Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the market may experience a temporary "window period" as the political bureau meeting is held, and the first phase of overseas disturbances comes to an end, leading to increased cautious sentiment among investors [1] - The S&P Dividend ETF (562060) fell by 0.19% with a trading volume of 4.5277 million yuan, while constituent stocks showed mixed performance, with Shanghai Bank leading the gains and Huawang Technology leading the losses [1] - The central political bureau meeting emphasized "bottom-line thinking," which supports risk appetite, but uncertainties from overseas remain, suggesting a continued oscillating market before the May Day holiday [1] Group 2 - Future policies are expected to have a reserve to cushion the economy and will be implemented based on the degree of economic impact, allowing the market to maintain oscillation [2] - The market lacks a clear sustained main line, especially at the current market position, necessitating greater attention to event or policy catalysts [2] - The suggested investment strategy for May is a "barbell-type" allocation, with one end focusing on growth technology and the other on stable dividend assets, slightly favoring dividend assets in the current market environment [2]

截至2025年4月15日 10:08，恒生港股通高股息率指数(HSSCHKY)上涨0.10%，成分股长和(00001)上涨3.16%，统一企业中国(00220)上涨1.78%，中煤能源 (01898)上涨1.40%，中银香港(02388)上涨1.18%，中国飞鹤(06186)上涨1.11%。港股红利ETF博时(513690)上涨0.22%， 冲击6连涨。最新价报0.91元。拉长时 间看，截至2025年4月14日，港股红利ETF博时近1周累计上涨5.09%。 流动性方面，港股红利ETF博时盘中换手0.14%，成交524.91万元。拉长时间看，截至4月14日，港股红利ETF博时近1年日均成交7888.62万元。 规模方面，港股红利ETF博时最新规模达36.82亿元。 资金流入方面，港股红利ETF博时最新资金流入流出持平。拉长时间看，近20个交易日内，合计"吸金"3740.82万元。 截至4月14日，港股红利ETF博时近1年净值上涨23.59%，指数股票型基金排名535/2714，居于前19.71%。从收益能力看，截至2025年4月14日，港股红利ETF 博时自成立以来，最高单月回报为24.18%，最长连涨月数为3 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent fluctuations in the A-share market, highlighting the impact of various factors on investor sentiment and market performance, while emphasizing the potential for a "spring rally" in 2025 driven by favorable economic conditions and policy support [2][3][4]. Market Performance - On the first trading day of March, the A-share market experienced a high followed by a decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing down 0.12% at 3316.93 points, while the ChiNext Index rose by 1.2% [1]. - The trading volume across both markets reached 1.66 trillion yuan [1]. Investor Sentiment - Recent market volatility is attributed to a decline in risk appetite among investors, influenced by seasonal effects and heightened risk aversion [2]. - The launch of the Free Cash Flow ETF (159201) has attracted significant capital inflow, totaling 5.7 billion yuan over three days, indicating strong investor interest [2][6]. Spring Rally Outlook - Multiple brokerages are optimistic about the "spring rally" in 2025, citing a favorable external environment due to the decline of the US dollar index and the appreciation of the RMB [3]. - Factors such as improved market confidence from private enterprise meetings and ongoing events like DeepSeek are expected to catalyze the rally [3][4]. Investment Strategies - The article suggests a "barbell" investment strategy focusing on both technology growth and high dividend stocks, with an emphasis on sectors like autonomous technology and high-quality internet companies [5][6]. - The Free Cash Flow ETF is positioned as a new long-term investment option, reflecting a shift towards stable cash flow assets in the current market environment [8][13]. Free Cash Flow Strategy - The Free Cash Flow Index, which the ETF tracks, aims to select high-quality companies with stable cash flows, excluding sectors with more volatile cash flow patterns like finance and real estate [10][11]. - Historical performance indicates that companies with high free cash flow have consistently outperformed in both bull and bear markets, making them attractive for long-term investment [11][12].