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粤港澳大湾区今年以来前往遵义游客达210.2万人次
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-08-23 08:19
中新网广州8月23日电 (记者 蔡敏婕)第33届广州博览会正在广州举行。本次贵州遵义展馆围绕协作帮扶 促消费的核心主题,集中展示遵义8个对口帮扶县(市)及珠遵消费协作企业联盟的粮油、果蔬、饮料、 茶叶、酱香白酒等名优农特产品,让广大市民感受遵义生态农产品的独特风味。 山川纵横、草绿林密的遵义,已成为炎炎夏日粤港澳大湾区游客避暑的首选旅游目的地。记者从遵义展 馆获悉,截至6月底,粤港澳大湾区城市今年前往遵义游客达210.2万人次,同比增长12.7%。 围绕建设一流旅游城市和打造赤水世界级旅游景区的目标,遵义推进旅游产业化,推出"四季游"主题精 品线路64条,乌江寨荣获"国家级夜间文化和旅游消费集聚区"称号。广博会上的遵义展馆设置农文旅展 区,推介"东线自然·人文茶旅线路""西线丹霞·古镇·酒旅线路"等旅游资源,以图文、视频等方式展现了 遵义万亩茶海、山水风光等丰富的旅游资源。 此外,遵义展馆还设有新茶饮展区,以"遵义茶底+新茶饮调配"直观演绎"山海协作"的味觉创新。2024 年以来,珠海和遵义整合优势,联动高校院士团队成立全国新茶饮供应链联盟,建设全国新茶饮供应链 中心。2024年遵义新茶饮产业集群总产值达到7 ...
特朗普同意暂缓欧盟关税
Dong Zheng Qi Huo· 2025-05-26 00:45
Report Industry Investment Ratings - Gold: Short - term price is volatile, and attention should be paid to correction risks [14] - US Dollar Index: Short - term volatility [18] - US Stock Index Futures: Short - term weak and volatile [21] - Treasury Bond Futures: Bullish in the medium - term, but timing is crucial for going long [24] - Stock Index Futures: Suggest balanced allocation [28] - Thermal Coal: Price may stabilize at 600 yuan/ton in the short - term, and it's hard to bottom out without large - scale production cuts [29] - Iron Ore: Short - term weak and volatile [31] - Edible Oils: Expected to be volatile under the influence of US biofuel policies [35] - Coking Coal/Coke: Weak in the medium - and long - term [36] - Sugar: Second consecutive year of production increase brings little pressure to the market [41] - Corn Starch: CS07 - C07 may remain in low - level oscillation [43] - Cotton: Cautiously optimistic about the future, but short - term may be volatile due to insufficient demand [47] - Corn: Spot and futures prices are expected to rise [48] - Live Pigs: Maintain the view of shorting on rebounds [50] - Soybean Meal: Futures prices are temporarily volatile [54] - Rebar/Hot - Rolled Coil: Short - term single - side light - position waiting and see, spot hedging on rebounds [59] - Alumina: Suggest waiting and seeing [62] - Lithium Carbonate: Long - term bearish, but short - term decline space is limited [64] - Polysilicon: Uncertain, pay attention to supply - side changes [68] - Industrial Silicon: Spot price may bottom out, but short - side risks exist for futures [70] - Nickel: Short - term range - bound operation, consider shorting on rebounds in the medium - term [73] - Lead: Short - term waiting and seeing, start to pay attention to medium - term long opportunities [75] - Zinc: Short - term shorting on rebounds, consider long - short spreads in the medium - term [77] - Carbon Emissions: Short - term volatility [79] - Crude Oil: Weak short - term rebound drivers [83] - Bottle Chips: Processing fees are expected to remain low, pay attention to supply - side changes [85] - Soda Ash: Short - term support from maintenance, medium - term shorting on rebounds [86] - Float Glass: Prices will remain low, pay attention to real - estate policy changes [88] Core Views - Tariff issues between the US and the EU have a significant impact on the financial and commodity markets. Trump's threat to impose tariffs on the EU has triggered market risk - aversion, affecting the prices of gold, the US dollar, and stock index futures. The postponement of tariffs has also changed market sentiment and expectations [12][13][17] - The supply and demand situation in the commodity market is complex. In the coal market, over - supply persists, and prices are under pressure. In the agricultural product market, factors such as production, inventory, and consumption seasons affect prices. In the metal market, factors like production capacity, inventory, and policy adjustments play important roles [29][39][64] Summary by Directory 1. Financial News and Reviews 1.1 Macro Strategy (Gold) - Trump threatened to impose 50% tariffs on the EU and 25% tariffs on Apple, which triggered market risk - aversion and pushed up gold prices. Then he postponed the EU tariff deadline to July 9. Short - term gold prices are volatile, and the next wave of increase needs a catalyst [12][13] 1.2 Macro Strategy (Foreign Exchange Futures - US Dollar Index) - Trump postponed the EU tariff deadline, indicating that the US and the EU have entered a negotiation window. The short - term market risk preference has increased, and the US dollar is expected to be volatile in the short - term [17] 1.3 Macro Strategy (US Stock Index Futures) - The US - EU tariff negotiation is deadlocked, and the risk of tariff hikes still exists. The market sentiment has weakened, and US stocks are expected to be volatile and weak in the short - term [21] 1.4 Macro Strategy (Treasury Bond Futures) - The central bank conducted 1425 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations. The market lacks a clear trading theme, and the bond market is in a narrow - range oscillation. It is bullish in the medium - term, but timing is crucial for going long [22][23] 1.5 Macro Strategy (Stock Index Futures) - Bank deposit and large - scale certificate of deposit interest rates have been lowered. Trump's threat to impose tariffs on the EU has put pressure on global risk assets, and domestic stock index futures suggest balanced allocation [25][28] 2. Commodity News and Reviews 2.1 Black Metal (Thermal Coal) - South Korea's coal imports in April decreased by 20.16% year - on - year. Due to the imbalance between supply and demand, high - cost imported coal has been squeezed out. Coal prices may stabilize at 600 yuan/ton in May, but it's hard to bottom out without large - scale production cuts [29] 2.2 Black Metal (Iron Ore) - The full - production time of the Iron Bridge project has been postponed to the 2028 fiscal year. Iron ore prices are in an oscillating market, and are expected to be weak and volatile in the short - term [31] 2.3 Agricultural Products (Soybean Oil/Rapeseed Oil/Palm Oil) - Malaysian palm oil production increased in May, and export data varied. The US biofuel policy affects soybean oil prices. The edible oil market is expected to be volatile [34][35] 2.4 Black Metal (Coking Coal/Coke) - The price of metallurgical coke in the Lvliang market is weakly stable. Coking coal prices are falling, and the supply - demand structure is difficult to change without significant supply - side cuts. Coal and coke are expected to be weak in the medium - and long - term [36] 2.5 Agricultural Products (Sugar) - The 24/25 sugar - making season in the country has ended. Yunnan's sugar production is expected to reach a record high. Although the national sugar production has increased, the pressure on the market is not large due to the fast sales progress [39] 2.6 Agricultural Products (Corn Starch) - The start - up rate of starch sugar has increased slightly. The supply - demand situation of starch is expected to improve. The CS07 - C07 spread is expected to remain in low - level oscillation [42][43] 2.7 Agricultural Products (Cotton) - EU clothing imports increased in March, mainly due to price increases. China's cotton exports increased in April. US cotton new - crop signing is sluggish. Zhengzhou cotton may be volatile in the short - term, and the future is cautiously optimistic [44][45][47] 2.8 Agricultural Products (Corn) - Corn warehouse receipts reached a high, and the basis turned positive. The new wheat crop may have a reduced yield. Corn supply and demand gap has not been filled, and prices are expected to rise [48] 2.9 Agricultural Products (Live Pigs) - The market supply of live pigs will continue to be excessive in the future. It is recommended to short on rebounds [50] 2.10 Agricultural Products (Soybean Meal) - The drought area in the US soybean - producing area has decreased. The supply pressure of soybean meal will gradually increase. Futures prices are temporarily volatile [51][53] 2.11 Black Metal (Rebar/Hot - Rolled Coil) - The use of special bonds to acquire land has accelerated. Steel production and inventory data show that steel prices are under pressure, and short - term prices are expected to be oscillating [55][59] 2.12 Non - Ferrous Metal (Alumina) - National alumina inventory decreased. Prices increased slightly. Alumina production capacity is expected to gradually recover [60][61] 2.13 Non - Ferrous Metal (Lithium Carbonate) - The EU has postponed two matters of the battery bill, giving Chinese lithium - battery enterprises a buffer. The long - term bearish pattern remains unchanged, but the short - term decline space is limited [63][64] 2.14 Non - Ferrous Metal (Polysilicon) - A photovoltaic enterprise plans to invest in Indonesia. Polysilicon prices are slightly falling. The supply - demand situation is uncertain, and attention should be paid to supply - side changes [65][66] 2.15 Non - Ferrous Metal (Industrial Silicon) - An industrial silicon technical transformation project has started. Supply pressure is increasing, and demand is not improving. Spot prices lack the impetus to rebound [69] 2.16 Non - Ferrous Metal (Nickel) - LME nickel inventory decreased. The supply - demand situation of nickel is complex, with limited upward and downward space. Short - term range - bound operation and medium - term shorting on rebounds are recommended [71][73] 2.17 Non - Ferrous Metal (Lead) - The LME lead spread is at a discount. The supply - demand situation of lead is weak in the short - term, but medium - term long opportunities are emerging [74] 2.18 Non - Ferrous Metal (Zinc) - The LME zinc spread is at a discount. Zinc mine processing fees are increasing, and supply is expected to be loose. Short - term shorting on rebounds and medium - term long - short spreads are recommended [76][77] 2.19 Energy Chemical (Carbon Emissions) - EU carbon prices are oscillating. Future temperature and wind power generation in Europe will affect carbon prices [78] 2.20 Energy Chemical (Crude Oil) - Iran - US nuclear negotiations are progressing. US oil drilling rigs have decreased. Short - term crude oil price rebound drivers are weak [80][81] 2.21 Energy Chemical (Bottle Chips) - Bottle chip factory export prices are mostly stable, with partial slight decreases. Supply pressure is increasing, and processing fees are expected to remain low [84][85] 2.22 Energy Chemical (Soda Ash) - Soda ash prices are falling. Supply is slightly adjusted, and demand is average. Short - term maintenance may support prices, and medium - term shorting on rebounds is recommended [86] 2.23 Energy Chemical (Float Glass) - Glass futures prices are falling. The spot market is stable in some areas and weak in others. Glass prices are expected to remain low, and attention should be paid to real - estate policy changes [87][88]
金融数据向好,支持实体经济市场分析
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-05-15 05:17
Report Industry Investment Rating - The overall rating for commodities and stock index futures is neutral, waiting for fundamental verification [6] Core Viewpoints - Financial data is positive, supporting the real economy [1] - Short - term focus is on economic fact verification, and attention should be paid to global trade policy games [2][3] - The US May FOMC meeting maintained the target interest rate, and inflation pressure has further eased [4] - For commodities, pay attention to the transmission of fundamentals in the follow - up and stagflation allocation in the long - term [5] Summary by Related Catalogs Market Analysis - On May 7, "One Bank, One Administration, and One Commission" introduced a package of financial policies to boost the economy. The central bank launched ten monetary policy measures in three major categories, including a 0.5 - percentage - point reserve requirement ratio cut and a 0.1 - percentage - point policy interest rate cut [2] - In April, China's exports increased by 8.1% year - on - year, and imports decreased by 0.2% year - on - year. Exports to the US decreased by 21%, while those to ASEAN increased by 20.8%. Labor - intensive product exports were significantly impacted [2] - From January to April 2025, the incremental social financing scale increased, indicating greater financial support for the real economy [2] - The China - US Geneva economic and trade talks achieved substantial progress. China reduced the tariff rate on US - imported goods from 34% to 10% and suspended 24% of additional tariffs for 90 days [2] - On May 14, the A - share market fluctuated upward, and sectors such as large - scale finance led the Shanghai Composite Index to regain 3,400 points [2] Global Trade Policy - On May 8, the UK and the US reached an agreement on tariff trade terms, with a "tax rate + volume" restriction approach. This may impact global trade, and negotiations with other countries are still ongoing [3] - India countered the Trump tariff policy by imposing tariffs on some US products [3] - Based on the 2018 - 2019 situation, if the weighted average import tariff rate is adjusted downward, the expected upward pressure on long - term inflation will also be reduced [3] US Interest Rate Policy - The US May FOMC meeting statement maintained the target interest rate. Economic prospects are more uncertain, and the risks of rising unemployment and inflation have increased [4] - The US April CPI data in May was lower than expected, indicating further alleviation of inflation pressure, but the impact of tariffs has not fully reached the consumer end [4] Commodity Market - From the 2018 tariff review, the tariff increase event first led to a decline in demand trading and then an increase in inflation trading. Industrial products need to be vigilant against the emotional impact of US stock adjustments, while agricultural products are more likely to have upward price fluctuations [5] - China has stopped purchasing US soybeans and corn since mid - January and increased purchases from Brazil [5] - Crude oil prices have declined, and OPEC + plans to increase production in June and may continue in July, with a relatively loose medium - term supply [5] - Due to policy uncertainties and trade policy games, there is a risk of a short - term correction in gold [5] Strategy - The overall rating for commodities and stock index futures is neutral, waiting for fundamental verification [6] Important News - From January to April 2025, the cumulative incremental social financing scale was 16.34 trillion yuan, 3.61 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [8] - Starting from 12:01 on May 14, China adjusted the tariff increase measures on US - imported goods, reducing the tariff rate from 34% to 10% and suspending 24% of additional tariffs for 90 days [9] - The State Council issued the "Legislative Work Plan for 2025", including drafts of the National Development Planning Law, the Financial Law, and revisions to the Tendering and Bidding Law [9]
宝城期货资讯早班车-20250512
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-05-12 07:39
1. Macroeconomic Data Overview - GDP in Q1 2025 grew by 5.4% year-on-year, the same as the previous quarter and slightly higher than the same period last year [1] - In April 2025, the manufacturing PMI was 49.0%, down from 50.5% in the previous month; the non - manufacturing PMI for business activities was 50.4%, down from 50.8% in the previous month [1] - In April 2025, the Caixin manufacturing PMI was 50.4%, down from 51.2% in the previous month; the Caixin services business activity index was 50.7%, down from 51.9% in the previous month [1] - In March 2025, the year - on - year growth rates of M0, M1, and M2 were 11.5%, 1.6%, and 7.0% respectively [1] - In April 2025, CPI was down 0.1% year - on - year, and PPI was down 2.7% year - on - year [1] - In April 2025, exports increased by 8.1% year - on - year, and imports decreased by 0.2% year - on - year [1] 2. Commodity Investment Reference 2.1 Comprehensive - The China - US high - level economic and trade talks on May 10 - 11 in Geneva were productive, and a consultation mechanism will be established [2] - The central bank will implement a moderately loose monetary policy in the next stage, and boosting consumption is the key to expanding domestic demand [2] - In April 2025, CPI turned from a 0.4% decline in the previous month to a 0.1% increase month - on - month, and core CPI rose 0.2% month - on - month [3] 2.2 Metals - Gold prices are volatile, and many wealth management companies have launched gold - linked wealth management products [5] - Goldman Sachs raised its copper price forecasts for Q2 and Q3 2025 to $9330/ton and $9150/ton respectively [6] 2.3 Coal, Coke, Steel, and Minerals - China will carry out a special campaign to combat the smuggling of strategic minerals [7] 2.4 Energy and Chemicals - Iraq plans to export 3.2 million barrels of crude oil per day in June [9] - Oman is considering selling an $8 billion stake in a natural gas field [9] 2.5 Agricultural Products - On May 9, the average wholesale price of pork increased by 0.1% compared to April 30 [10] - In April 2025, China's soybean imports increased by 72.59% month - on - month [10] 3. Financial News Compilation 3.1 Open Market - On May 9, the central bank conducted 77 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net investment of 77 billion yuan [12] - This week, 836.1 billion yuan of reverse repurchases and 125 billion yuan of MLF will mature [12] 3.2 Key News - The China - US high - level economic and trade talks achieved important consensus and substantial progress [13] - The State Council called for in - depth planning of the "15th Five - Year Plan" and support for free trade zones [15] - China's goods trade imports and exports in the first four months increased by 2.4% year - on - year [16] 3.3 Bond Market Summary - Treasury bond futures mostly fell slightly, and the yield of the 10 - year Treasury bond active bond rose 0.4bp [22] - The money market funds were loose, and the repo rates of deposit - type institutions decreased [22] 3.4 Foreign Exchange Market - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar closed at 7.2461 on May 12, down 106 points from the previous trading day [27] - In Q1 2025, China's current account surplus was $165.6 billion [28] 3.5 Research Report Highlights - Huatai Fixed Income said that the bond market has several new trends this year [29] - CITIC Securities believes that the credit spread is unlikely to decline trendily in May [29] 4. Stock Market Key News - This week, 28 A - share stocks will face restricted - share unlocking, with a total market value of 18.63 billion yuan [33] - Since May, many fund companies have conducted intensive research on listed companies [33] - Some private equity firms believe that the stage of the greatest impact of tariffs has passed [34]
中国消息提振,亚洲股市全线上涨,原油铁矿石上涨,黄金大跌40美元
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-05-07 02:57
随着中国降准降息并确认与美国进行经贸会谈,风险偏好情绪大振。亚洲股市上涨,铁矿石、钢铁等期货价格上涨。避险情绪消 退,美联储本周降息预期进一步减弱,美元走强,黄金亚盘时段大跌。 周三上午9时,国新办举行新闻发布会,中国人民银行行长潘功胜同时宣布降准降息,将下调金融机构存款准备金率0.5个百分 点,并下调政策利率0.1个百分点,从目前的1.5%下调到1.4%,同时下调住房公积金利率0.25个百分点。今日稍早外交部表示, 国务院副总理何立峰将于5月9日至12日访问瑞士,访瑞期间,何立峰副总理作为中美经贸中方牵头人,将与美方牵头人美国财政 部长贝森特举行会谈。 避险情绪消退,黄金跌破3400美元/盎司整数关口,日内跌幅一度超2%,截至发稿,跌幅收窄至1.2%。 | INE原油 | 467.0 | 9.2 | 2.01% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | ICE2号棉花 | 68.84 d | 1.01 | 1.49% | | CBOT大豆 | 1053.50 d | 12.25 | 1.18% | | CBOT玉米 | 460.50 d | 5.00 | 1.10% | | CBOT小麦 ...
ST沪科(600608) - ST沪科2025年第一季度经营数据公告
2025-04-28 14:14
证券代码:600608 证券简称:ST 沪科 公告编号:临 2025-024 上海宽频科技股份有限公司 根据上海证券交易所《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第3号——行 业信息披露》的规定及相关要求,上海宽频科技股份有限公司(下称"公司")现 就2025年第一季度主要经营数据披露如下: | | | | 主营业务分行业情况 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 分行业 | 营业收入 | 营业成本 | 毛利率 | 营业收入比上 | 营业成本比 上年增减 | 毛利率比上年增减 | | | | | | (%) | 年增减(%) | (%) | (%) | | | 商品流通业 | 4,255,612.28 | 350,843.44 | 91.76 | -30.40 | -90.59 | 增加 52.76 | 个百分点 | | | | | 主营业务分产品情况 | | | | | | 分产品 | 营业收入 | 营业成本 | 毛利率 | 营业收入比上 | 营业成本比 | 毛利率比上年增减 | | | | | | (%) | 年增减(%) ...