晨 会 纪 要 [2026]第 35 号 主 题：对近期重要经济金融新闻、行业事件、公司公告等进行点评 时 间：2026 年 3 月 2 日 8:50-9:30 会议形式：腾讯会议 市场回顾：本周机械板块继续跑赢大盘，激光与能重设备表现较好 本周，沪深 300 指数上涨 1.1%，机械行业上涨 4.1%，其中表现靠前板块为激光设备 (20.5%)、磨具磨料(16.4%)、能源及重型设备(8.0%)，表现靠后板块为工程机械器件(- 3.5%)、机器人(-2.4%)、工控设备(-1.4%)。截至 2026 年 2 月 27 日，沪深 300 指数今年累计 上涨 1.7%，机械行业累计上涨 14.0%，其中涨幅靠前板块为光伏加工设备(49.6%)、其他自 动化设备(38.2%)、激光设备(36.4%)，表现靠后板块为机器人(1.9%)、印刷包装机械(2.7%)、 轨交设备(3.2%)。 燃气轮机：特朗普要求大型科技公司自建电厂，解决 AIDC 耗电问题 据新浪财经，2 月 25 日，特朗普表示，其政府已告知各大科技公司，必须自行建造数据中 心的发电设施，以保护消费者免受电费上涨影响。且预计白宫将在 3 月初接待企业 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the AI-PCB and core computing hardware sectors, as well as the Apple supply chain and self-controlled beneficiary sectors [4][26]. Core Insights - NVIDIA's FY27Q1 revenue guidance is strong at $78 billion (±2%), indicating sustained demand for AI [1][26]. - The demand for AI-driven products is expected to lead to significant growth in the PCB industry, with many AI-PCB companies experiencing strong orders and production [4][26]. - The report anticipates explosive growth in the number of ASICs from major tech companies like Google, Amazon, Meta, OpenAI, and Microsoft between 2026 and 2027 [4][26]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The AI demand is driving a significant increase in PCB value, with expectations for material upgrades and increased production layers [1][26]. - The report highlights the strong performance of the AI sector, with NVIDIA's new LPU chip expected to create new demands in the PCB market [1][26]. 2. Semiconductor and PCB Sector - The PCB industry is maintaining high demand due to the growth in automotive and industrial control sectors, alongside AI expansion [6][26]. - The report notes that the price of copper-clad laminates is expected to rise, indicating a tightening supply situation [6][26]. 3. Consumer Electronics - The report emphasizes the ongoing expansion of consumer electronics applications, particularly in the Apple supply chain and smart glasses [5][26]. - AI applications are expected to continue their rapid growth, with significant advancements in mobile and wearable technologies [5][26]. 4. Storage and Memory - The storage sector is projected to enter an upward cycle, driven by increased demand from cloud service providers and consumer electronics [20][22]. - The report suggests that the DRAM market will see price increases due to supply constraints and rising demand [20][22]. 5. Semiconductor Equipment - The semiconductor equipment sector is expected to benefit from the ongoing trend of domestic production and self-sufficiency in the face of global supply chain challenges [23][25]. - The report highlights the strong demand for advanced packaging and the need for domestic semiconductor equipment [23][25]. 6. Key Companies - Companies such as North Huachuang, Zhongwei Company, and Sanhua Group are highlighted for their strong positions in the semiconductor and PCB markets [27][28][33]. - The report notes that these companies are well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing trends in AI and semiconductor demand [27][28][33].

ar the more re 一场由上游存储芯片引发的"完美风暴"正席卷中国手机行业。据智通财经报道，自2026年3月起，中国手机市场将迎来有史以来首次全品类、全品牌的同步 涨价潮。新品终端售价涨幅起步即达1000元，OPPO、vivo、小米、荣耀等主流品牌的老款机型也将陆续上调售价。 "这轮涨价不是个别品牌的选择，而是全行业的必然趋势。"一位业内人士透露，目前国内主流手机品牌均已完成涨价方案的敲定，部分品牌已向线下经销 商、线上渠道商下发了调价通知。 苹果罕见"低头"，卖方市场格局确立 本轮手机涨价潮的根源，直指上游存储芯片的"非理性暴涨"。全球科技巨头对人工智能的狂热追逐，引发内存产能大规模转向AI基础设施，全球RAM模组 价格数月内暴涨数倍，消费电子行业的供应节奏被彻底打乱。 自2024年下半年触底反弹后，智能手机存储芯片价格进入加速上涨通道。2026年开年以来，涨幅进一步失控。当前，手机存储芯片采购成本较2025年同期已 飙升逾80%，且未见放缓迹象。TrendForce预估，2026年第一季度通用型DRAM合约价环比涨幅高达55%–60%，NAND闪存价格上涨33%–38%，其中消费级 大容量QLC ...

中经记者 谭伦 北京报道 在存储芯片持续涨价冲击下，全球手机市场将承压。 日前，市场研究机构Counterpoint Research发布的最新研报显示，为了应对DRAM（动态随机存储器） 和NAND Flash（闪存）的供求和价格上涨带来的成本压力，手机厂商将被迫对旗下终端产品进行涨 价，而这也将在一定程度上抑制消费者的购买需求。 因此，Counterpoint Research预计，此前一直受益于DRAM和NAND Flash成本下降的中低端智能手机市 场，将会在2026年承受前所未有的巨大压力，出货量将较2025年同比下降6.1%，同时，智能手机SoC出 货量同比下降7%。 另一大研究机构TrendForce在2月最新跟踪报告中亦指出，2026年第一季度，全球DRAM合约价上涨90% —95%，NAND合约价亦大幅上调。在此背景下，若干移动存储子品类（包括部分LPDDR5X与UFS4.0 规格）与消费级1TB SSD在近几个月内出现了数倍级或接近翻倍的现货与零售价格上涨。 受此推动，2026年在全球手机市场涨价也成为业内共识。CHIP中国研究室主任罗国昭向《中国经营 报》记者表示，此轮普涨来自AI训练需 ...

韩媒报道，苹果接受三星提出最新一轮DRAM报价涨价100%的要求，是继日前传出苹果以两倍价格采 购日商铠侠的储存型快闪存储（NAND Flash）之后，苹果再次以"超高价"扫货存储，震撼业界。 这意味存储产业已不仅是"卖方市场"，且"卖方态度非常强硬"，未来恐将更缺，南亚科、华邦、威刚、 群联等台系存储相关业者涨价红利可望更大，后市持续看俏。 报道披露，三星以涨价100%与苹果开始谈判价格，但其实设定只涨60%，预留一些讨价还价的空间， 没想到苹果完全不砍价，立即同意接受涨价一倍。此事凸显出苹果的财力，更反映巩固DRAM供给的迫 切性。 去年初时，苹果和其他业者采购12GB LPDDR5X存储芯片的价格，估计介于25至29美元，但截至去年 底价格已飙升至70美元。 不到两周前，市场也传出，苹果已接受日商铠侠的涨价条件，本季将以两倍价格采购铠侠的NAND芯 片，但之后将每季重新议价，意味着第二季度情况仍可能有变，呼应了苹果日前表示，存储价格将对本 季毛利造成更大压力的说法。 库克1月底在财报说明会上表示，存储芯片价格对上季毛利率的影响"轻微"，但预期本季衝击会扩大， 并已反映在本季的48%至49%毛利率展望。 ...

手机迎来全面涨价，3月后新品涨幅超1000元 据科创板日报消息，3月起，手机行业将迎来新一轮的涨价潮。 不是某一家厂商，而是整个行业，包括OPPO、一加、vivo、小米、iQOO、荣耀等在内的多家国产头部手机品牌已敲定涨价方案，部分已向渠道下发调 价通知。 这将是近5年规模最大、涨幅最高的全行业集体调价。 3月前已经上市的机型，涨价幅度相对温和，可能在几百元左右；3月后发布的新品，涨幅不会低于1000元，有些甚至能达到2000元以上。 这波涨价潮的原因，主要源于AI算力需求爆发，三星、SK海力士等巨头将产能优先分配给高利润的AI存储，主动缩减手机内存的产能，由此导致手机内 存因供给不足而价格暴涨。 为了平衡成本压力，几乎所有手机厂商都要通过涨价和配置调整来维持利润。 即使是作为存储芯片巨头的三星，也不例外。 2月25日，三星最新发布的Galaxy S26系列，标准版和Plus版国行相比上一代涨价1000元，Ultra版涨价300元。 在这种情况下，一直定位中高端市场的iPhone，反而成为最稳的那个。 郭明錤表示苹果将尽可能避免涨价，iPhone 18标准版起售价将维持5999元，与iPhone 17保持一致 ...

来源：@智通财经APP微博 《科创板日报》2月26日讯 据Wccftech等援引韩国Dealsite消息，苹果已为iPhone 17系列敲定了三星DS 部门（半导体部门）LPDDR5X订单，价格较此前翻了一倍。苹果近期还与三星DS部门举行紧急会议， 商讨今年上半年供货安排，以确保供应链稳定性。 据半导体业界人士透露："最初三星DS部门的目标是将报价提高60%。在首轮谈判中，其为了试探意向 先报出了100%涨幅，没料到苹果为确保库存直接接受，价格随之敲定。" 在此之前，苹果一直凭着自己的市场地位以相对较低的价格采购LPDDR，随着存储短缺加剧，如今连 苹果都直接一口接受100%涨幅，这足以说明当前各手机厂商对存储芯片库存争夺的激烈程度。 在这一背景下，三星DS部门已经直接放弃对三星行动体验（MX）部门的长期供货协议，转而实行季度 合约，以实现利润最大化。 存储这轮超级周期中，2025年初12GB LPDDR5X内存芯片单价约25-29美元，但年底其价格已攀升至70 美元。 据悉，目前苹果iPhone系列DRAM供应以三星为主，约占六成，其余由SK海力士与美光分摊；NAND则 由三星、SK海力士与铠侠为主要供应来 ...

期货研究报告 资讯早班车-2026-02-26 一、 宏观数据速览 | 发布日期 | 指标日期 | 指标名称 | 单位 | 当期值 | 上期值 | 去年同期值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2026-01-19 | 2025/12 | GDP:不变价:当季同比 | % | 4.5 | 4.8 | 5.4 | | 2026-01-31 | 2026/01 | 制造业 PMI | % | 49.3 | 49.0 | 49.1 | | 2026-01-31 | 2026/01 | 非制造业 PMI:商务活动 | % | 49.4 | 50.1 | 50.2 | | 2026-02-14 | 2026/01 | 社会融资规模:当月值 | 亿元 | 72208 | 8178 | 70546 | | 2026-02-13 | 2026/01 | M0:同比 | % | 2.7 | 10.6 | 17.2 | | 2026-02-13 | 2026/01 | M1:同比 | % | 4.9 | 6.2 | 0.4 | | 2026-02-13 | 2026/ ...

Core Insights - The demand surge driven by the AI boom is challenging Apple's bargaining power in the SSD supply chain [1][3] - Apple previously secured advantageous long-term agreements for NAND supply, but is now facing significant price increases and shorter contract durations [1][3] Group 1: Supply Chain Dynamics - Apple historically purchased 23% of global NAND capacity in 2012 at approximately $0.67 per GB, with prices dropping to $0.25 per GB in 2018 [1] - Currently, Apple is paying twice the previous price for NAND flash memory from Kioxia, with contracts now renegotiated every six months instead of years [1][3] Group 2: Market Demand and Competition - The AI server market's explosive growth is outpacing supply chain capacity, leading to shortages in the consumer market [3] - Gartner estimates that global AI spending will reach $2.5 trillion by 2026, prompting companies to increase AI investments to remain competitive [3] - In the processor sector, Apple faces similar cost inflation, with Nvidia surpassing Apple as TSMC's largest customer, and the cost of the upcoming A20 processor expected to be double that of the A19 [3]

Core Viewpoint - The global storage market is experiencing a price surge due to extremely low inventory levels of DRAM and NAND, with only about 4 weeks of supply remaining, driven by strong demand from AI and computing sectors [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - SK Hynix reported that its DRAM and NAND inventory is at a historical low of approximately 4 weeks, leading to unmet demand across various sectors including cloud services and consumer electronics [2]. - The company anticipates that storage chip prices will continue to rise throughout 2026, influenced by the explosive demand from AI applications and constraints in cleanroom space for production [2][4]. - The price increases have already begun, with SK Hynix raising prices for high-end products like HBM and DDR5, and further price hikes across all DRAM and NAND products expected [4][6]. Group 2: Financial Performance - SK Hynix's financial results for the fiscal year 2025 showed record revenues of 97.15 trillion KRW and an operating profit of 47.21 trillion KRW, reflecting a profit margin of 49%, driven by rising storage prices and strong demand [3]. Group 3: Industry Trends - The storage industry is witnessing a significant upgrade phase, with cloud service providers increasing investments in AI infrastructure, leading to a rise in the average selling price of high-tech products like HBM and enterprise SSDs [5][6]. - The current storage cycle is expected to be stronger and more prolonged than the previous one, fueled by ongoing high demand from AI [6]. Group 4: China's Role in the Market - The global storage chip supply shortage, driven by AI demand, is creating opportunities for Chinese manufacturers to enter the global supply chain, moving from being an alternative option to a viable choice for major PC manufacturers [7]. - Chinese companies like Yangtze Memory Technologies and Changxin Memory Technologies are emerging as leaders in the storage industry, with expectations of increased production capacity by late 2026 to early 2027, which could stabilize global supply and prices [7][8].