东兴证券发布研报称，猪价自25年12月底部回升，涨势持续至1月中下旬，而后止涨下滑。2月猪价打破 年前高企预期，持续回调，截至2月10日，全国外三元生猪均价12元/公斤。猪价年前调头说明供过于求 形势严峻，猪价短期向下压力大，年后猪价探底将带来行业亏损出清；26年一号文件提出强化生猪产能 综合调控，农业农村部将落实生猪生产备案管理，政策精细化调控趋势持续，政策与亏损共同作用下， 年后产能去化有望逐步加速，猪价有望在26年下半年迎来向上拐点。 东兴证券主要观点如下： 国家统计局数据显示，2025年12月末能繁母猪存栏量3961万头，相比10月末进一步下降。2026年中央一 号文件提出强化生猪产能综合调控，2026年政策精细化调控趋势持续。截至2026年2月13日，行业平均 自繁自养生猪头均盈利-98.32元/头，自繁自养再度转亏。 标的方面 建议关注成本行业领先，业绩兑现度高的头部养殖标的牧原股份(002714.SZ)，其他受益标的包含温氏 股份(300498.SZ)、德康农牧(02419)、天康生物(002100.SZ)、神农集团(605296.SH)等。 行业供需表现：猪价旺季回升，1月均价回暖 农业农村部 ...

农业ETF(516810.SH)持仓生猪养殖、农业化工、种植业等多个细分板块龙头，充分受益反内卷、猪周期 反转、化工周期、种业安全等多重共振，目前估值处于历史低位水平。投资者可以借道ETF布局农业低 位反弹机会，ETF有低门槛、分散风险的优势，同时被动跟踪指数，持仓透明、风格不漂移。联接A： 016077；联接C：016078 近期市场板块轮动较快。东方证券表示，避险情绪助推消费，化工农业仍是重点。在全球不确定性增加 的背景下，粮食安全是国家战略底线。农业板块估值处于历史低位，同时内循环属性较强，具备较高的 安全边际和必选消费的抗通胀属性。 2026年2月27日，A股周期板块再度活跃，农业板块多股走强，截至10:32，农业ETF华夏(516810)上涨 1.25%， 冲击4连涨。持仓股亚盛集团上涨9.97%，利民股份上涨5.28%，立华股份上涨3.29%，牧原股 份，海南橡胶等个股跟涨。（以上所列股票仅为指数成份股，无特定推荐之意） 农业ETF华夏(516810)，场外联接(华夏中证农业主题ETF发起式联接A：016077；华夏中证农业主题 ETF发起式联接C：016078；华夏中证农业主题ETF发起式联接D ...

日度报告——综合晨报 芝加哥联储行长：若通胀回落 美联储可能多 次降息 [T报ab告le_日R期an：k] 2026-02-27 宏观策略（外汇期货(美元指数)） 芝加哥联储行长：若通胀回落 美联储可能多次降息 伊朗外长称美伊谈判取得进展，市场风险偏好回落，美元指数 走低。 宏观策略（股指期货） A 股放量震荡整理 综 市场成交逐渐放量，更多流动性回归场内交易，这是我们判断 春季躁动仍未结束的原因之一。海外 AI 泡沫担忧逐渐深化，A 股或受映射。科技股短期回调压力增加，但中期仍看好。 巴西 2 月前两周出口糖和糖蜜 131.38 万吨 本榨季印度糖估产大幅下调 165 万吨至 2930 万吨，这将支撑印 度国内糖价，并限制其出口量，同时也有利于减轻本榨季全球 糖市供应过剩压力。 有色金属（碳酸锂） 芬兰启动欧洲首座商业化锂辉石矿山运营 短周期内仍以偏多思路看待。 合 宏观策略（国债期货） 晨 央行开展了 3205 亿元 7 天期逆回购操作 报 稳地产政策可以理解为临时扰动，在其他利空出现之前，债市 难以持续下跌，部分时刻还会存在反弹动力。不过后续潜在的 风险因素仍然存在。 黑色金属（螺纹钢/热轧卷板） 巴西 ...

Core Insights - In 2025, A-share listed companies achieved a new level of high-quality development driven by policy guidance, focusing on governance transparency, innovation efficiency, and normalized returns [1] Governance and Innovation Enhancement - The improvement in governance became a significant driver for high-quality development, with a shift from "passive compliance" to "active value creation" in internal control and ESG practices [2] - By 2025, 99.89% of listed companies disclosed internal control deficiencies, a substantial increase reflecting enhanced regulatory enforcement and corporate compliance awareness [2] - ESG report disclosure reached 99% among A-share companies, with state-owned enterprises achieving 100% coverage, indicating a transition towards proactive integration of ESG into long-term strategies [2] Market Structure Optimization - The dual mechanism of delisting and the expansion of specialized and innovative enterprises led to significant market optimization, with a 44% year-on-year decrease in delisting rates [3] - The number of specialized and innovative enterprises rose to 2,100, directing resources towards high-innovation companies, thereby enhancing overall market vitality [3] - Average R&D intensity for specialized and innovative enterprises reached 8%, significantly higher than non-specialized counterparts, showcasing a clear focus on innovation in sectors like semiconductors and new energy [3] Shareholder Return Mechanism Maturation - In 2025, the willingness and ability of listed companies to return value to investors reached new heights, with total cash dividends amounting to 2.08 trillion yuan and share buybacks totaling 142.84 billion yuan, resulting in a combined return of 2.22 trillion yuan [4] - The trend of normalized and diversified dividends was evident, with companies like Rihua Co. increasing their dividend payout ratio by 19.66 percentage points to 57.71% [4] - The purpose of buybacks became more diverse, with 42% aimed at "market value management" and 38% for "employee stock ownership plans," indicating a mature approach to shareholder returns [4] Market Ecosystem Development - Analysts noted that leading companies are stabilizing investor expectations through substantial returns, reflecting both robust operational performance and a maturing market ecosystem focused on shareholder returns [5] - Trends in dividends included increased frequency, improved quality and transparency, driven by regulatory measures and market dynamics, fostering a virtuous cycle of "dividends—valuation increase—further dividends" [6] - Strong policy support and spontaneous market behavior are creating a new ecosystem characterized by better structure, governance, innovation, and returns [6]

Group 1: Market Strategy and Economic Insights - The market is experiencing a volatile trading environment with the computing hardware sector leading the gains [6][9] - The overall A-share market saw a slight increase with the Wind All A Index rising by 0.21% to 6914.39 points, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.01% to 4146.63 points [6][7] - The trading volume across the market reached 25,566.39 billion, an increase of 757.47 billion from the previous trading day [7] Group 2: Industry Dynamics - Zimbabwe has announced an immediate suspension of all raw mineral and lithium concentrate exports, impacting global supply chains [25] - In March 2026, China's battery production is expected to increase by 16.5% month-on-month, with energy storage cells leading the demand growth [27] - The global smartwatch market is projected to rebound in 2025, with a 4% increase in shipments and a 5% rise in average selling price [29] Group 3: Company Performance - Tongli Co., Ltd. is expected to achieve a revenue of 6,597.45 million yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.37%, driven by strong demand for new energy products and expansion in overseas markets [31][33] - Wens Foodstuff Group reported a 44% decline in net profit for 2025, attributed to falling prices in the pig farming sector, and plans to repurchase shares worth 800 million to 1.2 billion yuan [34] - Zhujiang Brewery's revenue for 2025 is projected to grow by 2.56% year-on-year, with net profit increasing by 11.42% [35]

农林牧渔行业：节前猪价转跌，1 月出栏环比下行 ——生猪养殖行业月度跟踪 行业供需表现：猪价旺季回升，1 月均价回暖。农业农村部监测数据显示，2026 年 1 月仔猪、活猪和猪肉均价分别为 25.38 元/公斤、13.18 元/公斤和 23.40 元/公斤，环比变化分别为 8.44%、7.50%和 3.39%。猪价自 25 年 12 月底部 回升，涨势持续至 1 月中下旬，而后止涨下滑。2 月猪价打破年前高企预期， 持续回调，截至 2 月 10 日，全国外三元生猪均价 12 元/公斤。 供应端：1 月规模场按照正常节奏出栏，中小散户节奏放缓，对 1 月猪价形成 支撑。2 月节后弱预期带来节前出栏集中，生猪供应压力增大。需求端：1 月 春节备货逐步开启，终端市场有所提振。但屠宰端盈利压力较大，对开工率和 价格上行造成阻力。2 月上旬屠宰开工率环比一月末略有提振，但仍不及往年 腊月水平，春节节点偏晚，需求分散，终端备货支撑不足。 产能变化趋势：国家统计局数据显示，10 月末能繁母猪存栏量 3990 万头，环 比下降 1.10%，12 月末能繁母猪存栏量 3961 万头，相比 10 月末进一步下降。 从三方数据来看 ...

Group 1 - A total of 53 stocks in the A-share market experienced block trading today, with a total transaction value of 1.4 billion yuan [1] - The top three stocks by transaction value were Xinyuan Co., Ltd. (3.34 billion yuan), Su Shi Testing (1.41 billion yuan), and Zhongying Electronics (1.04 billion yuan) [1] - Among the stocks, 9 were traded at par, 7 at a premium, and 37 at a discount; Wan Shili, Giant Network, and Rongtai Health had the highest premium rates of 4.99%, 3.81%, and 1.2% respectively [1] Group 2 - The top stocks by institutional buying were Xinyuan Co., Ltd. (184 million yuan), Zhongying Electronics (104 million yuan), and Su Shi Testing (53.63 million yuan) [2] - The leading stocks by institutional selling included Nanchip Technology (12.86 million yuan), Jinzengda (5.64 million yuan), and Huayuan Biological (5.22 million yuan) [2] - The MACD golden cross signal has formed, indicating a positive trend for certain stocks [2]

| 交易日期 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 成交价格 | 成交量 | 成交金额 买方营业部 | 卖方营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | (元) | (万股/万份) | (万元) | | | 2026-02-26 | 300498 | 温氏股份 | 12.38 | 16.20 | 200.56 广发证券股份有限 | 广发证券股份有限 | | | | | | | 公司云浮新兴新洲 | 公司云浮新兴新洲 | | | | | | | 大道证券营业部 | 大道证券营业部 | | 2026-02-26 | 300498 | 温氏股份 | 12.38 | 25.00 | 309.50 中国中金财富证券 | 中国中金财富证券 | | | | | | | 有限公司云浮新兴 | 有限公司云浮新兴 | | | | | | | 东堤北路证券营业 | 东堤北路证券营业 | | | | | | | 高 | 新 | 2月26日，温氏股份大宗交易成交41.2万股，成交额510.06万元，占当日总成交额的0.61%，成交价12.38 元，较市场收盘价15.63元 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights the performance of various sectors and companies, indicating potential investment opportunities in the market. [2][5] Economic News - The People's Bank of China conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 320.5 billion yuan at an interest rate of 1.4%, resulting in a net withdrawal of 79.5 billion yuan from the market. [3] - The overnight SHIBOR rate reported at 1.3680%, down by 1 basis point, while the 7-day SHIBOR rate decreased by 4 basis points to 1.4570%. [3] - The Supreme People's Court reported over 27,000 cases related to cross-border fraud, with significant sentences handed down to key criminal groups. [3] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology discussed the feasibility of new frequency bands for IMT and future 6G technology at a recent international meeting. [3] - Heilongjiang Province's government report emphasized the reform of state-owned enterprises and support for private sector development. [3] - The establishment of a national quality inspection center for rare earth permanent magnet motors in Liaoning Province aims to enhance quality assurance in high-end manufacturing. [4] Company News - Wens Foodstuff Group announced a share buyback plan of 800 million to 1.2 billion yuan at a maximum price of 24.00 yuan per share. [5] - Jiangxi Tungsten Holdings is planning to issue A-shares to specific investors to enhance its core competitiveness and fund acquisitions totaling up to 1.882 billion yuan. [5] - Huylon New Materials is undergoing a significant change that may affect its control, leading to a temporary suspension of its stock. [5] - Fangzheng Valve reported a revenue of 733 million yuan for 2025, a decrease of 2.98%, with net profit down by 6.34%. [5] - Nanya New Materials achieved a revenue of 5.228 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 55.52%, with net profit rising by 378.65% due to market demand recovery. [5] Transportation Industry Insights - In January 2026, domestic airline capacity decreased by approximately 4.3% year-on-year, but increased by 5.8% compared to December 2025, as airlines prepared for the Spring Festival. [7] - The overall passenger load factor for airlines improved by about 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, although it decreased by 0.4 percentage points compared to December. [7] - During the Spring Festival holiday, national civil aviation transported 22.05 million passengers, with a flight completion rate of 95.8%, indicating growth compared to the previous year. [8] - International flight capacity increased by 2.6% year-on-year in January, with a slight improvement in load factors, although some airlines faced challenges due to changes in the Japanese route. [9] - Baiyun Airport reported a significant increase in passenger throughput, while Shanghai Airport experienced a decline, attributed to shifts in travel demand. [10] - The report suggests focusing on large airlines for their earnings elasticity, as the industry moves towards a more balanced supply-demand dynamic. [11]

消息面上，据国信证券晨会纪要显示，今日国内农产品期货多数品种收涨，豆一、豆粕及玉米主力 合约均录得小幅上行。其一，节后下游加工企业陆续复工，纺织企业上调棉纱报价，现货市场交投逐步 回暖，对价格形成支撑。其二，中央一号文件近日发布，明确提出提升农业综合生产能力并强化生猪产 能调控，为市场带来政策预期。此外，国际原油价格在春节期间走强，通过化肥、农药等成本链条传导 至农业生产环节，也对部分品种形成外部带动。 国信证券指出，年内肉奶周期有望共振反转，生猪价格在中长期将受行业反内卷支撑，原奶或迎来 拐点；同时玉米供需平衡表收缩提供底部支撑，橡胶短期受益石化链涨价，中期景气看好。 盘面上，两市窄幅震荡，农业上涨。相关ETF方面，农业ETF天弘（512620）标的指数盘中涨 1.14%，成交额达295.65万元；换手率达0.45%。成分股中，盐湖股份、安迪苏涨超5%，藏格矿业、莱 茵生物、新洋丰等多股跟涨。 农业ETF天弘（512620）最近30个交易日累计获资金净流入2.10亿元。截至2026年02月25日，该基 金最新规模为6.45亿元，再创上市以来新高，为沪市同标的第一。 农业ETF天弘（512620）紧密跟踪中证 ...