Core Viewpoint - The world is facing challenges in globalization, but it is transitioning from "fast globalization" to "slow globalization" rather than retreating from globalization altogether [1][2] Group 1: Globalization Trends - Pascal Lamy emphasizes that the overall scale of international trade is still growing, although the growth rate is slowing down [1] - The perception of globalization's social impact varies across different regions, indicating a complex landscape [1] Group 2: WTO Challenges - Lamy suggests that the power structure between WTO members and the secretariat needs to be rebalanced to improve decision-making efficiency [1] - The current imbalance, where member powers are too great and the secretariat's role is insufficient, hinders the WTO's effectiveness [1] - There is a need to promote trade facilitation in areas such as trade, environment, e-commerce, and subsidy disciplines [1] Group 3: China's Role in Global Trade - China is urged to continue its macroeconomic rebalancing between production and consumption while expanding into emerging markets and optimizing trade structure [2] - As a significant player in globalization, China will continue to play a crucial role in the current and next phases of globalization [2] Group 4: Environmental Considerations - Lamy highlights the necessity of protecting the environment while maintaining open trade, addressing the dual challenges of decarbonization and biodiversity preservation [2] - Balancing environmental protection with open trade is complex but essential to avoid exacerbating existing international tensions [2]

一场强劲的金属市场牛市行情，使得黄金、白银和铜在2025年都录得了可观的涨幅。 默克投资（ Merk Investments）的创始人兼总裁阿克塞尔·默克（Axel Merk）表示，在包括黄金和白银在内的贵金属领域，有投资者正在 寻求"多元化"，尤其是那些担心美元等货币购买力的投资者。以洲际交易所美元指数为代表的美元，今年以来已下跌超过8%。 但对金属交易员而言，今年的牛市至少有一个独特之处：道琼斯市场数据显示，这三种金属首次自1980年以来，在同一个日历年度内全 部创下了新的历史最高纪录。 上世纪80年代初，即这三种金属上次同时表现如此强劲时，地缘政治担忧和美元疲软被广泛认为是推动价格上涨的最重要因素。 尽管这些问题在本轮牛市行情中依然存在影响，但多位策略师和投资者告诉《市场观察》，当前与当时存在几个关键差异，这可能为市 场未来走向提供一些线索。 例如，日益增长的工业需求正成为推动白银和铜价越来越重要的因素。与此同时，各国央行强劲的黄金购买力也助推了黄金的价格。所 罗门全球（Solomon Global）的特约分析师尼克·考利（Nick Cawley）表示，所有这些基本面驱动因素在12月初依然稳固。 "持续 ...

Core Viewpoint - The rare metals sector is experiencing a rebound, driven by increased demand from downstream industries such as energy storage and power batteries, alongside supply-side uncertainties [1] Industry Summary - As of November 27, 2025, the China Securities Rare Metals Theme Index rose by 0.54%, with notable increases in stocks such as Yunnan Zhenye (+5.63%) and Tin Industry Co. (+4.90%) [1] - The price of lithium carbonate futures previously exceeded 100,000 yuan/ton due to significant growth in demand and supply constraints [1] - The scarcity of strategic minor metals, coupled with rapid growth in demand from sectors like new energy, semiconductors, and military industries, is intensifying supply-demand conflicts [1] - Future price trends for rare metals are expected to continue upward due to ongoing resource scarcity, demand structure upgrades, and policy adjustments [1] Company Summary - According to Shenwan Hongyuan Research, the small metals sector is anticipated to see positive changes in 2026, with energy storage demand driving an earlier reversal in the lithium carbonate industry cycle [1] - The value of strategic minor metals such as rare earths, tungsten, and antimony is expected to be continuously reassessed in the context of de-globalization [1] - The restructuring of the global credit landscape and the continuation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts will support the favorable trends for precious and minor metals [1] - As of October 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Rare Metals Theme Index accounted for 60% of the index, including companies like Northern Rare Earth, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Ganfeng Lithium [1]

Group 1 - The rare metals sector has shown signs of recovery, with the CSI Rare Metals Theme Index rising by 0.54% as of 13:19 on November 27, 2025, driven by significant increases in stocks such as Yunnan Zhenye (+5.63%) and Tin Industry Co. (+4.90%) [1] - The supply-side uncertainty and a substantial increase in demand from downstream sectors like energy storage and power batteries have led to a surge in lithium carbonate futures, which previously exceeded 100,000 yuan/ton [1] - Strategic minor metals are characterized by limited reserves, high extraction difficulty, and insufficient supply elasticity, while rapid growth in demand from new energy, semiconductors, and military industries exacerbates supply-demand conflicts [1] Group 2 - According to Shenwan Hongyuan Research, the minor metals sector is expected to experience positive changes in 2026, with high growth in energy storage demand prompting an earlier reversal cycle in the lithium carbonate industry [1] - The ongoing re-evaluation of strategic minor metals such as rare earths, tungsten, and antimony will be supported by the reshaping of the global credit landscape and the continuation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts [1] - As of October 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Rare Metals Theme Index include Northern Rare Earth, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Huayou Cobalt, collectively accounting for 60% of the index [1]

Core Viewpoint - The news highlights the performance of the non-ferrous metal sector, particularly focusing on the fluctuations in the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Theme Index and the significant developments in the rare earth materials sector, which could impact investment opportunities in the future [1][3][4]. Market Performance - As of November 24, 2025, the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Theme Index (000811) decreased by 1.95%, with mixed performances among constituent stocks [1]. - Notable gainers included Huaxi Nonferrous (600301) up 6.95%, Huayu Mining (601020) up 5.16%, and Xiyue Co. (000960) up 1.81% [1]. - Conversely, Guocheng Mining (000688) led the declines with a drop of 10.00%, followed by Shengxin Lithium Energy (002240) down 9.99% and Tianqi Lithium (002466) down 9.15% [1]. - The Nonferrous 50 ETF (159652) fell by 1.94%, with a latest price of 1.41 yuan, but showed a 22.97% increase over the past three months as of November 21 [1]. Fund Flow and Liquidity - The Nonferrous 50 ETF saw a turnover of 1.68% during the trading session, with a transaction volume of 48.4455 million yuan [1]. - Over the past two weeks, the ETF's scale increased by 120 million yuan, reaching a new high of 2.025 billion shares [3]. - The latest net inflow for the ETF was 183 million yuan, with a total of 271 million yuan net inflow over the last five trading days [3]. Technological Advancements - A breakthrough research achievement by universities in China and Singapore was published in Nature, addressing the efficient electroluminescence of insulating rare earth nanocrystals, which could transform China's rare earth resource strategy from raw material export to high-value technology output [3]. - This technology demonstrated a 76-fold increase in electroluminescent device efficiency and the ability to achieve full-spectrum emission through rare earth ion modulation [3]. Future Outlook - The outlook for industrial metals suggests that supply constraints will drive copper prices upward, while the profitability of electrolytic aluminum is expected to improve [6]. - The gold market is anticipated to continue its bullish trend, with silver showing greater elasticity due to macroeconomic factors such as interest rate cycles and global trade tensions [6]. - The lithium market is experiencing adjustments due to price drops affecting high-cost production, while demand from the electric vehicle sector remains strong [6]. - Tungsten, as a strategic metal, is expected to see price increases due to supply constraints and growing demand in emerging sectors [7]. Investment Opportunities - The Nonferrous 50 ETF (159652) is highlighted for its high "gold-copper content" at 46%, leading in its category [7]. - The ETF focuses on core strategic metals with high demand and supply gaps, featuring a high concentration of leading companies [7]. - The ETF has shown superior performance with a cumulative return leading its peers since 2022, driven by earnings rather than valuation increases [8].

Summary of Bio-Techne Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Bio-Techne (NasdaqGS: TECH) - **Date**: November 20, 2025 - **Focus**: Life Science tools and reagents, particularly in cell therapy and proteomics Key Points Financial Performance - **Overall Growth**: Reported a negative growth of 1% for the quarter, primarily due to larger companies not ordering products after receiving fast-track designations, impacting revenue by 200 basis points [2][21] - **Core Growth**: Excluding the impact of cell therapy, core growth was positive at 1% [2] - **Large Pharma Revenue**: Contributed 30% of total revenues, with double-digit growth observed [2][5] - **GMP Protein Business**: Valued at $60 million within an $80 million cell therapy business, with significant growth in previous quarters (60% and 90% in Q1 and Q2 last year) [20] Market Dynamics - **Pharma Market**: Strong performance in both the US and Europe, with a healthy growth outlook despite potential shifts due to deglobalization [6][10] - **Biotech Funding**: Noted a resurgence in funding, particularly in October, with a shift towards accelerating programs rather than building infrastructure [7][8] - **Academic Market**: Experienced a messy environment in the US but showed stabilization and improvement in Europe, with a shift in grant focus towards oncology and neurological diseases [33] Innovation and Product Development - **R&D Investment**: 8% of revenues reinvested into R&D, leading to significant innovations across various verticals [12] - **New Products**: - ProPax for protein packaging, reducing human error and contamination risk [13] - ELA cartridge for ultra-sensitivity in protein analysis, enhancing capabilities in neurodiseases and inflammation [14] - LEO instrument with four times higher capacity and precision for larger pharma [15] - Exosome-based ESR1 breast cancer marker for therapy management [16] - Oxford Nanopore-based genetic testing kit for difficult-to-sequence genes [16] M&A Strategy - **M&A as Priority**: High priority for capital deployment, with improved availability of high-quality targets in the market [17] - **Wilson Wolf Acquisition**: Ongoing interest in acquiring Wilson Wolf, with a focus on strengthening the cell therapy portfolio [17][19] Competitive Landscape - **Cell Therapy Market**: Maintained a strong position against European competitors, leveraging 49 years of experience in complex protein design and manufacturing [22] - **AI in Protein Design**: Utilization of AI to enhance protein specificity and heat stability, leading to patentable innovations [24][25] Pricing and Promotions - **Promotional Activities**: Implemented grants to support new programs in constrained funding environments, increasing customer base from 550 to 700 for GMP proteins [26][27] Future Outlook - **Market Trends**: Anticipated improvements in grant funding and a shift towards more multi-year grants, providing better visibility for labs [35] - **Budget Flush Impact**: Minimal impact expected from year-end budget flush, as 90% of revenue is from consumables and services, not instrumentation [37] Additional Insights - **Reshoring and Deglobalization**: Expected to influence manufacturing dynamics positively, with local production reducing shipping inefficiencies [10][11] - **Academic Grant Trends**: Shift towards proteomics-based spending, indicating a favorable alignment with Bio-Techne's offerings [33]

Core Insights - Infrastructure private credit serves as a crucial financial bridge connecting long-term capital with long-term assets, providing investors with a defensive, stable return, and inflation-resistant alternative asset class while offering flexible financing for essential infrastructure projects [1][6][7] Infrastructure Private Credit Industry Definition and Advantages - Private credit funds, also known as private debt financing, primarily cater to the urgent financing needs of private enterprises, including corporate loans, real estate financing, asset-backed financing, and infrastructure loans [1][4] - Infrastructure loans are categorized into economic and social infrastructure loans, providing long-term debt financing for the construction, expansion, or maintenance of infrastructure projects [1][4] - Infrastructure private credit offers superior risk-return characteristics, stable long-term cash flows, and includes a liquidity premium, yielding significantly higher returns compared to high-yield bonds and leveraged loans [3][4] Current Development Status of the Infrastructure Private Credit Industry - The global infrastructure investment gap is projected to reach $3 trillion in 2024, with a total gap of $4 trillion from 2016 to 2024, creating favorable conditions for the growth of infrastructure private credit [4][5] - Total global infrastructure spending from 2025 to 2040 is expected to reach approximately $54.4 trillion, while actual investment needs are estimated at $65.3 trillion, resulting in a projected investment gap of $10.9 trillion [4][5] Industry Chain of Infrastructure Private Credit - The industry chain consists of "capital supply → professional management → asset allocation → value realization," with upstream investors including pension funds, insurance capital, sovereign wealth funds, and high-net-worth individuals [7][8] - The midstream involves infrastructure private credit fund management, while the downstream consists of borrowers in sectors such as energy, transportation, communication, and social infrastructure [7][8] Competitive Landscape of the Infrastructure Private Credit Industry - The private fund market has seen increased competition, with a growing concentration of market players, as private funds attract high-net-worth individuals and institutional investors [8][9] - Infrastructure projects are a significant investment direction for private funds, particularly in public facilities like transportation and energy [8][9] Development Trends in the Infrastructure Private Credit Industry - Trends such as digitalization, de-globalization, and decarbonization are expected to drive demand for infrastructure private credit investments, with trillions of dollars needed for renewable energy and green infrastructure [9][10] - Structural innovations are expanding the global reach and investor base of infrastructure private credit, with listed funds providing attractive options for investors seeking stability, yield, and risk exposure [10]

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America predicts gold prices will rise to $5,000 per ounce within the next 12 to 18 months due to structural deficits in the U.S., inflationary pressures from de-globalization, concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve, and ongoing global geopolitical tensions [1] Group 1: Price Predictions - The average gold price forecast for 2026 has been raised by 18% to $4,329 per ounce [1] - Silver price forecast has been increased by 29% to $54.88 per ounce [1] Group 2: Investment Demand and Market Trends - Investment demand for gold is expected to grow similarly to this year, potentially pushing gold prices to $5,000 per ounce [1] - In September, gold ETF purchases surged by 880% year-on-year to a historical high of $14 billion, with total investments in physical and paper gold nearly doubling, exceeding 5% of global stock and fixed income markets [1] Group 3: Short-term Market Risks - The report cautions that the market may consolidate in the short term, highlighting risks such as the Supreme Court's ruling on Trump's tariffs, potential hawkish shifts from the Federal Reserve if economic data improves, and the impact of U.S. midterm election results on Trump's economic policy implementation [1]

Core Viewpoint - The gold market remains robust, supporting prices around $4200 per ounce, with a notable scarcity of sellers and a trend of investors choosing to hold rather than take profits, indicating gold's long-term strategic role in asset allocation [1] Group 1: Institutional Investment Trends - Some asset management firms have significantly increased their gold allocation, with Tanglewood Total Wealth Management raising its gold holdings to approximately 12%, surpassing the initial target of 10% [2] - This shift reflects a profound change in institutional investors' asset allocation philosophy, moving from tactical short-term gains to strategic long-term holdings in gold [2] - Despite potential short-term sales, the long-term value of holding gold is widely recognized among investors [2] Group 2: Factors Driving Gold Demand - One key factor driving gold demand is the rising level of global sovereign debt, with gold transitioning from a traditional "disaster hedge" to a "currency hedge" amid declining fiat currency purchasing power [3] - The strategic position of gold in the global financial system has been increasingly highlighted since the 2008 financial crisis and the subsequent fiscal stimulus measures during the COVID-19 pandemic [3] - The geopolitical use of the dollar and increasing global trade tensions have diminished its reliability as a reserve currency, further emphasizing gold's unique value as a "non-sovereign currency" [3] Group 3: Long-term Value of Gold - Despite a nearly 60% increase in gold prices this year, GTC believes that investment demand will not weaken, as gold remains undervalued relative to major stock markets in a high-debt, low-growth macro environment [4] - Gold is entering a new phase of long-term value reassessment, solidifying its core position in global investment portfolios [4] - In the context of macroeconomic uncertainty, gold will continue to play a crucial role in wealth preservation, asset protection, and currency hedging, providing stable long-term returns for investors [4]

Group 1: Market Trends and Investor Sentiment - Technical charts for gold and silver indicate overall bullish trends in both the near and longer term, with prices in uptrends on daily, weekly, and monthly charts [1] - Increasing interest from investors in adding gold and silver to their portfolios, with notable comments from JPMorgan's Jamie Dimon suggesting a rational case for holding these metals [1] - Major industrialized countries are stockpiling rare-earth minerals and metals, driven by supply chain disruptions and a shift away from globalism, benefiting gold and silver markets [2] Group 2: Central Bank Actions and Economic Indicators - Central banks are increasing their gold reserves as countries like Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa move away from the U.S. dollar [3] - Anticipation of lower global interest rates, with the U.S. Federal Reserve expected to cut rates, which could enhance demand for metals [4] - The U.S. government shutdown has created uncertainty in economic data, further driving safe-haven demand for gold and silver amid geopolitical tensions [5] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Price Predictions - The stock market's recovery and nearing record highs may indicate a better risk appetite, which could be bearish for safe-haven metals [7] - A rising U.S. dollar index is generally bearish for gold and silver, suggesting a healthier U.S. economy [8] - The current bull runs for gold and silver may be nearing their final stages, with historical price levels for silver being a critical factor for future price movements [10][11]