汽车零部件 玲珑轮胎 25H1 点评：Q2 产销同比增长、盈利由汇兑收益抬升， Q3 业绩环增可期 玲珑轮胎（601966.SH） 证券研究报告/公司点评报告 2025 年 09 月 04 日 | 评级： | 买入（维持） | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 分析师：何俊艺 | | 营业收入（百万元） | 20,165 | 22,058 | 25,336 | 27,882 | 30,319 | | 执业证书编号：S0740523020004 | | 增长率 yoy% | 19% | 9% | 15% | 10% | 9% | | | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,391 | 1,752 | 2,016 | 2,402 | 2,756 | | Email：hejy02@zts.com.cn | | 增长率 yoy% | 377% | 26% | 15% | 19% | 15% | | 分析师： ...

Core Insights - KAYOU, a leading Chinese pan-entertainment company, is accelerating its globalization process through participation in two major toy exhibitions in August 2025, namely the IBTE Jakarta International Toy Exhibition and the 59th Tokyo Toy Show [1][2][11] Group 1: Market Entry Strategy - KAYOU has strategically chosen Indonesia as its first overseas exhibition location due to its large population of 270 million, with 25% aged between 18-34, aligning well with KAYOU's target consumer demographic [2] - The company has established a fan base for its IP products in Indonesia, laying a solid foundation for entering the Southeast Asian market [2] Group 2: Product Showcase - At the IBTE Jakarta International Toy Exhibition, KAYOU showcased over 20 global IP products, including new offerings like the Free Fire and Mobile Legends: Bang Bang collectible card games, developed in collaboration with Garena and Muto Technology respectively [4][6] - Free Fire has been a global phenomenon since its launch in 2017, achieving the highest download rates for three consecutive years and setting a record for the largest concurrent viewership in mobile esports [6] - Mobile Legends: Bang Bang has over 1.5 billion users globally and is a leading game in Southeast Asia, further enhancing KAYOU's product appeal [6] Group 3: Market Potential and Trends - The Tokyo Toy Show, attended by nearly 1,000 exhibitors and expected to attract over 90,000 visitors, provides KAYOU with a platform to showcase its latest products and engage with diverse market demands [7][9] - The Japanese toy market is experiencing strong growth, particularly in the trading card game (TCG) segment, which reached a market size of 302.463 billion yen (approximately 15 billion RMB) in 2024 [9] Group 4: Strategic Positioning - KAYOU's participation in both exhibitions reflects a dual strategy: testing new market responses in emerging markets like Indonesia while validating product strength in mature markets like Japan [11] - This approach signifies KAYOU's commitment to expanding its presence in emerging markets while enhancing its brand image and product quality in established markets [11]

2、持续理解市场需求，产能储备、柔性化能力提升。据业绩会，公司现有毛绒产能相较年初已增加10 倍左右，达每月3000 万件，持续对市场需求进行理解与追赶——8 月28 日发售的mini LABUBU"心底密 码"系列毛绒挂件再度引起粉丝热情，虽仍在短时间内售罄，但消费者整体购买体验有明显优化；展望 后续，伴随对更多区域市场需求的理解更加深入，叠加产能及供应链安排优化带来的供应链柔性，我们 认为公司对需求与供给的匹配能力与精准度将进一步提升。 3、海外市场快速成长，运营仍有待细化之处，长期空间仍广。目前泡泡海外市场热度持续向好，泰国 ICONSIAM旗舰店在8 月初开业后店效出色，对其他门店亦并无虹吸效应，美国快速开店但需求增长更 快，带来线上占比持续提升。而相比国内，海外门店模型、线上官网、会员体系等运营细节均有待细化 之处，我们认为公司的零售基因与能力有望支撑近两年快速扩张后的同店向好，持续看好公司全球化战 略的长期空间。 盈利预测与估值 研究员：徐卓楠/张雪晴/王杰睿 公司近况 近期我们邀请了泡泡玛特管理层进行业绩后NDR交流，与投资者就供应链、IP运营、品类扩张等话题进 行了深入沟通。 评论 1、品类扩 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights a strong rebound in order volume for XianDao Intelligent (300450) in H1 2025, driven by increased operational rates of leading domestic battery companies and a steady recovery in production expansion plans, alongside a high-quality advancement of its globalization strategy [1][2]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 6.61 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.92%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 740 million yuan, up 61.19% [1]. - In Q2 2025, revenue reached 3.51 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 43.85%, while net profit surged to 375 million yuan, marking a 456.29% increase [1]. Business Segments - The lithium battery intelligent equipment segment generated revenue of 4.55 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16.40%, maintaining the company's leading position in the industry [2]. - The non-lithium business, particularly in photovoltaic intelligent equipment, achieved revenue of 531 million yuan, up 32.04%, with its revenue share increasing to 8.04% [2]. Global Strategy - The company's overseas business revenue reached 1.15 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5.42%, with a gross margin improvement of 1.00 percentage points to 40.27% [3]. - The company is deepening strategic partnerships with global leading clients, focusing on high-quality capacity upgrades and expanding into markets such as Japan, Southeast Asia, and North America [3]. Technological Innovation - The company is positioned as a provider of complete solid-state battery production line solutions, with significant advancements in technology and product iterations expected to drive future revenue growth [3][4]. - Solid-state battery equipment is anticipated to increasingly contribute to the company's business, with successful collaborations established with major battery manufacturers and automotive companies [3]. Investment Outlook - The company forecasts net profits of 1.59 billion yuan, 2.08 billion yuan, and 2.43 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, indicating year-on-year growth rates of 455.5%, 31.0%, and 16.4% [4]. - The company has been rated "Buy" by multiple institutions, reflecting strong confidence in its growth trajectory and market position [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating for the company [4][6][34]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 74.59 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 21.01%, with a net profit of 4.2 billion yuan, up 2.80% year-on-year. In Q2 2025, revenue reached 39.40 billion yuan, a 26% increase year-on-year, while net profit was 2.09 billion yuan, growing 1.19% year-on-year [2][9]. - The company is expanding its seating layout through the acquisition of 70% of Anhui Ruqi's shares, which enhances its capabilities in complete seat production and customer resources [3][20]. - The company is actively pursuing globalization, with ongoing capacity expansions in various locations, including Mexico and Slovakia, which are expected to unlock growth potential [3][33]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 74.59 billion yuan, a 21.01% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 4.2 billion yuan, up 2.80% year-on-year. Q2 2025 saw a revenue of 39.40 billion yuan, a 26% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.09 billion yuan, a 1.19% increase year-on-year [2][9]. - The company’s gross margin in Q2 2025 was 16.84%, down 3.02 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to intensified price competition among manufacturers [12][34]. Strategic Developments - The acquisition of Anhui Ruqi is expected to accelerate the company’s expansion in the seating market, enhancing its product offerings and customer base [3][20]. - The company is expanding its production capacity with new facilities in various regions, including a planned addition of 2.1 million sets of dashboard assemblies and other components [3][27][33]. Market Position - The company has a strong market presence in dashboard assemblies, with a market share of approximately 23.7% in the passenger vehicle segment, up from 5.6% in 2020 [23][26]. - The company’s revenue growth has consistently outpaced the industry average, with a compound annual growth rate of 30.7% from 2013 to 2024, significantly higher than the industry growth rate of 5.37% [25][26].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported its 2025 semi-annual results, showing a revenue of 7.459 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.01%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 422 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.80% [3]. Revenue and Profit Analysis - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.940 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.41% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.97%. The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q2 2025 was 209 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.19% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.02% [3][4]. - The Q2 2025 gross margin was 16.84%, a decrease of 2.66 percentage points from the previous quarter, primarily due to price reductions from downstream customers [4]. Customer Performance - Major customers' performance in Q2 2025 included Tesla with global deliveries of 384,100 units (up 14.32% quarter-on-quarter), Geely with wholesale of 703,900 units (essentially flat), Chery with wholesale of 613,800 units (up 2.28%), and Li Auto with wholesale of 111,100 units (up 19.59%) [4]. Cost and Expense Management - The company reported a period expense ratio of 9.98% in Q2 2025, a decrease of 2.67 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The breakdown of expenses included sales at 0.62%, management at 5.10%, R&D at 4.33%, and financial expenses at -0.07% [4]. Product Development and Global Strategy - The company has a competitive advantage in cost control and service response for dashboard and door panel products, with deep ties to quality customers like Geely, Chery, and international electric vehicle companies. The market share of these products continues to rise [5][6]. - The company is expanding into new product categories, including exterior parts and seats, which is expected to enhance the per-vehicle value [6]. - The company is advancing its globalization strategy with operations in Mexico, Slovakia, Germany, and the United States, aiming to become a leading global automotive trim supplier [6]. Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 1.088 billion yuan, 1.350 billion yuan, and 1.663 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.23 yuan, 2.77 yuan, and 3.41 yuan. The P/E ratios are projected to be 22.37x, 18.03x, and 14.63x [7]. - The company is maintaining a "buy" rating due to its position as a leading domestic interior parts supplier and its accelerated global development [7].

Group 1: Overview of Companies Planning to List in Hong Kong - A-share companies are increasingly planning to list in Hong Kong, with six companies including Junsheng Electronics, Naxin Micro, Estun, Puyuan Precision, Sanhua Intelligent Control, and Changguang Chenchip disclosing plans for IPOs in the first half of 2025 [1] - Junsheng Electronics has initiated its A+H share listing plan, with over 70% of its revenue coming from overseas markets, indicating a strong global presence [2] - Naxin Micro has approved plans to issue H shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its competitiveness and international strategy [3] - Estun aims to issue H shares to accelerate its global strategy and improve its international brand image, with a focus on expanding its overseas business [4][5] - Puyuan Precision plans to issue H shares to enhance its competitiveness and utilize international capital markets for diversified financing [6][7] - Sanhua Intelligent Control has passed the listing hearing for its IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to issue up to 477 million shares [8] - Changguang Chenchip has submitted its IPO application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with plans to use the funds for R&D and expanding its international business [9] Group 2: Regulatory and Market Context - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has introduced measures to support domestic companies in listing overseas, enhancing their global market capabilities [10] - The People's Bank of China and the State Administration of Foreign Exchange have issued guidelines to improve cross-border financing for domestic companies seeking to list abroad [10] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange has launched initiatives to facilitate listings for technology and biotech companies, enhancing its attractiveness as a listing destination [10]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Guoxuan High-Tech (002074), is committed to a global strategy and is actively expanding its market presence through deep collaborations with overseas clients such as VinFast, Rivian, PowerCo, and NextEra [1] Group 1 - The company emphasizes the importance of deepening cooperation with existing overseas clients while continuously seeking new customers [1] - The company expresses confidence in further increasing its market share overseas, supported by its overseas base layout and the advancement of localized production [1]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" rating for the company, indicating a strong potential for price appreciation over the next 6-12 months [2][8]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 6.61 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 14.92%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 740 million yuan, up 61.19% year-on-year [3][4]. - The company's lithium battery equipment business maintained its industry-leading position, with revenue of 4.55 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16.40% [4][5]. - The company is advancing its globalization strategy, with overseas revenue reaching 1.15 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 5.42% increase year-on-year [5]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.51 billion yuan, a significant year-on-year growth of 43.85%, and a net profit of 375 million yuan, reflecting a staggering growth of 456.29% [3][4]. - The company's operating cash flow has improved significantly, indicating a recovery in operational performance [4]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.59 billion yuan, 2.08 billion yuan, and 2.43 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 455.5%, 31.0%, and 16.4% [8][10]. Business Strategy - The company is focusing on high-end equipment manufacturing and has made significant technological advancements, particularly in solid-state battery equipment, which is expected to contribute to future revenue growth [5][8]. - The company is deepening its strategic partnerships with global leading clients, enhancing its production capabilities and expanding into markets such as Japan, South Korea, and North America [5][8].

Core Insights - The global smart home cleaning robot market is projected to ship 32.1 million units by 2025, with a steady market expansion [1] - In the first half of 2025, Roborock (688169.SH) leads the global cleaning robot market with a 15.2% market share and a 20.7% share in the core vacuum robot category [1] Market Performance - The global vacuum robot market showed robust growth in the first half of 2025, with total shipments reaching 11.263 million units, a year-on-year increase of 16.5% [3] - Among the top five brands in global sales, four are Chinese brands, with Roborock leading at 20.7% market share and a shipment volume of 2.326 million units, reflecting a 67.9% year-on-year growth [3] Competitive Position - Roborock has maintained the highest sales in the global market for ten consecutive quarters since 2023, demonstrating its core competitiveness and industry influence in the smart cleaning appliance sector [6] R&D and Innovation - Roborock prioritizes R&D innovation as a core strategy, with R&D expenses increasing from 4.59% of total revenue in 2019 to 8.13% in 2024; in the first half of 2025, R&D investment reached 685 million yuan, accounting for 8.67% of revenue, significantly above the industry average [7] - The company has obtained a total of 4,694 domestic and international patents and software copyrights as of June 2025, supporting its product innovation [7] - Key technological advancements include the large-scale application of LDS laser radar navigation technology and the introduction of AI dual-vision obstacle avoidance, enhancing the robot's capabilities in complex environments [7][9] Product Development - The flagship product, the Roborock G30 Space Exploration Edition, features a world-first five-axis folding bionic arm, marking a significant leap from 2D cleaning to 3D space management [9] - The Roborock P20 Ultra Plus offers triple thermal cleaning capabilities, including 100°C high-temperature sterilization, 60°C hot water stain removal, and 55°C hot air drying, providing a comprehensive cleaning experience [9] Market Expansion Strategy - Roborock continues to deepen its domestic market presence while expanding offline channels, with over 300 stores nationwide [10] - Internationally, the company is accelerating local channel development and has partnered with major retailers like Target, Best Buy, and Costco, enhancing brand visibility and sales [10] - The company is also focusing on localized product and marketing innovations tailored to different regional markets, such as addressing carpet entanglement issues in Turkey and introducing laser radar navigation in Germany [10] Global Reach - Roborock's vacuum robots maintain the top sales position in several countries, including the Nordics, Germany, South Korea, and Turkey, with a market share exceeding 50% in Turkey [12] - In North America, a key market, shipments grew by 65.3% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, indicating strong growth momentum [12] - As of June 2025, Roborock's products are available in over 170 countries and regions, serving more than 20 million households with efficient smart cleaning solutions [12]