8月20日，市场全天探底回升，沪指、深成指、科创50指数均创年内新高。截至收盘，沪指涨1.04%， 深成指涨0.89%，创业板指涨0.23%。 板块方面，白酒、半导体、AI眼镜、小金属等板块涨幅居前，影视、化学制药、CRO、维生素等板块 跌幅居前。 个股涨多跌少，全市场超3600只个股上涨。沪深两市全天成交额2.41万亿元，较上个交易日缩量1801 亿，成交额连续6个交易日超2万亿。 自上周五、本周一大涨后，A股市场于周二及周三早盘连续震荡，但午后，三大指数纷纷翻红，再度向 上突破。 沪指盘中最高涨至3767.43点，收于3767.43点。就收盘点位来看，已经是2015年8月20日以来的真正"十 年新高"。 | 代码 | 名称 | 日期 | 收盘价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | (元) | | 000001.SH | 上证指数 | 2025-08-20 | 3766.21 | | 000001.SH | 上证指数 | 2025-08-18 | 3728.03 | | 000001.SH | 上证指数 | 2025-08-19 | 3727.29 | | 000001. ...

8月20日午后，半导体板块突发异动，半导体设备ETF（561980）午后直线急涨，涨幅一度超3%，截至发文涨近2.4%，实时成交额近7000万元。 成份股方面，上海新阳涨超9%，中科飞测涨近9%，寒武纪、华海诚科涨超5%，拓荆科技、江丰电子、金海通、中微公司多股跟涨。 方正证券分析指出，自主可控是半导体最强主线，从AI算力到制造再到封测，国产供应链正在加强配套。该机构认为，尽管当前国产AI算力芯片还处于追 赶，伴随产品持续迭代及供应链配套能力的逐步增强，市占率有望逐渐提升。 天风证券表示，二季度各环节公司业绩预告亮眼，展望三季度半导体旺季期，或可关注存储/功率/代工/ ASI/ SoC业绩弹性， 设备材料、算力芯片国产替 代。其中晶圆代工龙头开启涨价，2-3季度业绩展望乐观，3季度预期稼动率持续饱满。设备材料板块，头部厂商2025Q1及部分Q2业绩表现亮眼，同时国产 替代持续推进+行业在新一轮并购重组及资本运作推动下加速资源整合，助力本土头部企业打造综合技术平台并强化全球竞争力。 | V A | 半导体设备ETF(561980.SH) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 交 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook compared to the market benchmark [8]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 292 million yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 19%, and a net profit of 126 million yuan, up 37% year-over-year [6]. - The company's gross margin for Q2 2025 was 76.71%, showing significant improvement from previous periods, while the net profit margin reached 44.66% [6]. - The company is focusing on a market strategy of "product diversification and full customer coverage," with a notable increase in OLED terminal material shipments, which generated 262 million yuan in revenue, a 31.63% increase year-over-year [8]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company expects total revenue to reach 737 million yuan in 2025, with a year-over-year growth rate of 56.2% [7]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is 290 million yuan, reflecting a 73.1% increase compared to the previous year [7]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 0.72 yuan for 2025, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 37 [7]. Market Position and Growth Potential - The company is benefiting from the increasing penetration of OLED technology, particularly in small-sized displays, and is expected to gain from the growth of domestic panel manufacturers [8]. - The company has established collaborations for the development of key materials and is advancing in the production of various OLED materials, which are anticipated to contribute to future revenue growth [8].

Core Viewpoint - The defense and aerospace sector in A-shares is experiencing a correction, but there is an anticipated pulse opportunity ahead of the military parade on September 3, which historically has a significant catalytic effect on military stocks [1] Group 1: Market Performance - On August 20, A-shares opened lower, with the aerospace ETF (159227) showing a slight recovery, narrowing its decline to 0.17% by 10:01 AM, with a transaction volume of 26.8 million yuan [1] - The leading stocks in the aerospace ETF include Hitec Products, which rose over 5%, along with China Satellite, Aerospace Electronics, Aerospace Morning Light, and Steel Research High-tech, which also saw gains [1] Group 2: Sector Analysis - According to Shenwan Hongyuan Securities, the defense and military industry is expected to see increased market expectations as the military parade approaches, with historical data indicating a strong correlation between major parade events and military stock performance [1] - The aerospace ETF (159227) closely tracks the National Aerospace Index, focusing on core areas of military aerospace, with a high concentration of 97.86% in the primary military industry [1] - The weight of aerospace equipment in the ETF's constituent stocks is 66.8%, significantly surpassing that of the CSI Military and CSI Defense indices [1] Group 3: Index Performance - From July 31, 2024, to July 31, 2025, the National Aerospace Index is projected to yield a return of 37.28%, outperforming the CSI Defense Index (33.06%), CSI Military Index (30.4%), and Military Leader Index (26.78%) [1]

Core Viewpoint - The current market trend is characterized as a "confidence reassessment bull market," initiated by the A-share reversal on September 24, 2024, driven by the resilience of the Chinese economy [1] Market Conditions - The market is currently in a slow bull phase, but dynamics may change, especially if the rapid rise in the third quarter leads to increased volatility in the latter half of the fourth quarter [1] - A strong signal is needed to significantly raise profit expectations, which requires ongoing evaluation [1] Industry Insights - Concerns regarding the long profit cycles of hard technology companies and potential valuation overextension are present, but it is premature to declare that overextension has occurred [1] - The issue of valuation divergence in the semiconductor sector has been ongoing since around 2019, during a significant bull market [1] - The core of risk assessment lies not in current valuation levels but in whether actual industry progress aligns with market expectations [1] Strategic Outlook - There is a need for strategic optimism regarding domestic substitution and self-control in the industry [1] - Investors must closely monitor the actual pace and progress of industry substitution [1] Sector Analysis - In the context of manufacturing upgrades, past experiences show that not all upgrades have translated into profit increases, and smooth consumption upgrades and internal circulation are crucial [1] - The new energy sector is highlighted as a key focus for countering involution policies, with significant differentiation within sub-industries [1] - Some sub-industries face severe overcapacity and require substantial time or strong policy intervention for profit recovery, while others may see significant improvement opportunities [1]

天风证券近日发布基础化工行业研究周报：近日，工业和信息化部办公厅、自然资源部 办公厅、生态环境部办公厅、交通运输部办公厅、应急管理部办公厅发布《关于推进化工园 区规范建设和高质量发展有关工作的通知》(以下简称《通知》)。持续做好化工园区规范化 建设和认定管理方面，《通知》部署了开展省级化工园区认定办法复核、严格化工园区认定 管理、加快化工园区问题整改三条举措。一是开展省级化工园区认定办法复核；二是严格化 工园区认定管理；三是加快化工园区问题整改。 以下为研究报告摘要： 本周WTI油价下跌1.7%，为62.8美元/桶。 重点关注子行业：本周橡胶/纯MDI/乙二醇价格分别上涨0.7%/0.3%/0.04%；有机硅/尿 素/液体蛋氨酸/轻质纯碱/TDI/醋酸/聚合MDI/乙烯法PVC/固体蛋氨酸/烧碱/电石法PVC价格分 别下跌8%/2.9%/1.8%/1.6%/1.6%/1.5%/0.6%/0.5%/0.4%/0.3%/0.3%；氨纶/DMF/粘胶长丝/VA/ 粘胶短纤/重质纯碱/VE/钛白粉价格维持不变。 本周涨幅前五化工产品：工业级碳酸锂（+15.6%）、电池级碳酸锂（+15.2%）、硝酸 （+6.9%）、液 ...

华源证券8月18日发布研报称，给予林泰新材（920106.SH）增持评级。评级理由主要包括：1）自主可 控趋势下2025H1湿式纸基摩擦片营收yoy+66%，新能源车DHT领域快速突破成为业绩新增长点；2）摩 托车与全地形车领域驱动需求增长，飞行汽车等应用领域拓展彰显公司发展战略前瞻性。风险提示：产 品价格下降风险、行业周期性波动风险、规模扩张导致的管理风险。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Neutral (maintained rating) [6] Core Viewpoints - The recent notification from multiple government departments aims to promote standardized construction and high-quality development of chemical parks, which may positively impact the industry [1][13] - The basic chemical sector has shown a week-on-week increase of 3.27%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.9 percentage points, indicating a relatively strong market performance [4][15] - Key chemical products have experienced price fluctuations, with notable increases in industrial-grade lithium carbonate (+15.6%) and nitric acid (+6.9%), while other products like urea and liquid methionine have seen declines [2][29] Summary by Sections 1. Key News Tracking - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments issued a notification to enhance the management and recognition of chemical parks, focusing on three main measures: reviewing provincial recognition methods, strict management, and accelerating problem rectification [1][13] 2. Product Price Tracking - WTI oil price decreased by 1.7% to $62.8 per barrel - Key products such as rubber, pure MDI, and ethylene glycol saw price increases of 0.7%, 0.3%, and 0.04% respectively, while several others experienced declines [2][26] 3. Chemical Sector Performance - The basic chemical sector's performance was strong, with significant weekly increases in sub-sectors like modified plastics (+11.44%) and fluorochemicals (+6.04%) [4][16] 4. Focused Sub-industry Insights - The report highlights stable demand and global supply dominance in certain sectors, recommending companies like Jinhe Industrial and Wanhu Chemical for investment [5] - It also emphasizes the importance of domestic demand to counteract tariff impacts in sectors such as refrigerants and fertilizers [5] 5. Investment Opportunities - The report identifies investment opportunities in companies like Lite Optoelectronics and Aolai De, focusing on supply replacement gaps in the market [6]

申万宏源证券表示，9月3日阅兵前，自主可控和国防军工板块存在脉冲机会。历史经验显示，重大 阅兵事件对军工股具有显著催化作用。当前距离阅兵仅剩一个月，市场预期持续升温。 航空航天ETF（159227）为全市场规模最大的航空类ETF，跟踪国证航天指数，申万一级军工行业 占比高达97.86%，是全市场军工含量最高的指数，聚焦军工细分空天力量，成分股覆盖战斗机、运输 机、直升机、航空发动机、导弹、卫星、雷达等全产业链龙头，完美契合"空天一体"的战略方向。 8月19日，A股三大指数集体上涨，沪指站稳3700点，通信、医药、房地产等行业领涨，国防军工 跌幅居前，截至9:57，全市场军工含量最高的航空航天ETF（159227）跌幅1.55%，成交额达5556万 元，稳居同类第一，持仓股海兰信、国科军工、振芯科技、上海瀚讯上涨。军工板块中长期景气度提 升，短期回调或迎布局机会。 现代战争中，空中力量的作用日益凸显，使得航空装备成为各国军队建设的重点，行业技术门槛极 高，涉及众多高端技术和复杂工艺，在军工产业链中的价值量占比较高，是军工板块的核心方向。9月3 日大阅兵仪式在即，叠加十四五收官年，航空航天板块反复活跃。 每日经济 ...

来源：市场投研资讯 行业配置上，建议关注：1）新技术、新成长方向：如国产算力、机器人、固态电池、医药等；2）受益 于股市流动性宽松板块：大金融。主题方面，关注自主可控、军工、低空经济、海洋科技等。 风险提示：政策效果不及预期、海外流动性风险，地缘政治风险等。 （来源：华西研究） 证券分析师：李立峰 S1120520090003； 华西策略 市场回顾：本周全球股指普涨，深证成指领涨全球股市，A股市场延续走强，投资者风险偏好整体抬 升，A股两市成交额与两融余额双双突破2万亿元。伴随量能的突破，上证指数录得"八连阳"并一度突 破3700点，创下近四年来新高。结构上，科技主线延续强势表现，AI、半导体、机器人等成长板块大 涨，创业板指、科创50分别大涨8.58%和5.53%。 市场展望：中期A股市场仍有充足空间和机会。其一，全球贸易不确定性增强，但中国经济的强大韧性 正在得到越来越广泛的国际认可。4月7日关税冲击后，A股高风险偏好资金已率先入市；其二，过去居 民部门积累了大量超额储蓄，潜在增量资金充裕。截至2025年上半年，住户存款向上偏离2011-2019年 间的趋势线约50万亿以上，意味着股市潜在增量资金庞大；其 ...