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倘若贸易战失败,美国会选择用武力摧毁中国吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-23 06:31
中美贸易摩擦进入2025年,已从单纯关税博弈演变为全球供应链的全面重塑。年初,美国政府签署行政 令,对中国商品加征10%额外关税,到4月总税率攀升至54%,涵盖电子元件、机械设备和汽车零部 件。中国则以对等措施回应,5月启动对美进口商品关税调整,重点针对农产品和能源。 10月30日,两国领导人在釜山会晤,达成涵盖关税调整、出口管制和农产品采购的协议,美国同意降低 部分电子产品税率至30%,中国承诺增加能源进口20万吨。目前,协议执行平稳,首批大豆船货抵达中 国港口,价格稳定在每吨420美元左右。这种进展显示,贸易摩擦虽未彻底结束,但已从对抗转向有限 缓和。 从经济数据看,美国的关税策略并未如预期般重振制造业。2025年上半年,美国对华出口下降25%,大 豆和能源类产品积压严重,中西部农场库存创历史新高。通胀率升至4.5%,消费者支出增速放缓0.8个 百分点。 相比之下,中国出口结构优化,对"一带一路"沿线国家贸易额同比增长15%,高科技产品占比升至 28%。欧洲国家对美实施25%农产品反制关税,导致美国鸡肉出口受阻,中西部"蛋荒"现象频发。 东南亚虽承接部分转移订单,但物流延误和质量不稳问题突出,实际成本仅降 ...
“理工农医”高校试点一校一策培育“重服务、强贡献”紧缺人才 从大飞机到光刻机 “硬核”联培
Jie Fang Ri Bao· 2025-11-23 02:32
Group 1 - The integration of "artificial intelligence + clean energy" is creating significant job opportunities in the industry, with over 4,000 positions available at a recent recruitment fair in Shanghai [1] - Shanghai's higher education reform plan aims to align talent supply with industry demand, focusing on practical skills and real-world applications in education [1] - The Shanghai University of Science and Technology is collaborating with Kunlun Shumo to enhance the talent training system for industrial software, addressing the talent shortage in this sector [2] Group 2 - Shanghai's engineering students are gaining hands-on experience through partnerships with major companies like COMAC, enhancing their practical skills and understanding of industry needs [3] - The Shanghai Ocean University is expanding its agricultural programs to meet the demand for talent in the agricultural sector, with new specialized classes being introduced [4] - The East China University of Political Science and Law is addressing the shortage of international law talent by incorporating practical experiences like mock trials into its curriculum [5] Group 3 - The Shanghai University of Technology is adapting its medical device training programs to include regulatory and quality control aspects, reflecting the evolving needs of the healthcare industry [6] - The Shanghai Electric Power University is enhancing its faculty's practical experience by requiring new teachers to have industry experience, thereby improving the quality of education [7] - The university is also integrating industry experts into its teaching staff to provide students with insights from the front lines of technology and production [7]
露出獠牙,欧洲终于对C919下逐客令,外媒:不怕断供发动机?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-22 07:15
Core Viewpoint - The C919 aircraft is unlikely to receive European certification this year, with a projected delay of three to six years, indicating that the European market is not ready to accept large Chinese aircraft in the short term [1][5]. Group 1: Certification and Market Impact - The C919 has been a key focus for COMAC after receiving domestic certification, as obtaining EASA certification is crucial for international credibility [3]. - EASA's recent evaluations have been positive, but the certification process is still lengthy, with estimates suggesting the earliest certification could occur in 2028 and possibly as late as 2031 [5]. - The delay in certification is seen as a protective measure for Airbus, especially following the grounding of Boeing 737 MAX aircraft, which has allowed Airbus to expand its market share significantly [5]. Group 2: Engine and Production Challenges - The C919 is currently equipped with the LEAP-1C engine, but U.S. export licenses were temporarily suspended due to technology leak concerns, impacting production schedules [7][8]. - Despite these challenges, COMAC has made progress with the domestically developed Changjiang 1000A engine, which is expected to undergo in-flight testing soon and could mitigate reliance on foreign suppliers [8][10]. - The production line is operating at full capacity, with plans to deliver 30 aircraft by 2025, indicating strong domestic demand despite European market challenges [10]. Group 3: Future Prospects - The C919 is not solely dependent on the European market, as bilateral agreements allow it to operate in Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and Africa [10]. - The Changjiang 1000A engine is anticipated to be certified by 2026, and the C929 wide-body aircraft is expected to enter service by 2030, further reducing reliance on Western markets [10].
院士增选中的企业家面孔:科技先锋如何重塑产业格局
Core Insights - The recent election of new academicians in China reflects a significant shift in the country's scientific community, with an increasing number of industry leaders and entrepreneurs being recognized alongside traditional scholars [2][4] - The average age of newly elected academicians is 57.2 years, with 67.1% being under 60, indicating a younger demographic entering the academic elite [1] Group 1: Industry Representation - The inclusion of industry leaders such as BYD's chief scientist, Lian Yubo, highlights the importance of practical experience in technological innovation, particularly in the electric vehicle sector [3][4] - Lian Yubo's leadership in developing key technologies like blade batteries and CTB has positioned BYD as a global leader in new energy vehicle sales, with R&D expenses reaching 43.748 billion yuan, a 31.3% increase year-on-year [3] - The election of Chen Yong from China Commercial Aircraft Corporation signifies advancements in China's commercial aircraft industry, showcasing a shift from single-series to multi-series development [4] Group 2: Strategic Importance of Academicians - The title of academician serves as a powerful endorsement for companies' technological innovation capabilities, linking academic achievements with industry advancements [4] - The election of Wu Kai from CATL underscores the strategic significance of the power battery industry, with CATL's market capitalization exceeding 1 trillion yuan post-listing [5] - The recognition of Lei Zengguang from China National Nuclear Corporation emphasizes the role of state-owned enterprises in tackling core technological challenges [5] Group 3: Collaborative Innovation - The election of Huang Xianbo from Jinfa Technology illustrates the impact of technological breakthroughs in new materials, contributing to the self-sufficiency of the materials industry [6][7] - The candidacy of Feng Jianghua from CRRC Zhuzhou Electric Locomotive Research Institute reinforces the collaborative network between enterprises and academic institutions, promoting a model of industry-academia-research cooperation [7] - The trend of "scientists becoming entrepreneurs" and "entrepreneurs becoming academicians" reflects a positive cycle of technological innovation and market application, driving high-quality economic development in China [7]
中国或许是全球最后一个进入民用航空工业俱乐部的国家
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 02:49
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese commercial aviation industry, represented by COMAC, is making significant strides in the production of passenger jets, particularly with the C919 and ARJ21 models, despite being a late entrant in a market dominated by established players like Boeing and Airbus [2][4][22]. Group 1: Industry Overview - The global commercial jet market has high entry barriers, with only a few key players such as Boeing, Airbus, Embraer, and some Russian manufacturers [2]. - China has recently entered this market, with COMAC's C919 and ARJ21 models showing potential for growth and development [4][22]. Group 2: Product Development - The ARJ21 regional jet, which began development in 2002, has been crucial for COMAC, with over 100 units delivered and operational experience accumulated [6][10]. - The C919 project was initiated shortly after COMAC's establishment in 2008, with the first prototype flying in 2017 and commercial operations starting in 2023 [8][10]. Group 3: Market Demand and Orders - Major Chinese airlines have placed significant orders for C919 and ARJ21, with total orders exceeding 1,000 aircraft, indicating strong domestic demand [10][24]. - The domestic market is projected to require 9,323 aircraft, with 6,881 being single-aisle jets, providing a substantial opportunity for growth [22][24]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The article highlights the challenges faced by other countries in the aviation sector, such as Russia and Japan, which have struggled with production and certification issues [14][20]. - China's late entry into the market is contrasted with its rapid development and the establishment of a comprehensive supply chain involving thousands of domestic suppliers [10][22]. Group 5: Future Prospects - The Chinese aviation industry is expected to continue evolving, with potential advancements in supersonic and space travel, while also contributing significantly to the economy through various related sectors [24].
越南想退租C909?西方媒体是怎么“吃了吐”的
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-11-21 01:23
Core Viewpoint - The Dubai Airshow 2025 showcased significant advancements in China's aviation industry, particularly with the debut of the C919 and C909 aircraft, marking a pivotal moment for Chinese manufacturers in the global aviation market [1][4][12]. Group 1: Event Overview - The Dubai Airshow has evolved into one of the world's top three airshows, alongside Paris and Farnborough, serving as a crucial platform for aviation transactions and showcasing new aircraft and technologies [3]. - The event attracted thousands of exhibitors and hundreds of aircraft, highlighting the growing importance of the Middle East in the global aviation landscape [1][3]. Group 2: Chinese Aviation Industry's Performance - Chinese aviation manufacturer COMAC made a strong impression at the airshow with two C919 and one C909 aircraft, positioning itself alongside industry giants Boeing and Airbus [1][4]. - The participation of Chinese aircraft at the Dubai Airshow represents a breakthrough for China's large aircraft in international exhibitions, demonstrating its core competitiveness in the civil aviation sector [1][4]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The global aviation market is currently facing supply-demand imbalances, with Airbus experiencing production limitations and Boeing dealing with quality issues, creating a demand for alternative suppliers like COMAC [7][18]. - The C919's presence at the airshow is seen as a response to the need for a third option in the market, potentially leading to a more balanced competitive landscape among major manufacturers [7][18]. Group 4: International Expansion Strategy - For large commercial aircraft, relying solely on domestic orders is insufficient for sustainable development; thus, international exposure is essential for building credibility and attracting potential orders [4][6]. - The C919's participation in the Dubai Airshow is a strategic move to enhance its global visibility and establish connections with international clients, particularly in the rapidly growing Middle Eastern and African markets [6][12]. Group 5: Challenges and Perceptions - Despite the positive reception, the journey for Chinese aircraft like the C909 in international markets is fraught with challenges, including negative media portrayals and skepticism regarding quality and safety [17][18]. - The transition of VietJet Air from wet leasing to dry leasing the C909 is indicative of growing confidence in the aircraft, countering narratives of failure and highlighting the importance of long-term partnerships [15][18].
谢林轩:中国大飞机在中东发出自信强音
Huan Qiu Wang Zi Xun· 2025-11-20 23:08
Core Viewpoint - The debut of China's C919 and C909 at the Dubai Airshow signifies a shift from domestic development to international market engagement for Chinese aviation manufacturing [1][2][3] Group 1: C919 and C909 Highlights - The C919 successfully completed a long-distance flight from China to Dubai, showcasing its operational reliability and long-range capabilities [1] - The C909 was presented as a high-cost-performance business jet, indicating a strategic move by COMAC to avoid direct competition in traditional regional markets [1][2] Group 2: Market Context and Opportunities - The global aviation industry is experiencing a challenging recovery, with Western manufacturers like Boeing facing delivery delays, creating a strategic window for Chinese manufacturers [2] - Saudi Arabia's push for an independent aviation network under its "Vision 2030" initiative presents an opportunity for COMAC to position the C919 as a viable alternative to Western aircraft [2] Group 3: Future Plans and Collaborations - COMAC announced plans for a stretched version of the C919, aiming to build a comprehensive product line and enhance its global competitiveness [2] - Potential collaboration with Saudi Arabia to establish a C919 assembly line in Jeddah could serve as a model for Chinese high-end manufacturing entering international markets [2] Group 4: Challenges Ahead - The path to internationalization for Chinese large aircraft faces significant hurdles, particularly in obtaining airworthiness certification, which may take an additional 3 to 6 years [3] - Supply chain challenges, especially regarding critical components like engines, could impact the delivery speed of the C919 [3]
财税“组合拳”精准施策 护航新质生产力发展
《中国经营报》记者从财政部获悉,在科技创新领域,今年中央本级科技经费支出安排3981.19亿元, 较上年增长10%,资金重点向基础研究、应用基础研究和国家战略科技任务倾斜,为航空发动机、细胞 与基因治疗等"卡脖子"技术攻关提供坚实保障。 以国产大飞机为例,作为国家工业制造的"皇冠明珠",其崛起不仅是中国高端制造业突破的标志性成 果,更是全球航空产业格局重塑的关键变量。 中证鹏元研究发展部研究员翁欣表示,依托C919大型客机项目,我国已构建以中国商飞为核心、中国 航空工业集团为骨干、辐射全国并面向全球的商用飞机产业体系,形成"立足上海、延伸长三角、辐射 全国、面向全球"的产业布局,供应链与国际标准接轨,产业规模持续扩大。 新质生产力是推动高质量发展的核心动能,其培育壮大离不开财政和税收政策的有力支撑。今年以来, 财税部门通过政策创新、机制优化等举措,构建起全方位、多层次的支持体系,为新质生产力发展注入 强劲动能。 来自国家税务总局的数据显示,今年前8个月,支持科技创新的主要政策减税降费及退税达13336亿元, 其中研发费用加计扣除等政策贡献减税降费及退税8937亿元,有效降低企业创新投入成本。在先进制造 业,增 ...
12.426亿,未来科学城置业竞得昌平未来科学城东区核心地块
3 6 Ke· 2025-11-19 09:45
Core Insights - The Changping District Future Science City project (South Area) land development project was successfully auctioned for a base price of 1.2426 billion, with a floor price of approximately 23,200 per square meter [1] - This is the first high-quality land supply following the release of the "Good Housing New Policy" in Future Science City, marking a significant independent acquisition by Future Science City Real Estate [1] Group 1 - The land is located approximately 400 meters from the Future Science City Station on Metro Line 17, which is expected to officially open by the end of this year, enhancing connectivity with major lines and core functional areas [2] - The site includes two residential plots and one cultural facility plot, covering a construction area of 43,000 square meters with a planned building area of 82,200 square meters and a plot ratio of 1.91 [2] - Future Science City is a key area in Beijing's "Three Cities and One District" initiative, covering approximately 170.6 square kilometers and focusing on national energy strategy and technological innovation since its establishment in 2009 [2] Group 2 - Future Science City has evolved from an energy technology experimental zone to a model area for industrial-city integration in northern Beijing, featuring a "Two Valleys and One Park" innovation pattern [5] - The Energy Valley has attracted over 300 enterprises, including major state-owned companies, forming a trillion-level industrial cluster [5] - The new project will adhere to planning requirements to enhance regional living facilities and align industrial development with resident needs, aiming to create a city model that balances technological innovation and high-quality living [5]
智通港股解盘 | 持续升级全球下跌一片 AI方向情绪有所好转
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-18 12:48
Market Overview - Global stock markets are experiencing a downturn, with US markets leading the decline, European markets dropping over 1%, and Japanese markets falling over 3% [1] - The Hang Seng Index opened with a drop of 1.72% [1] - Geopolitical tensions are escalating, particularly between Japan and China, affecting market sentiment [1] Cryptocurrency Market - Bitcoin prices fell below $90,000, with over 180,000 traders liquidated in the past 24 hours, totaling over $1 billion in liquidations [2] - The cryptocurrency market has lost over $1 trillion in value over the past six weeks due to high tech stock valuations and uncertainty in US interest rates [2] Electric Vehicle and Battery Industry - Concerns are rising in the lithium battery sector, with industry leaders expressing skepticism about a projected 50% growth in the coming year and potential price increases [2] - Companies like Tianqi Lithium and Ganfeng Lithium saw their stocks drop over 6% due to negative sentiment in the market [2] Automotive Sector - Xiaopeng Motors reported disappointing Q4 revenue guidance, projecting total revenue of RMB 21.5 billion to RMB 23 billion, below market expectations of RMB 26 billion [3] - The company's gross margin decreased from 14.3% to 13.1%, attributed to higher costs from new model launches [3] Robotics and AI - A video from a Chinese startup showcasing autonomous robots has sparked global interest, indicating significant advancements in robotics technology [4] - The startup's use of hardware from Unitree Technology could lead to increased sales if breakthroughs in AI are achieved [4] Semiconductor Industry - SMIC reported a supply-demand imbalance in the semiconductor industry, with a capacity utilization rate of 95.8% in Q3 [5] - The company anticipates sustained high prices in the storage sector due to high barriers to entry for competitors [5] AI Business Growth - Baidu's latest financial report revealed over 50% year-on-year growth in AI business revenue, exceeding expectations [6] - AI cloud revenue grew by 33%, and AI application revenue reached RMB 2.6 billion [6] Aerospace Industry - Boeing forecasts significant growth in the Middle East aviation market, expecting the fleet to more than double in the next 20 years [7] - The Chinese C919 aircraft showcased at the Dubai Airshow aims to enhance China's presence in the global aerospace sector [7] Apparel Industry - Shenzhou International reported a 15.3% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, driven by demand recovery in the sportswear sector [8] - The company has expanded its global production capacity, with overseas factories accounting for 53% of total output [9]