high-quality business environment being a key factor [2][3] Group 1: Conference Overview - The conference gathered over 500 experts and CFOs from the finance and accounting sectors to discuss the integration of AI in financial management [1] - The event serves as an annual platform for thought leadership and practical insights in the finance community [5] Group 2: AI and Financial Management - AI is recognized for its advantages in accounting, including comprehensive data collection, automation, and enhanced decision-making efficiency [3] - The integration of AI in finance is seen as a pathway to unlock data value and drive strategic decisions, ultimately leading to increased enterprise value [2][3] Group 3: Industry Perspectives - Various industry leaders shared their experiences and insights on the practical applications of AI in finance, emphasizing the transition from automation to intelligent decision-making [4] - Discussions included the importance of data governance and the necessity for companies to adapt their management models to leverage digital transformation effectively [3][4]

Core Insights - The China Securities National New Central Enterprise Modern Energy Index (932037) has seen a strong increase of 2.20%, with constituent stocks such as China Power Construction (601669) rising by 10.04% and Dongfang Electric (600875) by 9.98% [3] - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project has officially commenced in Tibet, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, which is expected to boost the local economy and energy structure [3] Group 1: ETF Performance - The Central Enterprise Modern Energy ETF (561790) has increased by 2.55%, marking its third consecutive rise, with the latest price at 1.13 yuan [3] - Over the past two weeks, the ETF has accumulated a rise of 1.20%, ranking in the top third among comparable funds [3] - The ETF's trading volume showed a turnover rate of 8.27% with a transaction value of 3.9067 million yuan, and it ranked first in average daily trading volume over the past week at 746.33 million yuan [3][4] Group 2: Market Outlook - CITIC Securities anticipates that the ongoing construction of the Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project will benefit long-term suppliers of hydropower equipment and core components for power grid transmission [4] - The report highlights a shift in the central government's approach to managing "involution" competition, which is expected to facilitate the exit of outdated production capacity and improve profitability in the solar and lithium battery sectors [4] Group 3: Index Composition - The China Securities National New Central Enterprise Modern Energy Index is designed to reflect the overall performance of 50 listed companies involved in modern energy industries, including green energy and fossil energy [5] - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 49.93% of the total, with notable companies including China Yangtze Power (600900) and China Nuclear Power (601985) [5]