为保持银行体系流动性充裕，中国人民银行（下称央行）8月7日发布预告称，央行将在8月8日以固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展7000亿元3 个月（91天）期限买断式逆回购操作。 尽管8月买断式逆回购的到期规模大于此次央行买断式逆回购操作规模，但东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青向证券时报记者指出，预计本月央行还将开展一 次6个月期限的买断式逆回购操作，本月中期借贷便利（MLF）也有望加量续作，保持中期流动性处于净投放状态。 今年8月不仅有4000亿元3个月期限和5000亿元6个月期限买断式逆回购到期，还有3000亿元MLF到期。另外，中央政治局会议要求加快政府债券发行使用 的背景下，市场预期8月地方政府债券将继续保持加快发行速度，可能对银行体系流动性造成扰动。 在此背景下，央行继续选择在月初预告买断式逆回购操作，缓解市场对8月资金价格波动的担忧，为保持全月总体流动性充裕营造良好基础。 过去两个月，央行均在月内两度开展买断式逆回购操作。王青预计，8月内央行或将开展一次6个月期限买断式逆回购操作，届时8月两个期限品种的合计 操作规模将高于本月到期规模。 自今年3月以来，央行保持对MLF加量续作。虽然央行尚未开展MLF ...

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is taking measures to maintain liquidity in the banking system by conducting a 700 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation with a three-month term on August 8, 2023 [1] Group 1: Reverse Repo Operations - The PBOC plans to conduct a reverse repurchase operation of 700 billion yuan with a three-month term, using a fixed quantity and multi-price bidding method [1] - Despite the upcoming reverse repo operation, the total amount maturing in August exceeds this operation, indicating a proactive approach to liquidity management [4] - Analysts expect an additional six-month reverse repo operation to be conducted within August, which would result in a total operation scale exceeding the maturing amounts for the month [5] Group 2: Market Expectations and Economic Context - The market anticipates that local government bonds will continue to be issued at an accelerated pace in August, which may disrupt liquidity in the banking system [4] - The PBOC has maintained a trend of increasing medium-term lending facility (MLF) operations since March, with expectations for further increases in August [5] - The central bank's recent meetings have emphasized the continuation of a moderately accommodative monetary policy, aiming to keep liquidity ample [5]

货币政策方面，章俊预计下半年的首要目标仍然是经济增长和充分就业，下半年降息降准依然有望适时落地，货币宽松力度或 将超出市场预期。另外，政策、资金向"投资于人"再深化，可以强化民生领域资金投入，继续加大教育、医疗、养老、育儿等 领域的财政支持力度。同时，加强人力资本投资。此外，持续优化财政资金支出结构，重点投向民生领域，向困难地区和欠发 达地区倾斜。 21世纪经济报道见习记者冉黎黎 北京报道 根据新华社报道，中共中央政治局7月30日召开会议（以下简称"会议"），会议分析研究当前经济形势，部署下半年经济工作， 包括"保持政策连续性稳定性，增强灵活性预见性""在保障和改善民生中扩大消费需求"等。如何理解中央政治局会议的有关部 署？下半年经济政策的侧重点在哪里？针对相关问题，21世纪经济报道记者专访了银河证券首席经济学家章俊。 章俊表示，积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策仍将坚持，超长期特别国债、专项债、政策性金融工具等既定政策不会半途 退出，不搞"急转弯"，目的是稳住企业、就业、市场预期，避免政策摇摆放大经济波动。同时，调控政策并非一成不变，而是 会根据经济运行的实际情况、市场情绪的变动、外部环境的突发事件等因素， ...

钛媒体App 8月7日消息，中国人民银行广东省分行召开2025年下半年工作会议暨广东外汇管理工作会 议。会议提到，下半年要重点抓好以下工作：有效贯彻适度宽松的货币政策，支持广东经济挑起大梁； 突出服务实体经济重点方向，为经济高质量发展提供更有效金融支撑；充分发挥宏观审慎与金融稳定功 能，守牢不发生系统性金融风险底线；稳步推进金融改革开放，助力广东金融创新发展继续走在前列； 进一步优化外汇管理与服务，支持广东稳住外贸外资基本盘。（中国人民银行广东省分行网站） ...

【环球网财经综合报道】今年上半年，银行股是市场中的当红板块。数据显示，银行指数上涨13.1%，在所有申 万行业指数中排名第二。与此同时，银行、红利等主题ETF吸引了众多资金涌入，成为投资者眼中的"香饽饽"。 而到下半年，截至8月5日，近一个月来，申万一级行业指数中，银行指数跌幅达到3.4%，跌幅位居指数之首，多 只银行主题ETF近一个月跌超2%。不过，同样截至8月5日，中证银行指数触底反弹，迎来三连阳，当日指数涨幅 达到1.6%。板块多数个股飘红，共有15只银行股当日涨超2%。 ETF方面，规模超百亿的华宝银行ETF当日成交额超11亿元，排在股票型ETF第14位，全天放量上涨；银行AH优 选ETF当日涨幅为2.15%，领跑所有股票型ETF；多只银行主题ETF涨超1.5%。 实际上，连续调整后的银行板块早已被资金提前布局。截至8月4日，近一个月来，南方红利低波50ETF、华宝银 行ETF区间净流入额位居股票型ETF前二，分别为34.58亿元和30.16亿元。其中，红利低波50ETF跟踪指数为标普 中国A股大盘红利低波50指数，银行股权重占比超30%。此外，华泰柏瑞红利低波ETF区间净流入额为23.99亿 元，位 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing efforts of China's macroeconomic policies to support economic stability and growth amid complex external challenges, emphasizing the role of structural monetary policy tools in targeting specific sectors and weaknesses in the economy [1][2]. Group 1: Structural Monetary Policy Tools - Structural monetary policy tools are highlighted as essential for providing precise support to specific economic sectors and weak links, with a focus on technology innovation and consumption [1][2]. - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) plans to create new loans for consumption and elderly care, increase the quotas for technology innovation and agricultural loans by 300 billion yuan each, and reduce interest rates on various structural monetary policy tools by 0.25 percentage points [1][2]. - By May 2025, loans for technology innovation and technological transformation are expected to reach 1.7 trillion yuan, which is 1.9 times the amount at the end of 2024, indicating the effectiveness of these tools [2]. Group 2: Financing Costs and Economic Support - The average interest rate for new corporate loans from January to June was approximately 3.3%, down about 45 basis points from the previous year, while personal housing loan rates were around 3.1%, down about 60 basis points [2][3]. - The PBOC aims to enhance the effectiveness of monetary policy by improving the transmission of monetary policy and reducing overall financing costs, particularly focusing on non-interest costs such as collateral and intermediary service fees [3][4]. Group 3: Liquidity Management - The PBOC has lowered the reserve requirement ratio by 0.5 percentage points, injecting approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity, and has maintained a stable liquidity supply through various monetary policy tools [4][5]. - The expectation is that the PBOC will continue to implement a moderately loose monetary policy in the second half of the year, utilizing reverse repos and other tools to ensure ample liquidity for government bond issuance and credit support [4][5].

Group 1: Core View - Today, all treasury bond futures fluctuated and consolidated. Since July, the market interest rate has rebounded significantly, and the anchoring effect of the policy rate has emerged. Coupled with the policy emphasis on implementing a moderately loose monetary policy in the second half of the year, the policy rate has fallen from a high level, and treasury bond futures have bottomed out and rebounded. However, the current trading volume of the stock market is at a high quantile, indicating a strong risk appetite in the stock market. Funds are flowing into the stock market, and the demand for treasury bonds has decreased, which restricts the upward space of treasury bond futures. In general, treasury bond futures will maintain a range-bound oscillation in the short term [2] Group 2: Industry News and Related Charts - On August 5th, the People's Bank of China announced that it conducted 160.7 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations at a fixed interest rate through quantity tender. Both the bid volume and winning bid volume were 160.7 billion yuan, and the operating interest rate was 1.40%. Today, 449.2 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchases matured, resulting in a net withdrawal of 288.5 billion yuan on the day [4]

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is set to implement a moderately loose monetary policy to support technological innovation, boost consumption, assist small and micro enterprises, stabilize foreign trade, deepen financial reform, and enhance high-level opening-up, while also preventing and mitigating financial risks in key areas to promote high-quality economic development [1]. Group 1: Monetary Policy - The PBOC will continue to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, utilizing various monetary policy tools to maintain ample liquidity and guide financial institutions to ensure reasonable credit growth [2]. - The execution of monetary policy measures will be emphasized to ensure smooth transmission of monetary policy [2]. Group 2: Support for the Real Economy - The PBOC aims to focus on serving the real economy, particularly through financial support for technology innovation and technical transformation, promoting rapid growth in loans to technology-oriented small and medium-sized enterprises [2]. - Increased financing support will be directed towards key areas such as "two new" and "two heavy" sectors, while ensuring reasonable financing needs for foreign trade enterprises [2]. Group 3: Financial Risk Management - The PBOC will continue to support local government financing platform debt management and orderly advance risk disposal in key regions and institutions [2]. - Enhanced risk monitoring, assessment, and macro-prudential management will be prioritized to prevent and mitigate financial risks in key areas [2]. Group 4: Internationalization of the Renminbi - The PBOC plans to accelerate the use of the Renminbi in trade, enhance its financing currency function, and optimize policies for domestic and foreign currency integration [2]. - The construction of a "technology board" in the bond market and the use of risk-sharing tools for technology innovation bonds will be promoted, along with expanding the issuance scale of technology innovation bonds [2]. Group 5: Financial Market Reform and Opening-up - The PBOC will advance the construction of a "technology board" in the bond market and improve the institutional framework for financial markets and infrastructure [3]. - Reforms in trade foreign exchange business management will be actively promoted to facilitate cross-border investment and financing [3]. Group 6: International Financial Cooperation - The PBOC will deepen bilateral and multilateral international monetary and financial cooperation, actively participate in global financial governance, and promote global macro policy coordination [3]. - The PBOC will also engage in the formulation of international financial rules and continue to push for reforms in the International Monetary Fund's quota system [3]. Group 7: Financial Management and Service Improvement - The PBOC will research and compile the "14th Five-Year" reform and development plan, focusing on the implementation of key tasks for building a digital central bank [3]. - Efforts will be made to promote the infrastructure construction and application of digital Renminbi [3].

Group 1: Policy Initiatives - The State Council has approved the implementation of the "Artificial Intelligence+" initiative, aiming to promote the large-scale commercial application of AI across various sectors, fostering a virtuous cycle of innovation and application [8] - The National Childcare Subsidy Scheme was announced, providing annual subsidies of 3,600 yuan per child for infants under three years old, starting from January 1, 2025 [6][7] - The central government plans to allocate approximately 90 billion yuan for the Childcare Subsidy Scheme, marking a significant step in direct cash benefits for the public [8] Group 2: Economic Indicators - In July, China's manufacturing PMI fell to 49.3%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a contraction in the manufacturing sector [12][13] - The non-manufacturing business activity index and the comprehensive PMI output index were reported at 50.1% and 50.2%, respectively, both remaining above the expansion threshold despite slight declines [12][13] Group 3: Monetary Policy - The People's Bank of China has committed to maintaining a moderately loose monetary policy, focusing on stabilizing growth, ensuring employment, and promoting livelihoods [10] - The central bank aims to enhance the effectiveness of monetary policy transmission and improve the efficiency of fund utilization, while also managing exchange rate stability [10] Group 4: U.S. Employment Data - The U.S. non-farm payrolls data for July showed a significant drop, with only 73,000 jobs added, far below the expected 110,000, and previous months' data was revised down by 258,000 [11] - The unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, and the labor force participation rate fell to 62.2%, the lowest in nearly three years, raising concerns about a potential economic recession [11]

Group 1: Policy and Market News - Since August 8, the Ministry of Finance and the State Administration of Taxation will resume levying VAT on the interest income of newly issued treasury bonds, local government bonds, and financial bonds, while the interest income of bonds issued before August 8 and subsequent issuances will continue to be exempt from VAT until maturity [1] - The US added only 73,000 non - farm jobs in July, the lowest in 9 months, far below the expected 110,000, with the previous two months' data revised down by 258,000, and the unemployment rate rising to 4.2%, indicating a sharp slowdown in the labor market [1] - The central bank will continue to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, strengthen the implementation and supervision of interest rate policies, and increase financing support for key areas [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued a special energy - saving supervision task list for the polysilicon industry in 2025, involving 41 enterprises [1] - US President Trump signed an executive order to impose counter - tariffs ranging from 10% to 41% on countries or regions that have not reached an agreement with the US, with the tariffs taking effect on August 7, 2025 [2] Group 2: Commodity Market - Key commodities to focus on include urea, lithium carbonate, asphalt, crude oil, and coking coal [3] - Among commodity sectors, non - metallic building materials rose 2.83%, precious metals 27.61%, oilseeds 12.40%, non - ferrous metals 21.40%, soft commodities 2.58%, coal - coking - steel - mining 14.32%, energy 3.18%, chemicals 11.74%, grains 1.16%, and agricultural and sideline products 2.78% [6] Group 3: Stock and Bond Market - The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.37% daily and monthly, but rose 6.21% annually; the SSE 50 fell 0.79% daily and monthly, and rose 2.58% annually; the CSI 300 fell 0.51% daily and monthly, and rose 3.05% annually [8] - Among other equity indices, the CSI 500 fell 0.21% daily and monthly, and rose 8.51% annually; the S&P 500 fell 1.60% daily and monthly, and rose 6.06% annually; the Hang Seng Index fell 1.07% daily and monthly, and rose 22.17% annually, etc. [9] - For fixed - income products, the 10 - year Treasury bond futures fell 0.02% daily, 0.05% monthly, and 0.45% annually; the 5 - year Treasury bond futures had no daily and monthly change, and fell 0.77% annually; the 2 - year Treasury bond futures had no daily and monthly change, and fell 0.61% annually [9] - In the commodity market, the CRB commodity index fell 1.50% daily and monthly, and 0.49% annually; WTI crude oil fell 2.83% daily, 2.77% monthly, and 6.42% annually; London spot gold rose 2.22% daily and monthly, and 28.14% annually [9] - The US dollar index fell 1.36% daily and monthly, and 9.03% annually; the CBOE volatility index rose 21.89% daily and monthly, and 17.46% annually [9]