Core Viewpoint - French bonds opened lower with the 10-year government bond yield rising by 3 basis points to 3.39% [1] Group 1 - The 10-year government bond yield in France increased by 3 basis points [1]

Open Market Operations - The central bank announced a 7-day reverse repurchase operation on October 13, with a fixed rate and quantity tendering, amounting to 137.8 billion yuan at an interest rate of 1.40%, with the same amount being the bid and awarded [1]. Funding Conditions - The interbank market maintained a loose funding condition, with overnight repurchase rates for deposit institutions slightly rising around 1.30%. Non-bank institutions borrowed overnight against credit bonds at rates between 1.46% and 1.48%. The one-year interbank certificates of deposit from major banks had a demand at 1.66%, with secondary market rates slightly declining to 1.655%-1.66% [3][7]. Treasury Futures - The closing prices for treasury futures showed an increase, with the 30-year main contract rising by 0.37%, the 10-year by 0.10%, the 5-year by 0.03%, and the 2-year by 0.02% [11]. Trade Data - In the first three quarters, China's goods trade import and export totaled 33.61 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4%. Exports reached 19.95 trillion yuan, up 7.1%, while imports were 13.66 trillion yuan, down 0.2%. In September, exports (in RMB) grew by 8.4% year-on-year, while imports increased by 7.5% [12]. Manufacturing Financing - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology initiated a survey on financing needs among manufacturing enterprises, aiming to enhance financing services and facilitate connections with financial institutions [12]. Bond Issuance - The Ministry of Finance plans to issue 127 billion yuan of 3-year treasury bonds and 149 billion yuan of 10-year treasury bonds on October 20 [12]. Global Macro Events - U.S. President Trump hinted at the possibility of canceling new tariffs on China, stating "Don't worry about China, everything will be fine" [14].

Group 1 - The rise in U.S. Treasury yields has raised concerns about further increases in mortgage rates, putting pressure on housing and home improvement stocks, leading to a decline in the overall real estate sector [1] - As of Monday's close, two major ETFs tracking the housing construction industry, iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB.US) and SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB.US), both fell approximately 2.1%, marking their lowest closing levels since late September [1] - Home improvement retail giants also faced declines, with Home Depot (HD.US) down 1.45% and Lowe's (LOW.US) down 1.9%, both likely to record their lowest closing prices since August 11 [1] Group 2 - To stimulate home buying demand, home builders are resorting to price reductions or promotional measures to attract buyers, with 39% of developers lowering prices and 65% employing various promotional tactics according to a September survey by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) [2]

Group 1 - Eurozone bond yields collectively increased on October 6, with the UK 10-year government bond yield rising by 4.7 basis points to 4.735% [1] - The French 10-year government bond yield rose by 5.9 basis points to 3.566% [1] - The Italian 10-year government bond yield increased by 2.9 basis points to 3.538% [1] - The Spanish 10-year government bond yield rose by 2.5 basis points to 3.253% [1]

Bond Market Overview - Bond yields are rising despite weaker-than-expected economic data, particularly in the service sector [1][2] - Two-year and 10-year yields are up several basis points during the session, but down about eight basis points for the week [3] Economic Data Impact - The disappointing service sector data raised questions about both sides of the Federal Reserve's mandate, particularly regarding the labor market [2] - Prices paid in the service sector showed a slight increase, which is not favorable for inflation control [1] Technical Analysis - The NASDAQ index is showing a higher high and a lower low compared to the previous day, indicating potential volatility [4] - A close below the previous day's low could signal a key reversal from all-time highs, which would be technically significant and potentially bearish [4]

Corporate Borrowing - Corporate borrowing has seen a significant increase, with $230 billion in debt deals tracked just this month, marking the heaviest volume for any month ever [1] - The competition for debt sales may impact the government bond market, raising questions about the dynamics between corporate issuers and bond buyers [1] Bond Market Dynamics - The current environment shows a record issuance of investment-grade corporate bonds, but the focus is on the buyers who anticipate a Federal Reserve easing strategy [2] - The Federal Reserve has already eased rates by 25 basis points, leading many investors to expect further declines in rates [3] Yield Analysis - The yield on Barclays' investment-grade bonds is around 4.90%, with a current 10-year Treasury yield of approximately 4.14%, resulting in a spread of about 76 basis points [4] - This spread indicates that the additional yield for taking on corporate credit risk compared to risk-free Treasury securities is the smallest since 1998, suggesting a cautious market sentiment [5] Investor Behavior - Investors are motivated to purchase corporate bonds before yields fall further, reflecting concerns about equity market valuations and the perceived risk in the current environment [6] - The relatively low additional yield of less than 5% raises questions about the credit risk associated with corporate bonds, which may be underestimated by the market [6]

Group 1 - The yield on Japan's 40-year bonds increased by 6 basis points, reaching 3.395% [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights a significant drop in initial jobless claims in the U.S., with the number falling to 218,000, which is much lower than expected, leading to a sell-off in bonds and an increase in U.S. Treasury yields [1][3] - The 2-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by 6.1 basis points to 3.659%, the 10-year yield increased by 4.2 basis points to 4.189%, and the 30-year yield went up by 1.1 basis points to 4.769% [1] - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that the labor market's weakness has shifted the risk balance regarding inflation, suggesting a moderately restrictive policy stance to address potential economic developments [4] Group 2 - In Europe, signs of a weakening labor market in Germany were noted, although consumer sentiment showed slight improvement, with the GfK consumer confidence index expected to rise from -23.5 in September to -22.3 in October [4] - The 10-year German bond yield increased by 2.4 basis points to 2.771%, while the 10-year Italian bond yield rose by 4.9 basis points to 3.642%, and the 10-year French bond yield went up by 3.3 basis points to 3.601% [4] - In the UK, the Chancellor faces pressure to address a £62 billion budget deficit, with speculation about potential tax increases as economic growth stagnated in July following a 0.3% GDP growth in Q2 [5] Group 3 - In the Asia-Pacific region, Japanese bond yields also saw an upward trend, with the 2-year yield rising by 0.8 basis points to 0.934% and the 10-year yield increasing by 1.3 basis points to 1.656% [5] - The Japanese Ministry of Finance successfully issued 399.4 billion yen in a 40-year bond auction, with a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.8, indicating strong market demand [5] - The U.S. Treasury plans to issue $229 billion in three bond types, including $100 billion in 4-week bills and $85 billion in 8-week bills, along with $44 billion in 7-year bonds [7]

Group 1 - A key valuation metric for U.S. corporate bonds has reached its highest level in nearly three decades, following the Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut since 2024, prompting investors to lock in still high yields [1] - The risk premium for U.S. investment-grade corporate bonds has narrowed to just 72 basis points, marking a new low not seen in decades, with the spread previously touching 73 basis points in August, the lowest since 1998 [1] - High-grade bond average yields are currently at 4.76%, significantly above the average level of approximately 3.6% since 2010 [1] Group 2 - For most of the past three years, average yields have remained above 5% due to the Federal Reserve's rate hikes aimed at curbing post-pandemic inflation, which has driven demand from investors like pension plans that need to fund long-term liabilities [2] - The Federal Reserve's updated economic forecasts indicate two more 25 basis point rate cuts this year, which could further lower yields and heighten urgency among some investors [2] - The current environment of tight spreads is considered ideal, with solid fundamentals, strong demand, and no excessive supply pressure [2]

Group 1 - European long-term bonds continued to decline on September 18, indicating a bearish trend in the bond market [1] - The yield on Germany's 30-year bonds increased by 6 basis points, reflecting rising interest rates and potential inflation concerns [1]