东吴证券
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东吴证券:光伏设备商基本面筑底 看好太空算力应用场景打开&海外地面需求增长
智通财经网· 2026-02-24 06:24
行业供需失衡背景下,新一轮技术迭代成为产能重置关键变量 商业航天运载成本持续下降,中美均规划百GW级太空算力部署能力,太空数据中心对能源系统高度依 赖光伏供电,光伏成为轨道算力体系的核心基础设施。在规模化阶段,能源系统将由高成本砷化镓逐步 转向更具成本优势与可扩展性的硅基技术,HJT薄片化与柔性化特性在减重与卷展式阵列适配方面具备 潜在优势。该行认为,太空算力为光伏设备行业引入"类半导体设备"的长周期成长逻辑。 海外地面需求成为2026年现实增量来源,美国与中东等地共振驱动扩产 美国新增装机保持高景气,本土制造政策强化供应链安全与成本可控,特斯拉规划100GW地面光伏产 能以匹配AI算力电力需求。在高人工、高水电成本背景下,HJT凭借低工序、低用电、低水耗、低人工 优势更契合美国制造环境,且不存在TOPCon在美面临的专利风险,中长期具备竞争优势。与此同时, 中东资源禀赋优势突出,装机规划持续上调,中资主链企业加速本土建厂,国产设备"借船出海"逻辑强 化,海外收入占比提升趋势明确。 智通财经APP获悉,东吴证券发布研报称,2025年光伏基本面已充分出清,2026年设备订单有望进入修 复通道。2025年行业深度 ...
A股三大指数冲击马年“开门红”!证券ETF(159841)盘中获净申购超5000万份,机构:证券行业转型有望带来新的业务增长点
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2026-02-24 05:57
(文章来源:21世纪经济报道) 消息面上,据智通财经,最新数据显示,券商年内已完成发债4260.4亿元,同比大幅增长243.97%;与 此同时,年内获批发债额度达3220亿元,形成"已发+在途"的巨额融资格局,多家中小券商亦跻身百亿 级发债获批阵营。在市场人士看来,此次券商高频高额度发债,在监管对优质券商的政策支持下,已远 超单纯"补血"范畴,而是上升为战略级资本扩张,本质是行业底层商业模式的重构,从通道服务向资本 中介转型,从"拼人力"向"拼资本"演进。 东吴证券表示,证券行业转型有望带来新的业务增长点。受益于市场回暖、政策环境友好,券商经纪业 务、投行业务、资本中介业务等均受益。 2月24日,A股三大指数均大幅高开,截至发稿集体上涨。证券板块窄幅活跃,截至发稿,中证全指证 券公司指数上涨0.02%,成分股中,第一创业上涨超2%,国元证券与华创云信上涨超1%。 热门ETF中,证券ETF(159841)成交额超1.2亿元,实时溢价率为0.13%。Wind数据显示,该ETF盘 中获净申购超5000万份。 Wind数据显示,资金流向方面,该ETF上个交易日(2月13日)净流入额为5908.95万元,截至上个交易 ...
A股午评 | 多重利好共振,A股马年“开门红” 油气、贵金属板块等大涨
智通财经网· 2026-02-24 03:52
Market Overview - A-shares opened significantly higher with the Shanghai Composite Index up 1.17%, Shenzhen Component Index up 1.82%, and ChiNext Index up 1.76% as of midday close [1] - The strong opening is attributed to multiple favorable factors, including a stable and positive external market during the Spring Festival, with Hong Kong stocks and FTSE China A50 Index showing steady gains [1] - Domestic liquidity remains reasonably ample, with effective reverse repurchase operations before the holiday stabilizing the market's funding situation, and increased capital inflow post-holiday providing support for market upward movement [1] - Macroeconomic recovery and ongoing industrial policy implementation have further boosted market risk appetite, leading to optimistic investor expectations for the capital market in the Year of the Rabbit [1] Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals, oil and gas, and computing power sectors saw the largest index gains, with precious metals leading the charge [2] - Precious metals surged, with Xiaocheng Technology rising nearly 13% and Hunan Silver approaching the daily limit, alongside other gold-related stocks [4] - The oil and gas sector was active, with Tongyuan Petroleum hitting the daily limit and other companies like Intercontinental Oil and Huibo Petroleum also seeing significant gains [5] - Fiber optic stocks continued to perform well, with Hangdian Co. hitting the daily limit and other companies in the sector experiencing substantial increases [7] - The chemical sector showed strength, particularly in phosphate and pesticide areas, with several companies reaching the daily limit [8] Future Outlook - Industrial securities predict that A-shares are entering a high-probability window, with expectations for a new upward trend post-holiday [10] - Dongwu Securities suggests that historical "Spring Festival effect" indicates a potential recovery in trading volume and price, supported by favorable global market conditions [11] - Huaxi Securities expresses optimism for a "red envelope market" post-holiday, driven by external uncertainties and strong performance in technology sectors during the holiday [12] - Guotou Securities highlights the likelihood of a resurgence in technology stocks post-holiday, supported by stable global equity markets and significant domestic catalysts in robotics and AI [13]
未知机构:东吴非银春节假期行业大事与投资观点更新1保险监管披露25-20260224
未知机构· 2026-02-24 03:50
【东吴非银】春节假期行业大事与投资观点更新 1、保险:监管披露25年行业各类数据,大型公司经营优势显著 1)保险行业资产突破41万亿,偿付能力充足率下降。 2025年末行业总资产41.3万亿元,较年初增长15.1%。 年末人身险公司综合与核心偿付能力充足率分别为169%、115%,较年初下降21pct、9pct,主要受利率上行导致的 afs债券公允价值下降影响,预计部分保险公司有再融 【东吴非银】春节假期行业大事与投资观点更新 1、保险:监管披露25年行业各类数据,大型公司经营优势显著 股票+基金合计占比15.3%,较年初大幅提升2.9pct。 3)投资观点:继续看好以平安、国寿等为代表的头部保险。 ①新单保费"开门红"持续确认,平安、国寿领先同业,头部集中趋势明确。 ②资产端股市表现稳健,若10年期国债收益率持续上行,则利好保险股固收投资和利差修复。 1)保险行业资产突破41万亿,偿付能力充足率下降。 2025年末行业总资产41.3万亿元,较年初增长15.1%。 年末人身险公司综合与核心偿付能力充足率分别为169%、115%,较年初下降21pct、9pct,主要受利率上行导致的 afs债券公允价值下降影响, ...
非银行业周报(2026年第六期):关注券商并购重组主线,行业迎来估值业绩双修复-20260224
AVIC Securities· 2026-02-24 03:16
2026年02月14日 证券研究报告|行业研究|行业点评 非银金融 非银行业周报 (2026年第六期) 关注券商并购重组主线,行业迎来估值业绩双修复 市场表现: 本期(2026.2.9-2026.2.13)非银(申万)指数-1.59%,行业排 26/31,券商Ⅱ指 数-1.19%,保险II指数-2.48%; 上证综指+0.41%,深证成指+1.39%,创业板指+1.22%。 个股涨跌幅排名前五位:锦龙股份(+6.85%)、浙江东方(+4.89%)、华金资本 (+3.16%)、华南华铁(+0.98%)、永安期货(+0.92%); 个股涨跌幅排名后五位:九鼎投资(-14.46%)、华林证券(-8.11%)、国盛证券 (-4.80%)、华鑫股份(-4.40%)、中国太保(-4.28%)。 (注:去除 ST 及退市股票) 核心观点: 证券: 相关研究报告 市场层面,本周,证券板块下跌 1.19%,跑输沪深 300 指数 1.55pct,跑输上证综 指数 1.60pct。当前券商板块 PB 估值为 1.34 倍。 本周,西南证券2月13日披露60亿元定增预案,成为沪深北交易所2月9日推出 优化再融资一揽子措施后,首家披 ...
黄金依然处于上行区间,黄金ETF华夏(518850)助力投资人以更低成本参与黄金行情
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-24 03:09
Group 1 - The A-share market saw a strong performance in gold-related assets, with the China Gold ETF (518850) rising by 3.95% and the Gold Stock ETF (159562) increasing by 5.85% as of 10:50 AM on February 24 [1] - The overseas precious metals market experienced an overall upward trend during the Spring Festival, with New York gold prices rising from around $5000 to above $5200, driven by geopolitical tensions and tariff policy disruptions [1] - Dongwu Securities believes that the narrative of "de-dollarization" remains difficult to disprove in the medium to long term, indicating that gold is still in an upward range [1] Group 2 - Concerns over the U.S. fiscal deficit have been raised due to the failure of expected tariff revenues, alongside a significant decline in fourth-quarter GDP growth, which was notably below market expectations [1] - The rising expectations of stagflation have benefited precious metals, which are seen as inflation hedges [1] - The management and custody fees for the China Gold ETF (518850) and Gold Stock ETF (159562) are combined at a low rate of 0.2%, making it more cost-effective for investors to participate in the gold market [1]
东吴证券:固态技术突破装车在即 太空领域打开想象空间
智通财经网· 2026-02-24 02:45
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that solid-state batteries are expected to enter a critical phase in 2026, with vehicle-grade packs beginning road tests in H1 and mass production lines expected to be established in H2, driven by GWh-level production line tenders and new vehicle models appearing in the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology directory [1] - In 2025, the industrialization of solid-state batteries is accelerating, with vehicle-grade cells expected to be produced in H1 and pilot lines established in H2, leading to two major market surges [1] - The key catalysts for 2026 are the tenders for GWh-level production lines and the road testing of solid-state related vehicle models, which may lead to significant market movements similar to those in 2025 [1] Group 2 - Solid-state batteries are naturally suited for space applications due to their wide temperature range, high safety, and energy density, making them ideal for extreme conditions such as vacuum and high radiation [2] - The annual demand for solid-state batteries in satellite applications is expected to reach tens to hundreds of GWh, with additional potential in deep space exploration and lunar bases [2] - Investment recommendations include focusing on four main lines: battery segment led by CATL, equipment segment with companies like Xianhui Technology, materials segment with lithium sulfide and electrolytes, and new technologies with firms like Zhongyi Technology [2]
东吴证券:应用迭代驱动终端重构 见证端侧SoC芯片的价值重估与位阶提升
智通财经网· 2026-02-24 02:25
AI应用的落地离不开端侧硬件支撑,其快速发展也持续抬升端侧硬件需求,豆包手机形态、Openclaw 带火的Mac Mini均是端侧AI终端落地的标志性案例。AI应用对端侧硬件算力与效率提出明确要求,推 动传统手机、PC芯片加速向高端化升级,也推动相关芯片在制程工艺与架构设计上持续革新。PC和手 机作为核心用户入口,是大模型从算力中心走向物理世界、触达C端与B端用户的第一入口,也是端侧 AI最大的落地载体;该赛道亦吸引各大云厂商跨界布局,新兴力量的突围进一步重塑市场竞争格局。 抓住端侧入口的大厂,以及积极适配新型AI应用、重新定义PC和手机芯片产品的公司将在AI竞争中占 据优势。行业巨头虽坐拥深厚的端侧芯片技术壁垒,可满足低功耗与高端算力的核心要求,但仍需与时 俱进,以软件模型驱动硬件产品创新,方能持续稳固行业领先地位。 车载场景是端侧AI落地的最佳实践场景,车载芯片的迭代升级与国产生态构建将迎来重要发展机遇 智通财经APP获悉,东吴证券发布研报称,互联网与云算力大厂加速布局端云协同硬件生态、筑牢AI转 型硬件底座,云算力企业与互联网大厂均在持续加大端侧布局力度,通过搭建端云协同的闭环硬件生态 体系,夯实自身向 ...
东吴证券:检测服务行业与宏观经济增速强相关 关注商业航天等新兴产业带来的发展机遇
智通财经网· 2026-02-24 01:39
智通财经APP获悉,东吴证券发布研报称,当前时点,中国经济进入存量时代,但检测服务市场成长性 仍有支撑,且格局将持续优化。龙头企业强者恒强,成长空间广阔:1)AI、新能源汽车、人形机器 人、商业航天等新兴技术的发展将带来新的检测需求,并且抬高检测服务市场的门槛,2)中国产业和 经济结构的转型,将继续提高对产品品质、品牌等的要求,公信力更强的龙头企业将脱颖而出。 东吴证券主要观点如下: 检测服务行业与宏观经济增速强相关,空间大、增速稳、格局散 2024年全国检验检测市场规模约4876亿人民币,2015-2024年CAGR约10.5%。2023年以来,受宏观经济 增速放缓等影响,检验检测行业增速放缓。2025年前三季度,我国检测服务板块实现营收304亿元,同 比下降7%(剔除医学检测占比较高的金域医学、迪安诊断后,同比增长3%,增速有所放缓),龙头企 业华测检验、广电计量和苏试试验下游较为分散,品牌和服务α属性明显,2025年前三季度营收同比增 长分别为7%、12%、9%,显著领先于行业。2025年前三季度,我国检测服务板块实现归母净利润20亿 元,同比下降6%。剔除医学检测占比较高的金域医学、迪安诊断后,板块归 ...
黄金期货价格大涨超3%,券商认为“去美元化”叙事仍难以证伪
Huan Qiu Wang· 2026-02-24 01:16
因此,华福证券认为,中长期而言,全球关税政策和地缘政治的不确定性背景下,避险和滞涨交易仍是黄金交易的核 心,长期配置价值不改。 【环球网财经综合报道】北京时间2月24日凌晨,国际贵金属期货普遍收涨,COMEX黄金期货涨3.29%报5247.90美元/ 盎司,COMEX白银期货涨6.87%报88.00美元/盎司。 东吴证券也认为,中长期来看,"去美元化"叙事仍难以证伪,黄金依然处于上行区间;同时,美国关税收入预期落空 引发了市场对美国财政赤字的担忧,四季度GDP增速显著低于市场预期,滞胀预期升温下,贵金属为代表的抗通胀品 种受益。 华福证券近日发布研报指出,美国一系列宏观经济数据发布,就业数据韧性及美联储官员一系列偏鹰派言论削弱市场 降息预期,市场主流对首次降息预期从此前6月延后至7月;但美国非农数据的亮眼表现难掩其经济结构脆弱性本质, 市场更倾向于其为美联储为后续政策保留空间的预期管理手段,且由于近年来相关数据的大幅下修的失真表现,市场 对实际就业市场情况存在分歧。 ...