证券代码：000893 证券简称：亚钾国际 公告编号：2025-043 亚钾国际投资（广州）股份有限公司 第八届董事会第二十三次会议决议公告 经全体与会董事认真审议和表决，审议通过了下列议案： 一、关于《2025 年第三季度报告》的议案 具体内容详见公司于同日刊载在《证券时报》、《中国证券报》、《上海证 券报》、《证券日报》及巨潮资讯网（www.cninfo.com.cn）的《亚钾国际投资 （广州）股份有限公司 2025 年第三季度报告》。 表决结果：8 票同意、0 票反对、0 票弃权。 特此公告。 本公司及董事会全体成员（除董事长郭柏春先生，被采取强制措施）保证信 息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 亚钾国际投资（广州）股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）第八届董事会第二 十三次会议的会议通知于 2025 年 10 月 23 日以邮件方式发出，会议于 2025 年 10 月 28 日上午以通讯方式召开。本次会议应出席董事 9 人，实际出席董事 8 人， 公司董事长郭柏春先生被银川市人民检察院采取强制措施，无法出席，会议由公 司代行董事长刘冰燕女士召集并主持。公司高级管理人员列席了 ...

Core Insights - The macroeconomic environment is steadily recovering, establishing a bottoming trend for the chemical industry. Since 2025, macro price indices have shown continuous improvement, with CPI expected to return to positive territory by Q4 2025 and PPI's year-on-year decline expected to narrow gradually. The chemical product price index is anticipated to stabilize, indicating that the industry is entering a phase of bottom consolidation [3][10][15]. - The chemical industry is currently experiencing low PB valuations, suggesting potential for profit recovery. The PE valuation is relatively high, reflecting market expectations for future recovery, while the PB valuation is close to historical lows, indicating significant upside potential for the industry [3][15][19]. - The agricultural chemicals sector is performing relatively well, with high prices for phosphate and potash expected to persist. The pesticide industry is entering a phase of recovery, while the MDI sector, despite low prices, is maintaining stable profits through effective shipment management by leading companies [3][41][42]. Group 1: Macroeconomic Data and Industry Trends - The CPI is expected to turn positive, and the PPI's decline is narrowing, indicating a gradual improvement in the overall supply-demand landscape for chemical products [10][15]. - The chemical industry’s capacity utilization rate is at a historical low of 72.5%, with a slight recovery in gross profit margins observed [19][20]. - The chemical industry is entering a replenishment phase after a prolonged destocking period, with inventory levels expected to rise as demand recovers [23]. Group 2: Sector-Specific Insights - The agricultural chemicals sector is seeing sustained high prices for phosphate rock, with domestic prices around 1017 CNY/ton as of October 27, 2025, supported by tight supply and increasing demand for new applications [42][44]. - The MDI sector is characterized by stable profitability despite low prices, with leading companies effectively managing their shipment schedules [41]. - The lithium battery materials sector is experiencing a recovery in profitability due to strong terminal demand and orderly expansion by leading companies [3][41]. Group 3: Policy and Investment Outlook - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has launched a growth stabilization plan for the petrochemical industry, targeting an average annual growth of over 5% from 2025 to 2026 [3][36]. - The chemical industry is expected to benefit from reduced capital expenditures, with fixed asset investments declining by 5.6% in the first nine months of 2025, indicating a shift towards improved supply-demand dynamics [31][32]. - The report suggests focusing on leading companies with strong cost control capabilities in sectors such as phosphate chemicals, potash, pesticides, MDI, titanium dioxide, and lithium battery materials [3][41].

Core Insights - The Hu Run 2025 Rich List indicates that the wealth of the Guo Jinshu family, associated with Huineng Group, has reached 55 billion yuan, marking a significant increase of 31 billion yuan from the previous year, with a growth rate of 129% [1][5] - The family's ranking improved dramatically from 198th last year to 101st this year, advancing 97 positions [1][5] Company Overview - Huineng Group was established in 2001 and operates 70 subsidiaries with total assets of 172 billion yuan and a workforce of 25,000 [3] - The company focuses on coal, electricity, and chemicals, while also exploring new directions in renewable energy, new materials, modern coal chemical processes, and iron ore [3] - Huineng Group has a coal production capacity of 100 million tons, electricity generation capacity of 1.53 million kilowatts, and additional capacities for synthetic natural gas (SNG) and liquefied natural gas (LNG) [3] - In 2024, the group reported revenue of 98.735 billion yuan, paid taxes of 16.991 billion yuan, and produced 108 million tons of coal [3] Market Position - In the list of China's top 500 private enterprises, Huineng Group ranks 120th in revenue, 17th in profit, and 13th in tax contributions [3] - Among the top 50 coal enterprises in China, it ranks 22nd in revenue, 16th in production, and 11th in tax contributions [3] - The company is the largest shareholder of A-share listed company Yaqi International, holding approximately 130 million shares, which represents a 14.05% stake [3][4]

Core Insights - The 2025 Hurun Rich List reveals that the wealth of the Guo Jinshu family, associated with Huineng Group, has increased significantly to 55 billion yuan, marking a substantial rise of 31 billion yuan or 129% from the previous year [1][5] - Guo Jinshu's ranking improved dramatically from 198th last year to 101st this year, advancing 97 places [1][5] Company Overview - Huineng Group, established in 2001, operates 70 subsidiaries with total assets of 172 billion yuan and employs 25,000 people [3] - The company focuses on coal, electricity, and chemicals, while also venturing into new energy, new materials, and modern coal chemical industries [3] - Huineng Group has a coal production capacity of 100 million tons, 1.53 million kilowatts of electricity, and 16 billion cubic meters of coal-to-gas production capacity [3] - In 2024, the group reported revenue of 98.735 billion yuan, paid taxes of 16.991 billion yuan, and produced 108 million tons of coal [3] Market Position - Huineng Group ranks 120th in revenue among China's top 500 private enterprises, 17th in profit, and 13th in tax contributions [3] - Within the top 50 coal enterprises in China, it ranks 22nd in revenue and 16th in production [3] - The company is the largest shareholder of A-share listed company Yaqi International, holding approximately 130 million shares, accounting for 14.05% of the company [3]

Market Overview - The agricultural chemical sector saw a slight increase of 0.02% on October 28, with Chengxing Co. leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3988.22, down 0.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13430.1, down 0.44% [1] Top Performers - Chengxing Co. (600078) closed at 9.63, up 10.06% with a trading volume of 515,900 shares and a transaction value of 479 million [1] - Dongfang Tieta (002545) closed at 16.87, up 7.25% with a trading volume of 599,200 shares and a transaction value of 1.012 billion [1] - Suli Co. (603585) closed at 20.14, up 5.33% with a trading volume of 103,800 shares and a transaction value of 204 million [1] Underperformers - Nongxin Technology (001231) closed at 25.66, down 10.00% with a trading volume of 170,100 shares and a transaction value of 466 million [2] - Lanfeng Biochemical (002513) closed at 8.00, down 8.05% with a trading volume of 744,400 shares and a transaction value of 607 million [2] - Lianhua Technology (002250) closed at 11.40, down 5.94% with a trading volume of 858,700 shares and a transaction value of 983 million [2] Capital Flow - The agricultural chemical sector experienced a net outflow of 222 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 181 million [2] - The top net inflows from retail investors were observed in Dongfang Tieta (002545) with 78.43 million, while Chengxing Co. (600078) saw a net outflow of 42.07 million [3]

Core Viewpoint - The chemical sector experienced a significant increase on October 28, with the chemical ETF (516020) showing a peak intraday gain of 1.2% before settling at a 0.53% increase, driven by strong performances in sub-sectors like fluorine chemicals, soda ash, and phosphate fertilizers [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The chemical ETF (516020) opened with a strong upward trend, reaching a maximum intraday increase of 1.2% before slightly retracting to a 0.53% gain at the time of reporting [1]. - Key stocks in the sector included Multi-Fluor, which hit the daily limit, and others like Boyuan Chemical, which rose over 4%, with several stocks including Xingfa Group and Hangyang Co. gaining more than 3% [1][2]. Group 2: Price Movements - Prices for third-generation refrigerants R32 and R134a have increased, with R134a rising by 1,000 yuan/ton to 54,000 yuan/ton and R32 increasing by 500 yuan/ton to 63,000 yuan/ton as of October 26 [1]. - The price of refrigerant R125 remained stable at 45,500 yuan/ton compared to the previous week [1]. Group 3: Industry Insights - Pacific Securities noted that under the new quota policy, supply elasticity in the industry is limited, leading companies to prioritize fulfilling long-term customer orders, which exacerbates the tight supply situation and supports high prices [3]. - As of October 27, the chemical ETF's underlying index had a price-to-book ratio of 2.26, indicating a low valuation at the 37.96 percentile over the past decade, suggesting attractive long-term investment opportunities [3]. Group 4: Investment Strategies - The chemical ETF (516020) tracks the CSI segmented chemical industry index, covering various sub-sectors, with nearly 50% of its holdings in large-cap stocks like Wanhua Chemical and Salt Lake Co., providing a strong investment opportunity [4]. - Investors can also consider the chemical ETF linked funds (Class A 012537/Class C 012538) for exposure to the chemical sector [4]. Group 5: Future Outlook - China Galaxy Securities highlighted potential investment themes under the "14th Five-Year Plan," suggesting focus on sectors like polyester filament, organic silicon, and pesticides, while also recommending attention to the exit of outdated capacities in refining and soda ash [5].

Core Insights - The Zhongzheng Petrochemical Industry Index increased by 0.16% as of October 28, 2025, with leading stocks including Hengli Petrochemical, Hangyang Co., Jinfa Technology, Yara International, and Xingfa Group [1] - The Petrochemical ETF (159731) saw a significant net inflow of 61.39 million yuan, indicating strong capital inflow [1] - The Petrochemical ETF reached a new high in both share count (14.3 million shares) and total scale (114 million yuan), ranking first among comparable funds [1] Performance Summary - As of October 27, 2025, the Petrochemical ETF's net value increased by 22.08% over the past six months [3] - The ETF achieved a maximum monthly return of 15.86% since its inception, with the longest consecutive monthly gains being five months and a maximum cumulative gain of 22.33% [3] - The average return during the rising months was 5.27% [3] - The ETF outperformed its benchmark with an annualized excess return of 5.8% over the last six months [3] - The maximum drawdown over the past six months was 6.47%, with a relative benchmark drawdown of 0.14%, marking the smallest drawdown among comparable funds [3] - The tracking error for the Petrochemical ETF over the past year was 0.037%, indicating the highest tracking precision among comparable funds [3] Index Composition - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the Zhongzheng Petrochemical Industry Index included Wanhua Chemical, China Petroleum, Salt Lake Industry, Sinopec, CNOOC, Juhua Co., Zangge Mining, Jinfa Technology, Hualu Hengsheng, and Baofeng Energy, collectively accounting for 55.12% of the index [3]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry or Company Involved - **E-commerce**: TikTok, Jitu Express - **Aviation**: China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, Air China, Huaxia Airlines - **Express Delivery**: YTO Express, Shentong Express - **Shipping**: China Merchants Energy, Haitong Development - **Lithium Industry**: New Zobang - **Coal Industry**: Yancoal Energy, Guanghui Energy, Huayang Co., China Coal Energy - **Chemical Industry**: Zanyu Technology - **Fertilizer Industry**: Yara International, Dongfang Tower, Salt Lake Co. - **Non-ferrous Metals**: Huayou Cobalt, Ganfeng Lithium, Tianqi Lithium Core Points and Arguments - **E-commerce Growth**: TikTok's e-commerce growth is expected to reach 30%, with Jitu Express showing a volume growth of over 65% in the first three quarters. Latin America's e-commerce penetration is only 15%, indicating significant potential for growth [1][2] - **Aviation Sector Recovery**: Airlines are benefiting from improved ticket prices and passenger load factors, with a notable increase in ticket prices by 0.5% during the National Day holiday and subsequent weeks. Recommended stocks include Huaxia Airlines, China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, and Air China [4] - **Express Delivery Valuation**: The express delivery sector remains attractive, with YTO Express and Shentong Express expected to have PE ratios of 9 and 8-9 respectively next year. The trend of reducing internal competition continues [4] - **Shipping Market Dynamics**: The commissioning of the Simandou iron ore project in Guinea is expected to significantly improve the supply-demand relationship for bulk carriers, with a projected shortfall of 232 Capesize vessels. Recommended stocks include China Merchants Energy and Haitong Development [5] - **Lithium Hydrofluoric Acid Price Surge**: The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate has nearly doubled, reaching 92,500 CNY/ton, driven by increased demand, particularly from energy storage orders. The industry operating rate is at 77%, with inventory decreasing [9] - **Coal Market Outlook**: Coal production is expected to decline if companies do not exceed production limits, while demand remains strong. Recent coal prices have surged to 750-800 CNY, with potential for further increases [15][16] - **Chemical Industry Performance**: The chemical product price index remains stable, with specific products like polyester showing price fluctuations. The demand for fertilizers is expected to remain strong despite entering a seasonal lull [12][7] - **Fertilizer Market Trends**: Potash fertilizer inventory has slightly increased but remains low. The price of phosphate rock is stable, with a focus on companies with significant growth potential like Yara International and Dongfang Tower [7][8] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - **Geopolitical Impact on Oil Prices**: Recent geopolitical events have influenced oil prices, with WTI crude oil futures rising by 7.5% to $61.44 per barrel. OPEC's production increase and signs of a slowing U.S. economy may exert downward pressure on prices [6] - **Winter Heating Season Impact**: The winter heating season is expected to significantly affect coal demand, with an anticipated consumption increase of 50 million tons if heating starts early. This could lead to a substantial reduction in inventory levels [17][18] - **Investment Recommendations**: Investors are advised to focus on companies with high long-term contract ratios in the coal sector, such as Yancoal Energy and Guanghui Energy, as they are expected to perform well in the upcoming winter season [19]

Industry Overview - The chemical sector experienced a decline of 5.83% from October 13 to October 17, 2025, ranking 26th among all sectors, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 4.36 percentage points and the ChiNext Index by 0.12 percentage points [2][3] Key Trends and Recommendations - The chemical industry is expected to continue its trend of divergence in 2025, with a focus on synthetic biology, pesticides, chromatography media, sweeteners, vitamins, light hydrocarbon chemicals, COC polymers, and MDI [2] - Synthetic biology is anticipated to reach a pivotal moment, driven by energy structure adjustments, with traditional chemical companies needing to adapt to energy consumption and carbon tax costs [2] - The third-generation refrigerants are entering a high prosperity cycle due to supply constraints and increasing demand from markets like Southeast Asia [3] - Electronic specialty gases are critical for the semiconductor industry, with domestic companies poised to benefit from the increasing demand for high-end production capacity [4] - The trend towards light hydrocarbon chemicals is becoming global, with a shift from heavy naphtha to lighter feedstocks like ethane and propane, which are more cost-effective and environmentally friendly [5] - The industrialization of COC/COP materials is accelerating in China, driven by domestic production capabilities and the need for supply chain security [6] - Potash fertilizer prices are expected to rebound as major suppliers reduce output, leading to a tightening supply-demand balance [7][8] - The MDI market is characterized by oligopoly, with a favorable supply structure anticipated as demand recovers, making it a resilient chemical product [9] Price Tracking - Significant price increases were noted for liquid chlorine (553.33%), sulfur (8.80%), and acrylic acid (3.68%), while notable declines were seen in nitrile rubber (-33.13%) and NYMEX natural gas futures (-7.98%) [10] - A total of 165 chemical enterprises reported production capacity impacts, with 8 new maintenance activities and 4 restarts recorded [11]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [2] Core Views - The chemical sector experienced a decline of 5.83% from October 13 to October 17, 2025, ranking 26th among all sectors, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 4.36 percentage points [6][24] - The report highlights a continued trend of divergence in the chemical industry in 2025, recommending focus on sectors such as synthetic biology, pesticides, chromatography media, sweeteners, vitamins, light hydrocarbon chemicals, COC polymers, and MDI [6] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The chemical sector's performance was ranked 26th with a decline of 5.83% during the specified week, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.47% [6][24] - The top three performing sectors were banking (4.89%), coal (4.17%), and food and beverage (0.86%), while the bottom three were electronics (-7.14%), media (-6.27%), and automotive (-5.99%) [24][25] Key Industry Dynamics - The report discusses the impact of U.S.-China trade tensions, particularly the U.S. imposing additional tariffs on Chinese goods, which has led to increased uncertainty in the global chemical supply chain [37] - It notes that the chemical industry in China is considering a comprehensive restructuring to phase out outdated and loss-making plants as part of a broader strategy to enhance competitiveness [37] Recommendations - Focus on synthetic biology, which is expected to see significant growth due to the shift towards low-energy products and materials [6] - The upcoming quota policy for third-generation refrigerants is anticipated to create a high-growth cycle, benefiting companies with high quota shares [7] - The electronic specialty gases market is highlighted as a critical area for domestic substitution opportunities, driven by rapid upgrades in the semiconductor industry [8][10] - Light hydrocarbon chemicals are identified as a global trend, with a shift towards lighter raw materials expected to reshape the industry [10] - The COC polymer sector is noted for its accelerated domestic industrialization, with potential breakthroughs expected from local companies [11] - The potassium fertilizer market is projected to recover as international supply constraints ease, with companies like Nutrien and Canpotex reducing production [12] - The MDI market is characterized by oligopolistic supply dynamics, with a positive outlook as demand recovers [14]