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数字化创新为企业松绑减负
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-07-07 22:19
Core Insights - The introduction of the "Inspection Code" in Shanghai aims to optimize the business environment by reducing redundant inspections and enhancing regulatory efficiency [1][2][3] - The "Inspection Code" serves as a digital tool that transforms the relationship between regulators and regulated entities, fostering a two-way accountability mechanism [2][3] Group 1: Implementation and Mechanism - The "Inspection Code" consolidates multiple inspection tasks, significantly decreasing occurrences of redundant and arbitrary inspections [1] - A standardized model for administrative inspections has been developed, creating a unified technical standard and bridging gaps in early fragmented information systems [1][3] - The system allows for automatic coordination of inspection tasks among various departments, streamlining the process into a single, efficient joint inspection [1][3] Group 2: Regulatory Philosophy and Goals - The initiative aims to shift from a passive "problem-finding" approach to a proactive "risk-prevention" strategy, enhancing regulatory effectiveness [2] - Shanghai is developing a "risk + credit" graded regulatory model that assesses industry risks and enterprise credit status, allowing for tailored regulatory measures [2] - Enterprises with low risk and good credit will be included in a "no-feel regulation" list, minimizing on-site inspections and disruptions [2] Group 3: Broader Implications and National Impact - The "Inspection Code" serves as a model for nationwide regulatory innovation, emphasizing top-level design and cross-departmental information sharing [3] - The initiative aims to expand the "no-feel" regulation scope while ensuring compliance with safety and environmental standards [3] - By continuously promoting technological innovation and institutional reform, the initiative seeks to create a safer, more regulated, and prosperous market ecosystem [3]
美国的“兴奋剂” 全球的危险品
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-07-07 22:15
"大而美"法案的支持者声称,法案将通过企业回流与投资增长重塑美国经济竞争力。不过,当减税红利 被关税成本抵消,企业实际承担的合规成本与供应链中断损失,可能远超税收优惠。更关键的是,以邻 为壑的政策必然引发反制——欧盟已酝酿针对性关税,新兴市场则在加速"去美元化"布局。这种对抗性 循环一旦形成,全球经济增长的整体蛋糕将持续萎缩,最终反噬美国企业的海外利润根基。 本届美国政府就职以来推出的种种争议政策,反映出美国国内经济治理失序的困境。这种政策变动正对 世界经济带来多重冲击。 首先,多边贸易体系遭遇信任危机。当美国以国内法案为由单方面调整关税,其行为违背了世界贸易组 织(WTO)框架下的互惠原则。欧盟、日本等传统盟友被迫重新评估与美国的贸易关系,新兴经济体 则加速推进区域自贸协定以规避系统性风险。全球供应链从效率优先转向安全优先的重构进程,因美国 政策不可预测性而显著提速。 其次,美元信用基础面临持续侵蚀。法案再度提升债务上限,虽然暂时避免债务违约,却让美国国债规 模突破40万亿美元。当财政纪律让位于政治周期,各国央行对美元资产的长期信心必然受损。历史表 明,主权货币的全球地位不仅依赖市场,更需要货币发行国的财政 ...
固收 债市或仍在做多窗口
2025-07-07 16:32
摘要 2025 年二季度央行货币政策显著转向配合财政政策,资金中枢下移, 但信贷边际变化和央行态度将影响资金宽松持续性,7 月中下旬税期带 来流动性压力,预计三季度信贷增长偏离宏观运行轨道概率不高,货币 政策难完全宽松。 三季度地方政府专项债和国债总供给量预计 1.1-1.2 万亿,八九月份增 至 1.4-1.5 万亿,央行或买国债应对流动性问题,政策性金融工具杠杆 效应或收敛,低于 2022 年水平。 2025 年保险资金因寿险保费增速放缓,对纯债需求减少,下半年难有 作为;自营类资产也面临类似情况,需关注品种差异和结构性机会,寻 找适合配置的新增量资金。 当前利率曲线空间节奏需后移,降息预期或在 9 月后形成。信用供给释 放有限,关注科创板块等特定领域,需深入挖掘结构性机会,10 年国债 标尺券空间若不打开,将限制利率曲线发展。 2025 年农商行交易活跃度下降,低利率高波动环境下,投资者更多权 衡不同取向和战略选择,而非频繁交易。 Q&A 今年(2025 年)市场流动性状况如何,央行货币政策对市场有何影响? 固收 债市或仍在做多窗口 20250707 今年(2025 年),市场流动性状况总体上呈现易松难 ...
【财经分析】兼具“政策适配性”与“投资便利性” 科创债ETF成为市场关注焦点
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-07-07 13:57
Group 1 - The first batch of 10 Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETFs (科创债ETF) was officially launched on July 7, marking a significant milestone in capital market services for technological innovation [1][2] - These ETFs provide conservative investors with a low-volatility tool to participate in the technology sector, offering high liquidity and low credit risk, making them a stable choice during periods of interest rate fluctuations [1][2] - The launch of these ETFs is supported by strong institutional and individual investor demand for asset allocation, particularly in the context of a slowing global economy and declining traditional investment product yields [2][3] Group 2 - The introduction of Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETFs fills a gap in the bond index products for the technology sector, enhancing the variety of credit bond ETFs available [3] - As of June 2025, the stock of Science and Technology Innovation bonds is expected to exceed 2 trillion yuan, with 1.35 trillion yuan in exchange-traded Science and Technology Innovation company bonds [3][4] - Regulatory measures are being implemented to support the issuance and liquidity of Science and Technology Innovation bonds, which will further enhance the market capacity for these ETFs [3][6] Group 3 - The bond ETF market has seen unprecedented growth, with the total domestic bond ETF market size reaching 350 billion yuan, nearly doubling since the beginning of 2024 [5][6] - The advantages of credit bond ETFs, such as low fees, high transparency, and efficient trading mechanisms, have made them increasingly attractive in a low-interest-rate environment [6][7] - The growth of credit bond ETFs is expected to continue, driven by favorable policies and the increasing demand for diversified investment options [6][7]
执业每一课丨@涉税专业服务机构和个人,这份合规经营攻略请收好!
蓝色柳林财税室· 2025-07-07 13:25
欢迎扫描下方二维码关注: 供稿:德宏税务 来源云南税务 欢迎扫描下方二维码关注: 温馨提醒:蓝色柳林财税室为非官方平台,是由编者以学习笔记形式建立的平台,所有笔记写作记录的文章及转发的法律法规仅供读者学习 参考之用,并非实际办税费的标准,欢迎交流学习,共同分享学习经验成果。文章版权归原作者所有,如有不妥,请联系删除。 税务机关对涉税专业服务实行分类管理。 涉税专业服务包括一般涉税专业服务和特定涉 税专业服务。 船洗税专业服 其他税务事项代办 其他税务代理 特定涉税专业服务 税务合规计划 洗税鉴证 纳税情况宙查 ③ 涉税专业服务需要报送 0) 哪些信息? 何时报送? 税务机关应当加强对涉税专业服务机构 及涉税服务人员的实名制管理,涉税专业服 务机构及涉税服务人员应当以真实身份提供 涉税专业服务。 涉税专业服务机构应当于首次提供涉税 专业服务前,如实向税务机关报送机构及其 涉税服务人员的基本信息,并根据实际情况 及时更新相关信息。 依照法律法规、部门规章规定提供涉税 专业服务的其他人员,应当于首次提供服务 前,向户籍所在地、经常居住地或者提供服 务所在地的主管税务机关如实报送本人的基 本信息。 涉税专业服务机构及 ...
点评报告:信用“压利差”行情或延续
Changjiang Securities· 2025-07-07 13:16
丨证券研究报告丨 固定收益丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 信用"压利差"行情或延续 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 7 月信用债市场在增量资金驱动下或延续"压利差"行情,保险、理财等增量资金入场或将提 振需求,尤其利好中长久期中低评级品种。保险预定利率下调预期、理财跨季回流及净值化整 改进度过半或释放增量配置需求。资金面宽松与信用债 ETF 扩容构成支撑,中长久期券种因利 差收窄空间较大而表现较优,但需警惕行情过热后的估值波动风险。整体来看,结构性机会明 确,但需关注政策动向及资金面变化,建议布局增量资金目标品种并控制资质下沉边界。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵增辉 赖逸儒 SAC:S0490524080003 SAC:S0490524120005 SFC:BVN394 SFC:BVZ968 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title2] 信用"压利差"行情或延续 [Table_Summa] 增量资金逻辑下,信用"压利差"行情或延续 7 月保险、理财等增量资金入场或将提振信用债需求,尤其利好中低 ...
保险行业2025年信用风险展望
Lian He Zi Xin· 2025-07-07 12:59
Investment Rating - The overall credit risk of the insurance industry is controllable, with a stable outlook for the future [29]. Core Insights - In 2024, premium income for life insurance companies continued to grow, primarily driven by life insurance business, while property insurance companies maintained steady growth in premium income, with diversified product strategies opening new development spaces [5][11]. - The investment asset structure of the insurance industry remained stable, with bond assets as the main allocation, and the comprehensive investment return rate significantly improved year-on-year due to capital market fluctuations and accounting standard changes [5][14]. - The profitability of both life and property insurance companies showed good growth in 2024, but the main profit generation remained concentrated among large insurance companies [19][21]. - The insurance industry’s solvency improved and remained at a sufficient level due to enhanced endogenous capital replenishment capabilities and the reasonable use of exogenous capital replenishment tools [24][25]. Summary by Sections 1. Key Policies in 2024 - The National Financial Regulatory Administration has introduced various insurance regulatory policies aimed at promoting high-quality development in the domestic insurance industry [7]. 2. Business Analysis - Life insurance companies saw a premium income of CNY 40,056 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.7%, while property insurance companies achieved a premium income of CNY 16,907 billion, a growth of 6.55% [9][11]. - The claims expenditure for life insurance companies reached CNY 11,519 billion, a year-on-year increase of 39.4%, reflecting the impact of entering the maturity payout peak [9][11]. 3. Investment Business Analysis - As of March 2025, the insurance industry’s total investment balance was CNY 34.93 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 16.68%, with bond assets accounting for 50.43% of the total [15][17]. - The annualized comprehensive investment return rate for the industry improved to 17.21%, up 3.99 percentage points year-on-year [17]. 4. Profitability Performance - In 2024, 56 out of 74 life insurance companies reported a total profit of CNY 3,331.12 billion, with the top ten companies accounting for over 99% of the industry’s profits [21][22]. - In the first quarter of 2025, life insurance companies collectively earned CNY 865.86 billion, a year-on-year increase of 43.76% [22]. 5. Solvency Analysis - By the end of 2024, the average comprehensive solvency adequacy ratio for insurance companies was 199.4%, with life insurance companies at 190.5% [24][28]. - As of March 2025, life insurance companies issued capital replenishment bonds totaling CNY 49.6 billion, contributing to the continuous improvement of solvency indicators [25].
穿越三代人的黄金记忆,影响金价走势的关键六字
天天基金网· 2025-07-07 12:26
以下文章来源于中欧基金 ,作者爱研究的欧欧 中欧基金 . 用长期业绩说话 而另一方面,虽然近期中东地缘冲突有所缓和,但资本市场对于黄金投资的热度却并未停歇,当前金价持 续在高位震荡,普通投资者该如何把握黄金投资的最核心逻辑?当前黄金投资又会面临哪些机遇和风险? 此次, 我们邀请到了深耕黄金领域的中欧基金权益研究部副总监、基金经理任飞,以及重仓黄金10年的资 深投资者杨晓磊,共话三代人的黄金故事,一起探讨当前黄金投资的正确打开方式。 任飞: 若想读懂中国人血脉里的黄金情结,不妨先将目光投向上海局门路600号——诞生于1983年的卢工邮币卡市 场。作为全国最大的邮币卡市场之一,"卢工"不仅见证了无数黄金交易的精彩瞬间,更封存着上一代"老克 勒"们抢购"熊猫金币"的鲜活记忆。 黄金的故事也从未停止过书写:从2013年中国大妈单季豪购300吨黄金震动华尔街,到如今新一代年轻人将 黄金视为"翻身信仰",三代人用不同的方式,讲述着中国人对黄金一脉相承的笃信。 中国人对黄金并不陌生,甚至有一些情怀和信仰在,比如在婚嫁、生育等重要时刻都会将金饰作为送礼的 最优选。我读的是国际金融专业,所以黄金作为一类偏宏观研究的大类资产,我 ...
加沙停火谈判再陷僵局,特朗普与内塔尼亚胡会晤能否破局?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-07 10:01
Group 1 - The first round of ceasefire negotiations in Doha, Qatar, ended without agreement due to Israel's lack of sufficient authorization to discuss key issues such as ceasefire duration and prisoner release [2][3] - Israel's negotiating team was only authorized to discuss humanitarian aid distribution, which limited the scope of the talks [3] - The proposed ceasefire plan by Qatar required Hamas to release 10 Israeli captives and return 18 bodies within 60 days, while Israel insisted on retaining the right to resume military actions [3][5] Group 2 - Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's meeting with President Trump is focused on the Gaza ceasefire, Iran issues, and normalization of relations with Arab countries, with market attention on potential concessions from Trump regarding tariffs and military aid [2][6] - The meeting is the third between Trump and Netanyahu in six months, with three main focal points: specific terms of the Gaza ceasefire, Iran nuclear issues, and tariff policies [6] - Israel has reportedly rejected Hamas's demand for a "permanent ceasefire," preferring a phased temporary ceasefire instead [6] Group 3 - The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting minutes are expected to be a key market catalyst, with a high probability of maintaining interest rates in July and a significant chance of a rate cut in September [7] - Long-term concerns about the U.S. dollar's credit risk are highlighted by the rising federal debt-to-GDP ratio and the declining share of the dollar in global reserves [9] - Geopolitical developments, including the Gaza ceasefire negotiations and the outcomes of the Trump-Netanyahu meeting, are likely to influence gold price fluctuations in the short term [9]