Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has effectively broken through the "turning loss resistance level" of approximately 3450 points, indicating a bullish market phase, although making profits remains challenging [1][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Historical data suggests that when the market breaks through the turning loss resistance level, it often enters a bull market phase driven by fundamental improvements, particularly in corporate earnings [3]. - The current market sentiment has shifted from loss recovery to profit expectation, leading to increased investor confidence and potential for further capital inflow into stocks and funds [3]. - The A-share market has seen new concepts emerging, such as the Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project and assessments of aging petrochemical facilities, indicating evolving investment themes [1][16]. Group 2: Sector Highlights - The Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project officially commenced on July 19, 2025, with significant government backing, which may enhance investment opportunities in the hydropower sector [10]. - The active participation of Huawei in the AI computing sector is highlighted by its upcoming showcase at the World Artificial Intelligence Conference, which could drive interest in related technology stocks [7][8]. - Recent price increases in rare earth metals have been noted, with auction prices reaching 572,000 yuan per ton, indicating a potential investment opportunity in the materials sector [9]. Group 3: Financial Trends - The A-share market experienced a net sell-off of 33.514 billion yuan, marking the largest weekly net sell-off in four weeks, with significant outflows from sectors such as non-bank financials and media [25]. - Conversely, the automotive sector attracted a net inflow of 12.105 billion yuan, indicating strong investor interest in this industry [26]. - The overall market sentiment reflects a mixed outlook, with certain sectors like chemicals and automobiles showing signs of recovery, while others remain in decline [30][31]. Group 4: Industry Insights - The petrochemical industry is undergoing assessments of aging facilities, with a significant portion of production capacity being over 20 years old, which may lead to modernization efforts and investment opportunities [16][17]. - The government is focusing on high-quality development in the non-ferrous metals sector, emphasizing resource efficiency and deep processing to enhance supply quality [18]. - The solar industry has seen a notable increase in silicon wafer prices, with some products experiencing price hikes of up to 22.09%, indicating a bullish trend in renewable energy investments [19].

股指日报 股指期货日报 2025年7月18日 王梦颖（Z0015429）、廖臣悦 (F03120676) 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1290号 延续偏强，预计阶段性调整结束 市场回顾 今日股指偏强运行，大盘股指走势强于中小盘股指。从资金面来看，两市成交额上涨316.74亿元。期指均放 量上涨。 重要资讯 1. 美国6月零售销售环比增长0.6%，高于市场预期的0.1%，前值为下降0.9%。分析指出，美国6月零售销售 反弹强于预期，部分增长可能反映出受关税影响的部分商品价格上涨。 2. 商务部："十五五"期间将继续减少服务消费领域的限制性措施。 3. 中新社7月17日从中国地质大学获悉，该校联合内蒙古自治区地质调查研究院，在内蒙古白云鄂博矿床主 矿矿段的矿体中部，发现一种新稀土矿物，命名为"钕黄河矿"。 核心观点 今日股指延续偏强运行，两市成交额小幅放量，大盘股指偏强。板块方面，受一则新稀土矿物被发现消息影 响，今日稀土板块领涨。从期货指标来看，由于近月合约今日到期基差变动幅度大增，因此抛开近月合约情 况，今日各品种期指合约基差均上涨，市场情绪持续向好。目前市场无明显利空信息，预计此轮阶段性调整 结束 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market showed a positive trend today, with major indices mostly rising. The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.50% to close at 3534.48 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.37% to 10913.84 points, and the ChiNext Index gained 0.34% to finish at 2277.15 points. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1571 billion yuan, an increase of 31.7 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1][14]. Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, the leading sectors included non-ferrous metals, basic chemicals, steel, coal, and transportation, with respective increases of 2.10%, 1.36%, 1.34%, 0.94%, and 0.90%. Conversely, the media, electronics, light manufacturing, public utilities, and telecommunications sectors experienced declines, with decreases of 0.98%, 0.49%, 0.41%, 0.35%, and 0.31% respectively [1][14]. Concept Sector Performance - The top-performing concept sectors today included rare earths, rare metals, lithium mining, rare earth permanent magnets, and small metals, among others. Notable sectors that experienced pullbacks included marketing communication, dairy, and online gaming [2][11].

Group 1: Industrial Production - Industrial production remains relatively stable, with the blast furnace operating rate maintaining at 0.7% year-on-year [2][5][8] - The chemical production chain shows a slight decline, with soda ash and PTA operating rates down by 2.6 percentage points to 6% and 0.9 percentage points to 1.3% respectively [2][15] - The automotive sector's semi-steel tire operating rate is still below last year's level, up by 2.7 percentage points to -6.3% [2][15] Group 2: Construction Industry - The construction industry shows a mixed performance, with the nationwide grinding operating rate down by 2.4 percentage points to 3.7% [2][27] - Cement shipment rates remain low, with a year-on-year increase of 1.2% to 3% [2][27] - Asphalt operating rates have seen a recovery, up by 0.6 percentage points to 7.4% [2][35] Group 3: Real Estate Transactions - Real estate transactions are at a low point, with the average daily transaction area for new homes down by 19.1% year-on-year, despite a 13.1% increase [2][44] - First-tier cities continue to see a decline in transactions, down by 18.6% to 39.9% [2][44] - Third-tier cities show significant improvement, with transaction volumes up by 72.4% to 17% [2][44] Group 4: Transportation and Shipping - National railway and highway freight volumes have decreased, with year-on-year declines of 1.3% to 1.2% and 0.9% to 0.8% respectively [2][54] - Port cargo throughput and container throughput have also shown a decline, down by 9.3% to 6.8% and 4.7% to 0.9% respectively [2][54] - The overall intensity of human mobility remains high, with a slight year-on-year decrease of 2% to 12.6% [2][63] Group 5: Price Trends - Agricultural product prices are mixed, with pork and vegetable prices rising by 0.1% and 0.8% respectively, while egg and fruit prices fell by 2.2% and 0.1% [3][85] - Industrial product prices have generally increased, with the South China industrial price index rising by 1.1% [3][93] - The energy and chemical price index increased by 1.3%, while the metal price index rose by 0.7% [3][93]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the market rotation is in a consolidation phase, with a focus on core assets in the Beijing Stock Exchange (北交所) related to technology and new consumption [10][15]. - The North Exchange 50 Index increased by 0.41%, while the specialized index rose by 0.07%. However, the average daily trading volume decreased by 23% [10][22]. - The report highlights a shift in A-share market hotspots from large-cap bank stocks to mid-cap core assets, with significant gains in sectors such as real estate, steel, building materials, and power equipment [10][11]. Group 2 - The report notes that 178 stocks in the North Exchange rose, while 87 fell, resulting in a rise-to-fall ratio of 2.05. The top gainers included Guoyi Bidding (+70.62%) and Benlang New Materials (+35.14%) [41][42]. - The average PE (TTM) for the North Exchange is reported at 96.79 times, with a median of 52.52 times, indicating a higher valuation compared to other exchanges [27][28]. - The trading volume for the North Exchange was 50.89 billion shares, with a trading value of 107.76 billion yuan, both showing a decrease compared to the previous week [28][22]. Group 3 - The report mentions that there were no new listings on the North Exchange this week, with a total of 268 companies currently listed [33][38]. - The new three-board market saw 6 new listings and 2 delistings, with a total of 6063 companies listed as of July 11, 2025 [52][54]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring key companies such as Jinbo Biology, Norseland, and Kangbit, which are considered core assets in the North Exchange [15].

Group 1 - The index is expected to consolidate and gather strength before reaching new highs, with the recent tariff delay being fully priced in by the market, leading to a rise in major indices, including the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a high of 3555.22 points [3][14] - The market's optimistic sentiment is currently prevailing, but there is insufficient risk pricing for potential negative surprises regarding tariffs, which may hinder further declines in risk evaluation [3][14] - The market's recent rise is primarily driven by an increase in risk appetite, with the ChiNext Index, CSI 1000 Index, and All A Index outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [4][15] Group 2 - Short-term themes are expected to rotate between policy expectations and industrial trends, with a focus on the "anti-involution" sector and real estate, which has seen a 6.1% increase this week due to anticipated policy developments [6][16] - The "anti-involution" sector, particularly in steel, pork, and certain segments of new energy, is highlighted as a potential area of focus due to high policy expectations following recent government meetings [6][16] - The trading of industrial trends is expected to continue, with short-term attention on sectors such as stablecoins, rare earths, nuclear fusion, military industry, deep-sea economy, artificial intelligence, and innovative pharmaceuticals [7][17]

Market Overview - The market sentiment has improved, with all three major indices rising. The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 1.09%, stabilizing above 3500 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.78% and the ChiNext Index by 2.36% [1] Industry Performance - Among the 31 primary industries, 27 experienced gains, with real estate, steel, and non-bank financials leading the way. Concept sectors such as rare earths, real estate developers, innovative drugs, photovoltaic glass, brokerages, and stablecoins saw significant surges [1] Institutional Research Activities - A total of 160 listed companies disclosed institutional research minutes, with around 100 stocks achieving positive returns. Notably, Lianhuan Pharmaceutical's stock surged by 38.58% during the week, and several other companies also saw gains exceeding 10% [1] Company Highlights - Lianhuan Pharmaceutical has conducted four institutional research activities in July, with a cumulative increase of 49% in stock price. The company is collaborating on the development of an SGLT2 inhibitor for diabetes treatment, expecting key data in Q1 2024 and plans to submit for market approval in 2026 [1][2] - Wantai Biological Pharmacy recently hosted 19 institutional research sessions and announced the pricing of its domestically produced nine-valent HPV vaccine at 499 yuan per dose. The company aims to enhance market penetration through a differentiated sales strategy [2] - Zhongyi Technology, while not currently involved in stablecoin business, confirmed its participation in IT infrastructure for digital currency systems, ensuring stability and security [2] - Zhenghai Magnetic Materials responded to export control measures by actively pursuing export declarations and maintaining normal production operations. The company anticipates growth in demand for neodymium-iron-boron in emerging sectors like energy-saving and new energy vehicles [3] Financial Sector Insights - Several banks, including Ningbo Bank and Suzhou Bank, received institutional attention. Suzhou Bank reported a narrower net interest margin decline compared to the industry average and plans to enhance margin management throughout the year [3]

The provided content does not contain any quantitative models or factors, nor does it include their construction, evaluation, or backtesting results. The documents primarily focus on market performance, sector analysis, ETF premiums/discounts, institutional activity, and other market-related data. There are no references to quantitative models or factors in the provided text.

Market Overview - The main indices showed slight fluctuations today, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.01%, the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 0.61%, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.8% [1] - Among the Shenwan first-level industry sectors, non-bank financials, computers, and steel performed well, while textiles and apparel, oil and petrochemicals, and transportation lagged behind [1] Concept Sector Performance - Overall, the rare earth, stock trading software, and rare earth permanent magnet concepts performed relatively well, whereas the banking, circuit board, and vitamin concepts showed weaker performance [1]

- The report does not contain any quantitative models or factors related to construction, testing, or evaluation[1][2][3][4][5][6][8][9][10][12][13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20][21][22][23][24][25][26][27][28][29][30][31][32][33][34][35][36][37][38][39][40][41]