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读研报 | 如何理解再创新高的微盘股?
中泰证券资管· 2025-05-20 08:38
微盘股能在今年再创新高,恐怕在很多人的意料之外。 参考中邮证券金工团队的统计,近一季万得微盘股指数上涨17.15%,在38个宽基指数当中排名第1;近一年万得微盘股指数上涨64.6%,在38个宽基 指数当中排名第2。不仅如此,万得微盘股指数还连续5个月出现月度级别的K线上涨。 那么,该如何理解当下再创新高的微盘股呢? 有人觉得微盘股再创新高的背后,是 流动性充裕 的结构性行情。华创证券的报告中提到,小盘成长风格(科创50、北证50、国证2000、微盘股)有 望受益于更快落地的货币宽松。4月剩余流动性【M2同比-社融存量(剔除股权融资和政府债券)同比】从0.98%升至1.86%。叠加央行优化两项支持 资本市场的货币政策工具、支持中央汇金公司发挥好类"平准基金"两项政策支持股市流动性,当下的小盘成长行情得到进一步加强。 参与人多的地方,关注点就得聚焦到资金面上。事实上,这不是小编第一次涉足微盘股话题,在过去的内容中,我们曾和大家探讨过 (请戳这里) ,微盘股策略赚的不是基本面的钱,而是估值的提升。此前国海证券的报告中通过分解股票收益为PE(市盈率)乘以EPS(每股收益),发现小微 也有人将此归因为 资金属性 所致。 ...
风险偏好回暖,小盘成长风格有望占优
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-16 02:16
Core Viewpoint - The small-cap stocks are outperforming in the current market, reflecting a "small-cap bull" trend driven by liquidity easing, policy support, and positive fundamental expectations [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The CSI 2000 Index has risen over 9% this year, leading the mainstream small and mid-cap indices [1]. - The performance of small-cap stocks is significantly influenced by liquidity conditions, with small-cap stocks showing higher sensitivity to liquidity compared to large-cap stocks [3][9]. Group 2: Policy and Economic Factors - The central bank has indicated a "moderately loose" monetary policy, with expectations for further reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts and interest rate reductions, which benefits small-cap stocks [3][9]. - The government is increasing support for "specialized, refined, distinctive, and innovative" enterprises, particularly in sectors like AI, semiconductors, and robotics, which are well-represented in the CSI 2000 Index [5][8]. Group 3: Structural Opportunities - The ongoing state-owned enterprise (SOE) reforms and debt reduction policies are expected to enhance the potential of small-cap stocks through industry consolidation [8]. - In the early stages of economic recovery, small-cap stocks tend to exhibit faster earnings growth, benefiting from their agility in adjusting business strategies [8][9]. Group 4: Investment Trends - As of May, there is a noticeable return to small-cap growth styles, driven by continued liquidity easing and a recovery in market risk appetite [8][9]. - The CSI 2000 ETF has shown significant performance, with a net value growth rate of 24.24% since its inception, outperforming its benchmark [12].
情绪回暖利好小盘风格,中证2000ETF华夏(562660)近1周涨幅排名可比基金头部
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-14 02:40
Group 1 - The core index, the CSI 2000, experienced a slight decline of 0.13% as of May 14, 2025, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [3] - Notable gainers included Heng Er Da, which hit the daily limit, Da Ye Co. rising by 17.41%, and Li Ang Technology increasing by 15.19% [3] - Conversely, Huamin Co. led the decline with a drop of 10.02%, followed by Lan Dun Optoelectronics at 9.78% and Zhi Te New Materials at 6.69% [3] Group 2 - The CSI 2000 ETF managed by Huaxia reached a new high in scale at 197 million yuan, with a net inflow of 2.58 million yuan recently [3] - Over the past week, the CSI 2000 ETF has accumulated a rise of 1.74%, ranking 2nd among comparable funds [3] - The one-year net value of the CSI 2000 ETF increased by 37.04%, placing it first among comparable funds [3] Group 3 - Historical data indicates that the recovery of A-share listed companies' profit growth has been beneficial for small-cap growth styles, particularly after the profit growth turns positive [4] - The CSI 2000 ETF closely tracks the CSI 2000 index, with approximately 99.5% of its constituent stocks having a market capitalization of less than 10 billion yuan, highlighting its focus on specialized and innovative private enterprises [4] - As of April 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI 2000 index accounted for only 2.51% of the total index [4]
风格轮动月报:5月看好小盘成长风格-20250507
Huaan Securities· 2025-05-07 11:43
[Table_StockNameRptType] 金融工程 专题报告 5 月看好小盘成长风格 ——风格轮动月报 202505 [Table_Rpt 报告日期: Date] 2025-5-7 主要观点: 分析师:严佳炜 执业证书号:S0010520070001 邮箱:yanjw@hazq.com ⚫[Table_Summary] 观点回顾:4 月大小盘轮动超额-0.3%,价值成长轮动超额收益 0.2% 2025 年 4 月,风格轮动模型看多大盘成长风格。本月大小盘轮动组合 相对风格等权基准的超额收益为-0.3%;价值成长轮动组合相对风格等 权基准的超额收益为 0.2%。 联系人:吴正宇 执业证书号:S0010522090001 邮箱:wuzy@hazq.com ⚫ 最新观点:5 月建议配置小盘成长风格 5 月模型判断风格为小盘成长:其中,宏观经济和微观特征指向小盘风 格,而市场状态模型看好大盘。价值成长维度,各子模型均指向成长风 格。 ⚫ 风险提示 本报告基于历史个股数据进行测试,历史回测结果不代表未来收益。未 来市场风格可能切换,Alpha 因子可能失效,本文内容仅供参考。 [Table_CompanyRep ...
今日9时,重磅发布会;中美经贸高层会谈将举行……盘前重要消息一览
Important Announcements - A new stock, Hanbang Technology, is available for subscription with a price of 22.77 yuan per share and a subscription limit of 0.50 million shares [1] - The Chinese government will hold a press conference to discuss a comprehensive financial policy aimed at stabilizing the market and expectations [1] International Relations - Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng will visit Switzerland from May 9 to 12 for talks with U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen as part of the China-U.S. economic and trade discussions [1] Economic Indicators - China's GDP grew by 5.4% year-on-year in the first quarter, with a target of around 5% growth for 2025 [2] - The contribution of China to global economic growth has remained around 30% in recent years [2] Market Developments - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange have launched a "Tech Company Fast Track" to facilitate the listing of technology and biotech companies [3] - The State Post Bureau reported that during the May Day holiday, the express delivery industry handled over 4.8 billion packages, a year-on-year increase of over 20% [3] Company News - Daying Electronics is currently generating revenue from its humanoid robot business [6] - Zhaofeng Co. has not yet started any robot-related business, with its planetary roller screw research and sample testing in the early stages [6] - Huazhi Digital Media's film "Dumpling Queen" has grossed approximately 218 million yuan as of May 5 [6] - Aoheng Electric has received a contract from a leading new energy vehicle brand [6] - A contract worth 297 million yuan has been signed by Aopu Optoelectronics for the development of an optical system [6] - Huamao Technology and Yunda Co. plan to increase their shareholdings by 100 to 200 million yuan and 200 to 300 million yuan, respectively [6] Industry Insights - The automotive industry is expected to continue its growth, driven by trends in intelligent driving and international expansion, with key beneficiaries including new energy vehicles and core supply chain companies [14] - The A-share market is anticipated to shift towards small-cap growth stocks as seasonal effects diminish and external liquidity conditions improve [14]
今日9时,重磅发布会;中美经贸高层会谈将举行……盘前重要消息一览
证券时报· 2025-05-06 23:42
Key Points - The article highlights significant upcoming events including a new stock subscription, high-level Sino-U.S. trade talks, and a press conference regarding financial policies to stabilize the market [1][2][3] Group 1: Stock Subscription and Economic Policies - A new stock, Hanbang Technology, is available for subscription with a code of 787755 and an issue price of 22.77 yuan per share, with a subscription limit of 0.50 million shares [2] - A press conference will be held by the State Council Information Office to discuss a "package of financial policies to support market stability and expectations" [2] Group 2: International Relations and Economic Contributions - Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng will visit Switzerland from May 9 to 12 for talks with U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, focusing on Sino-U.S. economic relations [2] - China has contributed approximately 30% to global economic growth in recent years, with a GDP growth of 5.4% year-on-year in Q1 [3] Group 3: Market and Industry Developments - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange have launched a "Special Line for Technology Companies" to facilitate listing applications for tech and biotech firms [3] - The State Administration for Market Regulation has initiated a comprehensive governance plan to address the abuse of food additives across the country [3] Group 4: Company News and Performance - Daying Electronics is currently generating revenue from its humanoid robot business [7] - Zhaofeng Co. has not yet started any robot-related business, with its planetary roller screw research and sample testing in the early stages [8] - Huazhi Digital Media's film "Dumpling Queen" has achieved a cumulative box office revenue of approximately 218 million yuan as of May 5 [9] - Aoheng Automotive has received a designated order from a leading new energy vehicle brand [10] - A contract worth 297 million yuan has been signed by Aopu Optoelectronics for the development of a specific optical system [11] - Huamao Technology's controlling shareholder plans to increase its stake in the company by 100 to 200 million yuan [12] - Yunda Co.'s controlling shareholder also intends to increase its stake by 100 to 200 million yuan [13] - Linglong Tire's controlling shareholder plans to increase its stake by 200 to 300 million yuan [14] - Huayi Group intends to acquire 60% of San Aifu for 4.091 billion yuan [15] - Changchuan Technology plans to establish a joint venture with professional investment institutions for high-end packaging and testing equipment localization [16] - Xiangyuan Cultural Tourism reported a 50.47% year-on-year increase in revenue during the May Day holiday [17] - Saily's new energy vehicle sales reached 31,500 units in April, a year-on-year increase of 12.99% [18] - Far East Co. received contracts/orders exceeding 26.46 billion yuan in April [19] - Guoxin Technology successfully tested a new anti-quantum password chip product [20] - Tongyu Heavy Industry's actual controller will change from Zhuhai State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission to Shandong State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, with stock and convertible bonds resuming trading on May 7 [21] - CATL has repurchased 6.641 million shares, totaling 1.551 billion yuan [22]
A股流动性与风格跟踪月报:融资资金有望回流,小盘成长风格回归-20250506
CMS· 2025-05-06 13:31
证券研究报告 | 策略专题报告 2025 年 5 月 6 日 融资资金有望回流,小盘成长风格回归 ——A 股流动性与风格跟踪月报(202505) 进入 5 月后, A 股由春节效应、春季攻势、业绩披露期等带来的季节效应结束, 市场风格的季节性效应弱化,综合 A 股盈利增速改善、中美贸易摩擦边际缓和 概率逐渐增大、外部流动性环境友好、以及融资资金可能逐渐回流,我们认为 A 股风格有望向小盘成长风格漂移。 ❑风格展望:小盘成长风格有望回归。进入 5 月后, A 股由春节效应、春季攻势、 业绩披露期等带来的季节效应结束,市场风格的季节性效应弱化,综合 A 股盈利 增速改善、中美贸易摩擦边际缓和概率逐渐增大、外部流动性环境、以及 A 股增 量资金结构变化,我们认为 A 股风格有望逐渐向小盘成长风格漂移。具体来说, 第一,2025 年一季度 A 股上市公司非金融石化企业净利润增速回升转正,从历史 来看,这比较有利于短期小盘成长风格表现。第二,目前中美双方就关税问题处 于僵持局面,但贸易摩擦最悲观的阶段已经过去,随着时间推移,中美开始磋商 的概率增大,不确定性风险会逐渐下降。第三,非农数据公布后,市场开始预期 6 月美联 ...