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嘉实前沿创新混合基金经理何鸣晓:从产业发展中解码科技资产的“关键变量”
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-12-08 17:13
今年以来,科技领域持续创新突破,政策环境不断优化。多重因素交织下,科技资产展现出前所未有的 投资魅力与发展潜力。现阶段,"科技叙事"深化中国资产价格重估的"关键变量"有哪些?如何在科技板 块波动中精准把握"高低切换"的投资机会?近日,《证券日报》记者带着这些问题对嘉实前沿创新混合 基金经理何鸣晓进行专访。 三方面看待"关键变量" 今年以来,科技领域实现多项突破,并带动了中国资产价值重估。在何鸣晓看来,推动"科技叙事"深化 的"关键变量"有三方面:一是中国科技力量持续提升,在各领域都取得了重大突破,比如国产模型、国 产算力、半导体先进制程等;二是国内政策对中国科技领域的持续支持,包括对科技创新的引导、科技 企业融资等;三是国内人才厚度持续提升,包括AI算法人员的逐步培养成熟、一代又一代技术进步下 相伴相生的工程师红利等。 尽管科技板块的基本面支撑坚实,但近期个股走势却出现显著分化。对此,何鸣晓表示,当下科技相关 板块表现出一定的波动和分化,但短期波动震荡波动不用过度担心,需要从三方面看待。首先,从全球 市场而言,海外投资者对部分海外原厂商资本开支、存储涨价可持续性的看法存在分歧;其次,我国过 程模型和国产算力正 ...
2025「F40中国青年投资人」揭晓
投资界· 2025-11-27 07:17
Core Insights - The "F40 China Young Investors" initiative aims to identify outstanding investors under 40 years old, highlighting the generational shift in the investment landscape and the emergence of new players in niche sectors [2][4]. Group 1: Industry Trends - The investment industry is undergoing a significant generational transition, with younger investors becoming the backbone of leading institutions [3]. - Corporate Venture Capital (CVC) is increasingly recognized as a vital force within the venture capital ecosystem [3]. - Technology investments have become the dominant narrative, with educational and industry backgrounds gaining unprecedented importance [4]. Group 2: Investment Focus Areas - The AI wave is creating opportunities for a new generation of investors, while the healthcare sector is witnessing a resurgence for those who remain committed [4]. - Consumer sectors are regaining prominence, leading to unexpected high returns for certain investors [4]. Group 3: Notable Young Investors - The article lists several notable young investors and their typical investment cases, showcasing their contributions to various sectors [5][6][8][9][11][13][15][19][21][23][25][27][29][31][33][35][37][39][41][43][45][47][49][51][53][55][57][59][61][63][64][65][67][69][71][73][75].
多重利好共振下科技叙事持续,借“基”布局AI产业链
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-11-26 00:03
2025年投资进入收官阶段,回望这一年的行情,科技毫无疑问仍是热门主题,中证TMT指数年内上涨40.70%,显著跑赢上证指数、深证成指同期 19.42%、27.60%的涨幅表现。 (截至2025年11月11日。中证TMT指数2020-2024年、2025年上半年涨跌幅依次为14.03%、3.69%、-30.86%、3.54%、18.83%、4.29%;上证指数2020- 2024年、2025年上半年涨跌幅依次为13.87%、4.80%、-15.13%、-3.70%、12.67%、2.76%;深证成指2020-2024年、2025年上半年涨跌幅依次为38.73%、 2.67%、-25.86%、-13.54%、9.34%、0.49%。指数数据仅供参考,不作为任何投资建议或收益暗示。指数过往涨幅不预示其未来表现,也不代表跟踪该指 数的指数基金未来业绩。) 而展望下一阶段,科技叙事是否会延续,投资者又该如何充分把握AI带来的投资机遇?从多方面来看,AI等科技领域的投资行情或"未完待续"。 1、AI资本开支加码,产业链景气度高 近年来,全球科技类大厂AI资本开支节节攀升,美股四家科技巨头今年的AI资本支出预计将达350 ...
11月25日热门路演速递 | 阿里、蔚来业绩会揭晓关键战报、中信建投论剑2026策略
Wind万得· 2025-11-24 22:42
01 谜题尽解,尚待新局——2026年债市年度策略报告 16:00-17:00 核心看点: 2026年债市走向?货币政策宽松空间是否依然有限?面对基本面改善与微观体感疲软 的矛盾,债市将如何抉择?当资本利得惯性遭遇有限票息,是坚守久期还是转向票息策略?明年债 市是否真的只能"小幅看多",且逆向布局优于顺势而为? 嘉宾: 杜渐 丨浙商证券固收首席分析师 扫码预约 02 03 中信建投 | 科技团队联合展望 - 2026年度策略报告汇报会议之四 20:00-21:00 核心看点: 2026年科技投资的主线是否仍由AI引领?面对"无就业增长"的降息周期,机遇与挑战 如何分化?中国AI能否凭借其庞大的应用市场、世界级的模型层与自主硬件的快速迭代实现系统性 重估?在算力端,散热、PCB、电源等方向是否蕴含确定性机会?国产芯片会否迎来订单倾斜与集 中度提升?而AI应用商业化、计算机领域的国产化、量子科技及智驾等高景气赛道,又将是下一轮 行情的关键吗? 嘉宾: 于芳博丨中信建投证券人工智能首席分析师 应瑛丨中信建投证券计算机首席分析师 崔世峰丨中信建投证券海外研究首席分析师 杨伟松丨中信建投证券科技前瞻首席分析师 扫码预约 ...
诺安基金邓心怡:做科技投资,“前瞻一些,再前瞻一些”
画像速写 喜欢在论文中寻找产业前瞻趋势,常常为看到的技术进步而激动不已……寥寥数语,一个热衷于科技产 业投资的基金经理形象跃然纸上。化工材料专业出身,2013年开始研究布局新能源,如今逐渐聚焦科技 产业,诺安基金权益事业部副总经理、研究部总经理邓心怡,正立足于人工智能(AI)浪潮,开启她 的投资新征程。 近日,邓心怡在接受中国证券报记者专访时表示,"前瞻一些,再前瞻一些"是令她觉得踏实的超额收益 策略。在产业趋势初露苗头、市场还没有充分定价前进入,能够更稳妥地获得可观回报。与此同 时,"读论文"成为她前瞻性嗅到投资机会的重要法宝。展望未来,她认为,AI有望成为科技产业浪潮中 的核心驱动力,看好该板块蕴藏的丰富投资机会。 编导:仇子兴、杨皖玉 人物简介 邓心怡,曾任职于中国对外贸易信托有限公司,从事投资研究工作。2020年11月加入诺安基金,现任权 益事业部副总经理兼研究部总经理。自2022年7月6日起担任基金经理,现管理诺安稳健回报混合、诺安 平衡混合、诺安优势行业混合、诺安研究优选混合等多只产品。 邓心怡:我自己的投资策略还是以科技成长为核心,这是我的核心能力圈和最关注的领域,对于全市场 视角而言,我要在自 ...
广发基金夏浩洋:ETF是参与此轮科技投资热潮的优质工具
Core Insights - The domestic ETF market in China has experienced explosive growth, with the number of listed ETF products reaching 1,033 and a total scale of 3.72 trillion yuan by the end of 2024, indicating a shift towards index-based investment strategies [1][3] Group 1: ETF Market Growth - The ETF market's activity has significantly increased over the past two to three years, becoming a widely recognized investment tool among investors [1][3] - The rise of ETFs is particularly notable in the technology investment sector, where they serve as an efficient and practical allocation tool [1][3] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - The rapid emergence of cutting-edge technologies, such as artificial intelligence, has led to the proliferation of various niche sectors, making it challenging for investors to deeply understand each field [3] - ETFs address this challenge by allowing investors to focus on promising sectors without the need for extensive research on individual stocks, thus providing convenient access to overall sector returns [3] Group 3: Advantages of ETFs - ETFs offer simplicity, transparency, and low investment thresholds, making it easier for ordinary investors to participate in the technology investment wave [3] - The long-term benefits of China's technological development, driven by a strong foundation in education and the "engineer dividend," are highlighted as key factors for investment consideration [3] Group 4: Strategic Recommendations - Investors are advised to focus on Chinese technology assets, particularly those related to artificial intelligence and robotics, especially in the Hong Kong stock market, to capitalize on the long-term revaluation opportunities in tech stocks [3] - Utilizing ETFs allows investors to share in the growth of these sectors without the complexities of stock selection [3]
市场早盘高开低走,中证A500指数上涨0.11%,3只中证A500相关ETF成交额超29亿元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 03:56
Core Viewpoint - The market opened higher but experienced a decline, with the CSI A500 index rising by 0.11%. The banking sector showed strength, while consumer sectors like tourism, food, retail, and textiles weakened. The overall market sentiment remains supported by ongoing global tech investment enthusiasm and policies promoting economic stability [1]. Market Performance - The CSI A500 index saw a slight increase of 0.11% in early trading. The banking sector performed well, while sectors related to tourism, food, retail, and textiles faced declines [1]. - As of the morning close, ETFs tracking the CSI A500 index experienced slight gains, with 12 ETFs exceeding a trading volume of 100 million yuan, and 3 surpassing 2.9 billion yuan. Specific ETFs such as A500ETF Fund, A500ETF Huatai-PB, and A500ETF E-Fund had trading volumes of 3.704 billion yuan, 3.270 billion yuan, and 2.906 billion yuan respectively [1]. ETF Trading Data - A500ETF Fund: Current price 1.159, up 0.17%, trading volume 3.704 billion yuan [2] - A500ETF Huatai-PB: Current price 1.232, up 0.16%, trading volume 3.270 billion yuan [2] - A500ETF E-Fund: Current price 1.187, up 0.25%, trading volume 2.906 billion yuan [2] - Other notable ETFs include A500ETF South, A500ETF Jias, and A500ETF Leading, with respective trading volumes of 2.627 billion yuan, 1.093 billion yuan, and 620.1 million yuan [2]. Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the foundation for the current slow bull market remains intact, supported by factors such as sustained global tech investment enthusiasm, ongoing "anti-involution" policies, and increased household savings entering the market. There is potential for the A-share index to continue strengthening in the future [1].
【机构策略】A股市场处于震荡蓄势阶段
Market Overview - The A-share market experienced fluctuations with sectors such as non-ferrous metals, oil and petrochemicals, national defense, beauty care, and banking showing strong gains, while sectors like comprehensive services, real estate, media, construction materials, and retail faced declines [1][1][1] - The market is currently in a consolidation phase around the 4000-point mark, with a long-term upward trend expected to continue [1][1][1] Sector Performance - Strong performance was noted in shipbuilding, precious metals, energy metals, and banking, while internet services, software development, cultural media, and electronic components lagged behind [1][1] - The market is in a critical phase for positioning for the upcoming year, with a likelihood of continued consolidation around the 4000-point level [1][1] Investor Sentiment - The stabilization of A-share indices is seen as a positive factor for short-term market confidence [1] - Despite geopolitical tensions leading to cautious funding behavior, the potential for increased market volatility remains [1] - Mid-term outlook remains optimistic due to sustained global tech investment enthusiasm, ongoing "anti-involution" policies, and increased retail investment [1][1]
鹏华基金·科创股债ETF大厂|省心科技投资,双“创”组合动量轮动
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-18 03:00
Core Insights - The technology sector has been the most prominent market theme this year, with rapid rotations among sub-sectors like AI computing, semiconductors, and new energy, making it challenging for ordinary investors to navigate [1] - Broad-based index funds are emerging as a better solution for ordinary investors to participate in the technology wave, offering industry-balanced allocation that diversifies individual stock risks while capturing industry trend dividends [1] Group 1: Index Characteristics - The ChiNext 50 and Sci-Tech 100 indices are highlighted as the "twin stars" of technology investment, with distinct compositions and risk profiles that complement each other [1][4] - The ChiNext 50 index represents "mature technology anchors," featuring leading companies in new energy, communications, and electronics, which have established strong competitive advantages and exhibit stable earnings [4] - In contrast, the Sci-Tech 100 index focuses on "hard technology pioneers," concentrating on sectors like semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, and high-end manufacturing, characterized by higher growth potential and volatility [4][6] Group 2: Momentum Rotation Strategy - A momentum rotation strategy is proposed, leveraging the strong performance of the ChiNext 50 and Sci-Tech 100 indices, which exhibit a "stronger gets stronger" effect typical in the technology sector [7] - Entry signals for the strategy are defined as a cumulative increase of 8% or more over the past 20 trading days for either index, with a preference for the index showing stronger momentum [7] - The strategy includes ongoing monitoring of the holding index's momentum, with a switch to the stronger index if the other surpasses it by 3 percentage points [7][8] Group 3: Strategy Performance - Historical backtesting from November 14, 2020, to November 14, 2025, shows that the momentum rotation strategy achieved a total return of 96.36%, significantly outperforming the ChiNext 50's 31.84% and the Sci-Tech 100's -0.78% [10] - The strategy also demonstrated effective risk control, with a maximum drawdown of -25.46%, compared to -63.72% for the Sci-Tech 100 index, resulting in a Sharpe ratio of 0.59, well above the benchmark's 0.21 [10] - The strategy successfully kept pace with market trends during bullish phases and avoided significant losses during market downturns by maintaining cash positions when both indices fell below the entry threshold [10]
科技双雄新投法 跟着鹏华“科创股债ETF大厂”玩转双“创”组合动量轮动
Cai Fu Zai Xian· 2025-11-17 09:30
Core Insights - The technology sector has been the most prominent market theme this year, with rapid rotations among sub-sectors like AI computing, semiconductors, and renewable energy, making it challenging for ordinary investors to navigate [1] - Broad-based index funds are emerging as a better solution for ordinary investors to participate in the technology wave, offering industry-balanced allocation that diversifies individual stock risks while capturing industry trend benefits [1] Group 1: Index Characteristics - The ChiNext 50 and Sci-Tech 100 indices are highlighted as the "twin stars" of technology investment, with distinct component stock structures, industry focuses, and risk characteristics that complement each other [1][3] - The ChiNext 50 index represents "mature technology anchors," primarily consisting of leading companies in renewable energy, communications, and electronics, which have established strong competitive advantages and exhibit stable profitability [3] - In contrast, the Sci-Tech 100 index focuses on "hard technology pioneers," concentrating on sectors like semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, and high-end manufacturing, characterized by higher growth potential and greater volatility [3][4] Group 2: Momentum Rotation Strategy - A momentum rotation strategy is proposed to capitalize on technology investment opportunities, leveraging the inherent differences between the two indices [5] - Entry signals are defined as when either index achieves a cumulative gain of 8% over the past 20 trading days, with a preference for the index showing stronger momentum [7] - The strategy emphasizes disciplined and adaptive management, avoiding emotional trading and market noise, with clear rules for entry, holding, and exit [7] Group 3: Performance Metrics - Historical backtesting from November 14, 2020, to November 14, 2025, shows that the momentum rotation strategy achieved a total return of 96.36%, significantly outperforming the ChiNext 50's 31.84% and the Sci-Tech 100's -0.78% [10] - The strategy also demonstrated superior risk control, with a maximum drawdown of -25.46%, compared to the Sci-Tech 100's maximum drawdown of -63.72%, resulting in a Sharpe ratio of 0.59, well above the benchmark's 0.21 [10] - The strategy effectively tracks market trends during bullish phases and successfully avoids significant losses during market downturns by maintaining cash positions when necessary [10]