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看到中美达成了共识,德国率先变脸,转向幅度之大,各方错愕
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-02 07:46
Group 1 - The recent US-China talks resulted in unexpected outcomes, with both sides providing concessions without escalating tensions, indicating a strategic calculation behind the apparent win-win situation [1][5] - China achieved key results such as tariff extensions, partial reductions, and some sanctions being eased, while the US gained more negotiating space regarding rare earth exports [1][5] - The global implications of the US-China thaw are significant, as countries that previously relied on choosing sides must now navigate their own paths, leading to discomfort for Japan, South Korea, and the EU [5][8] Group 2 - Despite the easing of tensions, there remains an intense underlying competition, with China managing to withstand global tax pressures and maintain stability while others face increasing tax burdens [3][9] - Germany's rapid shift in stance reflects a realization of its precarious position, as it can no longer rely solely on ideological alignments with the US while facing its own industrial challenges [8][9] - The EU, particularly Germany, must reassess its economic relationship with China, focusing on practical cooperation in key industries like electric vehicles, energy, and AI, rather than ideological posturing [9][10] Group 3 - The current geopolitical landscape presents both pressure and opportunity for Europe, as it can no longer depend on US policies for protection and must engage in meaningful economic collaboration to influence global rules [14] - Germany's recent pivot towards realism signifies a shift from being a passive player to actively seeking beneficial partnerships, recognizing that cooperation is essential for economic survival [10][14] - The ongoing US-China détente provides a "repair window" for Europe to propose cooperation in sectors where mutual benefits can be realized, emphasizing the need for action over rhetoric [12][14]
贸易战2.5:市场太乐观了?
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-13 08:41
美国政府停摆到连就业数据都发不出来,中国的十一假期人均消费再降一层,双方都有要忧虑的事情。大国不止有科技,还有民生,民生占99%,但此时 都被那战略性的1%牵制住了精力。 我们其实也想把重心转移回国内的。 有一条消息其实很多人忽略了。BB社多篇报道称,中国在与美国的上一轮谈判中提出过以大规模增加对美直接投资,作为交换,希望美方放宽对中国投 资及企业交易的限制措施。据称这一提议发生在9月的马德里会谈中,中方曾提出大规模的投资额度,并在谈判中还要求美方降低中国企业在美建厂所需 进口原材料的关税,以及希望美国在敏感问题上调整政策立场。 关于这次升级,如果一定要阅读,读培风客的《贸易战升级》和tuzhuxi的《中美贸易战推演》两篇基本足够了(包括我这篇啰嗦也不重要),我也赞同 他们整体乐观的倾向和分析判断。只不过想补充一个可能的低概率暧昧情形,即摩擦时间比预期长,且截至月底的APEC会议也没有定论,而非速战速决 快速TACO。 这次摩擦市场在经验上有准备,但心理上不太有准备。一方面,市场有了4月V型走势的经验,对TACO的预期更强,对后续走势有了参照物。目前几乎所 有研究预测的基调都是会缓和,逢低买的声音比较强。但没 ...
格蕾塔救不了加沙,也救不了欧洲人的良心
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-12 05:50
Core Points - The article discusses the absurdity of recent humanitarian efforts to aid Gaza, led by a coalition of European countries, which faced a predictable response from Israel, including the interception and detention of participants [1][3][5] - The scale of the current humanitarian fleet is significantly larger than previous attempts, receiving considerable political support in Europe, yet the outcome remains ineffective [3][5] - The article highlights the political dynamics within Israel, particularly Netanyahu's use of war to divert attention from internal pressures, suggesting that the ongoing conflict is more about political survival than military strategy [8][9] - The perception of Israel as a civilized nation defending against barbarism is critiqued, emphasizing that such narratives do not lead to civilized outcomes and can result in greater disasters [10][11] - The article argues that the current international order, which promotes a two-state solution, is unrealistic given the deep-rooted cultural, religious, and geopolitical conflicts that cannot be resolved through negotiation alone [17][18] - It points out the contradictions in Western leftist perspectives on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, noting that their actions have not significantly changed the situation for the people of Gaza [20][21] - The article concludes that a realistic approach is necessary to address the complexities of the conflict, rather than relying on idealistic or simplistic solutions [22][23]
对于当前社会的理解,网文是面最好的镜子
虎嗅APP· 2025-09-11 13:41
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolution of online literature in China, highlighting its reflection of societal changes and the impact of different historical periods on literary themes and genres [5][6]. Group 1: Evolution of Online Literature - Online literature has undergone significant transformations, paralleling the industrial and technological revolutions from the 1980s to the present [6][7]. - The article categorizes online literature into four main genres: Wuxia (martial arts), time travel, cultivation (Xianxia), and female-oriented narratives [8]. Group 2: Wuxia Literature - Wuxia literature represents the agricultural society, emphasizing collective values and the traditional master-apprentice relationship [10][12]. - The genre reflects a high moral standard and a strong sense of justice, rooted in the historical context of small artisan communities [12]. Group 3: Time Travel Literature - Time travel narratives resonate with the industrial era, often portraying protagonists who seek to improve the past using modern knowledge [13][18]. - The genre is experiencing a decline due to the rapid industrialization and the saturation of historical periods available for exploration [19][20]. Group 4: Cultivation Literature - Cultivation literature mirrors contemporary society, characterized by individualism and a hierarchical structure similar to modern corporate environments [21][23]. - The genre emphasizes personal growth and the importance of resources, reflecting a realistic approach to success and achievement [31]. Group 5: Female-Oriented Narratives - Female-oriented literature encompasses various genres but primarily focuses on themes of love and human nature, appealing to both male and female readers [33][34]. - This genre has proven commercially viable, with many popular adaptations originating from female-oriented narratives [33][36]. Group 6: Future of Online Literature - The article suggests that the future of online literature may align with China's advancements in science and technology, potentially leading to a resurgence of science fiction [38][39]. - The evolution of online literature serves as a mirror to societal changes, emphasizing the need to understand the underlying production forces shaping narratives [41][42].
“因为我也是‘无名之辈’”
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-07-17 22:02
Core Viewpoint - The film "无名之辈:否极泰来" directed by 饶晓志 explores the themes of ordinary people's struggles and choices in the face of adversity, continuing the narrative from the original film "无名之辈" released in 2018 [1][2] Group 1: Film Overview - "无名之辈:否极泰来" features the protagonist 陈三金, a small foreign trade businessman who finds himself in a bizarre yet real predicament due to a reality-show-like scam [1] - The film aims to provide not only visual enjoyment but also provoke thought and reflection among the audience [1] Group 2: Director's Perspective - 饶晓志 expresses concern over the lack of independent thinking and personal judgment in the internet age, where people often rely on external opinions for their value judgments [2] - He emphasizes the importance of personal interpretation and understanding of the world, advocating for a deeper engagement with one's own thoughts [2] Group 3: Future Projects - Following "无名之辈:否极泰来," another sequel titled "无名之辈:意义非凡" is set to be released by the end of the year, expanding the narrative to include broader themes and settings [4] - The new installment will take the story from 浙江义乌 to international locations like 泰国 and 意大利, reflecting the interconnectedness of individual fates in a global context [4]
第三十届上海电视节评出白玉兰奖 真实自有千钧之力
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-06-30 21:58
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significance of authenticity and emotional resonance in television dramas, as evidenced by the success of the award-winning series at the Shanghai Television Festival [1][2][3] - The 30th Shanghai Television Festival awarded notable works such as "My Alatai" and "Mountain Flowers Blooming" for their realistic portrayal of contemporary issues and historical narratives, reflecting a shift towards more meaningful storytelling [2][3] - The evaluation of the award-winning works emphasizes the importance of connecting with audience needs and societal realities, showcasing a trend towards realism in contemporary television [3][4] Group 2 - The competition for awards was intense, with several series receiving multiple nominations, indicating a vibrant and evolving television industry [2][4] - The judges and industry experts stress that regardless of the format, whether long or short dramas, the essence of good storytelling and meaningful themes remains paramount [4][5] - The ongoing evolution of television formats, including the rise of short dramas, is seen as complementary rather than a replacement for traditional long-form storytelling, with both having distinct roles in the industry [4][5]
从莫奈到梵高,巴黎奥赛博物馆多幅镇馆之宝来到上海
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-06-20 09:48
Core Viewpoint - The exhibition "Creating Modernity: Treasures of Art from the Musée d'Orsay" showcases significant artworks from the Musée d'Orsay, marking the largest exhibition of its kind in China, running from June 19 to October 12 at the Pudong Art Museum [1][12]. Group 1: Exhibition Highlights - The exhibition features masterpieces such as Van Gogh's "The Bedroom in Arles" and "Self-Portrait," Millet's "The Gleaners," Gauguin's "Women of Tahiti," and Monet's "Haystacks in Late Summer," among others [1][12]. - It covers various art movements from 1848 to 1914, including academic, realism, naturalism, impressionism, post-impressionism, and Nabi, emphasizing the social and political significance of the artworks [1][3]. Group 2: Artistic Context - The exhibition reflects the artistic tensions of the mid-19th century, highlighting the debate between accepted and rejected works in official salons, which set the stage for modern art transformations [3][4]. - Notable artists like Millet and Manet are featured, showcasing their contributions to realism and impressionism, respectively, and their influence on subsequent generations of artists [3][6]. Group 3: Immersive Experience - The exhibition design, led by French designer Cécile de Gault, creates an immersive experience reminiscent of the Musée d'Orsay, enhancing visitor engagement [12]. - A special immersive project titled "Paris 1874: Impressionist Night" allows visitors to experience the birth of impressionism through a 45-minute journey back to 1874 Paris [14]. Group 4: Educational Initiatives - The exhibition introduces a "Children's Exhibition Guide" to facilitate understanding of the artworks for younger audiences, promoting art education and engagement [14]. - A ticket collaboration with the Rodin Art Center allows visitors to explore Rodin's influence on modernity, enhancing the overall educational experience [15]. Group 5: Collaborative Efforts - The exhibition is organized by the Musée d'Orsay and Pudong Art Museum, with support from the French Consulate in Shanghai and inclusion in the 2025 "China-France Cultural Spring" initiative [17].
好剧正在找回“活人感”
3 6 Ke· 2025-06-13 08:07
Group 1 - The core concept of "living feeling" reflects a desire for authenticity and emotional connection in the face of digital alienation, as audiences seek characters and stories that feel real and relatable [1][21] - Recent series have successfully captured this "living feeling," showcasing innovative storytelling and character development that resonate with viewers [1][9] - The series "In the World" exemplifies this trend, employing unconventional narrative techniques and exploring deep psychological themes, which may challenge mainstream audience preferences [3][8][9] Group 2 - "In the World" presents a highly condensed realism, revealing the absurdity of extreme reality and addressing the loss of subjectivity faced by modern individuals [5][9] - The character dynamics in "In the World," particularly the unique love story between the protagonist and her alternate personality, add depth and complexity to the narrative [6][24] - The series "Longan's Lychee" features relatable small characters, highlighting their struggles and resilience in a challenging environment, which enhances the "living feeling" [10][26] Group 3 - The emotional depth in series like "Lingjiang Xian" contrasts with traditional fantasy narratives, presenting complex character relationships that mirror real-life conflicts [21][23] - The success of these new series indicates a shift away from formulaic storytelling towards more nuanced and imperfect portrayals of life, emphasizing the importance of character complexity and authentic narratives [27]
李在明反日吗?
日经中文网· 2025-06-04 02:19
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the complex stance of Lee Jae-myung, the newly elected president of South Korea, regarding Japan, highlighting his contradictory statements and the potential implications for Korea-Japan relations [1][2]. Group 1: Lee Jae-myung's Position on Japan - Lee Jae-myung has expressed concerns about Japan's military hostility towards South Korea and has called for a comprehensive reassessment of the Korea-Japan agreement on the comfort women issue [1]. - He opposes the Korea-Japan Military Intelligence Protection Agreement (GSOMIA) and criticizes Japan's handling of the Fukushima nuclear plant's wastewater [1]. - Despite his critical stance, Lee also acknowledges the importance of Korea and Japan's relationship, likening it to that of a married couple, which creates ambiguity in his policy direction towards Japan [1]. Group 2: Public Perception and Political Strategy - Lee's rhetoric aligns with the general sentiments of the South Korean public, which may appear anti-Japanese to the Japanese audience accustomed to the previous administration's policies [2]. - Throughout the election, Lee did not make strong statements indicating a willingness to worsen Korea-Japan relations over historical and territorial disputes, suggesting a desire to maintain current diplomatic ties [2]. - He has adopted a calm and composed public persona, referencing the concept of "wooden chicken" from Chinese literature, indicating a strategy of resilience in the face of criticism [2].
《拾穗者》:田野上的现实主义史诗
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-06-03 06:43
Core Perspective - The artwork "The Gleaners" by Jean-François Millet captures the essence of 19th-century rural life in France, challenging the class narratives in art history and provoking thoughts on fairness and dignity across different eras [1][3]. Artistic Analysis - Millet employs a low-angle perspective to integrate the three female gleaners with the earth, emphasizing their labor and the passage of time through their worn clothing and postures [1][2]. - The color palette predominantly features ochre and earth tones, with red and blue headscarves providing visual contrast, symbolizing the vitality of laborers amidst a monotonous existence [2]. - The painting's foreground is characterized by rough brushstrokes that convey the strength of the figures, while the background uses simplified color blocks, highlighting the social perception differences between classes [2]. Historical Context - In mid-19th century France, the traditional tenant farming system was collapsing, and farmers' land rights were increasingly eroded, despite historical legal recognition of gleaning rights [3]. - Millet's relocation to Barbizon in 1849 allowed him to observe and depict the overlooked reality of gleaning, positioning the humble female laborers as central figures in his work [3]. Societal Impact - "The Gleaners" transcends the realm of painting, influencing later artists to engage with social issues, from 19th-century social realism to contemporary street art addressing poverty [4]. - Feminist critiques highlight the silent yet resilient presence of female laborers in Millet's work, suggesting that their physical actions represent a broader narrative of women's labor history [4]. Contemporary Relevance - In the 21st century, the metaphor of "gleaning" remains significant, reflecting individuals seeking survival opportunities in a data-driven world, akin to modern-day scavengers [5]. - Millet's portrayal of labor dignity and survival struggles compels audiences to confront the ongoing question of individual rights amidst accumulating social wealth [5].