Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that asset allocation is a personal expression of one's understanding of the world, risk perception, and life goals, rather than merely a numerical game [2][4][5]. Group 1: Investment Tools and Strategies - Investors can utilize three main investment tools: asset allocation, stock selection, and market timing, with asset allocation accounting for over 90% of the volatility in institutional portfolio returns [2]. - Different investment strategies reflect individual preferences and risk tolerance, leading to diverse asset allocation choices among investors [3][4]. Group 2: Personalization of Investment Portfolios - Investment portfolios serve as a reflection of an individual's values and future aspirations, with choices influenced by personal experiences and environmental factors [3][5]. - The article highlights that there is no absolute right or wrong in investment choices, as they are based on different cognitive frameworks and risk perceptions [4]. Group 3: The Role of External Opinions - Investors often face pressure from external opinions, which can lead to unnecessary adjustments in their portfolios; successful investing relies on deep insights and steadfast beliefs rather than frequent trading [3]. - The article suggests that maintaining a clear understanding of one's investment philosophy can reduce the impact of external criticism [5]. Group 4: The Snowball Three-Factor Method - The Snowball Three-Factor Method promotes long-term investment through diversification across assets, markets, and timing, aiming for diversified sources of returns and risk mitigation [6].

Core Viewpoint - The strong performance of dividend assets in the Hong Kong market is driven by sustained net inflows from southbound funds, with a particular focus on high-dividend sectors like banking, as investors seek stability amid economic uncertainties [1][3][7]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong dividend ETF (159331) saw an intraday increase of over 1.9%, reflecting ongoing investor interest and net inflows [1]. - Southbound funds have net purchased Hong Kong stocks for 17 consecutive days, with total purchases exceeding 696 billion HKD this year [1]. Group 2: Investment Trends - Institutional investors, particularly long-term funds like insurance capital, are showing a rigid demand for dividend assets, which supports price stability [3]. - The shift in asset allocation from growth to return-focused investments is evident as domestic interest rates decline [3]. Group 3: Index Performance - The CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Yield Total Return Index has the highest Sharpe ratio of 0.4754 among related dividend indices, indicating superior risk-adjusted returns [5]. - The index has demonstrated strong long-term compound returns and dividend reinvestment effects since 2017, outperforming other similar indices [3][5]. Group 4: Policy and Market Environment - Recent policies from the Hong Kong government, including stamp duty reductions and trading mechanism optimizations, aim to enhance market liquidity and attractiveness [7]. - The anticipated dividend tax reforms and improvements in international liquidity further enhance the appeal of dividend strategies in the current market environment [7].

Core Viewpoint - The Hang Seng High Dividend Yield Index (HSSCHKY) has shown positive performance, with key constituent stocks experiencing notable gains, indicating a favorable investment environment driven by policy adjustments and credit environment recovery [3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of June 20, 2025, the HSSCHKY index increased by 0.54%, with significant gains from stocks such as China Coal Energy (3.23%) and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (2.16%) [3]. - The BoShi Hang Seng High Dividend ETF (513690) reported a 0.30% increase, with a latest price of 1 yuan and a turnover rate of 2.41%, totaling 101 million yuan in transactions [3]. - Over the past week, the average daily transaction volume for the BoShi ETF was 201 million yuan [3]. Group 2: Fund Flows and Leverage - The BoShi ETF has seen a net inflow of 84.66 million yuan over the last five trading days, with an average daily net inflow of 16.93 million yuan [3][4]. - Leveraged funds have been actively buying into the BoShi ETF, with a maximum single-day net purchase of 336.62 thousand yuan, bringing the latest financing balance to 866.50 thousand yuan [4]. Group 3: Performance Metrics - The BoShi ETF has achieved a net value increase of 33.06% over the past two years, ranking 86 out of 2207 index equity funds [4]. - The ETF's highest monthly return since inception was 24.18%, with an average monthly return of 4.99% during rising months [4]. - As of June 19, 2025, the ETF's Sharpe ratio for the past month was 1.40, indicating strong risk-adjusted returns [4]. Group 4: Fee Structure and Tracking Accuracy - The management fee for the BoShi ETF is 0.50%, and the custody fee is 0.10% [4]. - The tracking error for the ETF over the past six months was 0.067%, demonstrating its effectiveness in tracking the HSSCHKY index [4]. Group 5: Top Holdings - The top ten weighted stocks in the HSSCHKY index account for 27.89% of the index, with notable companies including Yanzhou Coal Mining (0.64%) and Hang Lung Properties (0.30%) [5][7].

Group 1 - On June 18, the total net inflow of industry-themed ETFs reached 1.042 billion yuan, with the total market size of 3.52 trillion yuan across 1,119 stock ETFs [1] - Notably, 14 stock ETFs had net inflows exceeding 100 million yuan, with the top performers being the Hang Seng Technology ETF and the Dividend Low Volatility ETF, each attracting over 300 million yuan [1] - The net inflow for ETFs tracking the Hong Kong Technology Index was 520 million yuan, while those tracking the Dividend and Non-Bank Financial Indexes saw inflows of 440 million yuan and 410 million yuan, respectively [1] Group 2 - Over the past five days, net inflows into the Sci-Tech 50 Index products exceeded 3.8 billion yuan, and the Hang Seng Technology Index products saw inflows over 2.7 billion yuan [2] - On June 18, the Huaxia Fund's Credit Bond ETF and Sci-Tech 50 ETF had net inflows of 2.923 billion yuan and 274 million yuan, respectively, with their latest sizes being 17.165 billion yuan and 81.987 billion yuan [2] Group 3 - On June 18, broad-based ETFs experienced slight outflows, indicating a potential shift in investor sentiment [3] - The low interest rate environment and weak economic recovery are seen as favorable for dividend strategies, with strong dividend capabilities from state-owned enterprises [3] - The performance of sectors such as precious metals and innovative pharmaceuticals is expected to remain relatively strong, despite potential inflationary pressures from increased tariffs [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant inflow of funds into industry-themed ETFs, with a total net inflow of 1.042 billion yuan on June 18, indicating strong investor interest in specific sectors [1]. Fund Inflows - On June 18, the total scale of 1,119 stock ETFs in the market reached 3.52 trillion yuan, with 14 ETFs experiencing net inflows exceeding 100 million yuan [1]. - The top performers included: - Hang Seng Technology ETF with a net inflow of 340 million yuan [2]. - Dividend Low Volatility ETF with a net inflow of 318 million yuan [2]. - Sci-Tech 50 ETF with a net inflow of 274 million yuan [2]. - Multiple broker and financial technology ETFs also saw inflows exceeding 150 million yuan [1][2]. Recent Trends - Over the past five days, the inflow into the Sci-Tech 50 index products exceeded 3.8 billion yuan, while the inflow into the Hang Seng Technology index products surpassed 2.7 billion yuan [3]. - Leading fund companies continue to see substantial inflows, with Huaxia Fund's credit bond ETF and Sci-Tech 50 ETF recording net inflows of 2.923 billion yuan and 274 million yuan respectively on June 18 [3]. Market Outlook - The article notes a slight outflow from broad-based ETFs on June 18, indicating potential market volatility [4]. - The low interest rate environment and weak economic recovery are seen as favorable for dividend strategies, with strong dividend capabilities from central state-owned enterprises [4]. - The article also mentions that sectors like precious metals and innovative pharmaceuticals are performing relatively well, with expectations that tariff impacts on A-shares will diminish over time [4].

Group 1 - The current financial asset allocation in Chinese households shows that cash and savings account for over 50%, significantly higher than the OECD average of about 33% [1] - The recent decline in one-year deposit rates below 1% and various monetary easing measures indicate a push towards "deposit migration" and investment in quality equities [1] - There is a strong preference for dividend assets among various funds, including risk-averse capital, income-focused investors, insurance funds, and state-owned enterprises, which are continuously buying into dividend assets [1] Group 2 - Dividend assets are primarily concentrated in industries with abundant cash flow, such as banking, coal, public utilities, and transportation, which consistently yield cash dividends [2] - The cumulative dividend payout of the CSI Dividend Index constituents is expected to exceed 920 billion yuan in 2024, with a dividend payout ratio of 36.25%, indicating a commitment to returning profits to shareholders [2] - The CSI Dividend ETF (515080) has distributed dividends 13 times since its inception, with a dividend of 0.15 yuan per ten shares on the upcoming distribution date, reflecting a dividend rate of 0.99% [2] Group 3 - The CSI Dividend Index has demonstrated a 10-year annualized return of 5.63%, outperforming major indices like the CSI 300 and 10-year government bonds, showcasing the power of dividend compounding [3] - The "National Nine Articles" policy encourages listed companies to enhance dividend payouts, particularly state-owned enterprises, which will systematically strengthen the "blood supply" of dividend assets [2] - Long-term funds such as insurance and pension funds favor high-dividend assets, providing additional support for the CSI Dividend ETF [2]

Core Viewpoint - Financial ETF (510230) announced a dividend distribution of 4.83%, with a payout of 0.668 yuan per 10 fund shares, indicating a strong performance and attractiveness for investors seeking high dividend yields [1][8]. Group 1: Fund Details - The fund is named Guotai Shanghai Stock Exchange 180 Financial ETF, with a main code of 510230, and was established on March 31, 2011 [2]. - The fund is managed by Guotai Fund Management Co., Ltd. and custodied by Bank of China [2]. - The dividend distribution is based on the fund's net asset value of 1.3838 yuan per share as of the distribution benchmark date of June 13, 2025 [2][8]. Group 2: Market Context - The Financial ETF tracks the Shanghai Stock Exchange 180 Financial Index, with nearly 60% of its holdings in the banking sector, around 20% in securities, and about 20% in insurance, making it a quality target for financial sector exposure [4]. - In the current asset scarcity environment, high dividend assets are favored, with stable earnings in the banking sector providing a significant advantage compared to other industries [5]. - The market for securities stocks is experiencing a revival, supported by increased liquidity and investor enthusiasm, leading to substantial revenue growth for brokerage firms [6]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The "Central Enterprise Valuation Restructuring" initiative is expected to attract more long-term capital into the financial sector, enhancing the valuation potential of financial central enterprises [7]. - Investors can consider Financial ETF (510230) for exposure to banking, insurance, and securities sectors, capitalizing on the potential for valuation restructuring [7].

2025 年 6 月 18 日 N 型下半场，认准方向，无惧颠簸 ---2025 年股指期货半年度行情展望 毛磊 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0011222 maolei@gtht.com 报告导读： 货 研 究 所 我们的观点：我们 2025 年年报中 N 字型走势的判断，目前看主要的调整阶段已经出现。下半年，N 字型后半段将持续演绎。 当然，后半段并非单边反弹，内外宏观因素的反复与利多的脉冲式效应，将带来行情走出蛇年"蛇型"的震荡上行走势。但 即使面对重重扰动，方向已明，无惧颠簸。 国 泰 君 安 期 二 我们的逻辑：今年，外部扰动一度带来了宏观预期与股指悲观情绪的大幅宣泄，但外生性的扰动犹如压力测试，给出了小概 率黑天鹅事件下中国经济的下限以及股指的下限。后期出现更大程度黑天鹅的难度无疑更为困难，反而提升了最悲观投资者 的入市信心。后期来看，经济与贸易博弈的反复性，宏观预期仍会出现波动，对股市的传导仍不可避免。但基本面环境的不 确定性强化政策托底与稳市场，也带来看空资金翻多的潜在空间。利率下行环境下，结合资本市场制度优化均提升股市配置 价值，有望持续带来增量资金。最终股指或依靠估值抬升，震荡上行。风格方面，成 ...

Core Viewpoint - The announcement from Xingzheng Global Fund indicates the distribution of cash dividends for its Xingzheng Global Dividend Mixed Securities Investment Fund, marking its second dividend payout since inception [1][2]. Fund Performance and Strategy - The fund was established on June 18, 2024, and the total dividend amount for this payout is 929 million yuan, with A-class shares receiving 0.03029 yuan per share and C-class shares receiving 0.02753 yuan per share [1][2]. - As of May 30, 2025, the A-class shares have achieved a cumulative net value growth rate of 10.41%, outperforming the benchmark by 7.93 percentage points [2]. - The fund's maximum drawdown since inception is -5.77%, which is better than the benchmark's -11.77% [2]. - Fund manager Zhang Xiaofeng employs a "core + satellite" strategy, focusing on mainstream dividend indices while actively selecting stocks, and also investing in small and mid-cap stocks for excess return opportunities [2]. Research and Development Focus - Xingzheng Global Fund emphasizes enhancing its research capabilities, with over 41% of its team dedicated to investment research, covering key sectors such as TMT, cyclical, consumer, and manufacturing [3]. - The fund's stock investment management capability ranks 6th out of 64 in the industry over the past decade, with a return rate of 83.25% [3]. - Zhang Xiaofeng highlights the importance of internal research support in identifying value traps in dividend investing, which relies heavily on individual stock and industry research [3].

Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a surge in dividend asset allocation, with the first Hong Kong Stock Connect low-volatility dividend ETF (520550) achieving ten consecutive days of gains and a year-to-date share increase of 119% [2][4] - The S&P Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend Index has shown strong resilience, with a cumulative increase of 24.85% over the past year, significantly outperforming the CSI Dividend Index (-0.26%) and the CSI Low Volatility Dividend Index (12.53%) [3][4] - Southbound capital has been a significant driver of this trend, with net inflows exceeding HKD 630 billion this year, accounting for over 80% of the total for 2024 [4][5] Market Dynamics - The low-interest-rate environment and expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts have enhanced the appeal of Hong Kong dividend ETFs, which offer a dividend yield of 7.13% and low volatility [4][5] - Institutional investors are increasingly optimizing their dividend strategies, with the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Low Volatility Index yielding 8.1%, well above the 10-year government bond yield [5][6] - The demand for dividend assets is expected to grow as long-term capital, such as insurance and social security funds, enters the market, driven by favorable policies and a shift towards long-term value creation [7][8] Investment Strategies - Fund companies are enhancing dividend product designs to improve investor experience, such as the low-cost structure and monthly dividend mechanisms of the Hong Kong low-volatility dividend ETF [5][6] - Long-term investment in high-dividend stocks is supported by the stability of companies' earnings and their willingness to distribute dividends, particularly in sectors like banking, utilities, and mature industries [6][7] - The trend of insurance capital acquiring Hong Kong stocks is expected to continue, with over 90% of new investments directed towards this market, indicating a strong preference for dividend stocks [7][8]