1、上周五抱团票股灾后，今天修复，典型就是总龙头中毅达差三分钱反包板。早盘最强是有利好刺激的稳定币，御银翠微恒宝三个一字板加上四方雄帝 等大幅高开，还是超预期的。 能；低吸或埋伏热门题材（医药/谷子经济/核聚变/稳定币/无人物流车）核心票，等待轮动。 5、明天干哪只票？ 中邮、哈焊 ❈ | | | 监管期股票 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 股票名称 | 监管开始日期 | 监管结束日期 | 类型 | | 王子新材 | 2025-05-30 | 2025-06-13 | 严重异动 | | 舒泰神 | 2025-05-30 | 2025-06-13 | 严重异动 | | 中邮科技 | 2025-05-30 | 2025-06-13 | 严重异动 | | 永安药业 | 2025-05-29 | 2025-06-12 | 严重异动 | | 中洲特材 | 2025-05-26 | 2025-06-09 | 严重异动 | | 联合化学 | 2025-05-26 | 2025-06-09 | 严重异动 | | 南京港 | 2025-05-23 | 2025-06-06 | 严重异动 | | ...

Group 1: Industry Development - The nuclear fusion industry is entering an accelerated development phase driven by funding support, policy backing, and technological breakthroughs [1] - In February 2023, China National Nuclear Power and Zhejiang Energy Power announced investments of 1 billion and 750 million yuan respectively in China Fusion Energy Co., indicating strong financial interest in the sector [1] - The National Energy Administration of China has committed to supporting the research and development of frontier technologies like nuclear fusion [1] Group 2: Project Acceleration - Domestic and international fusion projects are accelerating, with the Hefei BEST facility officially starting construction, expected to be completed by 2027 and potentially generating power by 2030 [2] - The CRAFT "Kua Fu" project, a key system for the Hefei fusion reactor, is in critical stages and is expected to be fully operational by the end of 2025 [2] - The "Spark One" project has completed its comprehensive review and is entering the funding and bidding phase, with a total investment exceeding 20 billion yuan and a technical goal of achieving a Q value greater than 30 [2] Group 3: Company Opportunities - Lianchuang Superconductor is expected to see a significant increase in orders, participating in the "Spark One" project with an estimated investment of over 20 billion yuan [2] - The company has secured a subcontract for the development and testing of superconducting coils for China National Nuclear Group, laying the groundwork for larger-scale magnet supply [2] - Lianchuang Superconductor has established a presence in various sectors including metal thermal processing, photovoltaics, semiconductors, and nuclear fusion, which is anticipated to drive substantial revenue growth [2] Group 4: Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 3.75 billion, 4.12 billion, and 4.62 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 21%, 10%, and 12% respectively [3] - Expected net profits for the same period are 600 million, 770 million, and 990 million yuan, with growth rates of 150%, 27%, and 29% respectively [3] - The current market valuation corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 46, 36, and 28 times for 2025 to 2027 [3]

1、行情 指数小幅上涨，题材大乱斗的普涨行情。 题材方面，数字货币高开，整体冲高回落，御银股份4板，翠微股份、恒宝股份、海联金汇集体3连板，保税科技、中科金财（炸）、亚世光电 （炸）开盘纷纷涨停，四方精创、华峰超纤、雄帝科技、楚天龙等开盘大涨； 足球概念高开高走，共创草坪2板，金陵体育、创源股份双双20CM涨停，康力源涨超10%，粤传媒、双象股份、棕榈股份、中体产业等盘中纷 纷大涨； 无人机板块冲高回落，永悦科技2连板，莱赛激光（30CM）、新大正、山东矿机、星网宇达、龙蟠科技、中天火箭、航天彩虹（炸）涨停，新 劲刚、恒宇信通、天和防务、成飞集成、六九一二等大涨；同时纵横股份、绿能慧充、海格通信等吹票股大幅高开低走； 创新药概念单边大涨，联化科技4连板，万邦德、海南海药、哈三联2连板，昂利康、千红制药、九芝堂、华纳药厂（20CM）、北陆药业 （20CM）、舒泰神（20CM）等先后涨停，科兴制药、海特生物、睿智医药、微芯生物、广生堂、佐力药业等均涨超10%； 此外，脑机接口、稀土、EDA、珠宝饰品、宠物经济、消费、黄金白银等均有强势异动表现，地产、钢铁、新能源车等跌幅居前。 截至收盘，沪指、深成指、创业板指分别 ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the nuclear fusion industry, specifically the power supply systems used in fusion devices, which constitute approximately 15% of the overall cost structure of fusion reactors [1][2][3]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Power Supply Systems**: The core components of the power supply systems are the magnet power supply and heating power supply. The magnet power supply is crucial for superconducting magnets, characterized by high current and low energy loss, with key players including Xuji Electric and others [1][2]. - **Heating Power Supply**: This system is essential for plasma heating, requiring high voltage, typically in the tens of kilovolts range. Companies involved include Sichuan Chuangxin Electronics and others [1][2]. - **Global Competition**: There is an active global push for nuclear fusion projects, with the U.S. accelerating approvals for new reactor types and China conducting laboratory and facility design tenders. This competitive landscape is expected to drive technological advancements and market opportunities [3][4]. - **Recent Market Performance**: The nuclear fusion sector has seen significant performance improvements due to U.S. administrative orders speeding up reactor approvals and advancements in key technologies. Despite potential short-term corrections, the long-term growth potential remains substantial [4]. Additional Important Content - **Power System Types**: The nuclear fusion industry utilizes two main types of power systems: pulsed power systems and steady-state power systems. The ITER project exemplifies this, with China responsible for the pulsed power component and the U.S. for the steady-state power component [5]. - **Superconducting Magnet Power Supply**: This power supply operates at high current (thousands of kVA) and low voltage (1 kVA), leveraging the near-zero resistance of superconducting magnets at low temperatures [6]. - **Heating Power Principles**: The heating power supply operates based on electromagnetic induction principles, generating eddy currents to heat plasma, but requires auxiliary heating to achieve the necessary temperatures for fusion [7][8]. - **Auxiliary Heating Technologies**: Two main types of auxiliary heating technologies are identified: Pulsed Step Modulation (PSM) and High Voltage Pulsed Supply (HVPS). The ITER project employs four auxiliary heating methods, including Ion Cyclotron Heating and Electron Cyclotron Heating [9][10]. - **Voltage Requirements**: Different heating methods have specific voltage requirements, with Ion Cyclotron Heating needing 18-27 kV, while Neutral Beam Injection requires up to 1,000 kV, indicating higher technical challenges and value in heating systems compared to magnet power supplies [12]. - **Key Companies to Watch**: Notable companies in the nuclear fusion sector include Sichuan Chuangxin Electronics, Yingjie Electronics, and Xuguang Electronics, which have significant roles in power supply and auxiliary equipment manufacturing. Other companies like Yinxing Energy and Xuji Group are also highlighted for their contributions to the industry [16].

在核聚变领域中，国光电气和合锻智能是值得关注的两家公司。国光电气主要 负责氘氚系统，占整个装置价值量的 25%。合锻智能则是顶级装置企业之一。 这些公司在未来几年内有望通过核业务实现百亿以上的市值。此外，超导磁体 中国在 ITER 项目中承担重要任务，负责制造 TF 线圈和 PF 导体，积累 了超导材料应用及核聚变领域丰富经验，目前在超导材料及其应用方面 处于全球领先地位。 江西星火一号混合堆项目是全高温超导项目，由联创超导与中核聚变设 计总院联合设计，目标是能量增益 Q 值大于 30，总投资规模超过 200 亿元，预计 2025 或 2026 年招标。 核聚变装置主要部件拆解 1：超导磁体深度 20250602 摘要 全球核聚变投资持续增长，中国预计在 2025 年新增千亿人民币投资， 推动 2030 年前单年投资额达 400 亿人民币，并计划在 2035 年前实现 商业化，预示核聚变产业进入快速发展期。 国光电气在核聚变装置氘氚系统领域占据重要地位，价值量占比达 25%，合锻智能是顶级装置企业，两家公司有望通过核业务实现百亿以 上市值增长。 超导材料在可控核聚变中应用广泛，低温超导材料已商业化，高温超导 ...

Group 1 - The core issue of the recent stock market decline is the disconnect between speculative hype and industrial reality, particularly in the nuclear fusion sector [3][4] - Wangzi New Materials, once a "star stock" due to its involvement in nuclear fusion projects, faced a significant drop due to its minimal business contribution to the sector and concerns over its financial viability [3][4] - The exit of Mitsui Chemicals from the trifluoride business raised market concerns about the ability of domestic companies to secure orders, especially for those like Wangzi New Materials that are considered marginal players [3][4] Group 2 - The commercialization of nuclear fusion technology remains a distant goal, with significant technical challenges that need to be overcome before it can be realized [4] - Recent capital flows have favored more established sectors like energy storage and photovoltaics, leading to a rapid decline in nuclear fusion stocks as speculative enthusiasm wanes [4][5] - Misinterpretation of policies, such as the automatic emergency braking system (AEB), has led to misguided optimism in the nuclear fusion sector, highlighting the disconnect between different technological domains [6] Group 3 - Companies with genuine technological barriers and order visibility, like Western Superconducting Technologies, are more likely to survive the current market turbulence compared to those merely riding the hype [7] - The market correction serves as a cleansing mechanism, allowing companies with real technological advancements and strategic plans to emerge stronger [8] - Investors are advised to differentiate between true growth potential and mere concept-driven narratives, as many companies may lack the substantive capabilities to deliver on their claims [7][8]

Core Insights - The nuclear fusion research is transitioning from the "forever 50 years" phase to a "10-20 years" window, with increasing competition among the US, China, and Europe [2][29][34] - The rapid development of artificial intelligence is driving the demand for green energy, making nuclear fusion a critical area for future technological competition [2] - Significant investments are flowing into fusion technologies, particularly in the US and China, with a notable increase in private capital involvement [4][7][30] Investment Trends - In 2025, US startup Helion Energy completed a Series F funding round of $425 million, bringing its total funding to over $1 billion and a valuation exceeding $5.4 billion [4] - As of October 2024, US fusion companies attracted over $5.6 billion in equity financing, while Chinese fusion companies secured nearly $2.5 billion, significantly outpacing other countries [4][6] - The fusion investment landscape saw a peak in 2024, with total financing nearing $3 billion, marking a resurgence since 2021 [4] Technological Advancements - China has made significant progress in fusion research, with key advancements from institutions like the Chinese Academy of Sciences and China National Nuclear Corporation [3][8][13] - The EAST device achieved a milestone of maintaining a temperature of 100 million degrees Celsius for 1,000 seconds, simulating conditions necessary for future fusion reactors [13] - New breakthroughs in plasma current and temperature have been reported from various Chinese fusion projects, indicating a rapid advancement towards practical fusion energy [14][15][16] Competitive Landscape - The global fusion research landscape includes 166 facilities, with the US leading with 48 operational devices, followed by Japan and China [6][7] - Private capital is increasingly funding fusion projects, with 51 out of 166 facilities receiving private investments [7] - Notable startups like Helion Energy and TAE are pursuing innovative fusion technologies, including hydrogen-boron fusion, which presents unique challenges and potential advantages [12][23][29] Future Outlook - The timeline for achieving commercial fusion energy is projected to be within the next 10-20 years, driven by technological advancements and increased investment [29][30] - The competition in fusion technology is primarily between China and developed countries like the US and Europe, with each aiming to establish leadership in this critical energy sector [34]

Global Economic Outlook - Citigroup economists predict that global economic growth will slow from 2.8% in 2024 to 2.3% in 2025 due to the impact of tariffs, with the full effects expected to manifest in the second half of this year [1] - Goldman Sachs forecasts that inflation caused by tariffs will likely not persist for long, as the U.S. economy is entering a weaker state compared to the inflationary periods of 2021 and 2022 [1] - John Hardy from Saxo Bank warns that the U.S. Treasury should monitor risks in the Japanese government bond market, as Japan's debt situation is becoming more severe [1] Japanese Yen and Bond Market - Mitsubishi UFJ analysts suggest that the depreciation of the yen may still have room to continue, despite recent declines in long-term Japanese government bond yields [2] - Analysts from Bank of America indicate that the Bank of Japan is unlikely to address the supply-demand imbalance in the long-term bond market, continuing to reduce bond purchases until March 2026 [3] - State Street Global Advisors describes the challenges in the Japanese bond market as "technical" rather than "structural," suggesting that these issues can be resolved through adjustments in issuance [4] Chinese Aviation and Energy Sector - China International Capital Corporation (CICC) reports that the significant drop in oil prices this year is expected to improve the cost structure for airlines, with a solid foundation for the aviation cycle to start [5] - CICC also highlights opportunities in the diesel generator sets and large-bore engines used in data centers, driven by high demand for AI infrastructure [6] Consumer Goods and Pet Industry - Huatai Securities emphasizes the potential for recovery in the consumer sector, particularly in the food and beverage industry, as consumption trends improve [7] - Huaxi Securities projects that China's pet industry could reach a market size of 478.7 billion yuan by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.9% from 2024 to 2030 [8] Investment Strategies in Materials and Energy - CITIC Securities outlines three investment themes in the materials sector, focusing on policy-driven themes, high certainty growth from industry prosperity, and innovation in products and technologies [9] - The same report suggests that the second half of 2025 will see a complex price trend in commodities due to U.S. tariff policies, recommending a focus on "hedging" and "supply disruptions" [10] Economic Projections - CITIC Securities anticipates a potential bull market for Chinese equity assets starting in the fourth quarter of 2025, driven by synchronized economic and policy cycles across major economies [11] - The firm also predicts that the economic landscape will exhibit characteristics of strong production, recovering investment, stable consumption, and resilient exports [12]

Core Viewpoint - The rise of artificial intelligence has led to a surge in electricity demand in the U.S., prompting tech giants to invest in nuclear fission as a stable energy source for data centers [1] Group 1: Nuclear Energy Revival - After decades of nuclear plant closures, nuclear energy is experiencing a revival, driven by the need for stable, predictable energy supply for tech companies [1] - New reactor designs, particularly small modular reactors (SMRs), aim to overcome the limitations of traditional nuclear power plants [1] Group 2: Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) - SMRs rely on mass manufacturing to reduce costs, but the U.S. has yet to build one [2] - Major tech companies like Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft are investing in or purchasing power from nuclear startups [2] Group 3: Key Nuclear Startups - **Kairos Power**: Google has committed to purchasing approximately 500 MW of power by 2035, with its first reactor expected to be operational by 2030. The company has received $629 million in funding, including $303 million from the U.S. Department of Energy [5] - **Oklo**: Supported by OpenAI's CEO, Oklo aims to provide 12 GW of power to data center operator Switch by 2044. The company plans to resubmit its license application in 2025 after a previous rejection [8] - **Saltfoss**: This startup is developing a "power barge" solution with 2 to 8 reactors on board, having raised nearly $60 million in funding [10] - **TerraPower**: Founded by Bill Gates, TerraPower is constructing a Natrium reactor in Wyoming with a capacity of 345 MW, utilizing molten salt for energy storage [12][14] - **X-Energy**: The company secured $700 million in funding and plans to deploy 300 MW of new nuclear capacity in the Pacific Northwest and Virginia [16]

Group 1: Institutional Trading Insights - On the institutional trading leaderboard, 25 stocks were listed, with 14 seeing net purchases and 11 experiencing net sales [1] - The top three stocks with the highest net purchases by institutions were Qingdao Jinwang (69.56 million), Youfu Co., Ltd. (57.45 million), and Chuangyuan Co., Ltd. (29.51 million) [1] - Youfu Co., Ltd. is in the early construction phase of a high molecular weight polyethylene fiber project with a designed capacity of 1,600 tons per year, which is a potential material for humanoid robot dexterous hands [1] Group 2: Nuclear Fusion Industry Developments - Snowman Co., Ltd. has provided helium screw compressors to several research institutes, including the Chinese Academy of Sciences, for applications in major scientific projects like nuclear fusion [2] - The collaboration between Hezhong Intelligent and China Nuclear Industry 23 Construction Co., Ltd. involves the development of vacuum chamber components for nuclear fusion [2] - A report from the Fusion Industry Association indicates that 26 out of 37 surveyed commercial nuclear fusion companies believe the first fusion power plant will be operational by 2035 [2] Group 3: Market Potential in Nuclear Fusion - The number of fusion devices has exceeded 100, and with participation in the international ITER project, China is forming a preliminary fusion equipment industry chain [3] - The market for tokamak nuclear fusion is expected to reach 681 billion yuan from 2025 to 2030, potentially increasing to 3 trillion yuan from 2030 to 2035 as commercial reactors become viable [3] - The expanding market space presents rapid development opportunities for the nuclear fusion supply chain, including superconducting materials and other components [3] Group 4: Autonomous Driving Sector - Jinjun Environment has established a joint laboratory for electric sanitation intelligent equipment with the Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, focusing on research in sanitation automation and unmanned driving [4] - Boschke's project on new energy sanitation vehicle chassis technology has been included in the 2024 Anhui Province Science and Technology Innovation Plan [4] - The launch of the unmanned logistics vehicle series by Jiu Shi Intelligent marks a significant step in the autonomous logistics sector [4] Group 5: Growth Potential in Autonomous Logistics - The low-speed unmanned logistics vehicle market is expected to experience explosive growth, with head logistics technology companies projected to see order volumes increase significantly by 2025 [5] - The loosening of road rights policies is accelerating the commercialization of unmanned vehicles, with a potential market size exceeding 100 billion yuan if penetration rates in last-mile delivery exceed 17% [5] - The total sales of replaceable commercial vehicles amount to 2.85 million, with a potential stock of 12 million vehicles that could be replaced by unmanned logistics solutions [5]