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美联储继续按兵不动 两票委反对 鲍威尔淡化9月降息预期
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-07-31 00:52
作者:李丹、赵雨荷,华尔街见闻 "新美联储通讯社":"罕见"两人反对,要求立即降息,凸显联储决策者对关税影响的共识在 破裂。 经济学家认为本次声明比预期偏鸽派,9月降息可能性增加,预计本周将公布的PCE和非农 就业数据可能加剧联储分歧。 鲍威尔未就9月降息给出指引,称现在就断言美联储是否会像金融市场预期的那样在9月下调 联邦基金利率还为时过早,给市场对9月降息的预期降温。 尽管美国总统特朗普最近首次亲自"上门"敦促降息,特朗普政府的官员和共和党人一再借"装修门"施 压,美联储仍不为所动。 但这一次,美联储暴露了自去年9月启动降息周期以来对降息行动最大的内部分歧,并且对经济活动的 表述有偏鸽派的调整。 美东时间7月30日周三,美联储在货币政策委员会FOMC会后公布,联邦基金利率的目标区间仍维持在 4.25%至4.5%。 要点: 美联储如市场所料继续暂停降息。 至此,FOMC连续五次货币政策会议决定暂停行动。联储自去年9月起连续三次会议降息,合计降幅100 个基点,自今年1月特朗普上台以来,一直按兵不动。 FOMC票委中,鲍威尔等九人继续支持按兵不动,沃勒和鲍曼主张本次降息25个基点。 相比上次声明,本次删除经济 ...
美联储宣布,利率不变
Group 1 - The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 4.25% to 4.50%, marking the fifth consecutive meeting this year where rates were held steady, aligning with market expectations [1] - The Fed's policy statement indicated a slowdown in U.S. economic growth during the first half of the year, suggesting that if this trend continues, it may provide grounds for future rate cuts [1] - The statement also highlighted high uncertainty regarding economic prospects, with risks to both inflation and employment targets, reflecting a cautious stance from the Fed [1] Group 2 - There was a notable occurrence in this meeting where two Federal Reserve governors voted against the rate decision, indicating the influence of external pressures, particularly from President Trump, who has been vocal about his desire for rate cuts [1] - The pressure on Fed Chairman Powell has increased, especially as Trump continues to express expectations for rate cuts during public appearances [2] - Historical analysis suggests that the Federal Reserve's institutional independence has gradually strengthened, maintaining its policy framework despite governmental fiscal pressures, indicating resilience in its decision-making process [2]
美联储继续维持联邦基金利率目标区间不变
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-30 20:08
7月30日,美国联邦储备委员会主席鲍威尔在华盛顿出席记者会。 新华社记者 胡友松 摄 3 2 2 3 alles 0 , 2 183 ar and r with a al 2017 STATE and and tica 2005 SCHITE t and phone in the Spirit are 12 2017 n Free STERICAN 012652 n and are t - 1 - 1 - 1 - p 1000 1999 and the production of the align the state and and the state r print t a 10 12 STINE the state n the NO. 117 n 1200 美国联邦储备委员会30日结束为期两天的货币政策会议,宣布将联邦基金利率目标区间维持在4.25%至4.50%之间不变。这一决定符合市场预期,同时也是 美联储货币政策会议连续第五次决定维持利率不变。 203 01:205 stic and the RECE 200 202 0172 e and signed r with the count STACTI ...
美联储主席:尚未就9月利率做出任何决定
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-30 19:44
Core Viewpoint - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that it is too early to assert whether the Fed will lower the federal funds rate in September as the financial markets expect [2] Group 1: Federal Reserve's Decision - The Federal Reserve concluded a two-day monetary policy meeting on July 30, maintaining the federal funds rate target range at 4.25% to 4.50% [2] - Powell indicated that no decision has been made regarding the September interest rate and that they will consider economic information before the next meeting [2]
美联储决定维持联邦基金利率目标区间不变,贵金属持续走低
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-07-30 19:37
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve has decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate, leading to a decline in precious metals, with spot gold falling below $3280 per ounce and experiencing a daily drop of over 1%, while spot silver saw a daily decline of over 3% [1] Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates unchanged has impacted the precious metals market [1] - Spot gold prices have dropped below $3280 per ounce, indicating a significant decline in value [1] - Spot silver has also experienced a notable decrease, falling over 3% in a single day [1]
鲍威尔:美联储无法控制抵押贷款利率的走向
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-30 19:26
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that the Fed cannot control mortgage rates, which are more closely tied to the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rather than the federal funds rate [1] Group 1: Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - The federal funds rate influences some savings and borrowing rates, but mortgage rates are primarily linked to the 10-year Treasury yield [1] - Despite potential rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, it may not effectively resolve housing market issues [1] Group 2: Housing Market Challenges - The U.S. housing market has been facing a long-term supply shortage since the subprime mortgage crisis [1] - Rising costs of building materials and the forced removal of foreign workers, who are crucial to the industry, have exacerbated the housing inventory shortage [1] - Following the Fed's rate cuts last year, mortgage rates did not decrease; instead, they increased [1]
美联储决议全文:按兵不动 两理事主张立即降息
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-07-30 18:53
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 4.25%-4.5% for the fifth consecutive meeting, citing slightly elevated inflation and a robust job market, while noting a slowdown in economic growth during the first half of the year [1][2]. Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's decision reflects a shift in language regarding economic activity, changing from "continuing to expand at a steady pace" to "showing signs of slowing" [1]. - The committee aims to achieve maximum employment and a long-term inflation rate of 2%, while acknowledging high uncertainty in the current economic outlook [2]. - The committee will continue to reduce its holdings of Treasury securities, agency debt, and agency mortgage-backed securities [2]. Group 2 - Support for the monetary policy decision came from several key figures, including Jerome Powell, John Williams, and others, while dissenting opinions were expressed by Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller, who favored a 25 basis point rate cut [3].
美联储决议全文:按兵不动,两理事主张立即降息
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-07-30 18:16
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 4.25%-4.5% for the fifth consecutive meeting, citing slightly elevated inflation and a robust job market, while noting a slowdown in economic growth during the first half of the year [1][2]. Group 1: Economic Conditions - Economic activity growth has slowed in the first half of the year, influenced by fluctuations in net exports [2]. - The unemployment rate remains low, indicating a solid job market [2]. - Inflation is still slightly above the target level of 2% [2]. Group 2: Federal Reserve's Decision - The Federal Reserve's decision to hold the interest rate is aimed at achieving maximum employment and maintaining long-term inflation at 2% [2]. - The committee will continue to monitor economic data and risks before making further adjustments to the interest rate [2]. - The committee is committed to reducing its holdings of Treasury securities, agency debt, and agency mortgage-backed securities [2]. Group 3: Voting Members - Support for the monetary policy decision came from several key members, including Jerome Powell, John Williams, and others [3]. - Opposing views were expressed by Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller, who favored a 25 basis point rate cut [3].
美联储FOMC声明对比:强调经济活动增长放缓,不确定性仍处高位。理事鲍曼、沃勒持异议。
news flash· 2025-07-30 18:14
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's FOMC has decided to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 4.25% to 4.5% to support maximum employment and a 2% inflation rate, while closely monitoring economic indicators and risks [4][6]. Group 1: Economic Conditions - Recent indicators suggest that economic activity has slowed in the first half of the year, although the unemployment rate remains low and the labor market is stable [4][6]. - Inflation is still at a relatively high level, and the uncertainty regarding the economic outlook remains elevated [4][6]. Group 2: Monetary Policy Decisions - The FOMC will continue to reduce its holdings of Treasury securities, agency debt, and agency mortgage-backed securities as part of its monetary policy strategy [4][6]. - The committee is prepared to adjust its monetary policy stance if risks emerge that could hinder the achievement of its goals [4][6]. Group 3: Committee Members - The voting members in favor of the monetary policy decision include FOMC Chair Powell, Vice Chair Williams, and several other regional Federal Reserve presidents and governors [5][7].
美联储维持联邦基金利率目标区间在4.25%-4.50%不变 符合预期
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-07-30 18:13
美联储维持联邦基金利率目标区间在4.25%-4.50%不变,符合预期。 (文章来源:新华财经) ...