Core Viewpoint - The international gold price has surged dramatically, reaching a record high of $4,640 per ounce in early 2026, driven by various geopolitical and economic factors, benefiting upstream gold mining companies significantly [1][3]. Group 1: Gold Price Performance - In 2025, the international gold price increased by nearly 70%, marking the largest annual increase since the 1979 oil crisis, starting from around $2,600 per ounce and nearing $4,600 by year-end [3]. - The domestic gold jewelry price rose from approximately 800 yuan per gram to around 1,360 yuan per gram due to the soaring gold prices [3]. - The global central banks purchased a net total of 297 tons of gold from early 2025 to the end of November, providing long-term support for gold prices [3]. Group 2: Mining Companies' Performance - Zijin Mining Group expects a net profit of 51 to 52 billion yuan for 2025, a nearly 60% increase, with gold production reaching about 90 tons [1]. - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining anticipates a net profit of 3 to 3.2 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 70% to 81% [3]. - Shandong Gold reported a revenue of 83.78 billion yuan and a net profit of 3.96 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 91.5% [4]. - Zhongjin Gold's net profit for the first three quarters reached 4.214 billion yuan, up 60.92% year-on-year, slightly surpassing Shandong Gold [4]. - Zijin Mining's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 254.2 billion yuan, with a net profit of 37.864 billion yuan, a 55.45% increase year-on-year [4]. Group 3: Cost and Market Dynamics - The unit sales cost for gold mining companies has increased due to rising gold prices and other factors, although some companies like Chaojin Gold have managed to reduce costs through product structure adjustments [5]. - Retail companies in the gold jewelry sector are facing challenges, with brands like Lao Feng Xiang and Zhou Dazheng reporting revenue declines of 8.71% and 37.35%, respectively [7]. - The increase in gold prices has also positively impacted other precious metals, with silver and platinum prices rising over 140% in 2025 [7]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Institutions remain optimistic about future gold prices, with Goldman Sachs predicting a rise to approximately $4,900 per ounce by the end of 2026, and JPMorgan forecasting a potential peak of $6,000 per ounce [7]. - The global gold ETF assets reached a record high of $472 billion by the end of Q3 2025, indicating strong investment demand [8]. - The ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and the U.S. debt situation are expected to continue supporting gold prices in the long term [11].

展望接下来的价格走势，多名接受《证券日报》记者采访的分析人士对黄金价格的长期走势表示乐观。 苏商银行特约研究员高政扬表示："在美联储降息周期，叠加全球地缘政治不确定性依然存在，央行持 续购金行为推动下，黄金上涨的核心逻辑并未改变，未来或仍有上行空间。" 黄廷也表示："黄金价格在2026年大概率维持高位震荡偏强格局，金银比有望向上修复。" "然而，短期波动风险不容忽视。技术及资金面或因获利了结需求或套息交易收紧导致流动性短缺等因 素而出现快速下挫。此外，美国经济数据潜在改善可能和地缘风险阶段性缓和也将导致价格回调。"黄 廷说。 2026年以来，国际黄金价格延续了2025年的强劲走势。北京时间1月21日，国际黄金价格再创历史新 高，美国纽约商品交易所黄金期货价格、伦敦现货黄金价格盘中双双突破每盎司4800美元关口。同日， 国内部分品牌金饰报价突破1500元。 在黄金价格一路上扬的背景下，多家已披露2025年度业绩预告的黄金产业链上市公司，去年业绩均有亮 眼表现。上海钢联（300226）电子商务股份有限公司稀贵金属资讯部贵金属分析师黄廷在接受《证券日 报》记者采访时表示："2025年全球黄金价格上涨，受到多重因素的 ...

行情的演绎非常稳定，这个稳定不仅表现在大盘指数，还表现多条主线稳健推进。 以上光力科技，半导体设备股，当前刚从一阶段切换到二阶段，其技术特征和精测电子启动时很相似，基底量价结构和领涨股金海 通很相似。牛股不止一只，不要为错过的扼腕叹息，也不要贪多嚼不烂，好的东西本来就是稀缺的，要看得明白，懂得珍惜。 电网是不是不行了？不要以单日涨跌看死或者看欢。要看量价结构，尤其是领涨股的行为，领涨股稳定的内核将持续鼓励板块的人 气。威科夫的精髓是量价行为演绎法，不是其技术有多精巧，不是套用某一种固定的量价模式，而是望闻问切，由表及里。 如上图，思源电气两日回调精确踏住持股线，以其一贯的表现，决不轻易击穿持股线，这是强势领涨的基本内核，后面从底部刚突 破上来的平高和许继等，大致会效仿这一行为，传承这一基因。 历史牛股是最好的教科书，而当下的牛股正在按相似的步调行进， 这是因为人性不变 。它们的基本特征是：上涨清晰明了，调整结 构紧凑，反复突破平台上行。 发现没有，平均股价指数这个窄幅横盘，总能在持股线神奇地获得支撑，根据毒股三式的内核精神，这是一种强势看涨中继。 今天半导体和贵金属延续高潮，领涨股稳中有升，后起个股不断奋起。 ...

Group 1: Gold Market Dynamics - Gold prices have surged, with COMEX futures reaching $4,865 per ounce and London spot gold at $4,859.02 per ounce as of January 21, 2026, driven by weakening dollar credit, geopolitical uncertainties, and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts [1][2] - The U.S. federal debt reached $38.51 trillion by the end of 2025, with a federal deficit of $1.98 trillion, leading to a decline in global trust in dollar assets [2][20] - In 2025, gold prices set 53 historical records, with global gold ETF inflows totaling $89 billion, and central banks purchasing a net total of 297 tons of gold, providing strong support for prices above $4,000 [3][23] Group 2: Silver Market Dynamics - Silver's intrinsic value is being redefined due to its irreplaceable role in solar energy, electric vehicles, and AI data centers, with industrial demand expected to grow significantly [5][72] - The global silver market is facing supply constraints, with production growth limited by declining ore grades and mining difficulties, leading to a projected supply of 32,100 tons against a demand of 35,700 tons in 2025 [8][57] - As of January 20, 2026, COMEX silver prices reached $94.06 per ounce, reflecting a 216.5% increase since the beginning of 2025, driven by both industrial demand and financial attributes [8][74] Group 3: Macro Environment and Policy Impacts - The Federal Reserve's policy challenges and mixed economic data are key factors influencing short-term gold prices, with expectations of further rate cuts amid economic uncertainty [10][41] - Global economic growth momentum is slowing, with manufacturing PMIs in major economies indicating a deceleration, reinforcing gold's defensive asset appeal [11][42] - The ongoing trend of de-dollarization and the rise of gold in global reserves, which increased to 25.94% by January 2026, highlights gold's role as a hedge against credit risk [22][43] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - Companies like Zijin Mining and Chifeng Jilong Gold are projected to see significant earnings growth, with Zijin's EPS expected to rise from 1.21 yuan in 2024 to 2.31 yuan in 2026, indicating strong investment potential [12] - The performance of silver-focused companies such as Xingye Silver and Jiangxi Copper is also expected to benefit from rising silver prices and sustained industrial demand [12]

在成长风格的另一端，以有色为代表的周期风格正在成为基金经理的新宠。 近日，公募基金2025年四季报密集披露，券商中国记者注意到，在市场热点此起彼伏的同时，多位知名基金经 理却在去年四季度"不谋而合"地对有色板块进行了重点加仓，而深耕该领域的基金经理更是在季报中用仓位和 持股表达了自己的坚定看好。 多位基金经理认为，在宏观经济温和复苏、全球商品周期持续以及降息预期等多重因素共振下，有色板块仍具 备显著的吸引力，价格景气周期远未结束。 多位知名基金经理加仓有色 最新披露的2025年四季报显示，众多全行业配置的基金在去年四季度加仓以有色为代表的资源股，其中不乏多 位知名基金经理。 比如，高楠管理的永赢睿信混合在去年四季度新进重仓五矿资源、宏创控股，神爱前管理的平安兴奕成长新进 重仓了云铝股份，王崇管理的交银新兴产业和焦巍管理的银华富裕主题新进重仓了紫金矿业，此外，焦巍管理 的银华富饶精选三年持有更是在去年四季度同时新进重仓了紫金矿业、藏格矿业、洛阳钼业、云铝股份、西部 矿业、紫金黄金国际、江西铜业等多只有色股。 除了上述全行业配置的基金外，一些深耕资源股投资的基金经理，也在 去年 四季度继续用持仓表达了对有色 的看 ...

国际黄金价格自1月初回落至4340美元/盎司关口后，随着一系列刺激影响开始重新强势上涨，截至1月 21日盘中最高触及4891.1美元/盎司的历史极值，不到20天内累计涨幅达12.7%。 国内黄金期货主合约价格在今天盘中也大4.61%一举1100元/克大关。 股市方面，今天黄金股掀起涨停潮，招金黄金、白银有色、赤峰黄金、四川黄金等超十只黄金股集体封 板涨停。 作者 | 哥吉拉 数据支持 | 勾股大数据（www.gogudata.com） 2026年开年以来，国际黄金市场迎来超预期的强势行情。 黄金大牛市下，黄金股ETF(159562)今日涨5.73%，今年以来的近13个交易日累计涨25.82%，净值续创 历史新高。 随着金价不断"破百"，之前还被市场认为高不可攀的5000美元/大关也近在咫尺，机构们开始频频上调 对目标价，又给市场带来了更多的看涨信心。 01 地缘冲突升级， 黄金资产成为最强避风港 这轮黄金大涨并非单一因素驱动，而是地缘风险、货币政策、央行配置与美元信用重构多重力量交织的 结果，共同铸就了这场贵金属盛宴。 其中，近期地缘冲突升级，刺激避险资金"疯狂涌入"是首要因素。 最近，美国总统特朗普以国家安 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share silver sector has shown remarkable performance, with several companies in the industry experiencing significant stock price increases. Group 1: Company Performance - Silver Industry Company (601212.SH) latest stock price: 8.57 yuan, daily increase: +10.01%, noted as a comprehensive production base for various non-ferrous metals [1] - Guocheng Mining (000688.SZ) latest stock price: 27.92 yuan, daily increase: +10.01%, primarily operates in Inner Mongolia, a major area for lead, zinc, and silver mining in China [2] - Hunan Silver (002716.SZ) latest stock price: 13.64 yuan, daily increase: +10.00%, recognized as an important base for silver production and export in China [3] - Chifeng Gold (600988.SH) latest stock price: 38.39 yuan, daily increase: +9.81%, main products include silver minerals, with subsidiaries producing zinc, lead, copper, and molybdenum concentrates [4] - Shengda Resources (000603.SZ) latest stock price: 46.00 yuan, daily increase: +9.58%, a leading silver company with high-margin mining operations [5] - Zhuhai Group (600961.SH) latest stock price: 20.47 yuan, daily increase: +7.91%, main smelting products include silver [6] - Yuguang Gold Lead (600531.SH) latest stock price: 15.10 yuan, daily increase: +6.86%, a leading company in silver production, focusing on silver and other non-ferrous and precious metal smelting and sales [7][8] - Hengbang Shares (002237.SZ) noted for owning Yulong Mining, the largest single silver mine in China [10] - Huayu Mining (601020.SH) daily increase: +4.39%, recognized for its "Guiyan" brand silver ingots [11] - Tongling Nonferrous Metals (000630.SZ) latest stock price: 6.21 yuan, with gold and silver as primary products [12] - Shanjin International (000975.SZ) latest stock price: 34.79 yuan, daily increase: +6.23% [12] - Xingye Silver Tin (000426.SZ) latest stock price: 54.20 yuan, daily increase: +4.73%, with a subsidiary being one of the largest silver production mines in China [12] - Guiyan Platinum Industry (600459.SH) daily increase: +2.81%, main products include cathode copper and silver as a by-product of smelting [13]

近期，在全球宏观经济预期及地缘政治局势影响下，黄金作为传统避险资产，其金融属性与货币属性再 度成为市场焦点。A股黄金板块集体走强，白银有色、招金矿业、四川黄金、西部黄金、晓程科技领 涨，板块相关企业整理如下： 白银有色（601212.SH） 招金矿业（000506.SZ） 最新股价：18.26元 日涨幅：+5.01% 亮点：旗下控股斐济瓦图科拉金矿，该矿拥有探明、控制及推断的黄金资源禀赋突出。 四川黄金（001337.SZ） 最新股价：31.80元 日涨幅：+4.58% 亮点：专注于四川省最大的在产金矿——梭罗沟金矿，采矿权范围内保有黄金资源量达28.13吨，是区 域性的黄金采选龙头。 最新股价：8.57元 日涨幅：+9.99% 亮点：国内大型有色金属及贵金属企业，除境内矿山外，通过境外子公司掌控大量黄金资源。 湖南白银（002716.SZ） 最新股价：4.93元 日涨幅：+3.57% 西部黄金（601069.SH） 最新股价：15.72元 日涨幅：+6.22% 亮点：新疆黄金龙头，拥有完整产业链，通过收购卡特巴阿苏金矿，显著增加黄金资源量，资源前景广 阔。 晓程科技（300139.SZ） 最新股价：17.5 ...

编辑丨张伟贤 随着国际金价的突破上行，黄金股重获市场青睐。 1月21日午后，现货黄金价格一度升至 4888美元/盎司，月度涨幅超过13%，逼近5000美元整 数价位 。 商品、股票市场共振之下，黄金股取得了更为突出的涨幅，当天四川黄金、招金黄金等多只 贵金属板块个股涨停， 其中四川黄金月度涨幅已经扩大至57%，创出公司2023年上市以来的 历史新高 。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 | 5日涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300139 | 膀程科技 | 46.37 c | 13.24% | 21.67% | | 000506 | 招金黄金 | 19.33 c | 10.02% | 34.99% | | 001337 | 四川黄金 | 43.76 c | 10.01% | 38.96% | | 002716 | 湖南白银 | 13.64 c | 10.00% | 37.50% | | 601069 | 世部黄金 | 35.31 c | 10.00% | 18.29% | | 600988 | 赤峰黄金 | 38.39 c | 9.81% | 18.78 ...

Market Overview - The U.S. stock market experienced a significant decline, which is considered a normal correction, with expectations for potential positive signals from Trump's speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos [1] - On January 21, the U.S. plans to cut approximately 200 positions from NATO and its affiliated organizations, aligning with a strategy to redirect resources towards the Western Hemisphere [1] - The U.S. Treasury Secretary expressed satisfaction with China's commitment to purchasing U.S. soybeans and supplying rare earths, indicating a stable supply chain [1] Gold Market - On January 20, international gold prices surged to a new historical high, with spot prices and COMEX futures both exceeding $4,700 per ounce, driven by increased demand for safe-haven assets [2] - Zijin Mining International saw its stock rise over 4% amid speculation of being included in the Hang Seng Index adjustments scheduled for February 2026 [2] Individual Stocks - Chifeng Jilong Gold experienced a stock increase of over 9%, reflecting high market enthusiasm for gold investments, with analysts predicting gold prices could surpass $5,000 this year [3] - Xixiangfeng's stock surged over 15% due to its acquisition of a radar chip and algorithm company, enhancing its capabilities in the smart driving sector [3] - China Tobacco Hong Kong's stock rose over 10% after signing exclusive distribution agreements for global cigars, expected to boost profits [3] Semiconductor Sector - The semiconductor sector remains hot, with Intel and AMD's server CPU capacities sold out for 2026, leading to planned price increases of 10-15% [4] - Hua Hong Semiconductor's utilization rates for its 8-inch wafer fabs remain high, with its 12-inch fab expected to reach full capacity by Q3 2026 [4] Energy Storage Market - The global residential energy storage system shipment is projected to reach approximately 35 GWh by 2025, marking a nearly 50% year-on-year increase, with Germany, the U.S., Australia, and Japan dominating the market [7] - Major beneficiaries of this growth include Ganfeng Lithium, Tianqi Lithium, CATL, and Zhongxin Innovation [7] Company Performance - SANY Heavy Industry reported a revenue of 66.104 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 13.27%, with net profit rising by 46.58% [8] - The company aims to enhance its global sales network and product R&D through its recent Hong Kong listing, raising approximately 13.3 billion HKD [8] - SANY's overseas revenue is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 15.2% from 2022 to 2024, with a record high of 26.5 billion yuan in the first half of 2025 [9]