智通财经记者 | 吕文琦 保险资金在资本市场的配置节奏明显加快。 数据显示，截至2025年年末，保险资金运用余额已达约38.5万亿元，同比增长15.7%，为近年较高增速区间。其中，投向股票和证券投资基金的余额合计约 5.7万亿元，同比增加约1.6万亿元，增幅接近四成，权益类资产扩张速度显著快于整体资产规模增长。 从结构变化看，权益资产在险资配置体系中的权重正持续提升。股票投资余额约3.7万亿元，占总资金运用比例接近10%；基金投资余额约1.8万亿元，占比 约5%。若将股票、基金及长期股权投资合并计算，权益类资产规模已超过8万亿元，占总资产比例超过两成。 业内普遍认为，险资权益配置的明显提速，意味着保险资金配置逻辑正在发生方向性变化，长期资金在资本市场中的地位正在上升。 收益压力与政策引导双重驱动 长期以来，债券资产始终是险资配置的核心板块，目前仍占整体投资资产约一半以上，但其主导地位正面临挑战。随着利率中枢持续下行，固定收益资产回 报率不断压缩，传统配置模式难以支撑险资覆盖负债成本并维持稳定收益水平。 某保险资管公司首席投资官向智通财经表示，在利率下降环境中，仅依靠固收资产难以满足收益要求，适度提高权益资产比 ...

活动中，工作人员为居民发放了防非、理性投资主题宣传材料，引导大家谨慎参与投资、合理配置资 产，切勿轻信"低风险高收益"的虚假宣传，号召大家共同抵制非法集资行为，守护好自己和身边人 的"钱袋子"。居民们认真聆听讲座，并就生活中遇到的各类金融和投资问题进行咨询，工作人员一一耐 心解答，现场互动热烈，取得了良好的宣传效果。 下一步，工银瑞信投教基地将继续积极践行社会责任，深入推进"守住钱袋子，过好幸福年"防非宣传工 作，持续把金融安全知识送到居民身边。我们将弘扬理性投资、长期投资、价值投资的科学理念，筑牢 社区金融安全防线，守护居民平安祥和过大年。 来源：工银瑞信投教研习社 岁末年初，既是阖家团圆的温馨时刻，也是非法集资、金融诈骗的高发期。为守护社区居民的"钱袋 子"，筑牢金融安全防线，工银瑞信投教基地于2月3日走进建欣苑社区，开展了"年末防骗不松懈，金融 知识进万家"主题投教讲座，让金融安全知识扎根社区、惠及邻里。 活动现场，投教基地讲师以图文并茂的课件为载体，结合年底高发的新型非法集资典型案例，为居民们 拆解了不法分子的常见套路。讲师提醒大家，要警惕以"邮寄不明快递、礼品卡""通知车票改签""积分 兑换""高息 ...

Group 1: Macro Insights - The report discusses how AI deflation and balance sheet reduction could reshape asset pricing logic, emphasizing the uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's future policy direction [1][6][7] - It highlights the potential impact of reducing the Fed's balance sheet on dollar asset prices and the importance of maintaining central bank independence [1][6][7] Group 2: Company Analysis - Huahong Semiconductor (688347.SH) - Huahong is projected to achieve revenues of 183.83 billion, 246.57 billion, and 284.07 billion CNY for 2025-2027, with net profits of 6.74 billion, 7.78 billion, and 11.29 billion CNY respectively [2][12] - The company is positioned as a leader in mature process semiconductor manufacturing, benefiting from the global semiconductor industry's recovery [12][13] - Huahong's expansion plans include the ramp-up of FAB9 and the integration of FAB5, which is expected to enhance future growth potential [12][14] Group 3: Company Analysis - Valiant Bio (9887.HK) - Valiant Bio focuses on three core technology platforms targeting oncology and autoimmune diseases, with significant clinical trials underway [3][16] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 175.0 million, 196.0 million, and 200.8 million HKD, with a projected increase in profitability as clinical data catalysts emerge [3][16][17] Group 4: Company Analysis - Ningbo Huaxiang (002048.SZ) - Ningbo Huaxiang is expected to see net profits of 5.19 billion, 16.10 billion, and 17.56 billion CNY from 2025 to 2027, with a target market value of 402.39 billion CNY by 2026 [4][18] - The company is expanding into the humanoid robot sector and is anticipated to improve profitability following the divestment of European assets [18][19] Group 5: Industry Insights - Hotel and Catering - The report indicates a significant increase in travel and service consumption during the 2026 Spring Festival, with domestic tourism expected to reach 520 million trips, a 3.8% increase year-on-year [25][26] - The catering sector is benefiting from increased customer flow, particularly in first-tier cities, with notable growth in restaurant bookings and sales during the holiday period [26][27] Group 6: Industry Insights - Gas Turbine - The gas turbine industry is experiencing robust demand, with Siemens Energy reporting record order volumes and plans to increase production capacity significantly by 2027 [29][30][31] - Major companies like GE and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries are also reporting substantial order growth, indicating a strong market outlook for gas turbines [30][31][32] Group 7: Industry Insights - Tooling Industry - The report highlights a rapid increase in tungsten carbide prices, benefiting leading domestic tooling companies amid supply constraints and rising demand in high-value sectors [35][36][37] - The Chinese government's export controls on tungsten resources are expected to further enhance the competitive position of domestic tooling manufacturers [35][37]

历经三轮完整的生肖循环之后，属马的A股又将迎来新的本命年。 回望前三个马年，A股从初生牛犊到野马狂奔，如今终于逐渐成长为求稳致远的良驹。第四个本命年 里，稳增长与防风险的政策平衡仍是A股"压舱石"的强力保障，"稳"字为先也是逾2亿股民最直观的市场 期待。 A股的三轮马年行情，恰是市场从野蛮生长到成熟规范的生动缩影。1990年首个马年，A股以"老八 股"起步，市场初创，奠定了资本市场的雏形；2002年的马年，A股开始告别早期的无序波动；2014年 的马年，曾走出过一轮波澜壮阔的牛市，但杠杆失控的教训也历历在目。 三轮马年，从无到有、从乱到治，A股在学习中成长，让市场各方深刻认识到，暴涨不可持续，稳健才 能长久。 站在2026年马年的新起点，A股体量已今非昔比。市场扩容至近5500家上市公司，总市值迈上百万亿元 台阶，投资者数量突破2亿，资本市场已成为服务实体经济、承载居民财富的核心载体。 高质量的发展从来都不是速度有多快，而是走得有多稳、质量有多高。对规模日益壮大的A股而 言，"稳"自然成为重中之重。 "稳"不是保守，更不是停滞不前。稳中求进依然要坚持改革攻坚，不断提高A股市场的活力与发展水 平。诸如，推动深化 ...

人的情绪是波动的，往往一碰到亏损，一个缓神下来，再痛定思痛出局，就发现，三次的盈利往往敌不 过一次的陷阱损失。所以，做投资，不能过于求快，讲究效率，试图一年下来，下半辈子都有了，不现 实。 以价值为基础，无论是价值投资，还是投机，失去了价值这个厚实之地为依靠，可胜一城一池，不可胜 久远。试图认为自己比别人聪明一点，跑得更快，总有更愚蠢的人接盘，可胜在敌，不可胜在己了！ 以往每每看到高手下棋，发现高手喜欢补棋，放着明明的大场而不抢，非要走那缓重之棋，岂不是浪费 效率？ 时间长了，则悟到，原来是自己大谬。补棋事关全局厚薄之着，棋厚则根牢，徐图下来，往往后发先 至。而轻兵疾进，处处落子，看似满盘皆是自己的势力范围，心中大喜。 实则不然。薄棋碰到厚味，厚实一方或分而断之，缠绕攻击，处处落在棋形要害处，薄主无奈左支右 撑，痛不欲生；或搜根带刮，几着下来，原来茫茫的势力眨眼之间成了别人的实地，只落下长吁短叹， 还没明白究竟是个为什么？ 棋经《度情篇第八》云："夫持重而廉者，多得；轻易而贪者，多丧。"持重即不轻易，不轻易则谋定而 后动，要打有把握之仗。 投资之道，低者重价差，中者重趋势，高者重复利。 处处落子，频繁交易，这 ...

历经三轮完整的生肖循环之后，属马的A股又将迎来新的本命年。 回望前三个马年，A股从初生牛犊到野马狂奔。如今终于逐渐成长为求稳致远的良驹。第四个本命年 里，稳增长与防风险的政策平衡仍是A股"压舱石"的强力保障，"稳"字为先也是逾2亿股民最直观的市场 期待。 A股的三轮马年行情，恰是市场从野蛮生长到成熟规范的生动缩影。1990年首个马年，A股以"老八 股"起步，市场初创，奠定了资本市场的雏形；2002年的马年，A股开始告别早期的无序波动；2014年 的马年，曾走出过一轮波澜壮阔的牛市，但杠杆失控的教训也历历在目。 三轮马年，从无到有、从乱到治，A股在学习中成长，让市场各方深刻认识到，暴涨不可持续，稳健才 能长久。 站在2026年马年的新起点，A股体量已今非昔比。市场扩容至近5500家上市公司，总市值迈上百万亿元 台阶，投资者数量突破2亿，资本市场已成为服务实体经济、承载居民财富的核心载体。 追涨杀跌、题材炒作的投机逻辑逐渐退场，价值投资、长期持有成为主流共识，监管体系、交易规则、 投资者保护机制日趋完善。一系列的向好转变，都为A股的稳定提供了坚实的保障。 对于逾2亿股民来说，"稳"是最朴素的期待，也是最理性的选择 ...

AI正在重塑未来，这一点无论是深度参与还是旁观的专业投资人，几乎都达成了共识。但在如何平衡投资价格与企业现金流的问题上，不同的投资机构 选择了截然不同的道路。绿光资本（Greenlight Capital）则是坚持传统价值投资立场的代表之一。其创始人大卫·艾因霍恩（David Einhorn）不仅在去年三 季度致持有人的信中继续扮演着少数"非共识者"的角色，在最新的访谈交流中，依然在重申自己的观点。 这位因在2008年金融危机前成功做空雷曼兄弟而声名鹊起的价值投资者，再一次在市场最喧嚣的时刻，选择在一旁冷眼旁观。面对席卷全球的AI浪潮， 他没有急于拥抱"改变世界"的宏大叙事，而是反复强调一个朴素的问题：即便技术改变世界，股东是否一定能赚到钱？ "作为一个深度价值投资者，这种不确定性让我很难下注。" 在他看来，今天的市场与1999年的互联网泡沫并非毫无相似之处。资本投入以"不能落后"为理由迅速膨胀，竞争更像是一场被迫参与的军备竞赛，而非清 晰可见的商业回报逻辑。当估值与叙事并肩狂奔时，价值纪律正在退场。他甚至直言，这是自己职业生涯中所见"最昂贵的市场"。 当被问及如何看待当前市场最主导的AI行情时，艾因霍恩表示 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent reduction in holdings by prominent investors Warren Buffett and Duan Yongping has raised concerns among ordinary investors about potential market shifts, but their actions are more about strategic portfolio optimization rather than panic selling [1][4]. Group 1: Actions of Warren Buffett - Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway reduced its stake in Apple by 10.29 million shares, a decrease of 4.32%, and significantly cut its Amazon holdings by 77.24%, while completely liquidating its position in Google [3]. - Despite the reductions, Apple remains the largest holding for Berkshire, valued at over $61.9 billion, indicating a strategic reassessment rather than a bearish outlook on the market [5][7]. Group 2: Actions of Duan Yongping - Duan Yongping also reduced his Apple holdings by 7.09%, aligning with Buffett's strategy, while simultaneously increasing his investment in Nvidia by 1110.62% and entering several AI-related companies, reflecting a shift towards sectors with perceived higher value [3][5]. - This adjustment is characterized as a repositioning of assets rather than a complete exit from the market [5][7]. Group 3: Investment Philosophy - Both investors are not attempting to predict market fluctuations but are instead focusing on maintaining their investment within their areas of expertise, which exemplifies true value investing [8]. - The actions of these investors serve as a reminder that investment should not be a follow-the-leader game, emphasizing the importance of a steady and informed approach to investing [11].

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 春节期间A股停牌，港股开启节后首个交易日。港股整体出现调整，但AI应用和机器人板块逆势大涨， 这符合我之前对市场的预期，因为春晚节目中AI应用以及机器人大放异彩，大幅提升了投资者对于这 两个方向的信心。 恒生科技指数出现较大幅度回调，主要原因是恒生科技指数的成分股主要是互联网巨头，盈利主要来自 于消费层面，但当前社会消费品零售总额增速较低，消费增速低拖累这些科技互联网公司的表现。所以 过去半年，恒生科技指数出现了比较大的调整，外卖大战让资本对这些互联网巨头的"含科量"产生质 疑，很多资金从核心科技指数、一些互联网巨头中流出，寻找纯正的AI应用和机器人等科技创新板 块，这反映出一部分资金的态度。 港股首日出现较大幅度调整并不意味着马年港股没有机会，马年A股和港股都有望延续这轮慢牛、长牛 走势，继续出现较多的投资机会。去年年底我发布了2026年十大预言，明确讲到2026年美股高位波动的 风险加大，A股和港股则会延续慢牛行情的特征，出现一定的赚钱效应。我在过去十年发布了10次十大 预言，其中8次都得到了完美的验证，只有2022年和2023年这 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the investment strategies of Li Lu, a prominent investor, highlighting his focus on concentrated positions in a few companies and his ability to pivot quickly to new opportunities, particularly in the context of the AI boom and the performance of Micron Technology and Google. Group 1: Investment Strategy - Li Lu's investment style is characterized by a concentrated approach, often focusing heavily on a few companies [2][13] - He previously held a significant position in Micron Technology but sold before its substantial price increase, demonstrating a willingness to pivot [4][5] - Following the sale of Micron, he quickly shifted his focus to another company, which turned out to be Google, a core player in the AI space [8][9] Group 2: Portfolio Composition - As of the latest disclosures, Google's stock constitutes over 43% of Li Lu's portfolio, making it the largest holding [12][15] - The top five holdings in his portfolio account for approximately 95.96% of the total, indicating a highly concentrated investment strategy [14] - The portfolio includes eight stocks, with the remaining holdings being significantly smaller in proportion [14][15] Group 3: Historical Context and Performance - Li Lu introduced Warren Buffett to BYD in 2008, which led to significant returns over 17 years [3] - The article notes that Li Lu's ability to identify and invest in high-potential companies has been a hallmark of his investment philosophy [19] - His approach emphasizes understanding a company's long-term potential and the importance of selecting undervalued stocks [14][19] Group 4: Insights on Value Investing - Li Lu believes that successful investing is more about temperament than intelligence or experience, highlighting the importance of patience and decisiveness [20][22] - He advocates for a deep understanding of businesses and encourages investors to think like owners rather than traders [19][20] - The article emphasizes the significance of compounding returns and maintaining a long-term perspective in investing [24]