时隔一年半后，管理规模超百亿的主动权益基金经理（下称"百亿基金经理"）人数，重新回到100位以上。 券商中国记者近日从天相投顾基金评价中心（下称"天相投顾"）和理财魔方处获取的数据均显示，截至目前该人数已 超过110名。从阶段性分析来看，该人数历经此前持续下降后，已开始"探底回升"。 "百亿"规模新老有别。一是坚守消费、医药、新能源等赛道的基金经理逐渐淡出"百亿"舞台，新晋百亿基金经理在科 技、红利、量化等赛道崛起，契合了从"传统内需"向"科技创新+安全边际"的行情主线转变。二是新晋的百亿规模，主 要是业绩与行情共振的结果，与过往的"明星效应+大规模新发"形成鲜明对比。通过业绩做大规模固然可喜，但更重 要的是避免重蹈覆辙，通过制度和契约精神来实现规模与业绩的良性循环，并持续夯实循环根基。 "新"百亿基金经理的三大类型 天相投顾对券商中国记者提供的统计数据显示，百亿基金经理人数在2022年一季度是151位，于当年二季度升到163位 高点，平均管理规模超过200亿元。从2022年三季度开始，这一人数开始走低，到2023年末为106人。2024年一季度， 百亿基金经理人数跌破100，到2025年二季度末时只有82人 ...

| | | 主动权益百亿规模基金经理前20(截至11月14日) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 序号 | 基金经理 | 在管基金数 | 管理总规模(亿元) | 其金公司 | | 1 | 张 坤 | ব | 565.44 | 易方达基金 | | 2 | 谢治宇 | 3 | 453.57 | 兴证专球基金 | | 3 | 葛 兰 | 3 | 435.44 | 中欧基金 | | র | 刘彦春 | 6 | 358.60 | 景顺长城基金 | | 5 | 周蔚文 | 5 | 336.59 | 中欧基金 | | 6 | 刘格松 | 5 | 334.10 | 厂发星金 | | 7 | 赵磊 | 1 | 329.53 | 中欧基金 | | 8 | 胡昕炜 | 8 | 316.96 | 汇漆富基金 | | 9 | 陈 皓 | 8 | 298.87 | 易方达基金 | | 10 | 李晓星 | 10 | 261.45 | 据英语等 | | 11 | 乔 迁 | 2 | 252.38 | 兴证全球基金 | | 12 | 杨世讲 | 3 | 252.23 | 兴证舍球星金 | | 1 ...

Core Insights - The rapid development of AI technology is significantly enhancing the power of quantitative investment, leading to increased market attention on public quantitative investment strategies [1] - Huang Zhigang, Assistant General Manager and Head of Quantitative Investment at Nanhua Fund, emphasizes the limitations of traditional multi-factor models, which are based on historical data and fail to address long-term market effectiveness [1][4] - Huang identifies three key issues that an excellent quantitative investment model must solve: constructing investment safety margins, identifying value traps, and reasonably defining company prices [4][5] Quantitative Investment Framework - Huang's quantitative investment framework is summarized as "value stock selection and dual rotation," focusing on core factors such as Dividend Payout Ratio (DR), Return on Equity (ROE), and Earnings Yield (EP) [2] - The first step in the model involves predicting each company's ROE and EP, followed by calculating the Potential Return (IR) and ranking stocks based on IR values to build an investment portfolio [2][4] - The approach aims to find good companies at good prices, leveraging the objectivity, efficiency, and discipline of quantitative investment [2][5] Stock Selection and Adjustment - Stocks selected through this method are not static; they are continuously adjusted based on factor changes [3] - Huang constructs a foundational stock pool by selecting stocks that have declined significantly over the past 3 to 5 years, updating this pool daily to achieve a "buy low, sell high" strategy [3] Performance Metrics - As of now, Huang manages four funds with a total scale exceeding 1 billion yuan, with notable performance metrics such as a net value growth rate of over 87% for Nanhua Fenghui Mixed A since inception [4] - The Nanhua Fengyuan Quantitative Stock Selection Mixed A, managed since January 2024, has achieved a net value growth rate exceeding 38% [4] Risk Management and Strategy - Huang highlights the importance of balancing "good companies" and "good prices," aiming for a better equilibrium between the two rather than focusing solely on short-term performance [5] - The quantitative investment strategy includes risk control measures such as maintaining a diversified portfolio, limiting individual stock weight, and ensuring a balanced strategy style [8] - The fund's turnover rate is kept stable at around 12 times, with a holding range of 80 to 130 stocks, aiming to smooth out volatility risks through relative excess returns [7][8]

Core Insights - The core message emphasizes that investing in stocks is fundamentally about understanding the underlying companies, with a significant majority of retail investors failing to achieve profitability in both bull and bear markets [1][3][9] Investment Philosophy - The principle of "buying stocks means buying companies" is highlighted, with only about 1% of investors truly grasping this concept [3][4] - Understanding a company's business model and future cash flows is crucial, and the notion of "margin of safety" relates more to comprehension than price [3][5] - Segmenting investments into a few well-understood companies is preferred over diversifying into many unknowns [9][12] Core Holdings - The investor's primary holdings include Apple, Tencent, and Kweichow Moutai, chosen for their strong corporate culture and clear business models [4][5] - The investment in Apple was based on its transition from a hardware company to a comprehensive platform [6] - Kweichow Moutai is viewed as distinct from other liquor brands due to its unique flavor and cultural significance [7] Market Outlook - Caution is expressed regarding the electric vehicle industry, with a prediction that many current players will not survive due to minimal differentiation [7] - The investor acknowledges a past mistake in selling Tesla shares but cites personal values as a reason for not investing further in the company [7] Advice for Investors - A straightforward recommendation is made for those unfamiliar with investing: avoid participation [9] - The importance of understanding opportunity costs in investment decisions is stressed, along with the notion that long-term holding should not preclude selling when necessary [12][13] - Investors are advised to be prepared for significant price fluctuations, suggesting that if one cannot withstand a 50% drop, they should not invest in that stock [13]

来源：格隆汇APP 随着13F文件出炉，巨佬们最新动向来了！ 段永平在美国管理的一个投资账户此前被网友们挖出，机构名为"H&H"。 H&H提交的报告显示，截至2025年三季度，持有11只美股，持仓市值146.8亿美元，约合人民币1042亿 元。 最新数据显示，段永平在三季度新建仓8万股阿斯麦，持仓金额7745万美元，占比 0.53%，比例不高。 阿斯麦作为全球唯一EUV光刻机供应商，这次段永平建仓，可能是其在全球半导体核心设备环节上的 一个观察方向。 三季度段永平加仓伯克希尔B；减持苹果、拼多多、阿里巴巴、谷歌C、英伟达；对西方石油、微软、 迪士尼和台积电持仓不变。 以上是段永平旗下基金的美股持仓，其港股和A股持仓无需披露，但段永平提及过自己在港股和A股的 投资方向。 段永平在最近的采访中透露，自己的投资标的。 他表示，目前自己真的投过比较大金额的，最早是网易，然后雅虎，投雅虎其实就是想买阿里；后来差 不多就到苹果，伯克希尔哈撒韦的比重也不大；茅台其实也蛮大，腾讯现在其实还可以。 他透露，谷歌都不算，没有在谷歌上真的下过重注；拼多多可以算，拼多多很特殊了，初创阶段的时候 就已经投了，投的钱其实比重很少，赚的钱 ...

Group 1: Personal Growth - The importance of parental trust in childhood, which lays the foundation for rational decision-making [3][5] - Setting boundaries is crucial for providing children with a sense of security, which is essential for rationality [5][6] - The significance of leaving uncomfortable environments for better career choices [7][8] Group 2: Corporate Management - The lesson from Xiaobawang emphasizes the importance of trust and commitment in organizational culture [20] - The success of BBK is attributed to its focus on integrity and user-oriented culture [21][22] - The evolution of corporate culture is a continuous process influenced by experiences and lessons learned [23][24] Group 3: Investment Logic - The core principle of investing is to view stock purchases as buying into a company [40][41] - Understanding a company's business model and future cash flows is essential for successful investing [44][45] - Real-world examples, such as investments in NetEase, Apple, and Moutai, illustrate the importance of understanding company value and consumer recognition [48][69]

Core Principles - The fundamental principle of investing is to view stock purchases as buying a company [1][4] - Understanding business is crucial for successful investing; without this knowledge, investment becomes challenging [3][6] - A significant portion of investors misunderstand the essence of investing, with only 1% truly grasping it [5] Investment Philosophy - The investment philosophy emphasizes the importance of understanding a company's future cash flow and business model [6][9] - Market fluctuations should not influence investment decisions if one truly understands the company [7][8] Case Studies Investment in NetEase - The assessment of NetEase involved understanding the gaming business and its potential profitability [10][11] - The investment decision was based on the belief that the stock price was undervalued compared to its cash holdings, leading to a 20-fold increase in six months [11][13] - The concept of safety margin relates to how well one understands the company, not merely its price [11][12] Investment in Apple - Apple's business model was clear in 2011, with profits derived equally from hardware and software [16] - The company's culture focuses on user experience and long-term product quality, which influences investment decisions [16][17] - The delay in launching larger iPhones was attributed to a commitment to product quality rather than market trends [18][19] Investment in Kweichow Moutai - Kweichow Moutai is distinguished from other liquors due to its unique taste and consumer recognition [30][31] - The company's strict adherence to quality standards and its status as a state-owned enterprise provide confidence in its long-term viability [32]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of experienced fund managers who can navigate through bull and bear cycles to generate long-term returns for investors [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Manager Profile - Hu Song, a veteran fund manager with over 20 years in finance and 14 years of investment experience, is highlighted as a rare example of a value investor in the current A-share market [2]. - Under Hu Song's management, the Guotai Jinpeng Blue Chip Fund has achieved a return of 75.63% since September 25, 2020, with an annualized return of 11.87%, outperforming its benchmark and peer average [2][3]. - The Guotai Jinsheng Fund, launched at a market low in February 2024, has seen a performance increase of 50.73% this year, significantly surpassing the performance of the CSI 300 Index [2][3]. Group 2: Investment Philosophy - Hu Song's investment strategy focuses on "margin of safety" and emphasizes the importance of fundamental analysis over mere price observation [3][4]. - He employs a bottom-up stock selection approach while also considering macroeconomic factors, adjusting the investment portfolio based on fundamental changes [3][4]. - The selection criteria include a preference for stocks with sustainable competitive advantages and reasonable valuations, particularly those with high Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) [4]. Group 3: Risk Management and Performance - Hu Song prioritizes risk-return balance and actively manages drawdown control through diversified industry allocation and dynamic adjustments [5][6]. - The Guotai Jinpeng Blue Chip Fund has achieved nearly 60% positive returns over the past three years, with a maximum drawdown significantly lower than the peer average [6][7]. - The fund's top ten holdings are diversified across various sectors, with no single holding exceeding 8% of the total portfolio, reflecting a balanced investment style [7][8]. Group 4: Market Outlook - Hu Song remains optimistic about the market, citing structural transformations at the economic cycle's bottom and positive developments in the technology sector [9]. - He identifies potential growth areas in AI, new energy, industrial metals, and technology sectors, while also acknowledging the risks associated with trade and geopolitical uncertainties [9]. - The article suggests that investors may benefit from selecting experienced fund managers like Hu Song, who can navigate market fluctuations effectively [9].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of experienced fund managers who can navigate through bull and bear cycles to create long-term returns for investors [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Manager Profile - Hu Song, a veteran fund manager with over 20 years in finance and 14 years of investment experience, is highlighted as a rare example of a value investor in the current A-share market [2]. - Under Hu Song's management, the Guotai Jinpeng Blue Chip Fund has achieved a return of 75.63% since September 25, 2020, with an annualized return of 11.87%, outperforming its benchmark and peer average [2][3]. Group 2: Fund Performance - The Guotai Jinsheng Fund, launched at a market low in February 2024, has seen a performance increase of 50.73% this year, surpassing the CSI 300 Index and its benchmark [2][3]. - The Guotai Jinpeng Blue Chip Fund has delivered nearly 60% positive returns over the past three years, ranking in the top 10% among peers, with a maximum drawdown significantly lower than the average [6][7]. Group 3: Investment Philosophy - Hu Song's investment strategy focuses on fundamental analysis, emphasizing the importance of a company's competitive advantages and reasonable valuations [4][5]. - The principle of "margin of safety" guides Hu Song's investment decisions, favoring growth stocks that can create long-term value [5][6]. Group 4: Risk Management - Hu Song employs a balanced approach to risk and return, actively managing drawdowns and diversifying across industries to mitigate market volatility [6][9]. - The investment portfolio is dynamically adjusted based on macroeconomic conditions and individual stock performance, ensuring a robust response to market changes [4][9]. Group 5: Market Outlook - Hu Song remains optimistic about sectors such as AI, new energy, industrial metals, and technology, citing favorable domestic and international economic conditions [8][9]. - The article notes that despite challenges in the real estate and consumer sectors, there are structural highlights in emerging industries that could present investment opportunities [8][9].

Core Insights - Warren Buffett's decision to "quietly exit" marks the end of an era in the investment world, having transformed Berkshire Hathaway from a struggling textile company into a multi-billion dollar investment empire over 60 years [1] - His investment philosophy emphasizes value, patience, and respect, rather than short-term speculation [1] Investment Philosophy - The concept of "circle of competence" is central to Buffett's investment strategy, focusing only on areas he understands, avoiding blind diversification [2] - Buffett's significant investments, such as the $13 billion purchase of Coca-Cola stock in 1988, were based on the company's strong brand and consumer loyalty rather than just financial metrics [2] - His investment in Apple was driven by observing consumer behavior rather than technical details, highlighting the importance of user engagement [2] Risk Management - Buffett's principle of "circle of competence" reflects a clear understanding of "unknown risks," emphasizing that many investment losses stem from overestimating one's judgment in unfamiliar areas [3] - His approach to investing during market crises, such as the 2008 financial crisis, showcases his ability to act decisively while maintaining a strong cash reserve, which amounted to $189 billion as of Q1 2024 [4] Long-Term Investment Strategy - The power of compounding is evident in Buffett's wealth accumulation, with 90% of his fortune made after age 60, demonstrating the effectiveness of long-term holding [5] - Buffett's investment returns have significantly outperformed the S&P 500, with a nearly 20% annualized return since 1965, turning an initial $1,000 investment into $44.7 million [5] - His philosophy of holding stocks for the long term is exemplified by his investments in American Express and Coca-Cola, which he has held for over 30 years [5] Personal Philosophy and Legacy - Buffett's personal life reflects simplicity and discipline, living in the same house since 1958 and maintaining a modest lifestyle despite immense wealth [8] - His commitment to philanthropy is evident in his plan to donate 99.5% of his wealth, leaving only enough for his children to lead fulfilling lives [8] - The wisdom he imparts emphasizes rationality, patience, and responsibility in both investing and life, encouraging individuals to adopt a straightforward investment approach [8]