Core Viewpoint - Dongsheng Pharmaceutical has a solid foundation in traditional Chinese medicine and is entering a harvest period for its innovative pipeline, with a multi-layered R&D system based on specialty traditional Chinese medicine, high-end generic drugs, and innovative drugs [1] Group 1: Product Development and Market Position - Several key products have entered commercialization or late-stage clinical trials in recent years [1] - The PB2-targeted RNA polymerase inhibitor, Anladiwei tablets, for treating adult uncomplicated influenza A, is expected to be approved for market launch in May 2025, showing competitive advantages over Oseltamivir in Phase III clinical data [1] - The core product, Compound Xuehuo Tong capsules, is a unique original formulation that has ranked first in market share for oral traditional Chinese medicine in the ophthalmology field for several consecutive years [1] Group 2: Market Outlook and Financial Projections - As the impact of centralized procurement gradually dissipates, sales are expected to stabilize and recover [1] - The company is optimistic about the dual-driven growth of traditional Chinese medicine and chemical drugs, with the latter's innovative clinical pipeline entering late stages [1] - The company has significant potential for large products and international expansion, with a target price of 23.37 yuan based on a 57x PE ratio for 2026, reflecting the industry average [1]

截至2025年末，银华大数据灵活配置定期开放混合基金持有股票占比为81.77%，未持有债券，前十大持仓个股分别为中信证券、东兴证券、兴业证券、国 泰海通、三环集团、东方证券、东吴证券、方正证券、金山办公、分众传媒。 与2025年三季度持仓相比，银华大数据灵活配置定期开放混合基金将前十大持仓个股全部更换。截至2025年三季度末，该基金前十大持仓个股分别为中国平 安、宁德时代、海尔智家、贵州茅台、杭州银行、恒瑞医药、晶方科技、中天科技、金山办公、东方电缆。 公告显示，截至2025年末，李晓彬管理的银华惠增利货币基金和银华货币基金的资产净值规模合计超千亿元。 孙蓓琳离任的银华大数据灵活配置定期开放混合基金此前不久刚增聘了一位基金经理。2025年11月，该基金增聘和玮为新任基金经理，与张凯和孙蓓琳共同 管理该基金。 银华大数据灵活配置定期开放混合基金成立于2016年4月，成立至今已有近10年时间，截至2026年1月28日，该基金成立以来的单位净值下跌2.70%，近3年 单位净值下跌10.57%，近1年单位净值增长13.93%，近3个月单位净值下跌0.92%。 1月29日，银华基金发布多条基金经理变更公告。公告显示，基 ...

第三，政策也倾向于农机升级，12月24日国家发改委发布《加快农业农村现代化扎实推进乡村全面振 兴》，明确提出大力发展农业新质生产力，重点强调加力实施农机装备补短板。最后，在出口端，我国 农机出口增长，将为农机板块的需求带来新的成长性。 智通财经APP获悉，东方证券发布研报称，2025年农机需求承压，从国内看，2025年中大型拖拉机产量 同比下降1.2%，小型拖拉机产量同比下降15.4%；从海外看，2025年英国农用拖拉机的总销量有记录以 来最低水平(二战前以来最低的水平)，2025年10月美国农业拖拉机、联合收割机销量分别下降19.6%、 26.8%。向前瞻，农机需求有望在2026年边际改善，国内十五五开局年，中央一号文件有望继续支持农 业发展，海外利率和贸易风险逐渐缓解，也有望带来需求回升。 十五五开局年，国内农机景气度有望改善 尽管国内2025年农机需求下降，但行业有望在2026年边际改善。首先总量政策支持，2026年是十五五的 开局之年，国家一号文件《中共中央、国务院关于稳定农业农村现代化、扎实推进乡村全面振兴的意 见》将更加重视农业现代化。第二，更新政策延续且更加专注精准，2026年正常继续支持大规模 ...

风险提示：提及个股仅用于行业事件分析，不构成任何个股推荐或投资建议。指数等短期涨跌仅供参 考，不代表其未来表现，亦不构成对基金业绩的承诺或保证。观点可能随市场环境变化而调整，不构成 投资建议或承诺。提及基金风险收益特征各不相同，敬请投资者仔细阅读基金法律文件，充分了解产品 要素、风险等级及收益分配原则，选择与自身风险承受能力匹配的产品，谨慎投资。 每日经济新闻 东方证券指出，近期地缘冲突持续发生，市场担忧产油国地缘冲突或导致油气供给减少，布伦特油价震 荡，油服的景气度有望边际上升。目前全球油服景气度处于较低区间，全球活跃钻机数仍低于2019年以 前水平。国内受油价和处于"十四五"末期窗口影响，油气行业资本开支出现了阶段性收缩。在连续多年 的资本收缩后，行业开支有望向上恢复。国内油气对外依赖度仍高，预计国内油气资本开支有望逐渐走 向恢复。海外方面，美国政府持续推出政策推动油气开发，预计2026年海外的油服开支需求也有望回 暖。 石油ETF（561360）跟踪的是油气产业指数（H30198）。该指数主要覆盖石油、天然气的勘探、开采、 炼制及销售等环节的企业，选取在产业链上下游具有代表性的上市公司证券作为指数样本， ...

Group 1: Lithium Market Insights - The supply of lithium is experiencing short-term disruptions and long-term growth limitations, leading to a mid-term supply gap expected to persist until 2026-2027 [1][2] - Demand for lithium is being driven by the growth of energy storage and the commercialization potential of solid-state batteries, which may increase lithium consumption per unit [2] - From the second half of 2025, supply disruptions in Jiangxi, China, combined with strong downstream demand, are expected to lead to a rebound in lithium prices, maintaining a tight market through 2026-2027 [2] Group 2: Cobalt Market Dynamics - The supply of cobalt is significantly influenced by the export quota system in the Democratic Republic of Congo, resulting in a clear supply gap and strong price support [3] - Demand for cobalt products is currently weak due to high prices, and the potential recovery in demand hinges on the adoption of solid-state batteries [3] - The Congolese government's strong price control and willingness to maintain prices, along with slower-than-expected export rhythms, suggest that cobalt prices are likely to remain strong in the mid-term [3] Group 3: Market Feedback Mechanisms - In an upward cycle, it is crucial to consider the self-reinforcing and cross-reinforcing attributes between stock prices and commodity prices, alongside fundamental factors [4] - The sequence of "stocks → futures → spot" illustrates how stock prices often react first to anticipated turning points, followed by futures and then spot prices, creating a positive feedback loop [4] - Investment recommendations include lithium-related companies such as Yongxing Materials, Ganfeng Lithium, and Tianqi Lithium, as well as cobalt-related companies like Huayou Cobalt and Luoyang Molybdenum [4]

Core Insights - The report by Dongfang Securities highlights Moltbot as an open-source personal AI assistant framework that utilizes gateway scheduling and hybrid memory, enabling remote task execution through common chat applications [1] Technical Principles - Moltbot, formerly known as Clawdbot, operates through popular chat platforms like WhatsApp, Telegram, Slack, and iMessage, allowing users to command the AI assistant without switching applications [1] - The architecture of Moltbot is a long-term resident TypeScript CLI process that exposes a unified gateway for handling command requests from various communication channels [1] - The design prioritizes controllability with a serial scheduling model, where tasks are executed in a session-level queue to minimize race conditions and debugging complexity [1] Execution Layer - The Agent Runner employs a standard ReAct closed loop with engineering-level fault tolerance mechanisms, including dynamic prompt assembly and token window protection, ensuring stable operation during long tasks and multi-round tool calls [2] - The memory system records short-term memory in JSONL format and long-term memory in Markdown files, utilizing mixed recall methods to avoid reliance on black-box databases [2] - Moltbot isolates the Shell execution environment through Docker and uses semantic snapshots instead of visual screenshots to compress page states into structured text, significantly reducing token costs and interaction delays [2] Hardware Opportunities - The report suggests that local agents like Moltbot require 24/7 operation, leading to a shift from traditional high-power PCs to localized computing solutions [3] - Edge computing boxes, such as Mac mini, are identified as suitable for local execution and inference, driving demand for low-power, high-performance small hosts [3] - High-performance NAS devices are evolving into "home AI computing centers," suitable for hosting agent gateways and memory systems, with a focus on NPU integration and large memory capacity upgrades [3] Memory Architecture - The report emphasizes the need for innovative unified memory architectures to support Moltbot's reliance on long context and local models, as memory capacity and bandwidth are identified as bottlenecks [3] Power Requirements - The continuous operation of agents like Moltbot creates a demand for low-power computing solutions, with SoC designs that offer ultra-low power listening and wake control being more advantageous [3] Investment Recommendations - Suggested investments include SoC companies like Amlogic and Rockchip, GPU firms such as Cambricon and Loongson, and storage companies like Lianqi Technology [4]

东方证券发布研报称，海外存储巨头SK海力士与闪迪(SNDK.US)业绩强劲，且下季指引乐观，印证存 储行业供不应求。AI推理需求正成为存储增长核心动力，将持续拉动数据中心对DRAM和NAND的需 求。同时，NOR Flash等利基存储因产能被主流产品挤压，供给大幅收缩，预计紧缺与涨价态势将延 续，国内相关厂商有望受益。 东方证券主要观点如下： 事件 SK海力士、三星、闪迪等海外头部存储厂商近日先后发布最新一季财报。 海外存储巨头业绩强劲 SK海力士25Q4营收32.8万亿韩元，环比增长34%；营业利润19.2万亿韩元，环比增长68%；营业利润率 达58%，均创下季度新高。闪迪2026Q2财季营业收入30.25亿美元，同比增长61%，环比增长31%；毛利 率达51%。闪迪预计2026Q3财季营收为44-48亿美元，按中值计算环比增长52%，毛利率预计达 65%-67%。该行认为，SK海力士、闪迪业绩强劲，下季度指引乐观，充分体现存储供不应求情况有望 持续。 AI需求有望被持续挖掘，带动存储供不应求持续 部分投资者担忧消费电子需求可能承压，影响存储需求。但该行认为，AI算力等相关需求在存储需求 中逐步占据主导地位 ...

Core Viewpoint - Domestic and international cloud service providers (CSPs) are experiencing high capital expenditures, with potential for upward adjustments in domestic investments, particularly in AI infrastructure and related power equipment demand [1][2]. Group 1: Capital Expenditure Insights - Alibaba's cloud business reported a 34% year-on-year revenue growth in Q2 of FY2026, with plans to increase the originally planned capital expenditure of 380 billion yuan over the next three years [2]. - Microsoft reported total revenue of $81.3 billion in Q2 of FY2026, a 17% increase year-on-year, with Azure and other cloud services revenue growing by 39%. Capital expenditures reached $37.5 billion, up 66% year-on-year [2]. - Meta's revenue for the same quarter was $59.9 billion, a 24% year-on-year increase, with projected capital expenditures for 2026 expected to rise to between $115 billion and $135 billion, focusing on AI infrastructure [2]. Group 2: Technological Advancements in Power Systems - The data center power system is transitioning from traditional UPS to HVDC, Panama power, and SST technologies, with NVIDIA identifying 800V DC supply combined with SST as the ultimate power solution for AI data centers (AIDC) [3]. - SST technology offers energy efficiency and space-saving benefits, promoting a shift from silicon to copper, indicating significant long-term cost reduction potential [3]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities in Power Supply Units - AIDC cabinet power supply units (PSUs) are critical for high-density AI computing clusters, integrating power distribution, voltage conversion, monitoring, and cooling functions, and moving towards 48V DC or HVDC systems [4]. - The PSU market is expected to benefit from the increasing global shipment of AI servers, while SST technology, despite its current low penetration, has substantial growth potential as advanced architectures like liquid cooling and high-voltage DC become more prevalent [5]. - Upcoming product launches at the GTC conference, including Rubin GPU and Vera CPU, are expected to catalyze industry growth, reinforcing the investment outlook for SST and PSU technologies [5].

板块轮动预计仍是春节前的主基调，关注轮动中的结构性机会。主线一，科技创新主题。短期来看，关 注细分板块之间的轮动补涨机会。前期强势的商业航天、AI应用等主题受到产业趋势催化，但后续内 部分化或有所加大。主线二，制造业、资源板块盈利修复路径清晰。有色金属行情波动加大，业绩预告 显示基本面支撑较强，关注短线回调后的配置机会。辅助线一，消费品以旧换新政策延续，服务消费再 迎重磅政策利好，扩大内需导向下消费板块存在布局窗口。辅助线二，出海趋势带动企业盈利空间打 开。 申万宏源：春节之前市场可能会进入短暂的震荡修正阶段，但仍建议持股过节 申万宏源表示，本轮春季行情仍然值得期待，后续市场无论是在政策方面，还是在基本面层面，未来几 个月或仍有利好消息。不过市场表现未必会一帆风顺，春节之前，市场可能会进入短暂的震荡修正阶 段。结构性牛市突破前期震荡区间后，通常会出现阶段性的调整。但仍建议投资者持股过节，在春节之 后，市场交易热度会再度回升，结合假期高频数据以及产业热点消息，之后市场可能会迎来新一轮的上 涨行情。 A股三大股指开盘涨跌不一，沪指跌0.93%，创业板指涨0.65%。盘面上，电网设备板块表现活跃，贵金 属、油气开采 ...

2025 年 A 股业绩前瞻：结构分化加剧，资源与制造板块领跑 证券研究报告/策略专题报告 2026 年 02 月 01 日 分析师：徐驰 执业证书编号：S0740519080003 Email：xuchi@zts.com.cn 分析师：张文宇 执业证书编号：S0740520120003 Email：zhangwy01@zts.com.cn 一、业绩预告全景：整体偏弱，分化显著 截至 2026 年 1 月 31 日共有 2963 家上市公司披露业绩预警，整体喜忧参半，但以"报 忧"为主基调。"报喜"类（预增、续盈、略增、扭亏）公司共 1095 家，占比约 37%； "报忧"类（预减、略减、续亏、首亏）公司则有 1867 家，占比约 63%。整体来看， 2025 年上市公司盈利整体呈现企稳回升趋势，但整体仍处于弱通道。另外，不少企业 盈利同比有所改善，但分化明显，仍有大批公司未能实现盈利增长。 相关报告 行业方面，2025 年出现集中"报喜"的行业有非银金融，有色金属，美容护理，汽车 与公用事业。集中"报忧"的行业有煤炭，房地产，轻工制造，食品饮料和建筑装饰。 非银金融板块集体预增，业绩预警表现远好于其他行业， ...