Core Viewpoint - Nuclear power stocks continue to rise against the market trend, driven by significant advancements in China's nuclear fusion project BEST, which is expected to reach commercial application by 2030 [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - China National Nuclear Corporation International (02302) increased by 7.22 HKD - China General Nuclear Power Corporation Mining (01164) rose by 1.6%, reaching 3.81 HKD - Shanghai Electric (02727) gained 0.99%, trading at 5.08 HKD [1] Group 2: Project Developments - On October 1, a key breakthrough was achieved in the construction of the domestically developed nuclear fusion device BEST, with the successful installation of the first critical component, the dewar base - The project is expected to be completed by the end of 2027, with the goal of lighting the first lamp through nuclear fusion by 2030 [1] Group 3: Upcoming Events and Market Outlook - The International Atomic Energy Fusion Energy Conference (FEC2025) will be held in Chengdu from October 13 to 18, which may announce significant national and international developments in the fusion industry - According to Founder Securities, the fusion industry is experiencing intensified activity compared to July and August, with a second round of intensive bidding for the BEST project expected in Q4, covering high-value products such as the first wall, filter, and power supply - Other fusion devices are also anticipated to initiate, with major players entering the market and significant overseas ignition progress [1]

Core Viewpoint - Nuclear power stocks continue to rise against the market trend, driven by significant advancements in China's nuclear fusion technology and upcoming international events in the fusion energy sector [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - China National Nuclear Corporation International (02302) increased by 7.22 HKD - China General Nuclear Power Corporation Mining (01164) rose by 1.6%, reaching 3.81 HKD - Shanghai Electric (601727) gained 0.99%, trading at 5.08 HKD [1] Group 2: Technological Advancements - On October 1, China achieved a key breakthrough in the construction of the self-developed nuclear fusion device BEST, with the successful installation of the first critical component, the dewar base - The BEST project, utilizing compact high-field superconducting tokamak technology, is scheduled for completion by the end of 2027, with the potential to achieve commercial application by lighting the first lamp by 2030 [1] Group 3: Upcoming Events and Market Outlook - The International Atomic Energy Fusion Energy Conference (FEC2025) will be held in Chengdu from October 13 to 18, which is expected to announce significant national and international developments in the fusion sector - According to Founder Securities, the fusion industry is experiencing intensified activity compared to July and August, with the BEST project likely to initiate a second round of intensive bidding in Q4 for high-value products [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Views - The report highlights the potential for price increases in copper due to supply disruptions and tariff impacts, suggesting that recent price pullbacks may present good buying opportunities [6] - The report emphasizes the strong performance of precious metals, particularly gold, amid renewed tariff concerns between China and the US, recommending an increased allocation to gold [5] - The report notes significant price increases in cobalt intermediate products, forecasting continued price growth in 2026-2027 due to supply-demand imbalances [7] - The report discusses the tightening supply of rare earths due to new export controls, which may lead to price increases in the domestic market [7] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The closing index for the industry is at 7554.83, with a 52-week high of 7783.14 and a low of 4280.14 [2] Price Movements - Basic metals saw price increases: LME copper rose by 0.76%, aluminum by 2.20%, zinc by 0.95%, and lead by 1.44%. Precious metals also saw gains, with COMEX gold up by 3.80% and silver by 1.44% [21] Inventory Changes - Global visible inventory changes included an increase of 14,579 tons in copper, a decrease of 4,602 tons in aluminum, and an increase of 17,175 tons in lead [30]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on the nuclear power sector as a significant energy type for AI consumption, highlighting investment opportunities in companies like Entergy, Talen Energy, and Constellation Energy [5] Core Insights - The report indicates that the global infrastructure and construction equipment sector is seeing strong demand for data centers, with AMD supplying chips to OpenAI for AI infrastructure [1] - The International Energy Agency (IEA) has revised down its 2030 renewable energy capacity growth forecast for the US by 50% compared to last year's estimates, while globally, renewable energy generation capacity is expected to double by 2030 [1] - The report emphasizes the ongoing energy transition, with a balanced supply-demand scenario in the natural gas market, suggesting investment in companies like WMB and KMI [5] Summary by Sections Global Infrastructure and Construction Equipment - The vacancy rate for data centers in major North American markets has reached a historic low of 1.6%, indicating strong demand [8] - The average price for cabinets in data centers has increased by 2.5% for 250 to 500 kW cabinets and by 19% for those over 10 MW due to high demand and limited power supply [8] Global Electrical and Intelligent Equipment - The gas turbine price index increased by 3.43% year-on-year as of August 2025, while the electrical and special transformer production price index remained stable [17][31] - The report notes a significant increase in transformer exports from China, with a year-on-year growth of 18% in August 2025 [40] Global Energy Industry - The average spot price for electricity in major US regions decreased by 19.57% week-on-week, while natural gas futures prices rose by 3.7% [3] - The report highlights that the US electricity demand growth forecast has been revised upward, with an expected increase of 15.8% by 2029 [24] Global New Materials - The global spot price for uranium reached $82.63 per pound in September 2025, reflecting a 10% increase month-on-month [4] - The report tracks the dynamics of heavy rare earths, with prices for dysprosium and terbium remaining stable [4] Key Company Updates - GE Vernova has launched a new platform for utilities to monitor and control their infrastructure, supported by Verizon [45] - Hitachi has announced a strategic partnership with OpenAI to supply power distribution equipment for AI applications [45] - ABB has signed an agreement to provide automation solutions for the production and storage of green ammonia [45]

Group 1 - The report highlights the long-term allocation value of Hong Kong-listed central state-owned enterprises (SOEs) dividend assets, which have shown stable performance amid global economic uncertainties and recent tariff conflicts [1][7][19] - As of October 10, 2025, the returns of major indices over the past two years are as follows: Hang Seng Index at 45.85%, Hang Seng Tech at 54.03%, Hang Seng High Dividend at 51.35%, and the National New Hong Kong Stock Connect SOE Dividend Index at 31.15% [8][9][19] - The report indicates that dividend assets have lower volatility and stronger stability compared to other indices during market fluctuations, particularly during the recent tariff shocks [11][19] Group 2 - The trading congestion of Hong Kong SOE dividend assets has increased, yet they remain relatively undervalued, offering high investment value [19][45] - The dividend yield of the National New Hong Kong Stock Connect SOE Dividend Index is 6.07%, which is significantly higher than the 10-year government bond yield by 4.22 percentage points [25][27] - The report notes that the relative attractiveness of dividend assets has improved due to declining bond yields, with the yield ratio of the National New Hong Kong Stock Connect SOE Dividend Index to the 10-year government bond yield reaching 3.29 as of October 10, 2025 [26][27] Group 3 - As of October 10, 2025, the total market capitalization of Hong Kong-listed SOEs is 13.5 trillion HKD, accounting for 17% of the overall market [35][36] - The report details that the H-share SOE PE (TTM) averages are 4.93, with a market-weighted average of 9.38, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to the overall Hong Kong market [45][51] - The report also highlights that the dividend yield of Hong Kong SOEs is generally higher than that of A-shares, with a significant contribution from state-owned enterprises [8][9][69]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the coal industry, with specific recommendations for various companies based on their performance and market conditions [4][3]. Core Insights - The upcoming safety production assessments are expected to tighten coal supply, potentially leading to a rebound in coal prices, with expectations for prices to exceed 900 RMB/ton by the end of the year [2][9]. - The report highlights that the coal price has stabilized at 700 RMB/ton as of the end of September, primarily due to supply constraints [2][9]. - The transition into the heating season in November is anticipated to further increase demand for coal, particularly for non-electric uses such as coal chemical industries [2][9]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include: 1. High spot price elasticity stocks: Lu'an Energy [4] 2. Stable performance and growth stocks: Jinkong Coal and Huayang Co. [4] 3. Stocks with recovery in production: Shanmei International [4] 4. Industry leaders with stable performance: China Shenhua, China Coal Energy, and Shaanxi Coal [4] 5. Beneficiaries of nuclear power growth: CGN Mining [4] Market Dynamics - The coal sector has shown a weekly increase of 4.3%, outperforming the broader market indices [14][16]. - The focus on safety inspections is expected to lead to further supply reductions, enhancing price momentum [2][9]. Company Performance - Notable stock performances include: - Baotailong with a 13.54% increase - Jinkong Coal with an 8.36% increase - Shaanxi Black Cat with a 7.51% increase [19][21]. Price Trends - As of October 10, coal prices at Qinhuangdao Port for Q5500 grade coal were reported at 703 RMB/ton, reflecting a slight increase [10][11]. - The report indicates that the focus on safety and production assessments will likely lead to a tightening of supply, which could support higher prices in the near term [2][9].

- The "Hong Kong Stock Selection Portfolio" strategy aims to construct a portfolio by dual-layer screening based on fundamental and technical aspects of analyst-recommended stocks. The analyst recommendation pool is built using events such as upward revisions of earnings forecasts, initial analyst coverage, and exceeding expectations in research report titles. The backtesting period for this portfolio spans from January 1, 2010, to June 30, 2025, with an annualized return of 19.11% and an excess return of 18.48% relative to the Hang Seng Index after considering transaction costs in a fully invested state [13][14][19] - The "Stable New High Stock Screening Method" identifies stocks that have reached a 250-day high in the past 20 trading days. The screening criteria include analyst attention (at least five buy or overweight ratings in the past six months), relative stock strength (top 20% in 250-day returns), price stability (evaluated using metrics like price path smoothness and average 250-day high distance over the past 120 days), and trend continuation (average 250-day high distance over the past five days). The formula for calculating the 250-day high distance is: $ 250\text{-day high distance} = 1 - \frac{\text{Close}_{t}}{\text{ts\_max}(\text{Close}, 250)} $ where $\text{Close}_{t}$ represents the latest closing price, and $\text{ts\_max}(\text{Close}, 250)$ is the maximum closing price over the past 250 trading days. A value of 0 indicates a new high, while positive values represent the degree of fallback from the high [20][22][23] - The backtesting results for the "Hong Kong Stock Selection Portfolio" show annualized returns of 19.11%, excess returns of 18.48%, and various performance metrics such as IR of 1.22, tracking error of 14.55%, and maximum drawdown of 23.73% over the entire sample period. Specific annual performance metrics include IR values ranging from 0.00 to 2.60, tracking errors between 10.28% and 22.31%, and maximum drawdowns from 4.05% to 17.74% [19] - The "Stable New High Stock Screening Method" identified stocks across multiple sectors, with the highest number in the cyclical sector (15 stocks), followed by technology (10 stocks), healthcare (7 stocks), consumer (4 stocks), financials (3 stocks), and manufacturing (2 stocks). Examples include stocks like 中广核矿业 (China General Nuclear Mining) and 紫金矿业 (Zijin Mining) in the cyclical sector [22][23][27]

- The "Hong Kong Stock Selection Portfolio" model aims to construct a portfolio by combining fundamental and technical analysis of stocks recommended by analysts. The stock pool is built based on analyst recommendation events such as upward earnings forecast revisions, initial coverage, and exceeding expectations in research report titles. Stocks with both fundamental support and technical resonance are selected to form the portfolio. The backtesting period is from January 1, 2010, to June 30, 2025, with an annualized return of 19.11% and an excess return of 18.48% relative to the Hang Seng Index[13][14][19] - The "Stable New High Stock Screening" factor identifies stocks that have reached a 250-day high in the past 20 trading days. The screening process includes criteria such as analyst attention, relative stock strength, price path stability, and continuity of new highs. The calculation formula for the 250-day new high distance is: $ 250\text{-day new high distance} = 1 - \frac{\text{Close}_{t}}{\text{ts\_max}(\text{Close}, 250)} $ where $\text{Close}_{t}$ represents the latest closing price, and $\text{ts\_max}(\text{Close}, 250)$ is the maximum closing price over the past 250 trading days. A value of 0 indicates a new high, while positive values indicate the degree of fallback from the high[20][22][23] - The "Stable New High Stock Screening" factor evaluates stocks based on the following metrics: - Analyst attention: At least 5 buy or overweight ratings in the past 6 months - Relative stock strength: Top 20% in 250-day return within the sample pool - Price path stability: Comprehensive scoring based on price displacement ratio and average 250-day new high distance over the past 120 days - Continuity of new highs: Average 250-day new high distance over the past 5 days, selecting the top 50 ranked stocks[23] - The "Hong Kong Stock Selection Portfolio" model is evaluated positively for its ability to generate significant excess returns over the Hang Seng Index, with a robust annualized return of 19.11% during the backtesting period. The "Stable New High Stock Screening" factor is also positively assessed for its effectiveness in identifying stocks with strong momentum and stability, leveraging the proven efficacy of momentum and trend-following strategies in the Hong Kong market[13][14][20] - The backtesting results for the "Hong Kong Stock Selection Portfolio" model show annualized return of 19.11%, excess return of 18.48%, and information ratio (IR) of 1.22 over the entire sample period. The model also demonstrated a maximum relative drawdown of 23.73% and tracking error of 14.55%[19] - The "Stable New High Stock Screening" factor identified 15 stocks in the cyclical sector, 10 in technology, 7 in pharmaceuticals, 4 in consumer goods, 3 in financials, and 2 in manufacturing. Specific stocks include CGN Mining, which achieved a 250-day new high distance of 0% and a 250-day return of 129.4%[22][23][28]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the construction and engineering sector [8]. Core Insights - The nuclear power and fusion sectors are experiencing multiple catalysts that have driven recent market gains, with a focus on companies like China Nuclear Engineering and Liebherr for investment opportunities [11]. - Significant developments in nuclear fusion technology include the successful performance testing of the TF magnet by Commonwealth Fusion Systems, which received an $8 million grant from the U.S. Department of Energy, marking a milestone in fusion development [11]. - The demand for electricity is expected to rise due to advancements in AI technology, positioning nuclear power as a stable energy source to meet this growing demand [11]. - China Nuclear Engineering has signed new contracts worth 55.144 billion yuan in nuclear power projects for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 43.61% [11]. - Liebherr, a high-tech enterprise, has secured a contract worth 226 million yuan for modular construction in nuclear power projects, showcasing the application of modular technology in the industry [11]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The report highlights a significant increase in Hong Kong nuclear power stocks, with China Nuclear International rising by 22.4% and China General Nuclear Power Mining increasing by 7.82% [6]. Future Outlook - The upcoming 30th IAEA Fusion Energy Conference in Chengdu aims to promote global collaboration in fusion energy research and development [11].

Group 1 - The report highlights strong demand for AI, boosting market confidence and leading to new historical highs in the US stock market [2][4] - HSBC Holdings proposed to privatize Hang Seng Bank at a price of HKD 155 per share, representing a premium of approximately 30.3% over the last closing price of HKD 119 [3][4] Group 2 - The AI industry is experiencing robust growth in model usage, with significant increases in daily token calls for various models, indicating strong investment logic in AI [6][9] - Alibaba released several new models, including Qwen3-Max with over one trillion parameters, showcasing advancements in AI technology [6][9] - Kuaishou launched the KuaLing 2.5 Turbo model, improving video generation capabilities while reducing prices by 30% [7] - OpenAI introduced the Sora 2 video generation model, achieving precise simulations of real-world physics and launching a new social app [8]