Core Viewpoint - The listing of propylene futures and options on the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange is expected to enhance risk management tools for industry chain enterprises, thereby supporting high-quality development in the industry [1][4]. Group 1: Industry Significance - Propylene is a crucial basic chemical product with upstream raw materials including crude oil, naphtha, coal, methanol, and propane, and downstream products such as polypropylene and epoxy propane, which are widely used in various sectors [2][3]. - China is the world's largest producer and consumer of propylene, making its market stability vital for the chemical industry's high-quality development and the construction of a manufacturing powerhouse [2][3]. - The propylene industry faces challenges such as rapid upstream capacity expansion and insufficient downstream demand, highlighting the strong need for effective risk management [2][3]. Group 2: Market Impact - The introduction of propylene futures and options will provide effective pricing references, risk management, and resource allocation tools, enhancing the industry's resilience and supporting its transformation and upgrade [2][4]. - The futures and options will complement existing products like liquefied gas, methanol, and polypropylene, creating a more comprehensive risk management strategy for enterprises [4][5]. Group 3: Operational Benefits - The futures market will offer enterprises tools for hedging against price fluctuations, ensuring stable production and operations [4][6]. - The transparent and efficient nature of the futures market will provide authoritative price references, aiding enterprises in formulating better operational strategies [4][5]. - As the propylene futures market matures, China's influence on global propylene pricing is expected to increase, supporting domestic enterprises in international trade [4][6]. Group 4: Regulatory and Developmental Aspects - The Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange aims to maintain stable operations for the propylene futures and options market, focusing on serving the real economy and optimizing contract rules based on industry development [7].

Core Insights - The energy and chemical industry is facing significant challenges due to frequent market price fluctuations and increased operational pressures on companies [2] - Zhejiang X Trading Co., Ltd. (X Trading), a wholly-owned subsidiary of A Petrochemical Co., Ltd. (A Petrochemical), plays a crucial role in raw material procurement and product sales, engaging deeply in futures trading to hedge risks and enhance value [2][3] Group 1: Challenges Faced by the Company - Raw material cost control is a major challenge due to the complex and lengthy PTA industry chain, making it difficult for the company to predict and manage procurement costs of raw materials like crude oil and PX, which directly impacts profit stability [3] - The company needs to balance cost control and effective risk management, as traditional methods may be costly and ineffective [3] - In a volatile market, the company must adapt its operational strategies flexibly to enhance competitiveness, with effective risk management being key to achieving this goal [3] - Efficient hedging tools are necessary for the company to respond quickly to market price changes and reduce risk exposure [3] Group 2: Risk Management Strategies - A tailored comprehensive risk management plan was developed, including hedging strategies, basis trading strategies, and options insurance strategies [3] - The company utilized futures contracts for crude oil and PX to lock in raw material procurement costs and employed sell hedging on polyester product sales to mitigate price decline risks [3] - A professional team was established to provide full-service support, including advanced technical support and system integration for seamless trading and risk management [4] Group 3: Case Studies - In a case study, X Trading locked in production profits by buying crude oil and PX futures while selling PTA futures, establishing positions to secure PTA production profits amid fluctuating market conditions [5][6] - Another case involved using sell hedging and reverse hedging operations to mitigate the risk of inventory devaluation and basis risk due to excess PTA raw material inventory [8][9] - The effectiveness of these strategies was highlighted, demonstrating the importance of utilizing futures markets for hedging and risk management [10] Group 4: Evaluation of Strategies - The risk management plan allowed A Petrochemical to successfully lock in procurement costs and sales prices, effectively avoiding risks from market price volatility [12] - The company maintained stable profits despite significant price fluctuations in crude oil, PX, PTA, and polyester futures [12] - The implementation of risk management not only improved financial efficiency but also enabled the company to adapt its operational strategies in response to market changes, enhancing competitiveness [12]

基差体现了现货升贴水状况。自2024年3月铝价持续上涨以来，一直到8月，A00铝均处于贴水状态，现货月度贴水幅度基本在50～100元/吨，2025 年5月一度贴水150元/吨。有色金属，如铜、铝、锌等品种，交割期升贴水通常会回归，若套期保值位置选择不佳，则企业期货端的操作效果会打 折扣。 图为华南A00铝现货升贴水变化（单位：元/吨） 2024年上半年铝价的大幅上涨来自海内外宏观的共振，而从基本面来看，供需格局并没有发生大的变化。因此，在宏观影响消化完毕以及传统消 费旺季结束后，沪铝逐步回归基本面，价格偏弱运行。 广州某锌材料加工企业（简称锌工企业），经营范围包括新材料技术研发、新材料技术推广、五金产品研发、金属制品研发、有色金属合金销售 等。锌工企业目前主要使用铝、锌、镍等有色金属进行研发，熔炼铝合金或在铝合金表面进行镀锌处理。该企业每个月都有25～30吨铝现货采购 需求，而在价格波动频繁的情况下，企业意识到使用期货进行套期保值的重要性，希望可以利用期货规避价格波动风险，从而促使经营更加稳 定。 铝市行情 图为沪铝主力合约收盘价变化（单位：元/吨） 铝价2023年年底持续上涨约半个月。2024年3月，国内重 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Propylene futures, as the first monomer variety listed in the domestic energy - chemical industry chain, play an important role in hedging in the energy - chemical industry chain. Analyzing the delivery characteristics of East China, North China, and South China is crucial for establishing the pricing center of propylene [1][6]. - In terms of supply, from 2019 - 2024, domestic new propylene production capacity increased by 3043 million tons, with a total capacity growth of 75% and an average annual compound growth rate of 12%. As of 2024, the total domestic propylene production capacity reached 69.73 million tons, and the annual output reached 53.4 million tons. From 2025 - 2027, propylene production capacity will still be in a period of rapid release, mainly from PDH and cracking - made propylene [20]. - Regarding demand, the downstream derivatives of propylene have entered an over - capacity phase in the past three years, leading to losses in the downstream derivatives of propylene [32]. - Strategies recommended on the first listing day of propylene futures include: (1) Buying propylene 02 and shorting PP01; (2) Conducting a 1 - 2 short - spread on propylene; (3) Buying propylene 02 and shorting plastic 09 [2]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Propylene Contract Interpretation - **Trading Contract Interpretation**: On July 22, propylene futures and option contracts will be listed on the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange. The trading unit of propylene futures is 20 tons per lot, and the contract has a flexible delivery matching system, including futures - to - spot, warehouse standard warrant delivery, and factory warehouse standard warrant delivery. It also has a position - limit system [7][8][9]. - **Delivery Product Premium and Discount Analysis**: The benchmark delivery product of propylene futures is Type I propylene that meets relevant national standards, with a water content ≤ 20mg/kg. Alternative delivery products with a water content of 20mg/kg < water content ≤ 50mg/kg are subject to a discount of 50 yuan/ton. Most propylene from different production processes meets the water - content requirements of the benchmark delivery product, while FCC propylene generally meets the requirements of alternative delivery products [9][13]. - **Regional Premium and Discount Analysis**: Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Shanghai, and Shandong have a premium and discount of 0 yuan/ton; Fujian and Guangdong have a discount of 100 yuan/ton; Tianjin has a discount of 120 yuan/ton; Hebei has a discount of 160 yuan/ton; and Liaoning has a discount of 300 yuan/ton. Short - distance transportation within the region is common, and cross - regional transportation has high costs, which will bring additional selling pressure during the cancellation month [2][14][15]. - **Delivery Warehouse Analysis**: A total of 15 delivery warehouses are announced, including 2 delivery warehouses and 13 delivery factory warehouses. The storage fees for delivery warehouses and delivery factory warehouses are 5 yuan/ton/day and 4 yuan/ton/day respectively [16]. 3.2 Propylene Fundamental Analysis - **Propylene Supply**: From 2019 - 2024, domestic new propylene production capacity increased significantly, but the effective operating rate has been declining year by year. From 2025 - 2027, production capacity will continue to be released, and propylene pricing follows a cost - based logic [20][24]. - **Propylene Demand**: Downstream derivatives of propylene are in an over - capacity situation, leading to losses. In terms of downstream pricing influence, polypropylene powder has the largest proportion in the circulation and external procurement demand, and the marginal changes in propylene demand can be tracked by focusing on the price influence of polypropylene powder on propylene and the regional external procurement demand of propylene oxide and acrylic acid [32][35]. - **Propylene Balance Sheet**: The national balance sheet explores the structural contradictions of propylene, but it is difficult to observe structural contradictions on a monthly basis. The balance sheet of Shandong, the mainstream trading area, has a direct guiding significance for the market, and it can be used to characterize the relaxation or tightening of the dynamic supply and demand in Shandong [36][38]. 3.3 Propylene Strategy on the First Listing Day - **Propylene Logic Chain**: There are four types of propylene logics, including the monomer strength - weakness logic, the PO/SM logic of propylene oxide, the profit logic of acrylonitrile for ABS, and the marginal pricing effect of acrylonitrile and butanol - octanol on methanol [43]. - **Arbitrage Strategies** - **Industrial Chain Profit Fluctuation**: The loss - tolerance of the polypropylene powder industry has decreased, and the adjustment flexibility of downstream loads has increased. The recommended strategy is to buy 02 propylene and short 01PP, and if the opening price reaches the expected level, consider buying 01PP and shorting 01 propylene [47][48]. - **Spread + Domestic - Foreign Arbitrage - PX Variant**: The spread of propylene mainly reflects the delivery friction cost and holding cost. It is recommended to conduct a short - spread on propylene 1 - 2 when the spread is high [49][51]. - **Extension of Monomer Olefin Hedging**: After the listing of propylene, it can provide more arbitrage options. It is recommended to expand the spread between PP and plastic, and buy propylene 02 and short plastic 09 [52][53]. - **Intuitive Expression of Aromatic - Olefin Logic**: With the listing of propylene, the strategy expression of aromatic - olefin can more intuitively reflect the strength and weakness between aromatics and olefins [54].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the increasing demand for risk management among Chinese enterprises due to challenges such as raw material price fluctuations, supply chain disruptions, and tight funding. The futures market is highlighted as a crucial tool for these enterprises to stabilize operations and manage risks effectively [1][2]. Futures Market as a Stabilizing Anchor - The futures market serves as an important tool for enterprises to mitigate risks associated with price volatility and to optimize operational strategies. It provides a price discovery mechanism and risk management functions that help businesses lock in costs and stabilize profits [2][3]. Innovations in Risk Management - Huang Junshu, Chairman of Guotou Futures, proposed three innovative solutions: optimizing product supply, enhancing industry adaptability, and promoting ecological collaboration. These strategies aim to address the challenges faced by the futures market in supporting the real economy [1][6]. Case Study: Red Date Futures Hedging - A case study on the 2024 red date futures hedging illustrates the effectiveness of futures tools. A company successfully used a unique hedging structure to create a risk-hedging loop between the spot and futures markets, stabilizing its operations [3][4]. Addressing Challenges for SMEs - The article emphasizes the high costs and credit risks faced by small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in utilizing hedging tools. Guotou Futures has developed innovative business models to provide tailored solutions for these enterprises, including fixed-price swaps and basis swaps for iron ore [4][5]. Enhancing Risk Management Capabilities - The iron ore RMB swap model is designed to be a low-cost, high-efficiency risk management tool for SMEs, allowing them to stabilize procurement costs and enhance competitiveness. This model also improves transparency and reduces credit risks in off-exchange derivative transactions [4][5]. Need for Comprehensive Risk Management Services - Enterprises express a need for one-stop risk management services from futures companies, including training, team building, and risk exposure analysis. Innovative business models are also sought to lower hedging costs and encourage participation in the futures market [5][6]. Identifying and Overcoming Market Barriers - Huang Junshu identifies three main barriers: insufficient adaptability of risk hedging tools, lagging industry adaptability, and a lack of a collaborative ecosystem. Addressing these issues is crucial for enhancing the effectiveness of the futures market in serving the real economy [6][7]. Recommendations for Improvement - Recommendations include optimizing the product supply system, enhancing educational initiatives, and promoting collaborative mechanisms within the industry. These steps aim to create a more robust and effective futures market that can better support the real economy [6][7]. Importance of Trader Education - Trader education is essential for improving enterprises' understanding of the futures market and its tools. A systematic approach to education can help businesses recognize the benefits of risk management through futures [7][8]. Practical Training Initiatives - Guotou Futures has implemented customized training programs to meet the specific needs of different industry clients, which has received positive feedback and recognition from customers [8].

Core Viewpoint - The company plans to adjust its commodity futures hedging business for 2025 by increasing the use of options trading to mitigate the adverse effects of price fluctuations in copper and silver on its operations [1][2][7]. Group 1: Business Overview - The company aims to conduct commodity futures and options hedging to effectively control market risks and reduce the impact of raw material price volatility on production costs and product pricing [2][3]. - The maximum balance for margin and premiums for the hedging business is set at RMB 20 million, with a usage period from the board's approval date until March 3, 2026 [2][3][6]. Group 2: Risk Management - The company emphasizes that the hedging activities will not be for speculative purposes but will focus on risk mitigation related to raw material price fluctuations [3][4]. - Specific risk control measures include optimizing the scale and duration of hedging, adhering to internal control systems, and enhancing the professional knowledge of personnel involved in hedging activities [4][5]. Group 3: Approval Process - The board of directors and the supervisory board have both approved the adjustment of the hedging business, confirming that the procedures comply with relevant laws and regulations [6][7]. - Independent directors also supported the decision, highlighting that the adjustments would not harm the interests of the company or its shareholders [7].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current dynamics in the manganese silicon market, highlighting the aggressive selling by suppliers and the hedging activities of end-users, which may indicate underlying risks in the market [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Sellers are actively liquidating their inventories, which could lead to increased supply pressure in the manganese silicon market [1] - End-users are engaging in hedging strategies to mitigate potential risks associated with price fluctuations [1] Group 2: Risk Factors - The combination of aggressive selling and hedging activities suggests that there may be hidden risks within the manganese silicon market that stakeholders should be aware of [1]

Group 1 - The fund aims for long-term stable growth of net asset value while controlling investment portfolio risks through tactical asset allocation strategies [2][3] - The fund's performance benchmark is set at 60% of the CSI 300 Index return and 40% of the China Bond Composite Index return [2] - The fund's total share at the end of the reporting period is 1,571,305,662.25 shares [2] Group 2 - The net value growth rate for Class A shares in the past three months is -1.31%, while the benchmark return is 1.28% [5][6] - The net value growth rate for Class C shares in the past three months is -1.43%, with the same benchmark return of 1.28% [5][6] - The fund's investment strategy emphasizes a balanced approach across various sectors and selective stock picking to navigate market challenges [6][7] Group 3 - The fund's asset allocation at the end of the reporting period includes 89.84% in stocks and 5.83% in bonds [8][9] - The top sectors in the fund's investment include manufacturing (33.83%) and finance (31.59%) [9] - The fund has not held any investments in Hong Kong Stock Connect stocks during the reporting period [9]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses how companies can effectively utilize futures and derivatives to manage price and cost risks amid a volatile global economic environment influenced by trade tensions and geopolitical conflicts [1] Group 1: Integration of Futures and Spot Business - Futures and derivatives are increasingly important for risk management and stabilizing operations, evolving from simple risk management to integrated supply chain finance [2] - Companies must plan their futures and spot business strategically, considering their production, raw materials, products, channels, and financial status to understand risk exposure and business needs [2] - It is essential to maintain the principle that futures serve the spot market, setting appropriate hedging ratios to prevent unlimited risk exposure [2] Group 2: Transaction Process Control - Companies should establish management systems and business processes to mitigate market, transaction, credit, and compliance risks [3] - Clear responsibilities must be assigned for various transaction stages, including contract signing and payment processes [3] - Hedging plans should be approved by the board and kept within the annual operational plan limits [3] Group 3: Trading Strategy Control - Companies need to have clear hedging objectives, which can include cost control, revenue protection, and market expansion [4] - A thorough analysis of the correlation between hedging tools and underlying projects is crucial for effective risk management [4] - Dynamic balance and effectiveness testing of positions should be conducted regularly [4] Group 4: Opening and Closing Position Control - Proper management of opening and closing positions is critical for the success of futures strategies [5] - Trading plans should specify the timing and conditions for opening and closing positions, requiring approval before execution [5] - Companies should establish processes to ensure compliance with these plans [5] Group 5: Spot Business Control - Spot business involves significant capital and regulatory risks, necessitating thorough research and planning [8] - Companies must distinguish between financial and trade activities, ensuring compliance with accounting standards [8][9] - Effective control over funds and goods is essential, with clear documentation of the flow of funds, contracts, and goods [9][10] Group 6: Risk Management - Futures are tools for risk management, but they also carry inherent risks due to leverage and market factors [11] - Companies should establish a risk management framework that includes risk identification, evaluation, hedging, and tracking [11] - Compliance with regulatory requirements is critical, especially regarding the prohibition of fictitious trading and financing activities [11]

Core Viewpoint - The Guizhou provincial government is promoting the development of the futures market to enhance risk management efficiency and reduce trading costs for enterprises, as outlined in the "Implementation Plan for Promoting High-Quality Development of Capital Markets in Guizhou Province" [1] Group 1: Government Initiatives - The Guizhou provincial government has launched training programs for officials in various sectors to improve understanding of the futures market and its benefits [1] - The Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange (ZCE) and Guizhou Securities Regulatory Bureau are collaborating with other organizations to provide comprehensive training for state-owned enterprises and listed companies [1][2] Group 2: Importance of Futures Market - The futures market is recognized as a crucial component of China's financial system, playing a significant role in price discovery, risk management, and resource allocation [1][2] - The rapid development of the futures market has positioned it to effectively serve the real economy and support high-quality economic growth [2] Group 3: Risk Management Strategies - Enterprises are encouraged to adopt a systematic and refined approach to risk management, particularly in the context of using futures and derivatives [3][4] - A modular approach to establishing hedging systems is recommended, including tiered approval processes and comprehensive risk control frameworks [4] Group 4: Training and Support - Recent training sessions have focused on the financial handling and compliance aspects of futures trading, emphasizing the importance of regulatory adherence [5] - The ZCE has been actively enhancing its services to support enterprises in utilizing futures tools for stable operations, including collaborative training with local regulatory bodies [5][6] Group 5: Practical Applications - Specific examples of hedging strategies, such as using urea futures, were discussed, highlighting the importance of selecting appropriate contracts and adjusting strategies based on market conditions [4] - The training programs aim to foster a better understanding of the futures market among participants, thereby improving the regulatory environment for enterprise hedging activities [6]