Industrial Growth - The industrial added value of scale enterprises in Sichuan increased by 7.2% year-on-year, outpacing the national growth rate by 0.9 percentage points [1][3] - Among 41 major industrial sectors, 35 sectors achieved year-on-year growth, indicating a stable growth landscape [3][4] - The automotive manufacturing sector saw a significant increase in added value, growing by 19.8% year-on-year [1][3] - The computer, communication, and other electronic equipment manufacturing sectors experienced a 15.0% year-on-year growth in added value [1][3] - Production of smartwatches and integrated circuits surged by 109.3% and 13.2% year-on-year, respectively [1][3] - Lithium-ion battery production increased by 50.5% year-on-year, reflecting a strong demand for green technologies [1][3] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) in Sichuan grew by 2.0% year-on-year, surpassing the national average by 0.4 percentage points [7][8] - Investment in six major advantageous industries rose by 10.7% year-on-year, accounting for 32.0% of total investment, which is an increase of 2.5 percentage points compared to the previous year [8][9] - High-tech manufacturing investment increased by 7.8% year-on-year, outpacing overall manufacturing investment growth by 1.1 percentage points [8][9] - Investment in the clean energy sector saw a remarkable growth of 22.3% year-on-year, indicating a shift towards sustainable energy solutions [8][9] Consumer Market Performance - The total retail sales of consumer goods in Sichuan reached 16,513.2 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.6%, exceeding the national growth rate by 0.8 percentage points [1][6] - In July, retail and catering revenues from enterprises above designated size grew by 34.7% and 29.3% year-on-year, respectively, showcasing a robust recovery in consumer spending [5][6] - The "old-for-new" policy has positively impacted sales, with communication equipment retail sales increasing by 103.0% year-on-year in July [6]

Economic Overview - Hubei province's economy shows a stable and positive trend across various sectors including industry, investment, consumption, foreign trade, and finance [1][2] Industrial Performance - The industrial added value above designated size in Hubei increased by 7.9% year-on-year in the first seven months of 2025, matching the growth rate from January to June and exceeding the national average by 1.6 percentage points [2] - High-tech manufacturing led the growth with an increase of 13.5%, contributing 26.2% to the overall industrial growth [2] - Specific sectors such as computer, communication, and other electronic equipment manufacturing grew by 14.5%, while electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing rose by 18.4% [2] - Production of integrated circuit wafers, electronic components, lithium-ion batteries, and optical fibers saw significant increases of 20.9%, 46.8%, 56.6%, and 23.0% respectively [2] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment in Hubei grew by 6.5% year-on-year, with manufacturing investment increasing by 12.8% and infrastructure investment rising by 4.4% [3] - Excluding real estate development, fixed asset investment surged by 9.8% [3] - The sales area of new commercial housing reached 28.4 million square meters, marking a growth of 5.8% [3] - Investment in the primary industry rose by 14.7%, the secondary industry by 12.1%, and the tertiary industry by 2.8% [3][4] Consumption Insights - The total retail sales of consumer goods in Hubei amounted to 1,518.587 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.2%, surpassing the national average by 1.4 percentage points [5] - The "old-for-new" policy significantly boosted consumption, with retail sales of energy-efficient home appliances and smart home devices increasing by 72.2% and 42.3% respectively [5] - Online retail sales also showed strong growth, increasing by 20.3% [5] Foreign Trade Performance - Hubei's total import and export value reached 477.18 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.7%, outpacing the national growth rate by 25.2 percentage points [5] - Exports totaled 342.79 billion yuan, growing by 37.9%, while imports were 134.39 billion yuan, up by 10.0% [5] - General trade accounted for 80.6% of the total import and export value, with a growth of 36.6% [5] Financial Sector - Local general public budget revenue in Hubei reached 266.065 billion yuan, growing by 7.9% year-on-year [6] - The balance of deposits in financial institutions was 9,973.627 billion yuan, an increase of 8.9% compared to the beginning of the year [6] - The balance of loans reached 9,258.903 billion yuan, growing by 7.8% [6]

Core Insights - Hubei Province's retail sales of consumer goods reached 15,185.87 billion yuan from January to July this year, showing a year-on-year growth of 6.2%, which is 1.4 percentage points higher than the national average [1] Retail Performance - The "old-for-new" policy has had a significant impact, with retail sales of home appliances and audio-visual equipment with energy efficiency ratings of 1 and 2 increasing by 72.2% [1] - Retail sales of smart home appliances and audio-visual equipment grew by 42.3% [1] - Furniture retail sales saw a growth of 62.6% [1] Quality Consumption - Retail sales of cosmetics increased by 14.5% [1] - Retail sales of sports and entertainment products surged by 68.2% [1] E-commerce Growth - Online retail maintained rapid growth, with retail sales of online goods increasing by 20.3% [1]

Economic Overview - In the first seven months of 2023, Beijing's total market consumption increased by 0.7% year-on-year [1] - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 767.43 billion yuan, showing a decline of 4.2% [1] Sector Performance - Service consumption grew by 4.6%, driven by information services, transportation, and cultural entertainment sectors [1] - Retail sales in the household appliances and audio-visual equipment category increased by 6.9%, boosted by the "trade-in" policy, with a growth rate improvement of 2.3 percentage points compared to the first half of the year [1] - Jewelry, grain and oil products, cosmetics, and sports and entertainment goods saw significant retail sales growth of 32.7%, 12.1%, 8.2%, and 6.1% respectively [1] Declines in Specific Categories - Automotive retail sales decreased by 19.0% due to insufficient demand in the fuel vehicle market [1] - Retail sales of cultural office supplies and communication equipment fell by 3.6% and 24.4% respectively, influenced by the diversification of sales channels among some headquarters enterprises [1] Consumption Breakdown - In terms of consumption forms, goods retail accounted for 688.23 billion yuan, down by 4.3% [1] - Restaurant income reached 79.2 billion yuan, declining by 3.6% [1]

Group 1 - The National Building Materials and Home Furnishing Prosperity Index (BHI) for July 2025 is reported at 112.02, showing a month-on-month decline of 4.12 points and a year-on-year decline of 8.90 points, indicating a slowdown in consumer spending during the traditional off-season [1] - Despite the overall decline in BHI, the "Manager Confidence Index" increased to 147.89, up 11.36 points month-on-month, reflecting positive short-term market expectations due to upcoming peak seasons and supportive government policies [1] - Recent implementation of personal consumption loan interest subsidy policies and service industry loan interest subsidies is expected to lower interest costs, improving market expectations for home furnishing demand stabilization [1] Group 2 - Companies to watch as the peak season approaches include Sangokushi and Beixin Building Materials, indicating potential investment opportunities in the sector [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the price of cast aluminum alloy fluctuated slightly upward, reaching a high of 20,270 yuan/ton during the week. As the traditional off - season deepens, downstream die - casting enterprises are on high - temperature holidays, dragging down orders in the recycled aluminum industry. New orders are limited, and with the accumulation of social inventory, off - season pressure will gradually emerge. However, due to cost support, the short - term price of cast aluminum alloy is expected to maintain a narrow - range fluctuation [6]. - As of August 15, the inventory of aluminum alloy ingot factories and social warehouses increased by 0.09 million tons to 11 million tons compared with the previous week, remaining at a high level. In August, the amount of waste generated at the terminal was lower than expected, and the supply of waste aluminum raw materials was limited. In the second week of August (August 4 - 10), domestic automobile sales were 378,000 units, a nearly 20% decrease from the previous week. The trade - in policy has outstanding effects, and the fourth batch of funds will be released as planned in October, which helps to stabilize consumer confidence and boost automobile consumption. With the arrival of the "Golden September and Silver October", automobile sales are expected to improve month - on - month [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Supply - Side: Scrap Aluminum - Scrap aluminum production is at a high level, and social inventory is at a medium - high level in history. The import of scrap aluminum is also at a high level, with a relatively fast year - on - year growth rate. For example, in June 2025, the import of aluminum scrap and waste was 1.556 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 11.45%, and the cumulative import was 10.122 million tons, a cumulative year - on - year increase of 6.88% [9][14]. - The refined - scrap price difference shows a fluctuating trend [18]. Supply - Side: Recycled Aluminum - The spot price of cast aluminum alloy has a small increase, and the price difference between ADC12 and A00 has converged [26]. - The regional price difference of cast aluminum alloy has weakened and shows certain seasonal patterns [31]. - The weekly operating rate of cast aluminum alloy has a small decline, while the monthly operating rate has increased [36]. - The cost of ADC12 is mainly composed of scrap aluminum, and currently, it is estimated to be in a loss - making state on average [38]. - The factory inventory of cast aluminum alloy has decreased rapidly, while social inventory has been continuously accumulating. The import window of cast aluminum alloy is currently closed [43][45]. - Regarding recycled aluminum rods, information on production and inventory is provided, including production volume and inventory distribution in different regions [48][50]. Demand - Side: Terminal Consumption - In terms of terminal consumption, the production of fuel - powered vehicles has declined, which has affected die - casting consumption. The production of new energy vehicles, motorcycles, and small household appliances, as well as relevant indicators such as automobile inventory warning index and PPI of auto parts manufacturing, are presented in the report [55][56].

Core Insights - JD.com reported a significant revenue increase of 22.4% year-on-year for Q2 2025, reaching 356.7 billion yuan, exceeding market expectations by 6 percentage points [1] - The company's Non-GAAP net profit for the same period was 7.4 billion yuan, also surpassing consensus estimates [1] - The growth was driven by the success of the trade-in policy, particularly in the electronics and home appliance categories, which saw a revenue increase of 23.4% [2][6] Retail Business Performance - JD's core retail business generated 310.1 billion yuan in revenue for Q2 2025, reflecting a 20.6% year-on-year growth, exceeding market expectations by approximately 5 percentage points [2] - Operating profit for the retail segment was 13.9 billion yuan, up from 10.1 billion yuan in the same quarter last year, with an operating profit margin of 4.5%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The daily necessities category maintained double-digit growth for six consecutive quarters, with a 16.4% year-on-year revenue increase [2][3] User Engagement and Growth - JD.com experienced over 40% year-on-year growth in quarterly active users and shopping frequency, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of double-digit growth in active users [2][3] - The "618" shopping festival saw a more than 100% increase in the number of placing orders, with overall order volume exceeding 2.2 billion [3] New Business Developments - JD's new business, including food delivery, saw a remarkable revenue increase of 199% year-on-year in Q2 2025 [6] - The food delivery service achieved a daily order volume exceeding 25 million, covering 350 cities and involving over 150,000 quality dining establishments [6][7] - The launch of the "Seven Fresh Kitchen" platform aims to innovate the food delivery sector, with plans to establish 10,000 locations nationwide within three years [7] Supply Chain and Differentiation - JD's supply chain capabilities were highlighted as a key factor in achieving high-quality user experiences and operational efficiency, with retail gross margins increasing for 13 consecutive quarters [3][5] - The company is focusing on customized products and differentiated shopping experiences through its private label offerings and innovative packaging strategies [4][5]

Group 1 - The core categories of electronic products and home appliances are experiencing a recovery in growth, benefiting from the trade-in policy [1][3] - The company has adjusted its non-GAAP net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 27.7 billion, 46 billion, and 52.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of -42%, +66%, and +15% respectively [1] - The company reported Q2 2025 revenue of 356.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.4%, exceeding Bloomberg's consensus estimate [2] Group 2 - The company's retail operating profit margin improved by 0.6 percentage points to 4.5%, while the logistics operating profit margin decreased by 1.1 percentage points to 3.8% [2] - New business losses were higher than expected, primarily due to continued investments in the food delivery segment [2][3] - The company repurchased approximately 2.8% of its outstanding common shares as of December 31, 2024, with a remaining repurchase amount of 3.5 billion dollars [3]

Core Viewpoint - China's economy demonstrates resilience and vitality despite facing challenges from external pressures and extreme weather conditions, maintaining a steady development trend [1][6]. Economic Performance - In July, China's industrial output continued to grow, with the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increasing by 5.7% year-on-year, and high-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing sectors growing by 9.3% and 8.4% respectively [2]. - The total import and export volume in July increased by 6.7% year-on-year, reflecting a 1.5 percentage point acceleration compared to the previous month [2]. - Retail sales of consumer goods in July grew by 3.7% year-on-year, with goods retail sales increasing by 4% [2]. Consumer Trends - The "old-for-new" policy has positively impacted consumer behavior, with retail sales of consumer goods in the first half of the year growing by 5.0%, surpassing the previous year's growth by 1.3 percentage points [3]. - The demand for cultural, sports, and entertainment services has increased, contributing to sustained growth in both goods and service consumption [2][3]. Investment Landscape - Fixed asset investment grew by 1.6% year-on-year from January to July, supported by policies promoting large-scale equipment updates [3]. - Investment in equipment and tools increased by 15.2%, indicating robust investment activity despite some regional challenges [3]. Policy Outlook - The government is expected to implement new policies to address economic challenges, including expanding government investment and improving social security measures to boost consumer demand [6][7]. - The introduction of new policy financial tools is anticipated to support infrastructure investment growth, addressing capital shortages for project construction [8]. Fiscal Policy - Fiscal spending growth slowed in the second quarter, with public fiscal expenditure increasing by only 2.6% year-on-year, indicating a need for enhanced fiscal expansion to meet economic growth targets [9]. - Recommendations include accelerating the issuance of special bonds and long-term bonds to ensure effective investment and support economic stability [9].

Economic Overview - In July, the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 3.7% year-on-year, a decrease of 1.1 percentage points from the previous month [1] - The overall service retail sales remained stable, with a growth of 5.2% from January to July, consistent with the previous six months [1] - The combined retail sales of goods and services for the first seven months showed a preliminary growth of around 5% [1] Consumer Spending Insights - In the first half of the year, final consumption expenditure contributed 52% to economic growth, an increase of 7.5 percentage points compared to the previous year [2] - The consumption expansion trend remains unchanged, supported by special actions to boost consumption [2] Retail Performance - In July, the retail sales of goods reached 34,276 billion yuan, growing by 4.0%, while catering revenue was 4,504 billion yuan, increasing by 1.1% [5] - The "trade-in" policy has positively impacted sales, with significant growth in categories such as home appliances (28.7%), cultural and office supplies (13.8%), furniture (20.6%), and communication equipment (14.9%) [5] - Online retail sales for the first seven months totaled 86,835 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 9.2% [5] Service Consumption Trends - July saw a strong increase in service consumption, particularly in cultural tourism, information services, and digital entertainment [8] - The summer tourism season has led to a 5.5% increase in the production index of transportation, storage, and postal services [9] - The popularity of sports events has significantly boosted local economies, with ticket sales driving related sectors such as dining, transportation, and accommodation [9] Emerging Consumption Patterns - New consumption trends are emerging, with a notable increase in demand for cultural, sports, and entertainment products, reflected in the growth of retail sales in these categories [6] - The search volume for leisure activities has surged, indicating a growing interest in experiences such as beauty services and indoor entertainment [10] - The rise of new consumption modes, including personalized and diversified spending, is becoming more prominent [12] Future Outlook - The service consumption sector is expected to continue growing, with the proportion of service consumption in total consumption increasing [12] - As GDP per capita approaches 1.5 million USD, a shift from goods to service consumption is anticipated, indicating significant growth potential in the service sector [11]