技术面与资金面的支撑同样值得关注。比特币闪电网络的持续扩容提升了场景实用性，链上交易活跃度 维持高位。同时，全球宏观经济的不确定性持续发酵，部分国家经济数据疲软与地缘政治紧张局势，进 一步巩固了BTC的避险资产属性。XBIT.Exchange去中心化交易平台无需 KYC，用户无需提交繁琐的身 份验证信息，可快速开启交易；且无封控、无审核，交易过程顺畅高效，不会因莫名原因被限制；更重 要的是实现了私钥自管，用户对自己的资产拥有绝对掌控权，这在当前复杂的市场环境中，极大地保障 了用户的资产安全与交易自由，让投资者能更安心地进行BTC相关操作。 BOSS Wallet 报道，近日美联储主席鲍威尔在 FOMC 会议上的表态引发市场震动 —— 明确声称利率政 策制定 "不考虑政府融资需求"。这一立场看似维护了美联储的政策独立性，却加剧了市场对经济前景 的担忧。要知道，美国政府去年利息支出已达 1.1 万亿美元，债务管理成本较疫情前翻倍，而高利率正 是这一压力的重要推手。特朗普此前提出 "降息 3% 可年省 1 万亿美元" 的主张，更凸显了政府与央行 的政策分歧，而这对稳定币市场的影响同样深远。 价格稳定性上，高利率或推 ...

Group 1: Trade Agreements and Tariffs - The U.S. has reached a "comprehensive" trade agreement with South Korea, imposing a 15% tariff on South Korean goods while allowing full trade access for U.S. products [3] - South Korea will invest $350 billion in U.S.-controlled projects, including $150 billion specifically for U.S.-Korea shipbuilding cooperation, and will purchase $100 billion worth of liquefied natural gas [3] - Starting August 1, the U.S. will impose a 25% tariff on goods from India, citing high tariffs and non-tariff barriers as reasons for the punitive measures [3][4] Group 2: Impact on Other Countries - Brazil will face a 40% tariff increase, bringing the total tariff to 50%, although certain products like wood pulp and oil are exempt [4] - The U.S. will also impose a 50% tariff on imported copper products, which has led to a significant drop in copper futures and affected major copper producers [4][5] Group 3: Economic Implications - Analysts warn that the copper tariffs could raise prices on various products, potentially impacting consumer costs in the U.S. [5] - The Federal Reserve has maintained the federal funds rate at 4.25% to 4.50%, with two officials dissenting for an immediate rate cut, reflecting ongoing economic concerns [6][7] - Recent GDP growth of 3% in Q2 has been viewed skeptically, with analysts suggesting that the improvement is largely due to reduced imports rather than robust consumer spending [9]

7月初以来，特朗普多次就利率政策向鲍威尔发难，尽管多数未明确提及鲍威尔本人，但指向美联储货 币政策的不满已十分明显。特朗普指责其拒绝配合白宫提出的统一降息路径，结果造成房地产市场成本 飙升，严重压制中产家庭的购房能力。尤其在7月22日的一场闭门筹款活动上，特朗普更是罕见地使 用"numbskull（傻瓜）"一词形容鲍威尔，并公开表示"他还有8个月就该走人"。 当地时间7月1日，鲍威尔在欧洲央行论坛上表示，美联储正在努力实现宏观稳定、金融稳定和经济稳 定，这需要以一种完全非政治化的方式来实现，意味着美联储不偏袒、挑拨或对抗任何一方。 此前特朗普和鲍威尔分别就利率、是否将解雇鲍威尔等问题作出回应。特朗普表示，希望鲍威尔降低利 率，如果把利率降低三个百分点至一个百分点，美国就能省下一万多亿美元。他将观察委员会如何制定 利率规则。 在谈及是否将解雇鲍威尔时，特朗普表示，这是一个重大举措，他认为没有必要，"他带我四处参观， 展示工程......我不想针对他个人。" 自今年1月重返白宫以来，特朗普屡次喊话美联储降息，甚至扬言将解雇鲍威尔，鲍威尔均不为所动。 美国联邦储备委员会30日结束为期两天的货币政策会议，宣布将联邦基 ...

智通财经获悉，黄金股早盘全线下挫，截至发稿，潼关黄金(00340)跌9.18%，报1.78港元；紫金矿业 (02899)跌5.16%，报21.15港元；灵宝黄金(03330)跌4.89%，报10.12港元；赤峰黄金(06693)跌4.23%，报 22.65港元；山东黄金(01787)跌3.75%，报24.4港元。 本文源自：智通财经网 消息面上，隔夜现货黄金大跌超1.5%，失守3280美元/盎司。当地时间7月30日，美国联邦储备委员会结 束为期两天的货币政策会议，宣布将联邦基金利率目标区间维持在4.25%至4.50%之间不变。鲍威尔在 最新一轮货币政策会议后的新闻发布会上表示，美联储尚未就9月利率做出任何决定。鲍威尔表示，他 们"将在下次议息会议前夕参考有关经济的信息"。 现在就断言美联储是否会像金融市场预期的那样在9 月下调联邦基金利率还为时过早。 ...

日本央行周四维持利率不变，并上调了本财年的通胀预期，表明对日美贸易协议将有助于日本经济避免 大幅下滑持谨慎乐观态度。正如市场普遍预期的那样，日本央行一致投票将短期利率维持在0.5%不 变。在季度展望报告中，日本央行将本财年的核心消费者通胀预期从三个月前的2.2%上调至2.7%。日 本央行行长植田和男将于北京时间14:30召开新闻发布会，解释利率决定。 ...

日本央行上调了核心CPI预期，表明对日美贸易协议将有助于日本经济避免大幅下滑持谨慎乐观态度。 该央行预计潜在消费者通胀率可能在2025财年到2027年预测期的下半年达到与2%目标基本一致的水平。其2025-2027财年核心CPI预期中值分别为2.7%、 1.8%和2.0%。（5月份预期为2.2%、1.7%和1.9%）。 周四，日本央行以一致投票做出利率决定，维持基准利率在0.5%不变，为连续第四次会议按兵不动，符合市场预期。 美元兑日元短线走高20点后迅速回落，短线波幅逾30点。 与此同时，日本央行还略微上调了今年的经济增长预期，将2025财年的GDP同比增长预期从之前的0.5%调整为0.6%。 日本央行表示，经济前景风险偏向下行，贸易政策及其发展带来的不确定性对经济和价格前景的影响仍然很高。 交易员将寻找日本央行可能就利率前景提供的任何线索。日本央行行长植田和男将于北京时间14:30召开货币政策新闻发布会。 由于官员们可能需要时间来评估美国关税将如何影响日本经济和全球商业，日本央行避免就未来加息的时间给出任何明确暗示。 持续更新中..... 这一表述软化了对贸易不确定性的描述，表明贸易不确定性不再"极高"， ...

Report Summary 1. Report Title - Carbonate Lithium Daily Review 20250731: Rapid Mood Swings and High Volatility [2] 2. Core View - On July 30, the main contract of carbonate lithium futures rose and then fell. The spot market had weak trading, and the basis premium increased. With the cost side showing a decline in spodumene concentrate prices but flat mica prices, supply side seeing a decrease in carbonate lithium production last week, and downstream demand showing mixed trends (rising production of lithium iron phosphate and ternary materials, falling production of cobalt acid lithium and manganese acid lithium in June, and rising power battery production last week). Terminal demand had continued year - on - year growth in new energy vehicle production and sales in June but a month - on - month decline in sales, and average 3C shipments. Storage battery production increased in June. With inventory showing compact registered warehouse receipts, destocking in smelters, and inventory accumulation in other sectors. Due to large fluctuations in commodity sentiment and exchange position limits cooling the market, short - term carbonate lithium prices are expected to fluctuate widely. It is recommended to hold put options [3] 3. Key Data 3.1 Futures Data - **Closing Prices**: Near - month contract closed at 70,260 yuan/ton (-200 from the previous day), continuous - one contract at 70,600 yuan/ton (-240), continuous - two contract at 70,580 yuan/ton (+20), continuous - three contract at 70,580 yuan/ton (+20) [3] - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: Active contract trading volume was 792,909 lots (+48,749), and open interest was 272,753 lots (-27,867) [3] - **Warehouse Inventory**: 12,276 tons (unchanged) [3] - **Spreads**: Near - month minus continuous - one was -340 yuan/ton (+40), continuous - one minus continuous - two was 20 yuan/ton (-260), continuous - two minus continuous - three was 0 yuan/ton (unchanged) [3] - **Basis**: SMM battery - grade carbonate lithium average price minus carbonate lithium active contract closing price was 2,350 yuan/ton (+40) [3] 3.2 Spot Data - **Lithium Ore Prices**: Spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) was 776 US dollars/ton (-1), lithium mica (Li2O: 1.5% - 2.0%) was 1,140 yuan/ton (unchanged), lithium mica (Li2O: 2.0% - 2.5%) was 1,775 yuan/ton (unchanged), phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li2O: 6% - 7%) was 5,675 yuan/ton (+75), phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li2O: 7% - 8%) was 6,625 yuan/ton (+125) [3] - **Lithium Compound Prices**: Battery - grade carbonate lithium (99.5%, domestic) was 72,950 yuan/ton (-200), industrial - grade carbonate lithium (99.2%, domestic) was 70,850 yuan/ton (-150), battery - grade lithium hydroxide (56.5%, CIF China, Japan, South Korea) was 8.28 US dollars/kg (unchanged), battery - grade lithium hydroxide (56.5%, domestic, coarse particles) was 65,470 yuan/ton (+50), battery - grade lithium hydroxide (56.5%, domestic, fine powder) was 70,620 yuan/ton (+50) [3] - **Price Spreads**: Battery - grade lithium hydroxide and battery - grade carbonate lithium spread was -7,480 yuan/ton (+250), battery - grade carbonate lithium and industrial - grade carbonate lithium spread was 2,100 yuan/ton (-50), CIF China, Japan, South Korea battery - grade lithium hydroxide and SMM battery - grade lithium hydroxide spread was -6,316.85 yuan/ton (-107.96) [3] 3.3 Inventory Data - **SMM Carbonate Lithium Inventory**: Smelters had 55,385 tons (-2,654 compared to the previous week), downstream had 42,815 tons (+1,544), others had 44,970 tons (+1,660), and the total was 143,170 tons (+550) [3] 4. Industry News - The Federal Reserve maintained the interest rate at 4.25% - 4.50%, with directors Waller and Bowman voting against and advocating for a rate cut [3] - On July 30, Pilbara Minerals announced its lithium spodumene concentrate production in the fourth fiscal quarter was 221,300 tons, and sales volume reached 216,000 tons, showing stable performance in lithium ore production and market supply [3] - Guangzhou Futures Exchange limited the single - day opening volume of non - futures company members or clients in the carbonate lithium futures LC2509 contract to no more than 500 lots, and in LC2510, LC2511, LC2512, LC2601 contracts to no more than 2,000 lots each [3]

日本央行维持利率不变，符合预期。 市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议，也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何 意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资，责任自负。 风险提示及免责条款 ...

日本央行维持利率不变，符合预期。 ...

Group 1 - Gold stocks experienced a significant decline in early trading, with notable drops including Tongguan Gold down 9.18% to HKD 1.78, Zijin Mining down 5.16% to HKD 21.15, and Lingbao Gold down 4.89% to HKD 10.12 [1] - The spot gold price fell over 1.5%, dropping below USD 3280 per ounce [1] - The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate target range at 4.25% to 4.50% during its recent monetary policy meeting, with Chairman Powell indicating that no decision has been made regarding a potential rate cut in September [1]