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美股市场速览:资金流入减速,行业分化明显
Guoxin Securities· 2025-09-28 02:55
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Weaker than the market" rating for the U.S. stock market [1] Core Insights - The U.S. stock market has shown signs of slowing capital inflow, with significant industry differentiation observed [1][4] - The S&P 500 index has experienced a slight decline of 0.3% this week, while the Nasdaq fell by 0.7% [3] - Energy, automotive, utilities, and technology hardware sectors have shown positive performance, while retail, media, and materials sectors have faced declines [3][4] Summary by Sections Price Trends - The S&P 500 index decreased by 0.3%, and the Nasdaq dropped by 0.7% this week - The performance ranking of styles is as follows: Large-cap value (+0.1%) > Small-cap value (-0.1%) > Large-cap growth (-0.8%) > Small-cap growth (-1.0%) [3] Capital Flows - Estimated capital flow for S&P 500 components was +$12.5 billion this week, down from +$134.6 billion last week - 10 sectors saw capital inflows, while 14 experienced outflows - Notable inflows were seen in semiconductors (+$23.6 million), automotive (+$15.9 million), and technology hardware (+$9.5 million) [4] Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for S&P 500 components was adjusted upward by 0.3% this week - 21 sectors saw an increase in earnings expectations, while materials and retail sectors experienced declines [5]
Unveiling Vail Resorts (MTN) Q4 Outlook: Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-09-24 14:15
Core Viewpoint - Vail Resorts (MTN) is expected to report a quarterly loss of -$4.78 per share, a decline of 2.4% year over year, with revenues forecasted at $269.98 million, reflecting a 1.7% increase compared to the previous year [1] Financial Estimates - Analysts predict 'Net Revenue- Lodging net revenue' will reach $88.25 million, indicating a year-over-year change of -1.3% [4] - 'Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue' is expected to be $179.08 million, showing a change of +1.8% from the prior-year quarter [4] - The combined 'Net Revenue- Resort net revenue' is estimated at $267.74 million, suggesting a change of +0.9% year over year [4] Specific Revenue Components - 'Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue- Other' is projected at $71.77 million, reflecting a -5.4% change from the year-ago quarter [5] - 'Net Revenue- Lodging net revenue- Managed condominium rooms' is expected to be $10.46 million, indicating a -0.3% year-over-year change [5] - 'Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue- Retail/rental' is forecasted at $26.29 million, showing an increase of +8.2% from the prior-year quarter [6] - 'Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue- Dining' is estimated at $20.51 million, indicating a +14.2% change from the prior-year quarter [6] - 'Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue- Ski school' is projected at $10.27 million, reflecting an +8.2% year-over-year change [7] - 'Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue- Lift' is expected to be $44.64 million, indicating a -7.5% change from the prior-year quarter [7] Lodging and Mountain Metrics - 'Lodging - Managed condominium statistics - RevPAR' is expected to reach $46.15, slightly down from $46.30 year-ago value [8] - 'Lodging - Owned hotel statistics - RevPAR' is forecasted at $178.07, compared to $175.22 in the same quarter last year [8] - 'Mountain - ETP' is estimated at $59.70, down from $69.04 reported in the same quarter last year [8] Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of Vail Resorts have returned -8%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has increased by +3.1% [9] - Currently, MTN holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance relative to the overall market in the near future [9]
What Analyst Projections for Key Metrics Reveal About Accenture (ACN) Q4 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-09-22 14:16
Core Insights - Analysts forecast Accenture (ACN) to report quarterly earnings of $2.98 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 6.8% [1] - Expected revenues are projected to be $17.33 billion, indicating a 5.6% increase compared to the same quarter last year [1] - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, suggesting stability in analysts' assessments [1] Revenue Estimates - Consulting revenues are expected to reach $8.57 billion, a year-over-year increase of 3.8% [4] - Managed Services revenues are projected at $8.75 billion, reflecting a 7.5% year-over-year change [4] - Product revenues are anticipated to be $5.22 billion, indicating a 5.4% increase from the prior year [5] - Health & Public Service revenues are forecasted at $3.77 billion, showing a 4.2% year-over-year growth [5] - Financial Services revenues are expected to reach $3.06 billion, reflecting a 6.6% increase [6] - Communications, Media & Technology revenues are projected at $2.86 billion, indicating a 4.1% year-over-year change [6] - Geographic Revenue from the Americas is expected to be $8.72 billion, reflecting a 9.4% increase [6] - Asia Pacific revenues are projected at $2.43 billion, indicating a decline of 13.3% year-over-year [7] - EMEA revenues are expected to reach $6.11 billion, reflecting an 8.3% increase [7] New Bookings - Total New Bookings are projected to be $20.97 billion, up from $20.15 billion year-over-year [7] - Managed Services New Bookings are expected at $12.02 billion, compared to $11.55 billion in the same quarter last year [8] - Consulting New Bookings are forecasted at $8.95 billion, up from $8.59 billion in the same quarter last year [8] Stock Performance - Over the past month, Accenture shares have recorded a return of -7.5%, contrasting with the S&P 500 composite's +4% change [8]
Wall Street's Insights Into Key Metrics Ahead of KB Home (KBH) Q3 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-09-19 14:16
Core Viewpoint - KB Home is expected to report a significant decline in quarterly earnings and revenues, indicating challenges in the current market environment [1][5]. Financial Performance Estimates - Analysts predict KB Home's quarterly earnings per share (EPS) to be $1.50, a decrease of 26.5% year-over-year [1]. - Revenue is forecasted at $1.6 billion, reflecting an 8.9% decline compared to the previous year [1]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 2.6% in the last 30 days [2]. Revenue Breakdown - Total Revenues from Homebuilding are expected to reach $1.60 billion, down 8.1% year-over-year [5]. - Financial services revenues are projected at $5.74 million, indicating a 13.4% decrease [5]. - Total Revenues from Homebuilding alone are estimated at $1.61 billion, also down 8.1% from the previous year [5]. Operational Metrics - Backlog Units are expected to be 4,411, down from 5,724 year-over-year [6]. - Unit deliveries for Total Homes are projected at 3,351, compared to 3,631 in the same quarter last year [6]. - Net orders for Units are estimated at 2,986, down from 3,085 year-over-year [6]. Pricing and Community Metrics - The Average Selling Price is forecasted to be $474.39 million, down from $480.90 million in the same quarter last year [7]. - Ending community count is estimated at 253, slightly down from 254 year-over-year [7]. - Backlog Value is expected to reach $2.23 billion, down from $2.92 billion year-over-year [8]. Income and Market Performance - Operating Income from Homebuilding is estimated at $124.81 million, down from $188.95 million in the same quarter last year [8]. - Financial services pretax income is projected at $9.58 million, down from $10.95 million year-over-year [9]. - KB Home shares have increased by 7.3% in the past month, outperforming the S&P 500 composite's 3% increase [9].
Darden Restaurants (DRI) Q1 Earnings Preview: What You Should Know Beyond the Headline Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-09-15 14:15
Core Viewpoint - Darden Restaurants (DRI) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.99 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 13.7%, with revenues projected at $3.04 billion, up 10.2% from the previous year [1] Earnings Projections - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 0.3% in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [1][2] - Changes in earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor reactions and short-term stock price movements [2] Sales Estimates - Analysts estimate 'Sales- Olive Garden' to reach $1.31 billion, indicating a year-over-year change of +7.9% [3] - 'Sales- Other Business' is projected at $665.09 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +19.7% [4] - 'Sales- Fine Dining' is expected to be $290.21 million, showing a +4.1% change from the prior year [4] - 'Sales- LongHorn Steakhouse' is estimated at $783.54 million, indicating a +9.8% change from the previous year [4] Company-Owned Restaurants - Total company-owned restaurants are expected to reach 2,167, up from 2,040 a year ago [5] - Same-restaurant sales for LongHorn Steakhouse are projected to increase by 5.8%, compared to 3.7% in the previous year [5] - Company-owned restaurants for LongHorn Steakhouse are estimated at 594, up from 577 in the same quarter last year [5] - Olive Garden's company-owned restaurants are expected to be 936, compared to 923 a year ago [6] - Ruth's Chris Steak House is projected at 83, up from 82 last year [6] - Bahama Breeze is expected to have 28 company-owned restaurants, down from 44 in the previous year [6] - Seasons 52 is projected at 43, compared to 44 last year [7] - Eddie V's is expected to remain at 29, unchanged from the previous year [7] Stock Performance - Darden Restaurants shares have increased by +2.5% in the past month, slightly outperforming the +2.3% move of the Zacks S&P 500 composite [8] - The company holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating it is expected to mirror overall market performance in the near future [8]
Korn/Ferry (KFY) Q1 Earnings Preview: What You Should Know Beyond the Headline Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-09-04 14:16
Core Viewpoint - Korn/Ferry (KFY) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.24 per share, reflecting a 5.1% increase year-over-year, with revenues projected at $685.13 million, a 1.5% increase compared to the previous year [1]. Group 1: Earnings and Revenue Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the past 30 days, indicating analysts' reassessment of their projections [1]. - Analysts predict 'Fee Revenue- Total Executive search' to be $217.22 million, showing a year-over-year increase of 4.1% [4]. - The average estimate for 'Fee Revenue' stands at $685.03 million, indicating a 1.5% increase from the prior-year quarter [4]. - 'Fee Revenue- Digital' is expected to reach $89.03 million, reflecting a 1% increase from the year-ago quarter [4]. - 'Fee Revenue- Consulting' is projected to be $162.60 million, indicating a decrease of 3.1% from the prior-year quarter [5]. Group 2: Market Performance - Over the past month, shares of Korn/Ferry have returned 4.4%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's 3.6% change [5]. - Korn/Ferry currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting its performance may align with the overall market in the near future [5].
美的集团(000333):龙头彰显稳健经营能力
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-02 18:31
Core Viewpoint - The company demonstrated robust operational capabilities with double-digit growth in revenue and performance despite intensified industry competition and diminishing effects of national subsidies [1][2]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 252.33 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.68%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 26.01 billion yuan, up 25.04% year-on-year [2]. - In Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 123.90 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.99%, and a net profit of 13.59 billion yuan, which is a 15.14% increase year-on-year [2]. Business Segments - The C-end domestic sales share showed a strong recovery, with the smart home business growing by 13% year-on-year in H1 2025. The company’s brands gained market share in domestic air conditioning, refrigeration, and washing machine markets by 3.7, 1.7, and 2.8 percentage points respectively [2]. - The B-end business also continued to improve, with an overall year-on-year growth of 21% in H1 2025, particularly in industrial technology, building intelligence, and robotics sectors, which grew by 29%, 24%, and 8% respectively [2]. Profitability Metrics - In Q2 2025, the company's gross margin was 26.17%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin improved to 11.22%, an increase of 0.38 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The company experienced a positive contribution from financial expenses, amounting to 3.15 billion yuan, which is an increase of 1.98 billion yuan year-on-year, benefiting from improved foreign exchange gains due to the appreciation of the euro against the yuan [3]. Investment Outlook - The company maintains its profit forecast for 2025-2027, with expected EPS of 5.70, 6.30, and 6.82 yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 14%, 11%, and 8% [1]. - The target price is set at 87.15 yuan, corresponding to a 15X valuation for 2025, with a maintained "buy" rating [1].
招商轮船(601872):2025年半年度报告点评:Q2归母净利润+12%,集运分部净利润高增
Xinda Securities· 2025-09-02 11:28
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the company's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 12.585 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 4.91%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.125 billion, down 14.91% year-on-year. However, in Q2 2025, the net profit increased by 12.25% year-on-year [4][6] - The report emphasizes the strong performance of the container shipping segment, which saw a net profit increase of 161.50% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [4][6] Summary by Sections Oil Tanker Transportation - The company maintains the world's largest VLCC fleet, consisting of 52 vessels with a total deadweight tonnage of 16.11 million [4] - In H1 2025, the oil tanker segment generated revenue of 4.443 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 10.46%, with a net profit of 1.293 billion, down 22.77% [4] Dry Bulk Transportation - The company also holds the world's largest VLOC fleet, comprising 93 vessels with a total deadweight tonnage of 18.5595 million [4] - In H1 2025, the dry bulk segment reported revenue of 3.701 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 6.50%, and a net profit of 422 million, down 47.27% [4] Container Shipping - The container fleet includes 19 vessels with a total capacity of 42.4 thousand TEU [4] - In H1 2025, the container shipping segment achieved revenue of 3.020 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10.93%, and a net profit of 628 million, reflecting a significant increase of 161.50% [4] Financial Forecasts - The company is expected to achieve total revenue of 25.592 billion, 26.874 billion, and 27.703 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of -0.80%, 5.01%, and 3.08% [6] - The forecasted net profit attributable to the parent company for the same years is 5.243 billion, 6.044 billion, and 6.356 billion, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 2.66%, 15.26%, and 5.17% [6]
长春高新(000661):业绩简评经营分析盈利预测、估值与评级风险提示
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-09-02 11:19
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected earnings per share (EPS) of 5.46, 6.06, and 6.78 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 21, 19, and 17 times [4]. Core Insights - The company reported a slight decrease in revenue of 0.54% year-on-year for the first half of 2025, totaling 6.603 billion yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 42.85% to 983 million yuan [2]. - The core subsidiary, Jinsai Pharmaceutical, achieved revenue growth of 6.17% year-on-year, amounting to 5.469 billion yuan, but net profit decreased by 37.35% to 1.108 billion yuan [2]. - The company has significantly increased its R&D investment, reaching 1.335 billion yuan, a 17.32% increase year-on-year, which now constitutes 20.21% of its revenue [2]. Revenue and Profit Analysis - For the second quarter of 2025, the company reported revenue of 3.605 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.16%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 40.75% to 510 million yuan [2]. - The report forecasts a decline in net profit for 2025 to 2.225 billion yuan, a 13.85% decrease from the previous year, with a gradual recovery expected in subsequent years [4]. R&D and Product Development - Jinsai Pharmaceutical is focusing on innovative treatments in various therapeutic areas, including immunology and oncology, with new products like the IL-1β monoclonal antibody and GenSci120 injection entering clinical trials [3]. - The company is actively enhancing its R&D capabilities and talent acquisition to support the development of new products, which is reflected in the increased R&D expenses [2][3]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 2.225 billion yuan in 2025, 2.471 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.766 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding EPS of 5.455, 6.056, and 6.779 yuan [4]. - The projected revenue for 2025 is 12.364 billion yuan, reflecting a decline of 8.18% from the previous year, with a gradual recovery anticipated in the following years [9].
招商轮船(601872):Q2归母净利润+12% 集运分部净利润高增
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-02 08:30
Core Insights - The company, China Merchants Energy Shipping Company (招商轮船), reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with a slight recovery in Q2 [2][3]. Revenue Performance - For H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 12.585 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.91%, while Q2 2025 revenue was 6.989 billion yuan, showing a slight increase of 0.13% [2]. - The revenue from oil tanker transportation in H1 2025 was 4.443 billion yuan, down 10.46% year-on-year, with Q2 revenue at 2.306 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.28% [4][5]. - The dry bulk shipping segment generated 3.701 billion yuan in H1 2025, a decline of 6.50%, with Q2 revenue at 2.021 billion yuan, down 2.00% [7][8]. - The container shipping segment saw a revenue increase to 3.020 billion yuan in H1 2025, up 10.93%, with Q2 revenue at 1.882 billion yuan, an increase of 11.73% [9]. Profitability Analysis - The net profit attributable to shareholders for H1 2025 was 2.125 billion yuan, a decrease of 14.91%, while Q2 net profit was 1.259 billion yuan, an increase of 12.25% [3]. - The non-recurring net profit for H1 2025 was 1.906 billion yuan, down 22.03%, with Q2 showing a decline of 3.04% to 1.053 billion yuan [3]. - The oil tanker segment's net profit for H1 2025 was 1.293 billion yuan, down 22.77%, while Q2 net profit was 806 million yuan, a slight increase of 0.22% [4][5]. - The dry bulk segment's net profit for H1 2025 was 422 million yuan, down 47.27%, with Q2 net profit at 263 million yuan, a decrease of 40.66% [7][8]. - The container segment's net profit for H1 2025 was 628 million yuan, a significant increase of 161.50%, with Q2 net profit at 293 million yuan, up 115.15% [9]. Fleet Overview - As of mid-2025, the company maintained the world's largest VLCC fleet with 52 vessels (16.11 million deadweight tons) and 7 Aframax vessels (770,000 deadweight tons) [4]. - The dry bulk fleet also remained the largest globally, comprising 93 vessels (18.56 million deadweight tons), including 34 VLOCs (13.13 million deadweight tons) [6]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts revenues of 25.592 billion yuan, 26.874 billion yuan, and 27.703 billion yuan for 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of -0.80%, 5.01%, and 3.08% respectively [9]. - Expected net profits for the same period are projected at 5.243 billion yuan, 6.044 billion yuan, and 6.356 billion yuan, with growth rates of 2.66%, 15.26%, and 5.17% respectively [9].