强于大市 化工行业周报 20250622 国际油价、丁二烯、 PTA 价格上涨 今年以来，行业受关税相关政策、原油价格大幅波动等因素影响较大，六月份建议关注：1、安 全监管政策、行业供给端变化等对农药及中间体行业的影响；2、上半年'抢出口'等因素带来 的部分公司业绩波动；3、自主可控日益关键背景下的电子材料公司；4、分红派息政策稳健的 能源企业等。 行业动态 投资建议 截至 6 月 22 日，SW 基础化工市盈率（TTM 剔除负值）为 21.72 倍，处在历史（2002 年至 今）的 65.55%分位数；市净率为 1.85 倍，处在历史水平的 25.95%分位数。SW 石油石化市 盈率（TTM 剔除负值）为 11.37 倍，处在历史（2002 年至今）的 23.02%分位数；市净率为 1.18 倍，处在历史水平的 24.58%分位数。今年以来，行业受关税相关政策、原油价格大幅 波动等因素影响较大，六月份建议关注：1、安全监管政策、行业供给端变化等对农药及中 间体行业的影响；2、上半年'抢出口'等因素带来的部分公司业绩波动；3、自主可控日益 关键背景下的电子材料公司；4、分红派息政策稳健的能源企业等。中长期推荐 ...

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor materials ETF (562590) is showing positive performance, with a notable increase in key component stocks, indicating a potential growth cycle in the semiconductor industry driven by AI demand and domestic substitution trends [3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of June 20, 2025, the semiconductor materials theme index rose by 0.77%, with significant gains in component stocks such as Sanjia Technology (+4.80%), Jingrui Electric Materials (+4.10%), and Huahai Chengke (+2.09%) [3]. - The semiconductor materials ETF (562590) increased by 0.67%, marking its third consecutive rise, with the latest price at 1.06 yuan [3]. - The tracking error for the semiconductor materials ETF over the past three months is 0.014%, indicating high tracking accuracy compared to comparable funds [3]. Group 2: Industry Events - The 2025 World Semiconductor Expo is scheduled to take place from June 20 to 22, 2025, at the Nanjing International Expo Center, focusing on cutting-edge technologies and products in IC design, wafer manufacturing, packaging testing, and semiconductor applications [3]. - Key topics at the expo will include EDA, advanced processes, computing power chips, semiconductor materials, and supply chain security [3]. Group 3: Industry Insights - Minsheng Securities highlights that the demand for computing power driven by artificial intelligence, combined with the acceleration of domestic substitution due to U.S. tariff policies, is propelling the rapid development of several leading semiconductor companies [3]. - The Chinese semiconductor industry is expected to enter a new growth cycle, with promising investment prospects [3]. Group 4: ETF Composition - The semiconductor materials ETF closely tracks the China Securities Semiconductor Materials and Equipment Theme Index, which includes 40 listed companies deeply involved in the semiconductor materials and equipment sectors [4]. - The index features leading companies that have made significant breakthroughs in domestic substitution, such as North Huachuang and Zhongwei Company in etching equipment, and Hushi Silicon Industry and Nanda Optoelectronics in key materials [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the chemical industry is expected to see a recovery in profitability driven by policy support, particularly in upstream sectors closely related to domestic demand [1][2] - The report highlights specific sectors such as polyurethane, coal chemical, petrochemical, and fluorochemical as key areas for potential profit recovery [1][2] - The focus on new materials as a primary development direction for China's chemical industry includes high-value products like robot materials, AI & semiconductor materials, bio-aviation fuel, OLED materials, and COC materials [1][3] Group 2 - The expectation of domestic demand recovery is supported by recent policy measures aimed at revitalizing the economy, with a focus on the chemical industry's upstream sectors [2] - Key companies to watch include Wanhua Chemical (600309), Baofeng Energy (600989), and others in the coal chemical and petrochemical sectors, which are expected to benefit from infrastructure projects in regions like Xinjiang and Tibet [2] - The emphasis on developing new materials is driven by emerging demands from humanoid robots and AI applications, as well as ongoing domestic substitution efforts in the semiconductor field [3] Group 3 - High-quality companies with strong shareholder returns are expected to undergo a revaluation, including major state-owned enterprises in the oil and gas sector and firms in the compound fertilizer and amino acid industries [4] - The report suggests that many sub-sectors within the chemical industry are at a point where they can enhance shareholder returns to reshape investment value [4]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the performance and holdings of the Huaxia Emerging Economy One-Year Holding Mixed A Fund, which has a latest net value of 0.9159 yuan, reflecting a decrease of 0.83% [1] - The fund's performance over the past month shows a return of -0.01%, ranking 1841 out of 3046 in its category; over the past six months, it has a return of -3.92%, ranking 2409 out of 2960; and since the beginning of the year, it has a return of 0.13%, ranking 2126 out of 2977 [1] - The top ten stock holdings of the fund account for a total of 42.55%, with significant positions in Meituan-W (5.08%), Guoneng Rixin (5.03%), and Mingyang Electric (5.00%) among others [1] Group 2 - The Huaxia Emerging Economy One-Year Holding Mixed A Fund was established on July 27, 2021, and as of March 31, 2025, it has a total scale of 1.324 billion yuan [1] - The fund manager, Sun Yijia, has a background in finance with a master's degree from Shanghai Jiao Tong University and has held various positions in the financial industry since 2008, including roles at China International Capital Corporation and Huaxia Fund Management [2]

金融界2025年6月12日消息，华夏线上经济主题精选混合(010020) 最新净值0.7706元，下跌0.52%。该基 金近1个月收益率-0.89%，同类排名3429|4655；近6个月收益率0.63%，同类排名2180|4508；今年来收益 率3.35%，同类排名2354|4536。 简历显示：黄文倩女士:复旦大学金融学硕士。曾任中国国际金融有限公司高级经理。2011年11月加入 华夏基金管理有限公司,曾任投资研究部研究员、投资经理、华夏新兴消费混合型证券投资基金基金经 理(2018年11月7日至2020年5月7日期间)等,现任投资研究部总监,华夏消费升级灵活配置混合型证券投资 基金基金经理(2016年2月3日起任职)。华夏线上经济主题精选混合型证券投资基金基金经理(2020年8月 26日起任职)。2021年2月3日起任职华夏消费龙头混合型证券投资基金基金经理。2021年4月20日至2023 年11月13日任职华夏核心价值混合型证券投资基金基金经理。 华夏线上经济主题精选混合股票持仓前十占比合计43.78%，分别为：美的集团（9.07%）、海尔智家 （6.01%）、快手-W（5.31%）、顾家家居（4.59 ...

Investment Rating - The report rates the chemical industry as "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - The chemical industry has been significantly impacted by tariff-related policies and fluctuations in crude oil prices this year. Key areas of focus for June include safety regulations affecting the pesticide and intermediate sectors, performance volatility due to "export grabbing," the importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials, and stable dividend policies in energy companies [2][4][11] - The report suggests a mid-to-long-term investment strategy focusing on high oil prices, the ongoing high demand in the oil and gas extraction sector, and the growth potential in new materials, particularly in electronic and renewable energy materials [4][11] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - As of June 8, the TTM price-to-earnings ratio for the SW basic chemicals sector is 22.18, at the 69.94 percentile historically, while the price-to-book ratio is 1.89, at the 29.26 percentile historically. For the SW oil and petrochemical sector, the TTM price-to-earnings ratio is 10.97, at the 17.71 percentile historically, and the price-to-book ratio is 1.14, at the 20.11 percentile historically [4][11] Price Changes - In the week of June 2-8, 2025, among 100 tracked chemical products, 17 saw price increases, 51 saw decreases, and 32 remained stable. The average price of hydrochloric acid rose by 31%, while vitamin E prices fell by 5.01% [10][30] Key Focus Areas - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the impact of safety regulations on the pesticide sector, the performance fluctuations of companies due to export dynamics, and the critical nature of self-sufficiency in electronic materials [4][11] - It also highlights the potential for recovery in demand due to policy support in 2025, particularly for leading companies in high-demand sub-sectors like fluorochemicals and vitamins [11][28]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The price of Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) has increased, with the latest European FOB price at $1898 per ton, up 6.51% week-on-week and 2.37% year-to-date [3][12] - Refrigerant prices remain high, with R22 at 36000 CNY per ton, R32 at 51000 CNY per ton, and R134a at 48500 CNY per ton, all stable compared to the previous week [4][12] - The demand for high-performance fibers and lightweight materials is expected to rise due to advancements in robotics and the low-altitude economy [5][40] Summary by Sections 1. Sub-industry Tracking - SAF prices have risen significantly, with a year-to-date increase of 2.37% [3][12] - Refrigerant prices have stabilized at high levels, with notable increases compared to last year [4][12] - The market for high-performance fibers, such as carbon fiber and ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene (UHMWPE), is gaining attention due to their applications in various industries [5][40] 2. Electronic Chemicals - The electronic chemicals sector is focused on wet electronic chemicals, photoresists, and electronic specialty gases, with a high degree of specialization and technical barriers [14][17] - The semiconductor materials market is projected to grow, with a CAGR of 5.3% from 2017 to 2024, reaching $67.5 billion [21][24] 3. New Production Forces - Carbon fiber and UHMWPE are highlighted as key materials in emerging industries, with carbon fiber applications in wind energy and aerospace [36][40] - The PEEK material is gaining traction in the humanoid robot industry, with a significant increase in market size [41][42] 4. Lithium Battery/Storage Materials - Conductive agents like carbon black and carbon nanotubes are essential for lithium battery materials, with current market prices for multi-walled carbon nanotube powder at 64,000 CNY per ton [44][47] - Sodium-ion battery materials are also gaining attention, with stable pricing for Prussian blue compounds [47][49] 5. Renewable and Modified Plastics - The demand for renewable plastics is increasing, with a notable rise in the recycling rate of plastics from 4.8% in 2018 to 10% in 2021 [64][68] - Special engineering plastics are in demand across various sectors, including automotive and aerospace [64][68] 6. Coatings, Inks, and Pigments - The demand for new functional coating materials is growing, driven by the automotive and consumer electronics sectors [71][73] 7. Market Performance - The basic chemical industry index increased by 2.65% in the week of June 2-8, ranking 7th among 30 major industries [75][81]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the significant progress in the domestic production of key materials in China, particularly in carbon fiber, high-performance engineering plastics, and certain semiconductor materials, benefiting from national strategic support, increased R&D investment, and the establishment of upstream and downstream collaboration mechanisms [1][4][6]. Key Materials and Their Market Dynamics Carbon Fiber - High-performance carbon fibers such as T300, T700, T800 have achieved large-scale production with competitive quality and cost [2]. - Advanced carbon fibers like T1,000, T1,100, M55, and M60 have also seen breakthroughs [2]. Engineering Plastics - China's production capacity in high-performance engineering plastics dominates the global market, with LCP films being ideal for high-frequency communication and automotive electronics [2][3]. - The market for five major engineering plastics (Nylon, PC, POM, PBT) has largely been localized, with only a few high-end products remaining reliant on imports [3]. Semiconductor Materials - China has become the largest market for semiconductor photoresists, with a projected market size of $770 million in 2024, growing at 16% year-on-year [7]. - The domestic market for ceramic substrate materials is expected to exceed $1 billion by 2031, driven by applications in new energy vehicles and LED lighting [10][11]. Challenges in Domestic Production - The domestic production of semiconductor photoresists faces challenges such as complex formula adjustments, high testing and certification requirements, and low willingness from downstream customers to switch suppliers [9]. - Certain key materials, including electronic specialty gases and advanced packaging materials, still require further localization efforts [6][22][23]. Market Growth and Future Trends - The market for electronic specialty gases is projected to grow from $6.2 billion in 2021 to $8.1 billion by 2025, with significant demand in integrated circuits [22]. - The ceramic substrate market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of nearly 15% [11]. Company-Specific Insights Domestic Companies - Companies like Zhongyu Technology are diversifying into electronic specialty gases and have seen growth in their product offerings [24]. - Dinglong Co. is experiencing strong performance in polishing pads and display materials, with expected revenue growth of over 50% in polishing liquids [28][29]. Investment Opportunities - The valuation of companies involved in the production of silicon nitride ceramic balls is considered reasonable, with significant growth potential in the coming years [13]. - The domestic market for epoxy encapsulants is gradually being penetrated by local companies, although it is currently dominated by foreign firms [14][15]. Conclusion - The conference call highlights the ongoing transformation in China's key materials industry, with substantial progress in domestic production capabilities, yet also emphasizes the challenges that remain in achieving full localization across various sectors. The insights provided indicate potential investment opportunities in companies that are well-positioned to capitalize on these trends.

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 TrendBank (Fifth) Photoresist Materials Industry Conference will be held on July 9-10, 2025, in Hefei, Anhui, focusing on the collaboration between industry, academia, and research to promote industry development [14]. Group 1: Conference Details - The conference will take place at the Sheraton Hotel in Hefei, with an expected attendance of 300 participants [7]. - The agenda includes discussions on semiconductor, display, and packaging photoresists, wet electronic chemicals, mask plates, and specialty gases, covering technological breakthroughs and application trends [7][12]. - Over 10 academic and research institutions have confirmed participation and will present at the conference [4]. Group 2: Agenda Highlights - The first day will feature an opening ceremony, speeches from guiding and organizing units, and sessions on advanced lithography technology and industry development [5]. - The second day will include topics such as the latest advancements in extreme ultraviolet lithography technology, electron beam lithography, and the development of new display technologies [6]. - The third day will focus on the application mechanisms and key technologies of wet electronic chemicals, the current state of the electronic specialty gas market, and advancements in lithography equipment [6]. Group 3: Market Context - The global competition in the photoresist materials market is intensifying, with increasing technological innovation and rising barriers to technology protection [12]. - The semiconductor chip industry demands high-performance and high-precision manufacturing processes, making photoresist materials critical components [12]. - China's share in the global photoresist market is steadily increasing, supported by various government policies aimed at fostering a favorable development environment for the industry [13].

Investment Rating - The report rates the chemical industry as "Outperform" [1] Core Views - The industry has been significantly impacted by tariff-related policies and fluctuations in crude oil prices. Key areas to focus on in June include safety regulation policies, supply chain changes in the pesticide and intermediate sectors, performance fluctuations due to "export rush," the importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials, and stable dividend policies in energy companies [1][10] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - As of June 1, the average price tracking 100 chemical products showed that 23 products increased in price, 45 decreased, and 32 remained stable. The month-on-month average price changes were 26.73% up, 63.00% down, and 10.27% stable. The products with the highest weekly price increases included hydrochloric acid (up 31% in the Yangtze River Delta) and TDI, while those with the largest decreases included soft foam polyether and liquid chlorine [9][32] Oil and Gas Market - International oil prices have decreased, with WTI crude futures closing at $60.79 per barrel (down 1.20%) and Brent crude at $63.90 per barrel (down 1.36%). The U.S. crude oil production averaged 13.47 million barrels per day, an increase of 2.7% year-on-year. Gasoline and distillate demand in the U.S. has increased, with total refined oil demand averaging 19.89 million barrels per day, down 0.2% year-on-year [9][10] Chlorantraniliprole Industry - The chlorantraniliprole industry has experienced capacity damage, with the largest producer, Youdao Chemical, having a production capacity of 11,000 tons. The market supply has significantly reduced, and current inventory levels are low due to previous market conditions. The price for chlorantraniliprole is expected to rise to 250,000-280,000 yuan per ton in the short term [9][10] Acrylic Acid Market - The price of acrylic acid has decreased, with the average market price at 7,050 yuan per ton, down 8.44% from the previous week. Supply has increased due to the resumption of production in Shandong, while downstream demand remains cautious [9][10] Investment Recommendations - As of June 1, the SW basic chemical sector's P/E ratio (TTM excluding negative values) is 21.66, at the 58.33% historical percentile. The oil and petrochemical sector's P/E ratio is 10.81, at the 13.47% historical percentile. Key investment themes include the sustained high prices of crude oil, rapid development in downstream industries, and the potential for recovery in demand due to policy support [10][11]