新型消费
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沈建光:从国庆长假看消费前景
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-22 12:30
Core Insights - The travel enthusiasm during the recent National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival did not translate into strong consumer spending, indicating a weak consumption performance despite high travel activity [2][3][4]. Consumption Trends - During the holiday period from October 1 to 8, a total of 2.433 billion people traveled, with an average of 304 million daily, reflecting a 6.3% year-on-year increase compared to the same period in 2024 [3]. - However, retail and catering sales during the holiday only grew by 2.7% year-on-year, significantly lower than previous holidays [3]. - Daily sales in consumption-related industries increased by 4.5% year-on-year, which is also weaker than previous holiday periods [3]. Consumer Spending Analysis - Domestic tourism saw 888 million trips with total spending of 809 billion yuan, slightly higher than last year, but per capita spending decreased to 911 yuan, below last year's 916 yuan [4]. - The third quarter saw a slowdown in consumption growth, with retail sales growth dropping to 3.4% in August, the lowest since December 2024 [6][7]. Future Outlook - The fourth quarter is expected to face greater downward pressure on consumption due to elevated base effects from last year and the diminishing impact of trade-in policies [8]. - Key factors constraining consumption recovery include pressure on employment income, declining household wealth due to falling property prices, and weak consumer confidence [9]. Policy Recommendations - To stimulate consumption, it is suggested to expand the categories supported by trade-in policies, enhance support for service consumption, and encourage new types of consumption [10][11]. - Improving the social security system is also crucial, as current social spending is significantly lower than that of OECD countries, which limits consumption growth [12].
锐评|这张成绩单,“含金量”与“含新量”都足足的
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-22 10:42
Core Insights - Beijing's GDP grew by 5.6% year-on-year in the first three quarters, showing a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points compared to the first half of the year, indicating a stable and improving economic performance [1] - Key industries such as information transmission, software and IT services, finance, and manufacturing contributed over 80% to the city's economic growth [1] - High-end manufacturing led the growth, with the added value of strategic emerging industries and high-tech manufacturing increasing by 17.9% and 9.9% respectively [1] - New consumption trends are emerging, with significant growth in the cultural and tourism sectors, including double-digit increases in box office revenues and over 10% growth in travel agency and related services [1] Industry Analysis - The transformation of innovation potential into economic momentum is crucial for sustainable development, with Beijing focusing on becoming a major global scientific center and innovation hub [1] - Policies such as the trade-in program for consumer goods have stimulated rapid growth in the sales of household appliances [2] - The integration of diverse business models in the cultural, commercial, and tourism sectors has led to double-digit growth in the number of large events and attendees in Beijing this year [2] - The current economic environment is characterized by external uncertainties and insufficient domestic demand, necessitating a focus on reform and policy support to ensure equitable distribution of development benefits [2]
前三季度消费稳健有力、向上向好 政策红利释放业态模式创新按下“加速键”
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-10-22 08:44
Core Insights - Since 2025, the consumption market has shown stable growth due to the implementation of policies aimed at boosting consumption, leading to the continuous release of consumption potential [1] - The retail sales of consumer goods in the first three quarters of 2025 increased by 4.5% year-on-year, reflecting a steady growth in market sales compared to the same period last year [3] - The contribution rate of final consumption expenditure to economic growth reached 53.5%, an increase of 9.0 percentage points compared to the previous year, continuing to serve as a main engine for economic growth [16] Consumption Trends - The growth of service consumption has accelerated, with service retail sales increasing by 5.2% year-on-year in the first three quarters, outpacing the growth of goods retail sales by 0.6 percentage points [9] - The "old-for-new" policy has driven significant growth in related retail categories, with furniture retail sales increasing by 21.3% year-on-year, and home appliances and cultural office supplies seeing increases of 25.3% and 19.9%, respectively [12] - Online consumption has continued to thrive, with online retail sales growing by 9.8% year-on-year in the first three quarters, indicating a sustained acceleration in growth since May [14] Policy Impact - The macroeconomic research department of the National Information Center indicates that the policy dividends are continuously being released, and innovations in business models are effectively stimulating consumer enthusiasm and meeting the demand for quality and diversified consumption upgrades [6]
消费市场稳步扩大
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-10-22 02:07
前三季度,以旧换新等提振消费系列政策措施落地见效,消费新业态、新模式、新场景不断拓展,各类 新型消费较快发展,市场活力增强,消费潜力释放,线上消费和服务零售加快增长,消费市场实现稳定 增长。 服务消费增长加快。在扩大服务消费系列政策措施带动下,服务消费需求加速释放。前三季度,服务零 售额同比增长5.2%,高于同期商品零售额0.6个百分点。其中,文体休闲服务类、通讯信息服务类、旅 游咨询租赁服务类、交通出行服务类零售额实现两位数增长。 四、新型消费加快增长,实体新业态蓬勃发展 二、城乡市场结构持续优化,县乡市场潜能释放 城乡市场规模扩大。前三季度,城镇消费品零售额同比增长4.4%,增速比上年同期、上年全年加快1个 百分点以上。乡村消费品零售额增长4.6%,增速快于城镇0.2个百分点,乡村市场销售较为平稳。 县乡市场活力增强。县域商业体系建设扎实推进,乡镇商业设施日益健全,县乡市场规模持续壮大。前 三季度,包括镇区和乡村的县乡市场规模占社会消费品零售总额的比重为38.8%。 三、基本生活类和升级类商品稳定增长,以旧换新相关商品增势较好 一、消费市场规模稳步扩大,服务消费增长较快 多数商品类别实现增长。前三季度,商 ...
提振消费!广州 最新部署
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-10-21 15:28
Core Viewpoint - The Guangzhou Municipal Government has issued a comprehensive implementation plan aimed at boosting consumption through various initiatives focused on income growth, service consumption, large-scale consumption, and environmental optimization [1]. Group 1: Income Growth and Employment - The plan emphasizes expanding channels for property income and enhancing the market value management of state-owned listed companies to stabilize investor return expectations [3]. - It includes strategies to activate idle rural collective land and legally owned housing through leasing, equity participation, and cooperation [3]. Group 2: Consumer Capability Support - The plan aims to strengthen support for childbirth and childcare, as well as improve medical and pension security, including setting reasonable standards for urban and rural residents' medical insurance funding [3]. - It also proposes a gradual increase in basic pension insurance benefits [3]. Group 3: Service Consumption Enhancement - The plan promotes the development of sports consumption, innovation in the silver economy, and the expansion of inbound consumption [3]. - Specific measures include implementing a 240-hour visa-free transit policy and enhancing customs facilitation services, as well as promoting inbound tourism with free one-day tours in Guangzhou for international transit passengers [3]. Group 4: Large-scale Consumption Upgrades - The plan outlines initiatives for a trade-in program for consumer goods and better housing consumption support, including the renovation of over 150 old residential communities by 2025 and an investment of 100 billion yuan in urban village renovations [4]. - It also supports the development of the used car market and the implementation of measures to facilitate used car sales [4]. Group 5: Quality Consumption Promotion - The plan focuses on fostering new consumption models, promoting high-quality development of the first-release economy, and enhancing the spillover effects of the Canton Fair [5]. - It includes initiatives to integrate domestic and international trade, supporting pilot enterprises in this area [6]. Group 6: Optimization of Restrictive Measures - The plan aims to systematically reduce consumption restrictions, including allowing individuals to directly apply for additional car quotas after 72 unsuccessful attempts [6]. - It emphasizes creating a first-class business environment and implementing a three-year action plan for building an internationally competitive business environment in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area [6].
消费潜力持续释放 消费市场实现稳定增长
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-10-21 12:13
Core Insights - The consumer market in China has shown stable growth this year, driven by effective consumption-boosting policies and the expansion of new consumption formats, models, and scenarios [1] Group 1: Retail Performance - The total retail sales of consumer goods in the first three quarters increased by 4.5% year-on-year, which is an acceleration of 1.2 percentage points compared to the same period last year and 1.0 percentage point compared to the entire last year [3] - Service consumption has accelerated, with retail sales in the service sector growing by 5.2% year-on-year in the first three quarters, outpacing the growth of goods retail sales by 0.6 percentage points [3] - Specific service categories such as cultural, sports, and leisure services, communication and information services, and transportation services have all achieved double-digit growth [3] Group 2: Specific Product Categories - The "trade-in" policy has significantly boosted retail sales in related categories, with furniture retail sales increasing by 21.3% year-on-year in the first three quarters [5] - Retail sales of household appliances and audio-visual equipment, as well as cultural and office supplies, grew by 25.3% and 19.9% year-on-year, respectively, showing a marked acceleration compared to the previous year [5] Group 3: Online Consumption - Online retail sales increased by 9.8% year-on-year in the first three quarters, with growth accelerating since May, indicating a strengthening role of online consumption in driving total retail sales [5] Group 4: Economic Contribution - Final consumption expenditure contributed 53.5% to economic growth in the first three quarters, an increase of 9.0 percentage points compared to the entire last year, reinforcing its role as the main engine of economic growth [6]
广州:积极培育新型消费,促进首发经济高质量发展
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-21 11:23
Core Viewpoint - The Guangzhou Municipal Government has issued a plan to boost consumption, focusing on creating a new urban consumption brand called "New Eight Scenic Spots of Yangcheng" [1] Group 1: Consumption Promotion Strategies - The plan emphasizes the integration of commerce, tourism, culture, and sports to enhance consumer experiences [1] - Eight major consumption scenarios, including "Flower Street," "Pet Park," "Canton Fair," and "Same Boat Crossing," will host diverse promotional activities throughout the year [1] - The initiative aims to enrich consumption formats such as pet-friendly, ACG (Anime, Comic, and Games), and dragon boat culture, establishing Guangzhou as a "shopping paradise" with Lingnan charm, Chinese style, and global appeal [1] Group 2: New Consumption Models - The government plans to cultivate new consumption types by developing live e-commerce, instant retail, and community group buying, creating integrated online and offline consumption scenarios [1] - There is a focus on promoting cruise tourism by establishing Nansha International Cruise Home Port, enhancing unique consumption experiences from ship to shore [1] - The exploration of low-altitude tourism applications and the initiation of point-to-point low-altitude tourism pilot projects are also part of the strategy [1] Group 3: Youth and Innovative Consumption - The plan aims to foster new performance spaces, scenes, and business formats, incubating small theaters and innovative performance content [1] - It targets youth consumption hotspots such as pet-friendly, ACG, and fashion trends [1] - The initiative supports the high-quality development of the "first launch economy," encouraging domestic and international brands to debut new products in Guangzhou [1] Group 4: Support for Local Brands - The government will implement policies to support the development of the first launch economy, creating distinctive launch event brands and attracting more flagship stores to Guangzhou [1] - A 2.0 version of the launch space guide will be released to strengthen professional platforms for new product launches and incubate more local high-level leading consumption brands [1]
前三季度四川经济运行平稳,体现“稳”“新”“好”三个特点
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-21 10:57
Core Viewpoint - Sichuan's economy has shown stable growth in the first three quarters of 2023, with a GDP of 49,322.2 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.5% [3] Economic Performance - The economic foundation is solid, with stable production and supply, expanding market demand, and improving livelihood guarantees [3] - Agricultural output increased by 3.5%, while social retail sales grew by 5.8% [3] - Industrial output maintained a growth rate of over 7%, with high-tech manufacturing value added increasing by 11.6% [6][8] Investment and Consumption - Investment in the primary and secondary industries grew by 13.1% and 6.9% respectively [4] - Retail sales of essential goods increased, with food retail up by 12.4% and luxury goods like jewelry and cosmetics rising by 24.5% and 9.1% respectively [4] Employment and Income - Urban employment remained stable, with over 800,000 new jobs created and an average urban unemployment rate of 5.3% [4] - Per capita disposable income for urban and rural residents grew by 4.5% and 5.5%, respectively, indicating a narrowing income gap [4] New Growth Drivers - New production capabilities are being cultivated, with significant growth in high-tech manufacturing and green industries [6] - The internet sector saw a revenue increase of 20.5% from January to August [6] Policy and Market Dynamics - The effectiveness of policies aimed at stimulating demand and production is becoming evident, with significant growth in equipment investment and consumer goods sales [8] - The business environment is improving, with industrial profits rising by 5.8% year-on-year, surpassing the national average [8] Infrastructure and Financial Support - Infrastructure development is being accelerated, enhancing resource allocation and economic operation [9] - Financial services are robust, with a double-digit growth in loans supporting the real economy [9]
《人民日报》头版点赞天门服装电商产业发展
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-10-21 02:23
Group 1 - The retail and catering sectors in Hubei achieved a total transaction volume of 52.606 billion yuan during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays, with online retail sales reaching 10.32 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 15.3% [1] - The cross-border e-commerce industry in Hubei is thriving, with a variety of products available, including electronics, clothing, and food items from around the world, facilitated by the Huahu Airport [2] - The clothing e-commerce sector in Tianmen has seen significant growth, with an average daily shipment of 100,000 orders last year and a total sales revenue of 1.3 billion yuan, aiming for 2 billion yuan this year [2] Group 2 - Tianmen's clothing products are now sold in over 150 countries and regions, with plans to establish overseas warehouses in Thailand for faster delivery [3] - Hubei is enhancing the digital capabilities of its commercial circulation enterprises, with online retail sales for major retailers increasing by 19.2% in the first eight months of this year [3] - Hubei has developed 104 comprehensive cultural and tourism projects, significantly boosting various sectors such as tourism, entertainment, and hospitality [4] Group 3 - During the recent holidays, Hubei's A-level tourist attractions received 20.3634 million visitors, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12.9% [4] - The vibrant consumer market in Hubei is contributing to the province's high-quality economic development [4]
中国经济秋季报|新业态、新模式、新场景不断拓展 消费“主引擎”作用凸显
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-10-20 08:59
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that consumption remains the main engine of economic growth, with new types of consumption developing rapidly and market vitality increasing [1] - In the first three quarters, final consumption expenditure contributed 53.5% to economic growth, an increase of 9.0 percentage points compared to the previous year [1] - The "old-for-new" policy has been expanded, with 300 billion yuan in special bonds allocated to support consumer demand [1] Group 2 - The "old-for-new" policy has led to double-digit growth in retail sales of household appliances, audio-visual equipment, cultural office supplies, and furniture [4] - As of September 10, over 8.3 million applications for vehicle replacements under the "old-for-new" policy have been submitted, averaging over 30,000 applications per day [4] - Retail sales of high-efficiency and smart appliances have continued to grow rapidly, driven by policies to expand service consumption [7] Group 3 - Service retail sales increased by 5.2% year-on-year in the first three quarters, outpacing the growth of goods retail sales by 0.6 percentage points [7] - Categories such as cultural and recreational services, communication and information services, travel consulting and leasing services, and transportation services all achieved double-digit growth [7] - The spokesperson from the National Bureau of Statistics emphasized the importance of expanding domestic demand and enhancing market vitality to promote sustained economic development [9]