Market Overview - The A-share market showed a strong upward trend last week, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 3.82%, marking a 15-day consecutive increase, and significant growth in market trading volume [1][8] - The STAR 50 Index led the major indices with a 9.80% increase, while the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indices also recorded over 7% gains, indicating that technology and small-cap growth sectors are the main market drivers [1][11] - In contrast, large-cap value sectors saw modest gains, with the CSI Dividend Index only increasing by 1.61%, highlighting ongoing structural differentiation in the market [1][11] Industry Performance - All major sectors in the market experienced gains last week, with the telecommunications services sector leading at 12.04%, benefiting from the development of 5G and the digital economy [1][11] - The healthcare sector rose by 7.64%, driven by aging demographics and innovation [1][11] - The financial sector had the smallest increase at 0.41%, influenced by interest rates and regulatory factors, while the overall market showed a preference for technology growth, with traditional industries lagging behind [1][11] Fund Issuance and Performance - A total of 11 funds were issued last week, including 5 equity funds, 2 mixed funds, 1 bond fund, and 3 FOF funds, with a total issuance of 8.191 billion units [1][19] - The Wind All Fund Index rose by 2.65%, with the ordinary equity fund index increasing by 5.26% and the equity mixed fund index rising by 4.79%, indicating strong performance in equity funds [1][6] - Bond funds showed a slight increase of 0.28%, while equity funds performed robustly, reflecting a strong market sentiment [1][6]

Group 1 - The recent ETF fund flows indicate a strong market interest in technology growth sectors such as robotics, industrial non-ferrous metals, and satellite communications, with commercial aerospace remaining a strong performer and potentially becoming a key theme for the spring market [1] - The comprehensive score of the Sci-Tech Innovation Index is 61.41 as of December 31, 2025, ranking it favorably among major broad-based indices, contributing to an optimistic outlook for technology growth indices due to the early start of the spring market effect [1] - The Guotai Sci-Tech Innovation Index ETF (589630) tracks the Sci-Tech Innovation Index (000680), which has a daily fluctuation of 20% and covers 97% of the listed companies on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, with over 560 constituent stocks in hard technology sectors such as electronics and biomedicine [1] Group 2 - The industry allocation of the Sci-Tech Innovation Index is balanced, aiming to reflect the overall performance of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, with a particular focus on the growth and innovation of technology enterprises [1]

Group 1: Market Trends - The spring market's main rising phase may see a rebound in growth sectors, particularly those with low valuation sentiment and significant future financing inflows[1] - Historical data shows that during the main rising phases, the Shanghai Composite Index has increased by approximately 4% to 22%, averaging around 19 trading days[10] - Key sectors that performed well during previous main rising phases include media, electronics, and non-ferrous metals, which experienced substantial financing inflows[1] Group 2: Sector Performance - In the current spring market, technology growth sectors such as media, computing, and pharmaceuticals are expected to rebound due to low valuations and sentiment[2] - Financing inflows since December 17, 2025, have been significant in sectors like electronics, non-ferrous metals, and defense, driven by ongoing industry trends[18] - The main rising phase typically sees theme indices outperforming primary industry indices, with notable gains in sectors like integrated circuits and digital marketing[42] Group 3: Economic Indicators - Short-term economic recovery remains weak, with CPI growth recorded at 0.8% and PPI at -1.9%, indicating a gradual improvement in industrial profitability[23] - The short-term liquidity environment is expected to loosen further, with potential interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and domestic central bank actions[31] - Risk appetite is likely to increase due to positive policy implementations and limited overseas risks, such as the anticipated Fed rate cut[38]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market in 2025 demonstrated a structural trend, with actively managed equity funds achieving significant excess returns due to excellent stock selection and allocation capabilities [1]. Group 1: Fund Performance - As of December 2025, the Wind data shows that the annual return of the Wind Mixed Equity Fund Index was 33.19%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index (17.66%) and the CSI 800 Index (20.89%) [1]. - Morgan Fund, with over 20 years in the Chinese market, ranked in the top ten for active stock investment management across various time frames, achieving a one-year active management return of 58.14% [2]. - Morgan Fund's flagship product, Morgan China Advantage Mixed A, has delivered a cumulative return of 1471.81% since its inception 21 years ago, significantly exceeding the benchmark return of 244.76% [2]. Group 2: Investment Strategy and Market Outlook - Morgan Fund's investment team anticipates a continued long-term value reassessment of Chinese assets in 2026, identifying structural opportunities in sectors such as technology and high-end manufacturing [4]. - The investment team emphasizes the importance of focusing on quality assets with stable cash flows and sustainable growth, particularly in the context of rising global competitiveness of Chinese industries [4]. - The team sees potential in the AI industry, which is expected to expand from computing power to applications and hardware, and in cyclical value sectors like non-ferrous metals, which are showing improved cash flows and dividends [4]. Group 3: Global Asset Management Strength - Morgan Asset Management, a global leader under JPMorgan, manages nearly 30 trillion RMB in assets, with approximately 9 trillion RMB in equity investments as of September 2025 [3]. - The firm has the highest net inflow in active management and active equity globally in 2024, showcasing its strong market position [3]. - The investment team in China has an average experience of over 12 years, integrating global insights with local practices to ensure investment discipline and strategy stability [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant growth in the public fund issuance market, with 82 new funds launched as of January 7, 2026, including 31 equity funds, 27 mixed funds, and 11 each of bond and FOF funds [1][8] - The first week of 2026 saw a concentrated launch of 48 new products, indicating a robust start to the year for public funds [1][9] - The overall scale of the public fund industry is approaching a new high of 36 trillion yuan, reflecting a strong recovery in active equity management [1][4] Group 2 - Fund managers such as Fuguo Fund and GF Fund have been proactive, each launching five new funds, while other firms like Invesco Great Wall and Southern Fund have introduced four each [4] - The new funds exhibit a clear thematic focus, particularly on technology and advanced manufacturing, with several funds targeting sectors like semiconductors, artificial intelligence, and new energy [4][5] - The healthcare sector remains a point of interest, with three new funds focusing on innovative drugs and Hong Kong-listed pharmaceuticals [4] Group 3 - A balanced approach is evident, with over ten stable holding period products labeled as "stable," "balanced," or "multi-asset," catering to investors' needs for asset allocation and risk control [5] - The introduction of specialized ETFs covering sectors such as electric utilities, consumer electronics, and photovoltaics provides investors with more precise and diverse industry allocation tools [5] - Analysts suggest that the beginning of the year is a crucial period for capital allocation, with the A-share market currently at relatively low valuations, which may enhance the market's upward potential [6][7]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced slight fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index changing between red and green over 10 times during the session, while the Shenzhen Component, ChiNext, and CSI 300 also showed minor declines [1] - Technology growth stocks performed relatively well, with indices such as the Sci-Tech 50, North China 50, and CSI 1000 showing slight gains [1] Sector Performance - The defense and military, industrial internet, wind power equipment, and short drama gaming sectors saw the largest gains, while financial stocks, engineering machinery, consumer electronics, and non-ferrous metals faced the most significant declines [3] - The defense and military industry attracted over 18.9 billion yuan in net inflows from major funds, while the computer sector received over 16.9 billion yuan, and machinery equipment saw over 10.8 billion yuan in net inflows [3] Future Outlook - According to Yintai Securities, A-share earnings are expected to improve further by 2026, with a stabilization and recovery in the overall A-share (non-financial) ROE anticipated [3] - The report suggests that the domestic economic "temperature difference" is likely to converge, leading to a noticeable narrowing of profit differentiation across sectors [3] - Capital market reforms in 2026 are expected to advance further, with policy benefits continuing to be released [3] Investment Recommendations - Investors are advised to focus on long-term opportunities in high-yield styles, pay attention to the AI wave, and consider technology growth opportunities under the backdrop of technological self-reliance [3] - There is also a recommendation to look for investment opportunities in the reversal of cyclical difficulties [3] Industry Insights - The military industry is showing signs of stabilization and improvement, with expectations for a resonance of military-civilian trade demand [6] - High-end loyal drones and low-cost unmanned aerial vehicles are anticipated to become key development directions in the military sector [6] Renewable Energy Sector - The renewable energy sector is experiencing unprecedented development opportunities due to accelerated global energy transition and explosive demand for artificial intelligence computing power [9] - According to GWEC, the average new wind power installations in Asia, Africa, and Latin America over the past five years were 13 GW, with expectations to reach an average of 26 GW annually in the next five years [9] - The wind power industry chain, including complete machines and core components, is expected to see simultaneous growth in volume and profit due to stable prices, continuous cost improvements, and optimized product and sales structures [9]

Core Insights - The report indicates that the market is experiencing a healthy upward trend, with indices rising and a rotation among sectors, particularly in cyclical stocks like chemicals and non-ferrous metals, alongside technology growth [3][5] - The strategy emphasizes a focus on mid-cap blue chips in cyclical and manufacturing sectors, particularly in non-ferrous metals, chemicals, smart vehicles, and robotics [3][5] - The report highlights the potential for the rare earth sector to see a dual boost in profitability and valuation, drawing parallels to the 2010 scenario where export controls led to significant price increases [4][5] Market Strategy - The current market structure supports a strategy of light index weight and heavy structural focus, with a recommendation to invest in mid-cap blue chips and technology growth [3][5] - The report mentions specific ETFs related to mid-cap blue chips and sectors such as chemicals and non-ferrous metals, indicating a diversified investment approach [3][5] Industry Strategy - The rare earth sector is expected to benefit from supply constraints and increased demand due to export controls, with projections for price increases similar to those seen in 2010 [4][5] - The report notes that recent announcements regarding export controls may stimulate inventory accumulation in overseas markets, further supporting price stability [4][5] - The solid-state battery industry is highlighted as a key area of focus, with advancements in technology signaling a critical phase for commercialization [5]

Macro Environment - The central economic work conference held on December 10-11 emphasized counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustments, indicating a stable macro policy for 2026, focusing on structure and efficiency [10] - The manufacturing PMI for December was 50.1%, up 0.9 percentage points from the previous month, indicating an acceleration in manufacturing activities [12] - The non-manufacturing business activity index rose to 50.2%, returning to the expansion zone [12] Market and Industry Performance - In December, the bond market faced pressure, with the ten-year main contract down 0.05% and the thirty-year bond down 2.66% [50] - The equity market favored growth styles, with the advanced manufacturing sector rising by 5.97% and technology (TMT) by 4.55% [51] - The top five performing industries in December were defense and military (17.22%), non-ferrous metals (13.68%), and telecommunications (12.06%) [59] Monthly Allocation Recommendations - For January 2026, the report suggests focusing on technology sectors (such as electrical equipment and semiconductors), resource products, and high-dividend sectors due to ongoing policy support and a favorable liquidity environment [70]

2026.01. 07 本文字数：704，阅读时长大约2分钟 作者 | 一财阿驴 1月7日，A股指数全天窄幅震荡，截至收盘，沪指涨0.05%，深成指涨0.06%，创业板指涨 0.31%，科创综指涨1.53%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 两日图 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000001 | 上证指数 | 5 | 4085.77c | 2.11 | 0.05% | | 399001 | 深证成指 | No. Nie | 14030.56c | 8.01 | 0.06% | | 399006 | 创业板指 | 1 x N | 3329.69c | 10.40 | 0.31% | | 000680 | 科创综指 | NV NN | 1746.72c | 26.32 | 1.53% | 盘面上，半导体产业链走强，光刻机、存储器方向领涨；稀土、CPO、创新药、短剧游戏题材活 跃。数字货币、跨境支付方向调整，券商、油气板块跌幅靠前。 资金流向 主力资金全天净流入煤炭、电网设备、半导体等板块，净流出计算机、消费电子、证券等板块。 具体到个股 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the significant growth of the Tianhong ChiNext ETF (159977), which has seen a scale increase of 419 million yuan and a share increase of 10.6 million shares over the past two weeks, indicating strong investor interest [1][2] - The ChiNext ETF has attracted nearly 200 million yuan in capital inflow over the last five trading days, showcasing its popularity among investors [2] - The ETF tracks a portfolio heavily weighted in technology sectors, with over 65% of its components in electric equipment, electronics, biomedicine, and communications, aligning with China's core areas of technological innovation [3] Group 2 - A strategic cooperation agreement has been signed between CATL and NIO for five years, focusing on joint development of long-life batteries and battery swap technology, as well as collaboration on market promotion [4] - The market sentiment is optimistic, with expectations of a proactive stance from the Central Economic Work Conference and a favorable macro liquidity environment, contributing to a valuation adjustment driven by incremental capital [5][6] - The current spring market rally is characterized by a focus on technology growth, with signs of increased participation from institutional and leveraged funds, indicating a shift in capital dynamics [6]