Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Recommended" [5] Core Views - The macroeconomic sentiment has weakened, leading to a resurgence in gold prices, with COMEX gold rising 4.75% to $3,357.70 per ounce and SHFE gold increasing 3.76% to ¥780.10 per gram [1][27] - The U.S. economic uncertainty and global trade dynamics are prompting investors to shift towards safe-haven assets like gold and silver, with expectations of continued price appreciation [3][48] - The ongoing U.S.-EU tariff tensions and the recent U.S. debt auction results have contributed to the volatility in the market, reinforcing the attractiveness of precious metals [3][47] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - Gold and silver prices have increased significantly, with COMEX gold up 4.75% and SHFE gold up 3.76% [1][27] - The gold-silver ratio has risen by 0.99% to 99.81, indicating a stronger performance of gold relative to silver [27] - SPDR Gold ETF holdings increased by 119,821.97 troy ounces, while SLV Silver ETF holdings rose by 9,728,859.30 ounces [27] Base Metals - In the LME market, copper prices rose by 1.76% to $9,614.00 per ton, while aluminum fell by 0.62% to $2,466.00 per ton [52] - SHFE copper prices decreased by 0.45% to ¥77,790.00 per ton, while aluminum prices increased by 0.12% to ¥20,155.00 per ton [52] - The overall sentiment in the base metals market remains mixed, with supply concerns and fluctuating demand impacting prices [7][52] Small Metals - The price of magnesium has increased by 0.11% to ¥18,780 per ton, reflecting strong pricing power among manufacturers [14] - Molybdenum and vanadium prices have shown slight increases, with molybdenum iron at ¥227,500 per ton [15] - The market for small metals is currently stable, with limited price fluctuations observed [15][80]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the non-ferrous metals sector [3]. Core Views - The report highlights the impact of U.S. tariff policies and a weak dollar on gold's safe-haven appeal, suggesting that uncertainty in tariff policies may elevate gold's attractiveness [1][34]. - The copper market is experiencing a period of volatility, with prices remaining in a consolidation phase due to macroeconomic uncertainties and inventory dynamics [2]. - The aluminum market is supported by favorable domestic macro policies and declining social inventories, which are expected to bolster aluminum prices [2]. - The lithium sector is facing challenges with low prices leading to production cuts, indicating that the industry still needs to find a bottom [2]. - The silicon metal market is characterized by weak demand and oversupply, leading to a bearish price outlook in the short term [2]. Summary by Sections Non-Ferrous Metals - Gold: The weak dollar and U.S. tariff uncertainties are expected to support gold prices, with recent declines attributed to market corrections [1][34]. - Copper: The market is observing a mixed macroeconomic environment, with a recent PMI reading of 52.3 indicating resilience, but concerns about future economic prospects persist [2]. - Aluminum: Domestic policies are favorable, and social inventories are decreasing, which is expected to support aluminum prices [2]. Industrial Metals - Copper: Current inventory levels are at 552,000 tons, with a slight decrease of 20,000 tons week-on-week, providing some support for prices [2]. - Aluminum: The theoretical operating capacity of the aluminum industry has increased to 43.865 million tons, with production recovery in certain regions [2]. Energy Metals - Lithium: Prices for lithium carbonate have decreased, with industrial-grade lithium carbonate at 61,000 yuan/ton, reflecting a 2.2% drop [2]. - Silicon Metal: The market is facing a supply-demand imbalance, with social inventory at 582,000 tons, indicating a bearish price outlook [2]. Key Stocks - Recommended stocks include Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and Chifeng Jilong Gold for gold; Luoyang Molybdenum and China Hongqiao for aluminum; and Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium for lithium [1][2][6].

| 证券代码：603979 | 证券简称：金诚信 | 公告编号：2025-045 | | --- | --- | --- | | 转债代码：113615 | 转债简称：金诚转债 | | 会议召开方式：上证路演中心视频直播和网络互动 金诚信矿业管理股份有限公司 关于召开 2024 年度暨 2025 年第一季度 业绩暨现金分红说明会的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 重要内容提示： 会议召开时间：2025 年 5 月 30 日（星期五）15:00-16:30 会 议 召 开 地 点 ： 上 海 证 券 交 易 所 上 证 路 演 中 心 （ 网 址 ： http://roadshow.sseinfo.com/） 投资者可于 2025 年 5 月 23 日(星期五)至 5 月 29 日(星期四)16:00 前 登录上证路演中心网站首页点击"提问预征集"栏目或通过公司邮箱 jchxsl@jchxmc.com 进行提问。公司将在说明会上对投资者普遍关注的问题进行 回答。 金诚信矿业管理股份有限公司（以下简称"公 ...

证券研究报告 铜业弹性表 ——2025年5月更新 01 铜业弹性表 | 添加标题 | | --- | 2025年5月20日 行业评级：看好 分析师 沈皓俊 研究助理 苏湘涵 邮箱 shenhaojun@stocke.com.cn 邮箱 suxianghan@stocke.com.cn 证书编号 S1230523080011 数据预测偏差风险； 公司项目推进不及预期； 铜价上涨不及预期等。 行业评级与免责声明 资料来源：公司年报，公司公告，公司公众号，浙商证券研究所。注： 2 2025-2027年产量数据为预测值，存在预测偏差风险。江西铜业 统计公司自有矿数据；云南铜业统计并表产量口径；金诚信2024-2026年产量中未统计Lubambe铜矿（因公告矿山处于技改阶段）。 02 风险提示 3 添加标题 行业的投资评级 4 以报告日后的6个月内，行业指数相对于沪深300指数的涨跌幅为标准，定义如下： 加标题点击此处添加标题点击此处添加 点击此处添加标题添加标题点击此处添 我们在此提醒您，不同证券研究机构采用不同的评级术语及评级标准。我们采用的是相对评级体系，表示投资的相对比重。 标题点击此处添加标题点击此处添加标 ...

证券研究报告 铜业弹性表 ——2025年5月更新 分析师 沈皓俊 研究助理 苏湘涵 邮箱 shenhaojun@stocke.com.cn 邮箱 suxianghan@stocke.com.cn 证书编号 S1230523080011 01 铜业弹性表 2025年5月20日 行业评级：看好 | 添加标题 | | --- | 资料来源：公司年报，公司公告，公司公众号，浙商证券研究所。注： 2 2025-2027年产量数据为预测值，存在预测偏差风险。江西铜业 统计公司自有矿数据；云南铜业统计并表产量口径；金诚信2024-2026年产量中未统计Lubambe铜矿（因公告矿山处于技改阶段）。 02 风险提示 3 添加标题 数据预测偏差风险； 公司项目推进不及预期； 铜价上涨不及预期等。 行业评级与免责声明 加标题点击此处添加标题点击此处添加 添加标题添加标题点击此处添加标题 添加标题 95% 1、看好 ：行业指数相对于沪深300指数表现＋10%以上； 2、中性 ：行业指数相对于沪深300指数表现－10%～＋10%以上； 3、看淡 ：行业指数相对于沪深300指数表现－10%以下。 行业的投资评级 以报告日后的6个月内， ...

Group 1 - Hongjing Technology signed a service contract for an intelligent computing project with a total amount of 597 million yuan, valid for 5 years [1] - Weifu High-Tech's subsidiary invested 220 million yuan to establish a joint venture with Shanghai Baolong Automotive Technology [2] - Zhongshan Public received approval for the registration of short-term financing bonds amounting to 2 billion yuan and medium-term notes of 3 billion yuan [3] Group 2 - Lianhua Technology established a venture capital fund with a total commitment of 200 million yuan, contributing 100 million yuan as a limited partner [4] - Changan Technology's shareholder signed an agreement to transfer 6.27% of the company's shares to Hefei State Capital Venture Investment [6] - Hangzhou Garden announced a cash dividend of 0.5 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 6.62 million yuan [8] Group 3 - Huamao Technology plans to acquire 100% equity of Fuchuang Youyue, leading to a temporary suspension of its stock [9] - Zhuojin Co. won a bid for a soil remediation project in Hefei with a contract value of 67.68 million yuan [10] - Shanghai Pharmaceuticals received FDA approval for two drugs, enhancing its product portfolio [10] Group 4 - Fuxing Pharmaceutical's senior vice president resigned for personal reasons [12] - Baolong Technology's subsidiary plans to invest 180 million yuan in a joint venture [13] - ST Zhongdi intends to utilize surplus funds from a project company, with a maximum of 106 million yuan [14] Group 5 - Nanchao Food reported a significant decline in net profit for April, down 82.14% year-on-year [16] - Changshan Pharmaceutical received a drug registration certificate in Belarus for a new product [18] - Nanshan Aluminum established a wholly-owned subsidiary for photovoltaic energy projects with an investment of 5 million yuan [20] Group 6 - Bozhong Precision announced the resignation of a director and deputy general manager [22] - Xinjiang Jiaojian won a bid for a highway construction project valued at 451 million yuan [23] - Guangzhou Restaurant declared a cash dividend of 0.48 yuan per share, totaling 273 million yuan [25] Group 7 - Weili Medical's subsidiary obtained a medical device operating license, allowing it to engage in wholesale activities [27] - New Australia Co. announced a cash dividend of 0.3 yuan per share, totaling 219 million yuan [28] - Lianhua Technology's subsidiary entered the new third board innovation layer [29] Group 8 - Huaxi Energy's chairman resigned due to personal reasons [31] - Yipin Hong plans to use up to 500 million yuan of idle funds for cash management [33] - Shouhua Gas intends to purchase bauxite resources through market means [34] Group 9 - Jincheng signed a service agreement for underground mining operations at the Komakau Copper Mine, valued at approximately 805 million USD [34] - Wanrun New Energy signed a supply contract with CATL for lithium iron phosphate products, with a total supply of about 1.32 million tons [35] - Weili plans to transfer 100% equity of a subsidiary to Chengfa Environment for 100 million yuan [36] Group 10 - Zhenlei Technology's subsidiary received government subsidies of 2.21 million yuan, positively impacting profits [38] - Weir shares plan to change their name to "Haowei Group" to reflect strategic direction [39] - YTO Express reported a revenue increase of 16.32% in April, totaling 5.755 billion yuan [39]

市场表现方面，机构买入型评级个股今日平均上涨1.41%，表现强于沪指。股价上涨的有64只，涨停的 有潮宏基等。涨幅居前的有润农节水、一致魔芋、金诚信等，今日涨幅分别为12.36%、8.93%、 6.82%。跌幅较大的个股有隆鑫通用、艾罗能源、杰华特等，跌幅分别为2.85%、2.00%、1.62%。 行业来看，食品饮料行业最受青睐，贵州茅台、洽洽食品等12只个股上榜机构买入评级榜。电力设备、 电子等行业也较受机构关注，分别有11只、11只个股上榜。（数据宝） 90只个股今日获机构买入型评级，15股机构首次关注。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，今日机构研报共发布93条买入型评级记录，共涉及90只个股。周大生、贵 州茅台等关注度最高，均有2次机构买入型评级记录。 今日获机构买入型评级个股中，共有19条评级记录中对相关个股给出了未来目标价。以公布的预测目标 价与最新收盘价进行对比显示，共有9股上涨空间超20%，贵州茅台上涨空间最高，5月20日华创证券预 计公司目标价为2600.00元，上涨空间达63.93%，上涨空间较高的个股还有中国电建、博彦科技等，上 涨空间分别为40.04%、35.07%。 从机构评级变动看，今日机 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a rebound on May 20, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3380.48 points, up 0.38%, driven by a decrease in LPR rates and positive economic outlooks from the National Bureau of Statistics [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The A500 Index ETF (159351) ended its adjustment with a rebound, closing with a gain of 0.62% and a slight premium of 0.01% [1] - The A500 Index ETF recorded a trading volume of 2.393 billion yuan, ranking second in the market among similar products, with a turnover rate of 16.72%, also second in the market [1] - Key stocks such as Aofei Entertainment, Huahai Pharmaceutical, and O-film Technology hit the daily limit, while Xintai rose nearly 8%, and others like Jinchengxin, Tigermed, and SF Holding increased over 6% [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The People's Bank of China announced a reduction in the 1-year LPR by 10 basis points to 3.00% and the 5-year LPR by 10 basis points to 3.50%, marking the first cut of the year [1] - Huachuang Securities indicated that this move will lower corporate financing costs, improve profit expectations, and potentially drive a stock market rebound [1] - The National Bureau of Statistics reaffirmed the long-term positive fundamentals of China's economy, highlighting coordinated macro policies and continued growth in innovative momentum [1] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Brokerage firms suggest focusing on the recovery of domestic demand and sectors with high technological prosperity [1] - The easing of US-China tariffs, along with policies to attract long-term capital into the market, is expected to further boost market confidence [1] Group 4: A500 Index ETF Overview - The A500 Index ETF (159351) tracks the CSI A500 Index, composed of 500 stocks with large market capitalization and good liquidity, providing a balanced industry distribution and favoring large and mid-cap styles [2] - Investors can access quality core asset opportunities through the A500 Index ETF linked funds (Class A 022453; Class C 022454) [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index in the next six months [4][20]. Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 shows significant improvement, driven by the successful implementation of the "dual-wheel drive" strategy, with notable growth in both mining services and resource development sectors [2][9]. - The resource development segment has emerged as a strong growth engine, with sales revenue increasing by 412.85% year-on-year in 2024, contributing to overall revenue growth [9][10]. - The company is expanding its international operations, with a focus on enhancing its mining service capabilities and resource development, positioning itself for a comprehensive transformation from a mining service provider to a diversified mining company [8][10]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 99.42 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.37%, and a net profit of 15.84 billion yuan, up 53.59% from the previous year [1][2]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 31.51%, an increase of 1.16 percentage points compared to the previous year, while the net profit margin rose to 15.80%, up 1.86 percentage points [2][3]. - The company's operating cash flow for 2024 increased by 89.24% year-on-year, reaching 20.53 billion yuan, attributed to revenue growth and effective collection of project payments [3]. Segment Performance Summary - The mining services segment generated revenue of 65.44 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for 65.82% of total revenue, with stable development and an increase in overseas business [3][8]. - The resource development segment achieved sales revenue of 32.09 billion yuan in 2024, significantly contributing to the company's overall performance, with production of 48,700 tons of copper and 356,500 tons of phosphate rock [9][10]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 122.18 billion yuan, 135.49 billion yuan, and 156.64 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 21.87 billion yuan, 25.56 billion yuan, and 27.85 billion yuan [11].

Group 1 - The A500 Index has shown a slight increase of 0.23% as of May 20, 2025, with notable stock performances including Huahai Pharmaceutical reaching a 10% limit up, and Wentai Technology rising by 6.21% [1] - The A500 Index ETF (159351) has seen a trading volume of 1.06 billion yuan during the session, with an average daily trading volume of 2.526 billion yuan over the past week, ranking it among the top two comparable funds [1] - The A500 Index ETF has experienced a significant growth of 529 million yuan in scale over the past three months, leading in new scale among comparable funds, and an increase of 891 million shares in the same period [1] - The valuation of the A500 Index is at a historical low, with a latest price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1.46, which is lower than 81.5% of the time in the past year, indicating strong valuation attractiveness [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the A500 Index as of April 30, 2025, include Kweichow Moutai, CATL, Ping An Insurance, and others, collectively accounting for 20.8% of the index [1] Group 2 - The spokesperson from the National Bureau of Statistics emphasized that the long-term positive fundamentals of China's economy remain unchanged, with macro policies working in coordination to support economic recovery [2] - Nomura Orient International Securities suggests focusing on domestic demand recovery, highlighting sectors with significant valuation elasticity such as food and beverage, real estate, and pharmaceuticals, as well as consumption upgrades [2] - The report also indicates a focus on high-growth technology sectors, particularly in AI, energy storage, and various long-validated themes like domestic innovation and commercial aerospace [2] Group 3 - Investors without stock accounts can access the A500 ETF through the A500 ETF linked fund (022454) for easy investment in the top 500 A-share companies [3]