Group 1 - South Korea plans to invest 15.2 trillion won to stimulate the economy, with 5 trillion won allocated to support livelihoods [1] - An additional budget of 30.5 trillion won has been proposed by South Korea [1]

Core Viewpoint - European stock markets experienced a collective rise, with the German DAX index reaching a historical high, driven by positive developments in US-EU tariff negotiations and economic stimulus measures in Germany [1][4]. Group 1: European Stock Market Performance - The German DAX index rose over 1% during trading, reaching a peak of 24,346 points, marking a new historical record [4]. - The French CAC40 index, Swedish OMX all-share index, and OMX Copenhagen 20 index also saw gains exceeding 1% [1][4]. - Year-to-date, the DAX index has accumulated an increase of nearly 22% [4]. Group 2: US-EU Tariff Negotiations - EU Trade Commissioner Sevcovic reported constructive talks with US Trade Representative Lighthizer, indicating progress in tariff negotiations [2][3]. - Following the announcement of these talks, European stock markets experienced a surge [4]. - The US government is pressuring trading partners to submit optimal proposals for trade negotiations, particularly regarding tariffs and quotas on US agricultural products [5]. Group 3: German Economic Measures - German Chancellor Merz is set to visit the US, focusing on trade tensions and other key issues [6]. - The German government approved a corporate tax incentive plan worth approximately €46 billion (about $52 billion) to stimulate the economy [7]. - The plan includes a tax deduction of up to 30% for businesses purchasing movable assets from June 2025 to January 2028, pending parliamentary approval [7]. Group 4: Inflation and Economic Outlook - Eurozone inflation for May was reported at 1.9%, down from 2.2% in April, which may increase the likelihood of further interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB) [8]. - The core inflation rate, excluding energy and food, stood at 2.3% [8]. - Analysts suggest that the ECB may implement additional rate cuts in response to the unexpected slowdown in inflation [8].

各大国有银行下调存款利率，1年期银行存款利率跌破1%了。为什么会跌破1%呢？主要有两个原因：一是，不跌不行，银行扛不住。因为存款是银行的 负债，存款利率越高，银行的债务成本就越高。银行的业务本质上就是，把民众的存款低息借过来，再高息贷出去，赚的是息差。可现在，央行降准降息 了，基准利率下调10个基点，降到3.5%了。 | | 最新贷款市场报价利率 (LPR) | 贷款市场报价利率简介 | | --- | --- | --- | | | | 2025-05-20 9:00 | | | 期限 | LPR(%) | | 1 | 1Y | 3.00 | | ↑ | 5Y | 3.50 | 那有人说了，这才3.5%而已，怎么存款利率就跌破1%了呢？这中间不还有2.5%的息差可以赚吗？银行有啥扛不住的？这就关系到银行的综合成本了。首 先，银行要养人。像工行就有41.5万名员工，建行也有37.6万员工，这些人得吃得喝，得交社保。2024年，工行员工总成本就有1075亿，人均薪酬34.42万 元。这个成本是相当高的。 其次，银行有坏账，也就是不良贷款。咱们还是以工行为例，它2024年的贷款不良率约为1.34%，不良贷款总额接 ...

针对关税谈判，日本又有最新表态！ 当地时间周一，日本首相石破茂表示，日本不会与美国达成一项不包括汽车关税的初步贸易协定。石破茂还表 示，增加从美国进口玉米将是与美国进行贸易谈判的选项之一。 当天，石破茂表示，日本政府已准备好采取额外刺激措施，来缓解关税对经济的影响。不过，石破茂对削减日 本消费税税率表示谨慎。截至发稿，美元兑日元上涨2%，至148.31，创4月初以来新高。 日本首相：将进行额外经济刺激 周一，日本首相石破茂在日本国会会议上表示，面对美国提高关税带来的经济压力，日本政府已准备好采取额 外措施，来缓解其对国内经济的影响。 石破茂说，日本政府"将毫不犹豫地采取额外措施"，以缓解美国提高关税给经济带来的痛苦。不过，在被一名 反对党议员问及政府是否会考虑降低食品消费税税率时，石破茂表示，"重要的是帮助受冲击最严重的民众， 而不是采取一刀切的措施。" 石破茂指出，虽然一些国家已经采取了侧重食品的减税措施，但日本的税率相对较低，同时面临快速老龄化社 会带来的财政挑战。他补充道："谈论减税很容易。但如果不在讨论中涉及如何支付日本不断上升的社会福利 和养老金成本这样的困难问题，那就是不负责任的。" 日本的公共债 ...

Group 1 - The Australian dollar (AUD) has surged to over 65 cents against the US dollar, marking a five-month high and the first time since early December last year [2] - The recent Australian election resulted in a significant victory for Albanese's Labor Party, securing 87 parliamentary seats and indicating strong public trust in the party [3][4] - The election outcome signals the end of political uncertainty in Australia, providing policy support for the AUD [5] Group 2 - Economic data supports the strength of the AUD, with the TD-MI inflation index rising 0.6% month-on-month in April, marking the second consecutive month of increase [7] - The annual inflation index increased to 3.3%, up from 2.8% previously [8] - The Judo Bank composite PMI for April stood at 51.0, indicating economic expansion for the seventh consecutive month [9] Group 3 - The ongoing trade tensions between the US and China have created market volatility, but recent indications of trade negotiations have improved market sentiment [11][14] - Any positive developments in US-China trade relations are likely to bolster the AUD due to Australia's close trade ties with China [17][22] - China's recent economic stimulus measures, including a 0.5 percentage point cut in the reserve requirement ratio, are expected to enhance demand for Australian exports, further supporting the AUD [19][20] Group 4 - The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates without changes reflects growing economic risks in the US, which may lead to a decline in the US dollar [23][26] - Concerns over the US economic outlook and potential political issues could trigger a sell-off of the US dollar, making the AUD more attractive to investors [28][30] - The strong Australian consumer inflation data has led to expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia, but it also supports the AUD by reducing expectations for aggressive rate cuts [31][32] Group 5 - The political stability and economic recovery in Australia, combined with supportive external factors, suggest a positive outlook for the AUD [33][34] - The AUD is expected to continue its upward trajectory, driven by optimism regarding US-China trade relations and increased demand from China for Australian commodities [36][37]

城堡创始人Ken Griffin：停止"洪水猛兽一样的监管行为"是对经济最大的刺激。 ...

美国财长贝森特：2017年减税政策的持续将带来经济刺激。 ...

Economic Stimulus Demand - The overall stability of the US economy is being challenged by slowing growth, particularly in consumption and manufacturing sectors, prompting calls for interest rate cuts to enhance economic vitality and reduce corporate financing burdens [2] - The expectation is that lowering interest rates will stimulate investment and consumption, thereby accelerating economic growth and preventing a recession [2] Capital Market Volatility - Financial markets are highly sensitive to changes in monetary policy, with Trump's call for lower interest rates potentially impacting global capital market expectations, leading to fluctuations in stocks, bonds, and currency exchange rates [3] - A potential interest rate cut could boost stock prices while adjusting bond yields and currency values, affecting both domestic and global investors and financial institutions [3] Political Campaign Factors - Trump's economic performance is crucial for garnering voter support during a key political campaign phase, with a thriving economy bolstering his chances of re-election [4] - The push for lower interest rates is seen as a strategy to enhance economic activity, thereby increasing public approval ratings [6] International Trade Situation - The complex international trade environment, exacerbated by trade disputes initiated by the Trump administration, has implications for the US economy [7] - Lowering interest rates could decrease the relative value of the dollar, enhancing the competitiveness of US products in international markets and mitigating adverse effects from trade disputes [7] Federal Reserve Independence - The Federal Reserve prioritizes maintaining its independence from political influence, yet Trump's persistent calls for rate cuts exert significant pressure on the institution [8] - The Fed must carefully balance economic conditions with its independence and authority in determining monetary policy direction [8]