Group 1 - The A-share non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing a strong performance, with companies like Zhongtung High-tech rising over 9%, and others such as Zhongmin Resources, Xiamen Tungsten, Tianqi Lithium, and Ganfeng Lithium also seeing significant gains [1] - The spot silver price has surpassed $66, reaching a new historical high, indicating a bullish trend in the metal market [2] - Dongxing Securities highlights that the global mining project's upstream capital expenditure environment is deteriorating, and geopolitical disturbances are increasing, leading to a tightening supply-demand structure in the metal industry [2] Group 2 - The metal inventory cycle has been in a long-term depletion trend since 2013, with global visible metal inventories at approximately the 25th percentile level since 1990 as of Q4 this year [2] - The continued weakening of visible inventories suggests a rigid supply characteristic in the global metal market, reinforcing the logic of strong pricing amid low inventory [2] - The China Nonferrous Metals Mining Index covers various sub-sectors, providing a diversified investment approach to mitigate price volatility risks of individual commodities [2]

Group 1: LPR and Monetary Policy - The last LPR quote for the year shows no change in both 1-year and 5-year rates, with only one interest rate cut in 2025 [1] - The Federal Reserve has cut rates three times this year, totaling a reduction of 75 basis points, contributing to the appreciation of the RMB against the USD [2][12] - This situation has reduced barriers for international capital flow into China and indicates significant monetary policy space for the upcoming year [13] Group 2: M&A Activity - China International Capital Corporation (CICC) is set to absorb and merge with both Xinda and Dongxing Securities [3][14] - The merger involves a complex share exchange where 1 share of Dongxing will convert to 0.4373 shares of CICC, and 1 share of Xinda will convert to 0.5188 shares of CICC [15] - Current share prices indicate a discrepancy, with Dongxing's implied post-merger price at 15.77 CNY and Xinda's at 18.71 CNY, while their actual prices are 14.21 CNY and 17.85 CNY, respectively, showing a price difference of 9.89% and 4.6% [6][15] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Strategies - The price difference arises from two factors: uncertainty regarding the execution of the merger and the time required for regulatory approvals [7][16] - If the merger is successful, the share prices of Xinda and Dongxing are expected to converge towards their implied merger prices as the execution date approaches [16] - Investors can consider strategies such as buying Xinda or Dongxing while shorting CICC to lock in the price difference, although this involves risks if the merger fails [7][16] Group 4: Cash Exit Options - Shareholders of Xinda and Dongxing have the option to choose cash instead of shares if they do not wish to become shareholders of CICC, which is a protective measure for shareholders [18] - The cash exit prices are set at 34.8 CNY for CICC, 17.79 CNY for Xinda, and 13.13 CNY for Dongxing, with hidden cash exit prices calculated based on the share exchange ratios [19] - Various strategies can be employed around these cash exit prices, including buying below the cash exit price and selling at the hidden cash exit price [19]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-bank financial sector [7]. Core Insights - The non-bank sector has shown strong performance this week, with notable developments in the brokerage sector, including the merger plans of China International Capital Corporation (CICC) with Dongxing and Xinda, indicating a further acceleration of supply-side reforms in the industry. The insurance sector is also seeing regulatory advancements with the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission (CBIRC) seeking public opinion on the draft asset-liability management guidelines for insurance companies. The report suggests that the long-term outlook is positive, with improved return on equity (ROE) and valuation recovery expected, making the sector increasingly attractive for investment [2][4]. - The report recommends focusing on companies with stable profit growth and dividend rates, such as Jiangsu Jinzu, China Ping An, and China Pacific Insurance, which have strong market positions and business models. Additionally, it highlights companies like New China Life, China Life, Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing, CITIC Securities, Dongfang Caifu, Tonghuashun, and Jiufang Zhitu Holdings based on their earnings elasticity and valuation levels [4]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The non-bank financial index increased by 2.9% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 by 3.2%. Year-to-date, the non-bank financial index is up 9.8%, but underperformed the CSI 300 by 6.3% [5]. - The average daily trading volume in the market decreased to 17,604.84 billion yuan, down 9.86% week-on-week, with a daily turnover rate of 1.83%, down 19.91 basis points [5]. Industry News and Company Announcements - Key announcements include the merger plans of CICC with Dongxing and Xinda, and the CBIRC's public consultation on insurance asset-liability management guidelines. The report also notes the upcoming dividend announcements from Huaxi Securities, CICC, and Shenwan Hongyuan [6][19]. Insurance Sector Insights - In October 2025, the cumulative insurance premium income reached 548.33 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.99%. Life insurance premiums grew by 9.56%, while property insurance premiums increased by 4.02% [23][24]. - The total assets of insurance companies reached 40.59 trillion yuan, with life insurance companies holding 35.68 trillion yuan, reflecting a 0.68% increase [27][28]. Brokerage Sector Insights - The report highlights a decline in the overall equity market, with the CSI 300 index down 0.28% and the ChiNext index down 2.26%. The brokerage sector's investment assets are primarily in bonds, with equity investments comprising about 10%-30% [40][46]. - Margin trading balances decreased to 2.50 trillion yuan, down 0.34% week-on-week, indicating a cautious approach to stock pledge business due to previous credit risks [49]. Financing and Asset Management - In November 2025, equity financing reached 50.65 billion yuan, while bond financing totaled 706 billion yuan, indicating a recovery in financing activities [53]. - The report notes a rebound in the issuance of collective asset management products, with 4.387 billion units issued in November, up 4.1% from the previous month [55].

Core Insights - The securities industry is expected to play a more significant role in 2025 as a key service provider for direct financing, an important gatekeeper in capital markets, and a professional manager of social wealth [1] Group 1: Industry Performance - The securities industry has shown remarkable effectiveness in serving the real economy and new productive forces, with notable companies like Moer Technology, Muxi Co., and China Uranium Industry going public [1] - In the first half of the year, 42 listed securities firms generated revenue of 5.568 billion yuan from selling financial products, marking a 32% year-on-year increase [1] Group 2: Financial Strength - The total assets of 107 securities companies reached 14.5 trillion yuan, reflecting a growth of over 10% compared to the end of 2024; net assets increased to 3.3 trillion yuan [2] - In the first three quarters, 43 listed securities firms reported a combined operating income of 419.561 billion yuan, with an average year-on-year growth of 40%; net profit attributable to shareholders reached 169.291 billion yuan, with an average increase of 88.68% [2] Group 3: Future Outlook - The securities industry is expected to continue strengthening its role in serving the real economy, with a focus on facilitating more quality and technology-driven enterprises to go public and secure financing [2] - The demand for asset management and wealth management services is anticipated to grow significantly, as the current proportion of stocks and funds in residents' assets is about 15%, similar to the level in the U.S. 30 years ago [3] - Regulatory support for quality securities firms to achieve growth through mergers and acquisitions is expected to accelerate, enhancing the capabilities of leading firms in strategic layout, business innovation, and risk management [3]

非银金融 | 证券研究报告 — 行业周报 2025 年 12 月 22 日 强于大市 非银金融行业周报 证监会会议部署"五项坚持" 证监会会议为"持续深化资本市场投融资综合改革"提供具体措施，传达学 习贯彻中央经济工作会议精神，对"十五五"规划与 2026 年进行具体布局。 会议强调要增强市场内在稳定性，不断提高资本市场制度的包容性吸引力。 金融与资本市场相关部署贯穿于中央经济工作会议的政策要求与重点任务 中，凸显了金融在服务"十五五"时期国家战略中的重要枢纽地位。继续看 好证券行业高景气度下长期估值中枢提升。 行业要闻 投资建议 继续看好券商板块估值向上空间。监管持续强化金融功能发挥重要性， 勾勒 2026 年资本市场改革与行业高质量发展路径，在证券行业景气度上 升背景下板块长期估值中枢有望提升。建议关注头部综合券商优势扩大 以及特色中小券商错位发展两条主线。 风险提示 监管政策、宏观经济发展及市场流动性表现不及预期；证券市场及利率 大幅波动导致业绩波动加剧；资本市场开放加速带来海外市场风险与外 资机构竞争压力；同质化竞争或引发价格战；券商并购不确定性或影响 板块价格稳定。 相关研究报告 《公募基金销售行为 ...

Core Viewpoint - Jiemite (300868.SZ) has experienced a decline in stock price, closing at 28.48 yuan with a drop of 3.91% [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Jiemite was listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange's Growth Enterprise Market on August 24, 2020, with an initial public offering (IPO) of 32 million shares at a price of 41.26 yuan per share [1] - The total amount raised from the IPO was 1.32 billion yuan, with net proceeds of approximately 1.19 billion yuan after deducting issuance costs of 130.62 million yuan [1] - The company had an oversubscription amounting to 766.72 million yuan [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - On the day following its listing, August 25, 2020, Jiemite's stock reached an all-time high of 95.60 yuan [1] - Currently, the stock is in a state of decline, having fallen below its initial offering price [1] Group 3: Fund Utilization - The funds raised are intended for three main projects: expanding production capacity for mobile smart device accessories, building a technology research and development center, and upgrading brand construction and marketing networks [1] Group 4: Underwriting Information - The sponsor for Jiemite's IPO was Dongxing Securities Co., Ltd., with representatives Peng Dan and Jia Weiqiang [1] - The total underwriting fees amounted to 131 million yuan, of which Dongxing Securities received 112 million yuan [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is Neutral, maintained [1] Core Insights - The macro liquidity environment is easing, alleviating funding pressure and providing a stable cost advantage for brokerages' capital-intensive businesses such as proprietary trading and margin financing. The sustained high trading volume in equity funds is expected to support brokerage commission income. The margin financing balance has remained above 2.4 trillion, indicating a transition from "incremental expansion" to "stock optimization" in the use of leverage in the A-share market, suggesting that the previously influxed leveraged funds have not significantly withdrawn but are instead showing a trend of "settling down" [4][6] - The bond market has shown a clear "strong in Shanghai, weak in Shenzhen" pattern, with Shanghai focusing on government bonds and policy financial bonds, which are more attractive for institutional funding due to their pledge financing convenience at year-end. This shift in funding between equity and bond markets may indicate subtle changes in current funding risk preferences [4][7] Industry Fundamentals Tracking - The SHIBOR 3M rate has stabilized at 1.60%, showing a recovery from previous lows and indicating alleviated funding pressure [5][14] - The average daily trading volume of equity funds for the week from December 12 to December 19 was approximately 220.29 billion, reflecting a slight decline from the previous week's average of 238.02 billion, but still indicating that a trillion-level transaction has become the new normal for the A-share market [5][15] - As of December 18, the margin financing balance in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets was 2,499.366 billion, indicating a consolidation phase at high levels since September 2025, marking a transition in leverage use [6][18] - The China Bond New Comprehensive Index closed at 248.8624 points, currently stabilizing after a decline from November's peak, supported by a stable liquidity environment [6][19] - The brokerage sector's valuation has diverged significantly from the overall market, with the Shenwan brokerage index PE rising 5.63% year-to-date, compared to a 20.25% increase in the Shenwan A index, widening the gap to 14.62 percentage points [6][22] Market Review - Last week, the A-share Shenwan Securities II industry index increased by 1.01%, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which declined by 0.28%, with a relative outperformance of 1.29 percentage points [6][26] - For the year, the CSI 300 index has increased by 15.78%, while the brokerage sector has decreased by 0.11%, underperforming by 15.89 percentage points [6][26] - The A-share securities II sector ranked 14th among 31 Shenwan first-level industries last week, underperforming the non-bank financial sector [6][27]

Core Insights - The announcement of the first batch of L3-level conditional autonomous driving vehicle permits by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) marks a significant step towards the commercialization of L3 autonomous driving in China [1][5] - The intelligent driving sector is experiencing a surge in interest, with companies like Zhejiang Shibao, Hongmeng Zhixing, Xiaopeng, and BYD announcing advancements in L3 autonomous driving technology [1][6] - The year 2025 is characterized as the "Year of High-Level Intelligent Driving," with a shift from marketing hype to stringent regulations in the industry [2][3] Industry Developments - The penetration rate of L2-level assisted driving vehicles reached 64% in the first three quarters of 2025, up from 48% in 2024, indicating a rapid adoption of advanced driving assistance systems [2] - Following incidents like the Xiaomi SU7 accident, the industry is facing increased scrutiny and regulatory measures to ensure safety and prevent misleading marketing practices [2][3] - The MIIT has mandated that companies must not exaggerate their autonomous driving capabilities and must not use consumers as test subjects [3] Regulatory Changes - A new stringent standard for L2 autonomous driving, expected to be implemented by 2027, will raise the bar for safety and operational requirements, potentially leading to a consolidation in the industry [4] - The L3 commercial pilot program is seen as a transition from technology validation to mass application, with significant implications for the future of intelligent driving [5][6] Market Outlook - The intelligent driving market is projected to see a further increase in L2 penetration to 70% by 2026, with L3 and above expected to reach a 10% penetration rate by 2030 [6] - The transition to L3 autonomous driving is complex, requiring a multi-sensor approach for safety, including the use of LiDAR and radar systems [7] - Challenges remain in the implementation of L3 systems, including liability issues, regulatory pressures, and the need for comprehensive insurance solutions [7]

证券研究报告 金融行业周报 ——中金公司重组预案出炉，中央财办进一步明确政策导向 证券分析师 袁喆奇S1060520080003（证券投资咨询） 李冰婷S1060520040002（证券投资咨询） 许 淼S1060525020001（证券投资咨询） 研究助理 李灵琇S1060124070021（一般证券业务） 请务必阅读正文后免责条款 2025年12月22日 1 1、中金公司"三合一"重大资产重组预案出炉。12月17日晚间，中金公司与东兴证券、信达证券同步披露重大资产重组预 案，中金公司换股吸收合并两家公司的交易定价与方案明晰。3家上市券商A股股票均于12月18日开市起复牌。本次合并后主 体有望在发挥原有中金公司投资银行、私募股权投资、机构业务、资产管理和国际化业务优势的基础上，吸收信达证券和东 方证券在企业纾困、并购重整、区域布局、零售客户上的特色资源，新主体资本金得到进一步补充的情况下，有望充分发挥 AMC产业优势和股东赋能，实现汇金系"投行+AMC资源"的深度协同，加快一流投资银行和投资机构建设进程。 2、中央财办详解2025年中央经济工作会议精神。12月16日，中央财办有关负责同志详解年中央经济工作会 ...

Group 1 - New consumption concept stocks are generally active, with notable increases in stock prices for companies such as Mixue Group (+7.29% to HKD 423.8), Laopu Gold (+5.02% to HKD 691), Guoquan (+5.09% to HKD 3.51), and Pop Mart (+3.89% to HKD 200.4) [1] - Recent policies related to consumption have been frequently released, with the Central Economic Work Conference emphasizing the importance of domestic demand and the construction of a strong domestic market as a key task for the upcoming year [1] - An article in "Qiushi" magazine highlights the strategic significance of expanding domestic demand, underscoring its foundational role in overall development [1] Group 2 - Dongxing Securities notes that the investment sentiment in new consumption will transition from enthusiasm to caution by 2025, with continued policy support in 2026 expected to boost consumer confidence [2] - The new consumption industry is anticipated to evolve towards three trends: health-oriented consumption, new pragmatism, and emotional consumption, alongside two dimensions: intelligence and overseas consumption [2] - Investors are encouraged to focus on companies that can establish solid business models and sustainable profit mechanisms in the new consumption sector [2]