Workflow
避险资产
icon
Search documents
TMGM外汇:避险降温遇上降息预期,国际金价持续震荡
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-10 07:34
需求方面也值得关注。中国人民银行在一月份连续第15个月继续购买黄金,这一持续行为反映了在全球经济不确定性背景下,主要经济体对黄金的稳定需 求。 交易者目前保持谨慎态度,不愿在重要经济数据发布前做出激进的方向性押注。本周市场将关注多项美国经济数据,包括周二的月度零售销售数据、周三的 非农就业报告以及周五的消费者通胀数据。这些数据的表现将为美联储未来的政策路径提供更多线索,进而影响美元走势和黄金价格。 黄金市场在近期呈现出明显的震荡格局。在周二欧洲交易时段,黄金价格小幅回落至5000美元心理关口下方,回吐了早前部分涨幅。这一波动反映了市场情 绪的复杂变化,多种因素正在影响贵金属的走势。 日本提前大选的结果消除了政治不确定性,为市场带来了一定稳定因素。与此同时,中东紧张局势出现缓解迹象,美国与伊朗关于核计划的间接谈判在周五 结束后,双方达成了维持外交路径的广泛协议。这些进展缓解了市场对地缘冲突的担忧,增强了投资者的风险偏好,从而对作为避险资产的黄金构成了一定 压力。 另一方面,货币政策预期正在为黄金提供支撑。市场目前预计美联储将在2026年至少实施两次25个基点的降息,首次降息可能在六月进行。这种预期使美元 汇率徘 ...
瑞郎15年新低避险洪流政策背离
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-02-10 03:03
2026年2月10日,美元兑瑞士法郎(USD/CHF)延续断崖式下跌,亚洲交易时段一度重挫近1%,最低触及 0.7660水平,创下2011年以来的15年历史新低。截至发稿,汇价徘徊在0.7665附近,市场情绪被避险资 金的单向涌入与美瑞货币政策的巨大背离彻底点燃。这一历史性低点不仅标志着瑞郎的极度强势,更折 射出全球资本在不确定性加剧背景下,对传统避险资产的疯狂追逐。 尽管当前空头气势如虹,但投资者仍需警惕短期的剧烈波动。本周即将发布的美国1月非农就业数据和 CPI数据,将成为短期博弈的焦点,任何超预期的表现都可能引发美元的短线反弹,带动汇价回抽上方 阻力位0.7750-0.7770区域。此外,瑞士央行虽乐见瑞郎走强,但若汇率过快升值严重威胁出口竞争力, 不排除其会通过口头干预甚至入市操作来平抑波动。 美元兑瑞郎的这波历史性下跌,是全球宏观逻辑对汇率市场的直接映射。对于交易者而言,当前市场情 绪极度偏向瑞郎,顺势而为的空头思路虽占主流,但也需时刻警惕超卖后的技术修复与基本面消息的突 变。在0.76关口面临考验的关键时刻,严守风控、关注支撑位的有效性,将是应对这场"瑞郎风暴"的关 键策略。 从技术面来看,美元兑 ...
比特币经历剧烈震荡后跌破7万美元关口
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 13:06
经历上周末的剧烈震荡后,比特币(BTC-USD)于本周一跌破7万美元关口。 这一加密货币鼻祖在亚洲交易时段走势企稳,而到纽约时间早7点20分左右,其价格下跌约2%,报 69037美元。相较于上周的大幅波动,此次跌幅尚属温和——比特币曾在周四暴跌至60033美元,创2024 年10月以来新低,随后又在周五反弹至7万美元上方。 交易员仍保持警惕。 投资理财与交易平台IG首席市场分析师Chris Beauchamp表示:"尽管加密货币价格已从上周低点反弹, 但市场似乎仍无意逢低买入。"他还称,"加密货币当前亟需看涨动能,尽管上周出现反弹,这一关键要 素仍告缺失。" 上周的抛售潮引发比特币波动率大幅飙升,比特币波动率指数一度突破97%,创下2022年萨姆・班克 曼-弗里德旗下的FTX交易所倒闭以来的最大日内涨幅。 经历上周末的剧烈震荡后,比特币(BTC-USD)于本周一跌破7万美元关口。 这一加密货币鼻祖在亚洲交易时段走势企稳,而到纽约时间早7点20分左右,其价格下跌约2%,报 69037美元。相较于上周的大幅波动,此次跌幅尚属温和——比特币曾在周四暴跌至60033美元,创2024 年10月以来新低,随后又在周五反弹 ...
金银价格飙升,顶尖运动员有望在冬奥会获得意外之财
财富FORTUNE· 2026-02-09 13:05
尽管奥运奖牌的原材料价值与运动员投入的数百万美元训练成本相比微不足道,但其集体价值与象征意 义却远超物质本身。买家不惜重金求购这些奖牌,不仅因其承载的历史底蕴、稀缺性与荣誉分量,更因 夺牌运动员背后的拼搏故事。 意大利国家造币厂首席执行官米歇尔·斯基西奥利(Michele Sciscioli)向路透社表示:"奖牌是对无形付 出的有形嘉奖。" 据报道,仅今年,美国前奥运游泳选手瑞安·罗切特(Ryan Lochte)的三枚金牌就以总计385520美元的 价格售出,单枚价格略超12.5万美元。 图片来源:Emmanuele Ciancaglini—Getty Images 2026年意大利米兰-科尔蒂纳冬奥会的经济价值已攀升至前所未有的高度。这一增长不仅来自赞助协议 与赛事奖金,更因贵金属价格大涨,奥运奖牌价值达到历史峰值。 自2025年初以来,金价近乎翻倍,从每盎司2800美元涨至5000美元以上,过去一年涨幅近80%,原因在 于谨慎投资者纷纷涌入避险资产。在数十年的温和增长后,近期这波涨势堪称史无前例:自1971年以 来,黄金年均涨幅约为8%。与此同时,白银价格也大幅攀升,当前交易价格接近每盎司90美元,较一 ...
全球ETF月流入超80亿美元 黄金看向5100阻力
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-02-09 06:06
摘要今日周一(2月9日)亚盘时段,国际黄金最新报价为1120.17元/克,较前一交易日上涨14.52元,涨幅 1.31%,日内呈现震荡上涨走势。当日开盘价报1110.53元/克,盘中最高触及1124.59元/克,最低下探至 1106.41元/克。 今日周一(2月9日)亚盘时段,国际黄金最新报价为1120.17元/克,较前一交易日上涨14.52元,涨幅 1.31%,日内呈现震荡上涨走势。当日开盘价报1110.53元/克,盘中最高触及1124.59元/克,最低下探至 1106.41元/克。 【最新国际黄金行情解析】 黄金市场在上周五展现出稳健的修复态势。价格自4655一线稳步起涨,摆脱了此前抛物线式的狂飙模 式,转而通过"慢阳上行"的健康方式,收复了前一交易日近半数的跌幅,并以阳线稳固了周线收盘。本 周一开盘,多头动能得以延续,金价成功突破并站稳5000这一重要的整数心理关口,标志着阶段性反弹 进入新阶段。 【要闻速递】 当前,金价面临的首要技术阻力位于5100附近,次要阻力则在5150一线。这两个位置因前期套牢盘及短 线获利了结压力,预计将产生较为明显的压制作用。小时线上今天开盘先跌后涨,4965是阳线起涨点, ...
27%单日崩盘也拦不住!白银散户一周豪掷近5亿美金“接飞刀”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 05:35
热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 "人们被这个东西的吸引力所吸引,"StoneX分析师罗娜·奥康奈尔(Rhona O'Connell)表示。她说,白 银的"历史性抛售"反而增强了其吸引力,一些投资者将此视为以更低价格买入的机会。 银价在上周五一度跌至每盎司64美元(较1月底121美元的高点几近腰斩),随后反弹至78美元。"市场 情绪一直非常高涨,这种自我实现的动能已经占据主导," 奥康奈尔补充道,"它正在自我强化。" 去年,在美国总统特朗普反复无常的政策推动下,贵金属开启了创纪录的涨势——从去年4月的关税闪 电战开始,到今年涉及格陵兰岛、伊朗以及美联储独立性的危机持续不断——这起初驱使投资者将其视 为"避风港",而后越来越多地将其视为投机资产。 白银在2025年初时价格低于每盎司30美元,在近期下跌前的涨幅超过四倍。黄金价格也从2025年初的每 盎司约2600美元翻倍至上月近5600美元的峰值,随后跌破5000美元。 这两轮涨势在1月30日发生逆转,此前特朗普选择凯文·沃什(Kevin Warsh)作为其下一任美联储主席 ——这缓解了市场对美联储将屈服于总统大幅降息要求的担忧, ...
华尔街日报:黄金和白银狂热背后的“中国大妈”
美股IPO· 2026-02-09 04:27
Core Insights - The article discusses the surge in gold and silver investments among Chinese retail investors, particularly in the context of rising global tensions and economic uncertainty [1][3][4]. Group 1: Investment Trends - Chinese retail investors, referred to as "Aunties," have significantly contributed to the global gold and silver frenzy, with purchases of approximately 432 tons of gold bars and coins in 2025, marking a 28% increase from the previous year [3][5]. - The demand for gold in China remains strong, as evidenced by the persistent premium on gold and silver prices compared to international benchmarks [6]. - The influx of funds into gold ETFs in China reached a historical high last year, indicating a growing preference for gold as a safe-haven asset amid economic volatility [6]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - Recent fluctuations in gold prices have led to significant losses for many investors, with a notable drop occurring on January 30, when gold and silver prices experienced their largest single-day decline in decades [6][7]. - Some banks in China have tightened margin requirements, limiting the amount customers can borrow to purchase metals, reflecting a cautious market sentiment [7]. - Despite the recent price drop, there has been an increase in foot traffic at jewelry markets, suggesting that lower prices may attract buyers, although overall consumer sentiment remains cautious [7][8]. Group 3: Shifts in Investment Preferences - Some investors are shifting their focus from gold to silver, believing that silver has more potential for appreciation, as indicated by individuals who have started accumulating silver instead of gold [10][11].
比特币最新爆仓金额超3亿美元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 02:58
Group 1 - The global cryptocurrency market is experiencing significant volatility, with Bitcoin priced at $70,670.6, up 2% but down 43.91% from last year's peak [2] - Major cryptocurrencies like Ethereum and Tether have also seen varying degrees of increase, while over 89,700 traders faced liquidation in the last 24 hours, totaling over $300 million [2] - Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw a net inflow of approximately $562 million last week, followed by over $800 million in outflows in the subsequent two trading days, indicating a shift in investor sentiment [2] Group 2 - Concerns are rising among investors regarding cryptocurrency miners, with fears of forced liquidations if prices continue to decline [3] - The recent drop in Bitcoin's price is attributed to hedging activities by traders related to IBIT structured products, which may trigger concentrated hedging at specific points, leading to rapid price fluctuations [3] - Market participants are advised to adjust their strategies in response to changing market mechanisms [3]
重大!今日金价大幅下滑,银行金条和零售金价差距巨大!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-08 23:04
Core Insights - The article discusses the fluctuations in gold prices and their implications for wealth management, highlighting the dual nature of gold as both a financial asset and a luxury item [1][7] Group 1: Gold Market Dynamics - The gold market is experiencing a split, with basic investment gold bars closely following international prices, while luxury gold bars are priced significantly higher due to branding and craftsmanship [1] - International gold prices have seen significant volatility, with a recent rebound after a sharp decline from historical peaks, influenced by currency fluctuations and policy changes [2] - Central banks, particularly in Eastern countries, continue to increase their gold reserves, indicating a long-term value in gold as a safe-haven asset amidst global uncertainties [2] Group 2: Consumer Trends and Investment Strategies - The younger generation is redefining their relationship with gold, favoring smaller, stylish gold items over traditional gold bars, reflecting a shift towards emotional and personal value in gold purchases [2] - For investors seeking long-term value, it is recommended to focus on investment gold bars with low premiums, as they closely track international gold prices [5] - The trend of "打金" (customized gold products) offers a middle ground, allowing consumers to obtain personalized items at near-wholesale prices while being aware of the associated costs [5] Group 3: Silver Market Volatility - In contrast to the relatively stable gold market, the silver market has experienced extreme volatility, with regulatory measures leading to significant price drops, highlighting the risks associated with leveraged trading [3] Group 4: Investment Objectives - Investors are encouraged to clarify their investment goals, whether for pure metal, artistic value, or market speculation, to better navigate gold price fluctuations [7]
黄金跌懵了!前几天笑嘻嘻,这两天苦兮兮,我的钱包经历了什么?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-08 22:08
手机屏幕上跳动的数字从喜庆的红色变成刺眼的绿色, 我盯着那不断缩水的账户余额,几天前还在盘算着用这笔"意外之财"换台新电脑, 现在却只能苦笑着摇头。 作为一名今日头条作者,我总在追逐热点。前阵子黄金白银涨势如虹,连菜市场大妈都在讨论该不该买点金条压箱底。我心想,这不仅是热点,更是机会 啊! 于是,我毫不犹豫地入手了黄金和白银基金。起初几天,每天打开账户都像打开礼物盒——红彤彤的收益数字让人心花怒放。我在作者群里得瑟:"今天又 加了个鸡腿!"朋友们笑称我是"金融小能手"。 **这种快乐在短短48小时内烟消云散。** 黄金价格突然调头向下,白银更是跌得毫不留情。我的账户就像漏气的气球,迅速瘪了下去。 从最高点的盈利15%,到现在的亏损8%,这种过山车般的体验让我的心情跌到谷底。前两天还在盘算着用这笔"意外之财"换台新电脑,现在却只能对着屏 幕苦笑。 我发现,前期的暴涨已经积累了大量的获利盘,一有风吹草动,这些"聪明钱"就会迅速撤离。而像我这样的后知后觉者,往往成了接盘侠。 更让我惊讶的是,全球央行增持黄金储备的消息早已不是新闻,而我却把它当作继续上涨的信号。市场的预期已经提前消化了这一利好,当消息正式公布 时,反 ...