1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The recent reduction in deposit interest rates has two characteristics: a relatively large adjustment range and fast follow - up by banks, indicating significant net interest margin pressure on banks. For banks, on the asset side, the requirement for interest rate levels will decrease, and the motivation to allocate bonds will increase due to weak credit issuance and improved bond cost - effectiveness. However, on the liability side, the scale of funds flowing out of the balance sheet may be large, and the pressure on the liability side may increase, making the scale of bond allocation uncertain. For generalized asset management, the demand for 1 - 3Y credit bonds will increase, and the spread of 3Y credit bonds will narrow about 3 - 4 weeks after the interest rate cut, with the outflow process lasting 2 - 3 months. For investors, credit bonds are a more certain choice, and for interest - rate bonds, new marginal changes need to be observed. Considering the possibility of further interest rate cuts this year, investors can gradually increase their allocation of 10Y Treasury bonds when the yield is above 1.7% [2][13]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Deposit Interest Rate Cut and Its Impact on the Bond Market - **Characteristics of the Current Cut**: The adjustment range is large. With the 1Y and 5Y LPR both cut by 10BP, the deposit interest rate cuts of large - scale banks are 15BP and 25BP respectively, higher than previous levels. Also, banks have followed up quickly. As of May 22, 2025, 12 joint - stock banks have completed the adjustment, and some city and rural commercial banks are following suit, reflecting the large net interest margin pressure on banks [13]. - **Impact on Institutional Behavior**: - **Banks**: On the asset side, after the deposit interest rate cut, the average liability cost of the six major banks is expected to decrease by 10.3BP. With a large number of fixed - term deposits maturing in the next two years, the liability - side cost pressure will further ease, and the requirement for asset - side yields will decrease. Also, weak credit issuance and the improved cost - effectiveness of bonds increase the motivation to allocate bonds. On the liability side, the large - scale deposit interest rate adjustment may lead to a significant outflow of funds, and the liability - side pressure may increase, making the scale of bond allocation uncertain [17][21][25]. - **Generalized Asset Management**: Referring to previous interest rate cuts, after funds flow out of the balance sheet, the demand for 1 - 3Y credit bonds increases, usually leading to a narrowing of the 3Y credit bond spread. The spread starts to narrow about 3 - 4 weeks after the interest rate cut, and the outflow process lasts 2 - 3 months [26]. - **Investment Opportunities in the Bond Market**: Credit bonds are a more certain choice for investors, supported by coupon advantages and increased demand from funds flowing out of the balance sheet. Interest - rate bonds are in an oscillating upward phase and need new marginal changes to determine the direction. Considering the possibility of further interest rate cuts this year, investors can gradually increase their allocation of 10Y Treasury bonds when the yield is above 1.7% [30]. 3.2 Institutional Bond Custody No specific content provided in the given text. 3.3 Institutional Fund Tracking - **Fund Prices**: In the week of May 19 - 23, 2025, liquidity slightly eased. R007 closed at 1.63%, unchanged from the previous week, DR007 closed at 1.59%, down 5BP from the previous week, and the 6 - month national - share transfer discount rate closed at 1.14%, down 4BP from the previous week [40]. - **Financing Situation**: The balance of inter - bank pledged reverse repurchase this week was 108,111.6 billion yuan, up 0.2% from the previous week. For generalized asset management, the net financing of fund companies and bank wealth management products was - 848 million yuan and - 5.326 billion yuan respectively [43]. 3.4 Quantitative Tracking of Institutional Behavior - **Fund Duration**: This week, the measured durations of high - performance interest - rate bond funds and general interest - rate bond funds in the market were 6.53 and 5.09 respectively, increasing by 0.18 and 0.25 compared to the previous week [48]. - **Asset Scarcity Index**: The "asset scarcity" index slightly increased, with a smaller index value indicating looser liquidity, lower credit bond supply, and higher credit bond demand [58]. - **Institutional Behavior Trading Signals**: Trading signals for secondary capital bonds, ultra - long - term Treasury bonds, and 10Y local bonds are provided, with gray areas indicating bullish signals [61][65][67]. - **Institutional Leverage**: The overall market leverage ratio remained unchanged at 106.8% this week. Among generalized asset management institutions, the leverage ratio of insurance institutions was 113.3%, up 0.6 percentage points from the previous week; the fund leverage ratio was 101.9%, down 0.4 percentage points; and the securities firm leverage ratio was 184.9%, down 2.6 percentage points [68]. - **Bank Self - investment Comparison Table**: A comparison table for bank self - investment is provided, showing the nominal yields, tax costs, capital occupation costs, and post - tax and risk - adjusted returns of various assets such as general loans, 10Y Treasury bonds, and 10Y local bonds [73]. 3.5 Asset Management Product Data Tracking - **Funds**: No specific analysis content provided, only relevant charts are mentioned [75]. - **Bank Wealth Management**: The overall market wealth management product break - even rate slightly decreased this week, with the break - even rate of all products at 2.0% [78]. 3.6 Treasury Futures Trend Tracking No specific analysis content provided, only relevant charts are mentioned [83]. 3.7 Generalized Asset Management Landscape No specific analysis content provided, only relevant charts are mentioned [88].

Group 1: Company Bond ETF Performance - As of May 22, 2025, the Company Bond ETF (511030) rose by 0.04%, marking its fourth consecutive increase, with the latest price at 105.77 yuan [1] - Over the past six months, the Company Bond ETF has accumulated a total increase of 1.15% [1] - The latest scale of the Company Bond ETF reached 14.591 billion yuan, a record high since its inception [1] - The ETF has seen a continuous net inflow of funds over the past seven days, with a maximum single-day net inflow of 263 million yuan, totaling 907 million yuan [1] Group 2: Government Bond ETF Performance - As of May 22, 2025, the 5-10 Year Government Bond ETF (511020) was in a state of equilibrium, with the latest quote at 117.2 yuan, and a cumulative increase of 2.88% over the past six months [3] - The latest scale of the 5-10 Year Government Bond ETF reached 1.491 billion yuan [3] - The ETF experienced a total net inflow of 24.605 million yuan over the past five trading days [3] Group 3: National Development Bond ETF Performance - As of May 22, 2025, the National Development Bond ETF (159651) was also in a state of equilibrium, with the latest quote at 106.01 yuan, and a cumulative increase of 2.05% over the past year [5] - The latest scale of the National Development Bond ETF reached 1.425 billion yuan [5] - The ETF's trading volume was active, with a turnover rate of 16.29% and a transaction volume of 233 million yuan [5] Group 4: Market Insights and Economic Outlook - Industry experts suggest that the economy may stabilize, maintaining a bullish outlook on Hong Kong bank stocks, with significant net purchases of interest rate bonds by debt funds [8] - The consumer sector is showing steady recovery, and strong exports are expected to continue, with a forecast for the 10-year government bond yield to peak around 1.8% in the next six months [8] - The banking sector's net interest margin is expected to stabilize and slightly improve by 2026, with revenue and profit growth anticipated to turn positive [8] - The valuation of A-share banks in Jiangsu and Zhejiang may approach 1x PB, indicating potential for further upside [8]

截至2025年5月22日 09:47，公司债ETF(511030)多空胶着，最新报价105.73元。拉长时间看，截至2025年5月21日，公司债ETF近半年累计上涨1.12%。 华泰固收认为2025 年债市呈现 "高起点"，春节前处于基本面及政策真空期，低位震荡，多看少动。中期看，债市有可能进入大的震荡格局中，呈现低回 报、高波动、重交易特征。 浙商证券认为近期债市调整仍将持续，但鉴于基本面无明确利空，货币宽松基调不变，建议按利率底部区间震荡思路交易，逢调整做多仍然适用。 流动性方面，公司债ETF盘中换手0.1%，成交1478.08万元。拉长时间看，截至5月21日，公司债ETF近1周日均成交16.41亿元。 规模方面，公司债ETF最新规模达144.75亿元，创近1年新高。 份额方面，公司债ETF最新份额达1.37亿份，创近1月新高。 从资金净流入方面来看，公司债ETF近6天获得连续资金净流入，最高单日获得2.63亿元净流入，合计"吸金"7.94亿元，日均净流入达1.32亿元。 关税大降后，经济担忧减弱，债市开始陡峭化。近期，美日等国债收益率不断创近年新高；股市亦稳步上涨。 有业内人士认为，存款利率下调后，大行 ...

资金面小幅收敛，债市情绪偏弱 上周（5.12-5.18），中美关税政策的调整对全球资本市场带来正面影响，尤其是权益类市场重获资金关注，也造成了债市短期的压力，资金面出现了小幅收 敛，债市情绪偏弱。 公开数据统计，上周央行公开市场开展4860亿7天逆回购操作，到期8361亿，全周净回笼3501亿元，全周DR007围绕于1.50%波动，资金价格后半周有所抬 升。 每经记者｜任飞 每经编辑｜叶峰 上周，国债期货震荡走弱，资金面又一次出现收敛。债市情绪偏弱背景下，基金投资收益率并不理想，不过，市场中并不缺少做多的理由。总体来看，目前 影响债市的关键是不确定性因素对短期市场情绪的扰动，不过，有分析指出，利多事件的冲击对于债市的影响在今年来看是一个非常迅速的过程，债券资产 依然在年内有配置的必要和机会。 资金面是市场最为关注的因素，就目前市场的预期来看，有分析指出，预计税期资金面均衡略转紧，市场情绪整体偏弱。 根据上海东证期货的研报分析，由于中美贸易谈判进展超预期，资金面边际收敛，国债期货震荡调整，5年期到7年期品种调整幅度相对较大。 从基金的表现来看，中长期纯债基金平均业绩表现不及短债基金。Wind统计显示，短债基金上 ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an industry investment rating. Group 2: Core Views of the Report - The progress of China - US tariff negotiations exceeded expectations, with US tariffs on China significantly reduced. The 24% tariff will be suspended for the initial 90 days, 10% will be retained, and the remaining additional tariffs will be cancelled, equivalent to a 115 - percentage - point reduction (24% suspended for 90 days). There is a possibility that the 20% fentanyl tariff will be further reduced [2]. - China's export resilience exceeded expectations. In April, despite a 20% drop in exports to the US, total export volume increased by 9.3% year - on - year, reflecting strong industrial competitiveness. The report predicts that China's economy will stabilize internally in 2025 [2]. - After the significant tariff reduction, the money market is expected to gradually tighten. The DR001 weighted average interest rate is expected to rise to around 1.7% in the next month, and the 1Y national - share inter - bank certificate of deposit rate will reach 1.8%. If the 20% fentanyl tariff is also reduced to 0, the DR001 weighted average interest rate may further rise to around 1.8% [2]. - It is recommended to consider allocating 10Y Treasury bonds at 1.8% and 30Y Treasury bonds at around 2.1%. It is expected that there will be no trend - based opportunities in pure - bond investment in the next two years. For 5Y national - share secondary capital bonds, it is advisable to wait until the yield is above 2.1% [2]. - With the implementation of reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts, the positive factors for the bond market may have been exhausted. The report recommends a full - scale defensive strategy for the bond market and suggests paying more attention to stocks and convertible bonds in 2025 [2]. Group 3: Summary by Related Content China - US Tariff Negotiation Progress - On May 11, the US and China reached a trade agreement, and on May 12, the "Joint Statement of the China - US Geneva Economic and Trade Talks" was released, with significant tariff reductions [2]. China's Economic Situation - In April, China's total export volume increased by 9.3% year - on - year despite a 20% drop in exports to the US, indicating strong industrial competitiveness. Domestic consumption is steadily recovering, the real estate market is gradually stabilizing, and the stock market is slowly rising [2]. Capital Market and Bond Market Outlook - After the tariff reduction, the money market is expected to tighten. The DR001 weighted average interest rate and 1Y national - share inter - bank certificate of deposit rate are expected to rise. The report advises waiting for appropriate yields when investing in Treasury bonds and secondary capital bonds and adopting a defensive strategy for the bond market [2].

注：提及基金属于债券基金，其预期收益及风险水平低于股票基金、混合基金，高于货币市场基金。提 及基金属于国债指数基金，是债券基金中投资风险较低的品种。提及基金采用优化抽样复制策略，风险 收益特征与标的指数所表征的市场组合的风险收益特征相似。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成 任何投资建议或承诺。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险等级相匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需 谨慎。 浙商国际表示，展望后续，基本面对债市的影响逐渐弱化+中美关税谈判难以短期达成和解的背景下， 5 月偏宽松的资金面可能会给短端品种带来更好的投资机会，同时可以在组合中保留一定的久期仓位， 以抓捕降准/降息落地后带来的一波快牛机会。 由于国债的发行主体是国家，违约风险极低，因此国债ETF的历史收益相对较为稳定可靠，感兴趣的投 资者可以关注十年国债ETF（511260）、国债ETF（511010）。 今日，市场震荡波动，军工、计算机、证券、新能源、芯片等板块全线回调，深成指、创业板等翻绿。 增量资金涌入债市，截至5月12日，债券型ETF总规模已跨过2500亿元大关。 华泰期货表示，短期内国债期货仍有支撑，受益于资金面宽松和政策宽松预期。但中期来看 ...

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of timing, drawdown control, and flexibility as core competencies in navigating risks within the bond market [1][5][6] - The investment philosophy of the company is centered around the principle that "investment is the only standard to test research" [5][10] Group 1: Investment Philosophy - The company believes that practical experience in trading is essential for validating research and investment strategies [2][5] - The investment approach is built on three key concepts: timing, drawdown control, and flexibility, which are interdependent and form a comprehensive methodology [6][7] Group 2: Market Strategy - The company recognizes the challenges of predicting market movements in the short term but maintains that a clear understanding of uncertainty allows for resilient strategies [2][9] - The current bond market is viewed as having upward potential, with the company identifying key signals such as inflation and housing prices as indicators for market direction [8][9] Group 3: Team Collaboration - The company employs a differentiated management strategy among its fund managers, allowing for independent decision-making while maintaining a unified strategic framework [7] - The use of futures for hedging is highlighted, with a distinction made between short-term risk management and mid-term hedging strategies [7][9] Group 4: Market Outlook - The company anticipates that the bond market will face upward pressure due to ongoing trade tensions and economic conditions, which provide a fundamental support for bond prices [9][10] - The company advises that ordinary investors should engage with the bond market through bond funds rather than direct participation in high-risk derivatives [10]

新华财经上海5月7日电（张天源）市场期待已久的降准降息落地。由于市场在节前已发力"抢跑"宽松行情，落地首日债市整体反应较平 静，市场走势分化，中长券收益率普遍上行，资金宽松环境下，投资者关注短端资产。 在7日国新办举行的新闻发布会上，中国人民银行行长潘功胜宣布降低存款准备金率0.5个百分点，同时下调政策利率0.1个百分点，即公 开市场7天期逆回购操作利率从目前的1.5%调降至1.4%。 受此影响，当日资金面价格全线下行，Shibor短端品种集体下探。隔夜品种下行4.5BP报1.657%；7天期下行4.6BP报1.661%；14天期下行 1.2BP报1.725%；1个月期下行1.3BP报1.719%。银存间1天质押式回购（DR001）加权平均价下行6.78bp报1.6417%；7天期（DR007）加 权平均价下行13.04bp报1.5968%。 华创投顾部表示，未来更重要的还是二级市场回购利率的变化趋势，只要回购利率能下行，债券利率也就会有向下的空间。预计未来二 级市场回购利率会逐步靠近1.4，资金利率的下行会改善目前债券利率和回购利率倒挂的程度，也就会带动中长期利率下行。 降准降息落地后，国债期货收盘全线下跌 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the increasing pace of dividend distributions by public funds in response to regulatory calls for enhancing investor experience, with total dividends exceeding 81 billion yuan as of April 25, 2025 [1] - Bond funds are the main contributors to this dividend distribution, accounting for over 62 billion yuan, which is approximately 80% of the total dividends distributed by funds this year [1] - The Hui'an Jiayu Pure Bond Fund has announced dividends of 0.27 yuan per 10 shares for Class A and 0.08 yuan for Class C, with the cash dividend distribution date set for April 29, 2025 [1] Group 2 - Hui'an Fund has established a strong competitive position in the fixed income investment sector over its nine years of operation, consistently empowering bond investments [2] - According to a report by Guotai Haitong Securities, Hui'an Fund ranks in the top 30 for absolute returns in pure bond funds over the last three years and five years, with rankings of 28 out of 132 and 27 out of 111, respectively [2] - The bond market has experienced fluctuations, with long-term interest rates remaining stable following recent monetary policy announcements, including a 600 billion yuan MLF operation by the central bank [2] Group 3 - Analysts suggest that the bond market may stabilize as the political bureau meeting emphasized the acceleration of fiscal issuance and monetary policy support, reducing concerns over negative market sentiment [3] - The Hui'an Fund research team believes that the current bond market lacks negative fundamentals, and the probability of short-term rate cuts may decrease, leading to a continued range-bound market [3] - Hui'an Fund offers several low-volatility, low-drawdown short- and medium-term bond funds, which have consistently performed well since their inception [3] Group 4 - As of the end of Q1 2025, Hui'an Short Bond Fund A has achieved positive returns for 25 consecutive quarters since its inception, while Hui'an Yongli 30-Day Holding Period Short Bond A and Hui'an Yongfu 90-Day Holding Period Medium-Short Bond A have also maintained positive returns for 12 and 11 consecutive quarters, respectively [4] - These funds have effectively controlled maximum drawdowns to around -0.3%, enhancing the holding experience for investors [4]

截至2025年4月28日 ，公司债ETF(511030)最新报价105.42元。拉长时间看，截至2025年4月28日，公司债ETF近半年累计上涨1.12%。 流动性方面，国债ETF5至10年盘中换手61.7%，成交9.05亿元，市场交投活跃。拉长时间看，截至4月28日，国债ETF5至10年近1周日均成交5.87亿元。 规模方面，国债ETF5至10年最新规模达14.68亿元，创近3月新高。 份额方面，国债ETF5至10年最新份额达1251.25万份，创近3月新高。 规模方面，公司债ETF最新规模达132.49亿元。 消息面上，央行昨日公告坚决防范汇率超调风险，保持人民币汇率在合理均衡水平上的基本稳定。单一市场、单一资产的变动，对我国外汇储备的影响总体 有限。将根据国内外经济形势和金融市场运行情况，适时降准降息，创设新的结构性货币政策工具。 业内人士认为未来半年关注中美关税走向，预计短期反反复复；万一谈成关税降回年初水平，债市可能存在20BP调整空间。短期债市缺乏趋势性机会，纯 债投资建议多休息，耐心等待机会。 截至2025年4月28日 15:00，中证5-10年期国债活跃券指数(净价)(H21018)上涨0.0 ...