Summary of the Conference Call Transcript Company Overview - **Company**: Joyson Electronics (均胜电子) - **Industry**: Automotive Safety and Electronics Solutions - **Rating**: Buy with a target price of Rmb 34.20, up from Rmb 21.10 [1][4] Key Points and Arguments Industry Trends - The global automotive industry is undergoing significant electrification and intelligence trends, expected to drive the automotive electronics market with a CAGR of 9.0% from 2025 to 2028 [2][9] - Key growth segments include smart cockpit solutions, intelligent driving solutions, new energy management systems, and intelligent connectivity systems [2][9] Financial Projections - Joyson's net profit is projected to grow at a CAGR of 17% from 2025 to 2028, driven by deepening collaborations with domestic automakers and benefiting from overseas automakers' transitions to electrification and intelligence [3][10] - Revenue is expected to grow at a CAGR of 6.5%, with gross and net profit margins improving from 18.3% and 2.4% in 2025 to 18.4% and 3.2% in 2028, respectively [3][10] Valuation - The valuation is based on a segmented approach: - Automotive safety and other parts: 21.0x 2026E PE - Automotive electronics: 27.5x 2026E PE - Robotics parts: 9.5x 2026E P/S [4][31] - The new target price reflects a 27.5x 2026E PE, indicating a 16% discount compared to peers [4][31] Market Position - Joyson is positioned as a global leader in automotive passive safety and electronics, with a comprehensive product portfolio and a global customer base [1][13] - The company has established over 25 R&D centers and more than 60 production bases worldwide, covering major automakers [13] Growth Opportunities - Joyson has secured projects with leading overseas automakers and a major humanoid robot manufacturer, indicating potential growth in the robotics sector [1][19] - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing demand for automotive electronics due to stricter safety standards and the transition to centralized electronic architectures [9][10] Additional Important Insights - The current stock price of Rmb 26.95 reflects a potential upside, with a risk-reward ratio of 3.1:1 [36] - The company has faced challenges in the past due to significant acquisitions and restructuring, but these impacts are expected to diminish by 2025 [14] - Joyson's revenue growth is primarily driven by the automotive electronics sector, which is anticipated to outperform the traditional automotive safety market [9][10] Conclusion - Joyson Electronics is well-positioned to capitalize on the ongoing transformation in the automotive industry, with strong growth prospects in both automotive electronics and robotics. The current valuation does not fully reflect the company's growth potential, making it an attractive investment opportunity.

Core Viewpoint - The automotive industry is at a new crossroads in 2026, with the end of the electric vehicle (EV) boom and the rise of smart technology. Investment opportunities lie in commercial vehicles and two-wheeled vehicles, focusing on finding resilient alpha varieties and embracing the next industrial trends of smart technology and robotics/AIDC [4][10]. Group 1: Automotive Sector Investment Strategy - The automotive industry should reference the years 2011 and 2018 for strategic insights. The focus is on finding resilient alpha varieties and embracing the next industrial trends, particularly in smart technology and robotics/AIDC [4][10]. - The total domestic demand for passenger vehicles in 2026 is expected to be 22 million units, a decrease of 3.5% year-on-year, while the demand for new energy vehicles is projected to reach 13.2 million units, an increase of 6.4% [5][10]. - The wholesale sales of heavy trucks are forecasted to be 1.16 million units in 2026, with a year-on-year increase of 1.5%. Domestic sales are expected to decline by 5.5% to 770,000 units, while exports are projected to rise by 18.8% to 390,000-400,000 units [5][27]. Group 2: Key Investment Opportunities - In the bus sector, the top picks are Yutong Bus and Jinlong Automobile. For motorcycles, the preferred choices are Chunfeng Power and Longxin General. In the heavy truck sector, China National Heavy Duty Truck and Weichai Power are favored. For passenger vehicles, BYD is the primary choice, with Jianghuai Automobile as a secondary option. In the parts sector, Fuyao Glass, Xingyu Co., and Minth Group are recommended [6][10]. - The L4 RoboX investment opportunities focus on the B-end software sector over C-end hardware. Preferred stocks include XPeng Motors, Horizon Robotics, and others in the H-share market, while A-share selections include Qianli Technology and Desay SV [7][10]. - The robotics and AIDC investment opportunities are highlighted, with a focus on the upcoming Optimus V3 overseas and the rapid development of domestic robotics. Key selections include Top Group for robotics and liquid cooling, and Junsheng Electronics for robotics [7][10]. Group 3: Market Forecasts - The passenger vehicle market is expected to see a total sales volume of 22 million units in 2026, with a year-on-year decrease of 3.5%. New energy vehicle sales are projected to reach 13.2 million units, an increase of 6.4% [5][17]. - The heavy truck market is forecasted to have a wholesale volume of 1.16 million units in 2026, with domestic sales declining by 5.5% to 770,000 units, while exports are expected to rise by 18.8% [5][27]. - The bus sector is anticipated to maintain a strong export growth rate of over 30%, with domestic sales expected to reach 81,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 3% [5][32]. Group 4: Motorcycle Market Insights - The motorcycle industry is projected to have total sales of 19.38 million units in 2026, a year-on-year increase of 14%. The large-displacement motorcycle segment is expected to reach 1.26 million units, a 31% increase [5][34]. - Domestic sales of large-displacement motorcycles are expected to reach 430,000 units, a 5% increase, while exports are projected to be 830,000 units, a 50% increase [5][35]. Group 5: Future Trends and Innovations - The penetration rate of smart driving technology in new energy vehicles is expected to rise to 40% by 2026, with significant growth in the use of domestic chips [22][23]. - The heavy truck export market is expected to recover, with significant growth in regions such as Southeast Asia and Africa, driven by local infrastructure and mining demands [28][29].

（编辑 袁冠琳） 证券日报网讯 12月19日，浙江华远在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司是一家专注于定制化汽车 系统连接件研发、生产及销售的高新技术企业，核心产品为异型紧固件和座椅锁。目前，公司核心产品 已广泛应用于汽车安全系统、智能电子系统等领域，是智能驾驶汽车的重要组成部分。公司深耕汽车智 能化领域，并已进入多家主流新能源汽车厂商的供应链体系。公司将持续关注行业动态与技术发展，积 极把握市场机遇，不断提升技术实力与市场竞争力，以更好地满足客户需求，为股东创造价值。 ...

Group 1 - The luxury car market in China is experiencing significant price reductions, with brands like Maserati and Aston Martin offering substantial discounts on their models [1][3][5] - Maserati's Grecale electric SUV has seen its price drop from nearly 900,000 yuan to as low as 358,800 yuan, representing a discount of over 60% [1] - Aston Martin's DBX model is now priced between 1.6 million to 1.7 million yuan, down from a guide price of 2.448 million yuan, effectively a 35% discount [5] Group 2 - The overall import car market in China has been declining, with a reported 30% drop in imported vehicles from January to October 2025, marking the largest year-on-year decline in recent years [8][10] - Maserati's sales in China have plummeted over 70% from its peak in 2017, with only 1,228 units sold in 2024 [9] - The luxury car segment is facing increased competition from domestic brands, which have gained significant market share, particularly in the high-end segment [12][15] Group 3 - The market share of high-end vehicles priced over 300,000 yuan has decreased from 15% in 2017 to 13% in 2025, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [12] - Domestic brands are increasingly preferred due to their cost advantages and rapid improvements in product quality, impacting the sales of imported luxury vehicles [15][19] - Foreign luxury brands are now focusing on adapting to the Chinese market by enhancing their product offerings and integrating into local supply chains [17][19]

"今天买的燃油车剩余价值会比你想象的低得多，我们很快就会像看待蒸汽机车一样看待汽油车。" 当马斯克在X平台再次抛出这颗"炸弹"时，整个汽车圈都沉默了。这不是他第一次宣判燃油车的死刑， 但2025年12月18日的这次表态，伴随着福特撤资195亿美元的战略回调，让这个预言听起来更像是死亡 倒计时56。 你的燃油车，正在加速沦为"数字时代的翻盖手机"。 马斯克对燃油车的"诅咒"从来不是心血来潮。早在2022年9月，他就将燃油车比作蒸汽机车，直言其剩 余价值将崩塌23。三年过去，这个比喻正从修辞变成现实。 看看数据吧：2021年国内燃油车批发量已下降4%，零售销量下降6%，而新能源车批发量暴增181%，零 售增长169%4。这不是趋势，是雪崩。马斯克预言到2030年全球近一半汽车将是电动车210——现在 看，这个数字可能还是保守了。 更致命的是智能化维度。马斯克最新观点一针见血：油电之争是伪命题，最终竞争力来自智能化679。 一台没有自动驾驶的燃油车，在智能电动车面前，体验差距堪比功能机对iPhone。余承东2022年就 说"现在买燃油车如同智能手机时代买功能机"3，当时被骂营销话术，现在看，是残酷的预言。 一、"蒸 ...

来源：央视网 近日，马斯克在社交媒体上称，驾驶非自动驾驶的燃油车，就像"骑马时使用翻盖手机"一样过时。他认 为传统燃油车只会逐渐消亡，最终汽车的竞争力将来源于智能化。 分析认为，这一表态与马斯克本人 的长期观点一致，他近期重申这一点可能与传统汽车行业战略回调有关。 ...

据央视财经，12月18日，马斯克在社交媒体上称，驾驶非自动驾驶的燃油车，就像"骑马时使用翻盖手机"一样过时。 一位网友评论称："福特仍然认为生产电动汽车的原因是为了减少排放，这一事实告诉你，传统汽车对这种模式转变的理解是多么的少。自主是一股浪 潮。一旦汽车实现自主化，燃油汽车的运营成本将完全无法维持。减少排放只是一个副作用。电动汽车从根本上来说是一个更好的自动驾驶平台。这就像 在白炽灯商业化之后投资新的捕鲸船一样。" 马斯克回应称："完全正确。多年前，我就说过，非自主内燃机汽车就像一边骑马一边使用翻盖手机，但你不可能把一个好主意硬塞给传统行业。他们只 是坚持去死。" 他认为传统燃油车只会逐渐消亡，最终汽车的竞争力将来源于智能化。 分析认为，这一表态与马斯克本人的长期观点一致，他近期重申这一点可能与传统汽车行业战略回调有关。 近期，马斯克旗下特斯拉公司的股价不断走强。当地时间18日，特斯拉股价收于483.37美元，日内涨幅超过3%。自4月8日跌至220美元左右的低点之后， 特斯拉股价已累计大涨约120%。 据福布斯数据，截至17日，马斯克仍稳坐福布斯亿万富翁排行榜榜首，个人财富维持在6840亿美元左右，遥遥领先 ...

格隆汇12月19日丨浙江华远(301535.SZ)在互动平台表示，公司是一家专注于定制化汽车系统连接件研 发、生产及销售的高新技术企业，核心产品为异型紧固件和座椅锁。目前，公司核心产品已广泛应用于 汽车安全系统、智能电子系统等领域，是智能驾驶汽车的重要组成部分。 公司深耕汽车智能化领域， 并已进入多家主流新能源汽车厂商的供应链体系。公司将持续关注行业动态与技术发展，积极把握市场 机遇，不断提升技术实力与市场竞争力，以更好地满足客户需求，为股东创造价值。 ...

Core Conclusions - The 2026 automotive industry investment strategy emphasizes "breaking old and establishing new," suggesting that the industry is at a crossroads similar to 2011 and 2018, with the end of the electric vehicle (EV) boom and the rise of smart technology [2][3] - The report predicts a total domestic demand of 22 million vehicles in 2026, a decrease of 3.5% year-on-year, with new energy vehicle (NEV) sales expected to reach 13.2 million, an increase of 6.4% [2][10] - The commercial vehicle sector is expected to see a wholesale volume of 1.16 million units in 2026, with a slight increase of 1.5% year-on-year, while the bus sector is projected to maintain strong export growth [2][19] Passenger Vehicle Sector - The passenger vehicle sector is projected to experience a total sales volume of 22 million units in 2026, with NEV sales expected to reach 13.2 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.4% [2][10] - The report highlights the impact of a 5% purchase tax on NEVs starting January 1, 2026, which is expected to support domestic demand [10] - Key investment opportunities include BYD and Jianghuai Automobile in the passenger vehicle sector [2][3] Commercial Vehicle Sector - The heavy truck segment is forecasted to have a wholesale volume of 1.16 million units in 2026, with domestic sales expected to decline by 5.5% to 770,000 units, while exports are projected to grow by 18.8% [2][15] - The bus sector is expected to see a total domestic sales volume of 81,000 units, with exports anticipated to grow by over 30% [2][19] Motorcycle Sector - The motorcycle industry is expected to achieve total sales of 19.38 million units in 2026, representing a year-on-year increase of 14%, with large-displacement motorcycles projected to grow by 31% [2][22] - Domestic sales of large-displacement motorcycles are expected to reach 430,000 units, while exports are projected to grow significantly [22] Investment Opportunities - The report identifies key investment opportunities across various segments, including Yutong Bus and King Long in the bus sector, and Spring Power and Longxin General in the motorcycle sector [2][3] - The focus on L4 RoboX investment opportunities highlights the importance of software over hardware in the autonomous driving sector, with recommended stocks including XPeng Motors and Horizon Robotics [2][3] Growth Trends - The report anticipates a continued focus on smart technology and robotics, with significant growth expected in the L4 RoboX industry and AIDC (Automated Identification and Data Capture) sectors [2][3] - The penetration rate of smart driving technology in new energy vehicles is expected to reach 40% by 2026, with a notable shift in chip supplier market shares [13][14]

Group 1 - The automotive industry chain is experiencing growth, with significant increases in automotive parts, services, dismantling, and autonomous driving sectors [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has officially announced the first batch of L3 conditional autonomous driving vehicle permits in China, marking a key step towards commercial application [1] - The two approved models are the Changan SC7000AAARBEV electric sedan and the Arcfox BJ7001A61NBEV electric sedan, which will undergo road trials in designated areas of Beijing and Chongqing [1] Group 2 - Ping An Securities predicts that the commercialization of intelligent driving is expected to accelerate by 2026, with the approval of L3 models indicating progress in technology and policy [2] - Dongxing Securities states that the automotive intelligence has transitioned from quantitative to qualitative changes, with 2026 being a pivotal year for the shift from L2 to L3 intelligent driving [2] - The development of intelligent chassis systems is highlighted as a key area for ensuring the reliability of high-level autonomous driving, with the potential for large-scale component companies to emerge in China [2]