标普全球研究(S&P Global)的一份报告指出，AI与国防等新增需求向量将推动全球铜需求到2040年增长 约50%，如果回收与新矿开发跟不上，铜供给缺口将显著扩大。 1月28日，有色金属走势分化，白银有色涨超9%，中金黄金涨超7%，铜陵有色涨超3%，紫金矿业涨超 2%，洛阳钼业等个股跟涨。截至9：54，工业有色ETF万家（560860）盘中翻红涨0.4%，成交额超1.9 亿，交投活跃。 工业有色ETF万家（560860）备受资金青睐，资金连续4日净流入，合计"吸金"超4.5亿元，近10日"吸 金"超13亿，近20日"吸金"超40亿元。截至1月27日，该基金最新规模达151.94亿元。 工业有色ETF万家（560860）紧密跟踪中证工业有色金属主题指数，覆盖铜、铝、稀土等战略资源龙 头，场外投资者可通过联接（A类：018489；C类：018490）布局顺周期与政策红利共振机遇。 （基金有风险，投资须谨慎） 在最新发布的年度商品展望报告中，花旗大宗商品研究团队把焦点放在两个矛盾点上：一边是贵金属价 格与矿山成本"脱钩"、利润率飙到几十年罕见；另一边是基本金属短期顺风仍在，但真正能讲中期故事 的，集中在铜、铝以 ...

文｜财华社 进入2026年，黄金的上涨之势未曾稍歇，金价还在一路攀升，并于1月26日历史首次突破5100美元的整数关口，但随后遭遇回落。而截至1月27日发稿时 间，金价再涨近1.6%，现报5085美元/盎司，非常接近前一日创下的历史新高价位。 有分析称，近年金价飙升主要围绕去美元化、美联储独立性、央行购金、美国关税、地缘冲突以及传统实际利率定价框架相关的通胀、就业及美联储降息 预期等逻辑交易。 多家企业购入金矿资产 同期，江西铜业也发出正式要约，拟以约8.67亿英镑现金收购英国上市公司索尔黄金（SolGold），其主要目标为拥有厄瓜多尔卡斯卡维尔铜金矿项目。 机构对黄金后市有何看法？ 需要指出的是，金价新高之际的扩产引起了投资者的广泛关注。而从机构观点来看，金价的长期前景似乎仍有值得期待的地方。 建信期货今日发文称，从长周期看，地缘政治风险冲击全球政治经济贸易货币体系，地缘政治风险带来的避险需求和全球贸易货币体系重组带来的储备分 散化需求持续推高金价波动中枢；特朗普2.0以美国利益为核心推行关税武器化并循丛林法则重构地缘战略空间，全球政治经济贸易货币体系加速重组， 黄金长周期牛市基础进一步巩固，目前金价继续运 ...

Core Viewpoint - The performance forecasts for A-share companies in 2025 indicate a significant recovery in the domestic economy, with notable profit growth disparities across different industries and companies, providing essential insights for investment strategies in 2026 [1] Group 1: Performance Highlights - As of January 27, 2026, 1,061 listed companies have disclosed their annual performance forecasts, with 259 companies expecting net profit growth exceeding 100%, accounting for 24.4% of the total [1] - Among these, 48 companies anticipate growth rates over 200%, with some leading firms reporting increases exceeding 1,000% [1] - High-growth companies are primarily concentrated in sectors such as computing power, new energy, chemicals, pharmaceuticals, and robotics, reflecting a clear industry clustering effect [2] Group 2: Sector Analysis - Companies with net profit growth exceeding 50% are mainly found in semiconductor, photovoltaic equipment, innovative pharmaceuticals, and automation equipment sectors, benefiting from policy support, demand recovery, and technological breakthroughs [2] - For instance, Demingli in the storage chip sector expects a median net profit of 1.349 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 106.27%, driven by a recovery in the global storage market [2] - Estun, a leader in humanoid robotics, is projected to achieve a net profit of 275 million yuan, with a growth rate of 105.38%, primarily due to increased revenue from industrial robotics [2] Group 3: Policy and Market Drivers - The exceptional performance is attributed to dual drivers of policy benefits and market demand, alongside significant operational optimizations by companies [3] - Since 2025, China has implemented various policies to support advanced manufacturing, technological innovation, and consumer recovery, enhancing market opportunities for relevant industries [3] - Shanghai Electric anticipates a 61.31% year-on-year increase in net profit, marking a turnaround after four consecutive years of losses, attributed to improvements in its main business [3] Group 4: Profitability and Growth Quality - The earnings forecasts reveal a pattern of strong performance across large, medium, and small-cap companies, with notable differentiation in growth quality [4] - Among the disclosed forecasts, 11 companies expect net profits exceeding 5 billion yuan, with Zijin Mining leading at 51 billion yuan [4] - Some companies, like Nanfang Precision, project a staggering 1,273% increase in net profit, largely due to non-recurring gains, contrasting with firms like Shanghai Yizhong and Estun that rely on core business growth [4] Group 5: Market Impact - The concentrated disclosure of performance forecasts has significantly influenced the capital market, with high-growth stocks attracting substantial investor interest [5] - Nearly half of the 259 companies with over 100% profit growth have seen their stock prices rise by over 10% since January [5] - Institutional investors are adjusting their portfolios, focusing on sectors like electronics, new energy, chemicals, and pharmaceuticals, while also noting that some companies face performance pressures [5]

Group 1 - The small metal sector continues to rise, with Dongfang Tantalum Industry hitting the daily limit [1] - Other companies such as Haotong Technology, Huaxi Nonferrous Metals, Guiyan Platinum Industry, Xianglu Tungsten Industry, Tin Industry Co., and Luoyang Molybdenum also experienced gains [1]

Group 1 - The small metal sector saw a rise on January 28, 2026, with the China Rare Metals Theme Index increasing by 0.23%, and notable stock performances included Dongfang Tantalum Industry up by 8.41%, Zhuhai Group up by 5.25%, and others [1] - Tungsten concentrate prices approached 550,000 RMB per ton, ammonium paratungstate prices exceeded 800,000 RMB, and tungsten powder prices surpassed 1,300,000 RMB [1] - Industrial-grade lithium carbonate prices reached 168,000 RMB per ton with a weekly increase of 9.80%, while lithium iron phosphate prices rose by 4.43% compared to January 4 [1] Group 2 - Longcheng Securities estimated that the static cost share of lithium carbonate, rare earths, and antimony in downstream applications is nearing historical highs, with a demand growth rate of over 10% expected in sensitive sectors like wind power in 2026 [1] - The auction price for lithium spodumene concentrate from Wodgina reached 16,852 RMB per dry ton, indicating a significant premium for overseas lithium resources [1] - The Congolese government submitted a shortlist of state-owned mineral assets to the U.S., highlighting ongoing geopolitical supply disruptions that reinforce the scarcity of strategic metals [1] Group 3 - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Rare Metals Theme Index included Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and others, accounting for 59.54% of the total index [2] - The Rare Metals ETF (562800) tracks the China Rare Metals Theme Index, providing a convenient tool for investing in the rare metals sector [3] - Investors can also explore investment opportunities in the rare metals sector through the Rare Metals ETF linked fund (014111) [4]

有色ETF鹏华紧密跟踪国证有色金属行业指数，国证有色金属行业指数参照国证行业分类标准，选取归 属于有色金属行业的规模和流动性突出的50只证券作为样本，反映了沪深北交易所有色金属行业上市公 司的整体收益表现，向市场提供细分行业的指数化投资标的。 数据显示，截至2025年12月31日，国证有色金属行业指数(399395)前十大权重股分别为紫金矿业、洛阳 钼业、北方稀土、华友钴业、中国铝业、赣锋锂业、云铝股份、山东黄金、中金黄金、天齐锂业，前十 大权重股合计占比51.65%。 有色ETF鹏华(159880)，场外联接(A：021296；C：021297；I：022886) 贵金属概念持续拉升，消息面上，1月28日，现货黄金首次突破5200美元/盎司，年内累计涨幅超过 20%，持续刷新历史系高。现货白银站上113美元/盎司。 华福证券指出，短期而言，美联储降息预期摇摆，整体呈现易涨难跌格局；中长期而言，全球关税政策 和区域政治的不确定性背景下，避险和滞涨交易仍是黄金交易的核心，长期配置价值不改。 截至2026年1月28日 10:40，国证有色金属行业指数(399395)强势上涨3.95%，成分股白银有色上涨 10.0 ...

记者｜董鹏 编辑｜朱益民 紫金矿业（601899.SH）开年首单并购，选择了加拿大的金矿企业。 1月26日，紫金矿业公告，计划通过其控股子公司紫金黄金国际，以44加元/股的现金价格，收 购联合黄金全部已发行的普通股，收购对价共计约55亿加元（约合人民币280亿元）。 后者核心资产，为位于非洲马里、科特迪瓦与埃塞俄比亚的多个金矿，相关项目预计2025年产 金11.7～12.4吨，后续经过改扩建及新建产能释放，到2029年产金将提升至25吨。 紫金矿业2024年调整后的五年产量规划为，2028年矿产金目标为100-110吨，而在2025年公司 矿产金已经达到90吨。 后续， 一旦对联合黄金的收购完成并实现并表， 紫金矿业将提前两年达成百吨产金目标。 此外， 近两年随着金、铜价格的上涨，该公司外部并购也呈现出了明显的"项目大型化"特 点，新购金矿项目预期产量普遍在5吨/年以上，并且百亿级收购案明显增加。 根据21世纪经济报道记者此前不完全统计，截至2025年12月下旬，包括紫金矿业、洛阳钼 业、江西铜业等在内的多家企业，全年海外金矿资产收购总额达到297亿元。 而紫金矿业上述单笔并购金额，便已经与去年中资矿企海外" ...

Core Viewpoint - Recent surge in international gold prices surpassing $5200 per ounce has initiated a structural bull market in the non-ferrous metals sector, with significant inflows into the mining ETF (561330) exceeding 1.6 billion yuan over 20 consecutive days [1][3] Group 1: Market Performance - The mining ETF (561330) has seen a broad increase in its constituent stocks, with most of the top ten stocks experiencing gains [3] - The top ten constituent stocks of the mining ETF include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Aluminum, and Northern Rare Earth, with Zijin Mining showing a 3.67% increase and Luoyang Aluminum a 3.68% increase [4] Group 2: Macro Drivers - The current bull market in non-ferrous metals is driven by multiple factors, including de-globalization, de-dollarization, and macroeconomic cycles [5] - De-globalization has led to resource nationalism, with major resource countries implementing export controls and taxes to secure strategic resources, increasing the geopolitical value of these resources [5] - The acceleration of de-dollarization is evidenced by countries like Denmark and Sweden reducing their U.S. Treasury holdings, while nations like India are repatriating gold reserves, indicating a shift away from dollar-denominated assets [6] - The synchronization of macro policy cycles between China and the U.S. is expected to provide support for global industrial metal prices, particularly in 2026 [7] Group 3: Gold Market Insights - Gold's rise above $5200 per ounce reflects a reassessment of its monetary attributes amid the de-dollarization trend, with central banks continuing to accumulate gold [8][9] - The demand for gold is being driven by geopolitical tensions and the increasing appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset [10] - Institutional investors are beginning to allocate gold as an alternative to U.S. Treasury bonds, marking a significant shift in asset allocation strategies [11] Group 4: Industrial and Energy Metals - Industrial metals like copper and aluminum are experiencing a shift in demand from traditional infrastructure to AI and energy revolution, while supply constraints persist due to resource nationalism and insufficient capital expenditure [12] - Copper is facing structural shortages due to increased demand from sectors like AI data centers and electric vehicles, while supply is hindered by declining ore grades and geopolitical disruptions [13] - Aluminum supply is constrained by domestic carbon goals and high energy costs abroad, with demand expanding into high-growth areas like lightweighting for electric vehicles [13] - Lithium demand is surging due to the growth of energy storage markets, leading to a tightening supply-demand balance [13] Group 5: Investment Strategy - The non-ferrous metals market is transitioning from futures prices to equity markets, with a focus on the mining ETF (561330) as a more stable investment option [15] - The mining ETF (561330) has outperformed other non-ferrous ETFs, with a cumulative increase of 296.64% since its inception in 2013, indicating strong historical performance [16] - The mining ETF focuses on upstream resource leaders, providing higher profit elasticity and valuation opportunities during price increases [21]

2025年2月，刚果（金）战略矿产市场监管控制局宣布，为应对全球钴市场供应过剩的局面，暂停钴产 品出口四个月；6月，宣布出口禁令延期3个月；9月，刚果（金）宣布结束钴出口禁令，并于10月15日 开始执行配额出口制度。 据刚果（金）披露的钴出口配额明细，洛阳钼业2025年四季度获得的钴出口配额达6650吨。上月，洛阳 钼业方面在接受智通财经采访时表示，公司正按照刚果（金）政府程序，落实各种出口安排。（智通财 经记者 高菁） 1月28日，智通财经记者独家获悉，洛阳钼业刚果（金）钴产品已实现出口。 刚果（金）是全球最大的钴生产国，产量在全球占比超七成。 ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the economic potential and growth of Luoyang, showcasing three major companies: Luoyang Molybdenum, AVIC Optoelectronics, and CATL, which are leading in resource, high-end manufacturing, and new energy sectors respectively [6][8][9]. Group 1: Company Performance - Luoyang Molybdenum achieved a profit exceeding 20 billion yuan and became the first A-share listed company in Henan to surpass a market value of 500 billion yuan, marking a successful global expansion for resource-based enterprises [6][9]. - AVIC Optoelectronics reported revenue exceeding 15.8 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, establishing a strong position in the connector industry with significant technological barriers [6][8]. - CATL's Luoyang base has generated a cumulative output value exceeding 17.5 billion yuan since its inception, supported by a total investment of 32 billion yuan, contributing to the restructuring of the regional industrial ecosystem [6][8]. Group 2: Technological Innovation - Luoyang Molybdenum's digital transformation includes an AI blending system that reduced raw material waste from 15% to 3%, saving the equivalent of a small mine's output annually [9]. - AVIC Optoelectronics has diversified its product range from two types of aviation connectors to over 500 series, demonstrating resilience against market fluctuations through product diversification and scenario expansion [10]. - CATL's investment in a "lighthouse factory" with 95% automation and a solid-state battery pilot line positions it to capitalize on current and future market opportunities [11]. Group 3: Economic Impact - The Luoyang base of CATL has driven a 113.6% year-on-year growth in the city's electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing sector, significantly boosting industrial investment and overall economic growth [11]. - The article emphasizes the importance of traditional industries laying the foundation for new industries, creating a multi-faceted industrial structure that supports economic resilience [8][9]. Group 4: Systemic Collaboration - The integration of innovation and industry chains is crucial for transforming economic potential into growth, with Luoyang focusing on deepening the collaboration between various sectors [12][13]. - The article discusses the need for institutional reforms and the revitalization of idle resources to support the transformation of old industrial bases [14]. Group 5: Future Outlook - Luoyang's strategic initiatives aim to enhance its manufacturing capabilities and foster a modern industrial system, with a focus on high-quality development across various sectors [18][19]. - The city plans to leverage its historical industrial base while embracing innovation and reform to ensure sustainable economic growth [23].