Market Overview - The market is currently experiencing narrow fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index testing the 3400-point level and trading volume shrinking to around 100 billion [3] - Foreign capital is showing signs of bottom-fishing, with a net inflow of 6.7 billion on June 6, favoring sectors like precious metals, technology, and consumer goods, while domestic capital saw a net outflow of nearly 40 billion [3] Key Events - The upcoming US-China trade negotiations from June 8 to 13 are crucial, with semiconductor technology and tariff reviews on the agenda. Positive outcomes could boost sectors like rare earths and new energy vehicles, while negative outcomes may lead to increased demand for gold and military stocks [4] - New regulations on quantitative trading are expected to impact high-frequency trading, potentially leading to short-term weakness in small-cap stocks, but may benefit the market in the long run by reducing volatility [4] Investment Opportunities - The consumer sector is supported by government policies such as vehicle trade-ins and the positive performance of the 618 shopping festival, with sub-sectors like beauty care and snacks showing growth [5] - The technology sector is also gaining momentum due to advancements in AI and the launch of major funds, making equipment and chip companies worth monitoring [5] Technical Analysis - The 3400-point level is seen as a strong resistance due to previous losses, and a significant trading volume of at least 1 trillion is needed for a breakthrough. The ChiNext index has also encountered resistance just above 2000 points [7] Strategic Recommendations - A balanced approach with a 50% investment position is suggested, combining defensive assets like gold with offensive positions in leading consumer and technology stocks. Companies with strong cash flow and solid teams are viewed as resilient investments [8]

Group 1 - The A-share market is experiencing a nearly one-sided upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index rebounding 400 points since its low in April, and small-cap indices approaching new highs [1][5] - The Hong Kong stock market shows a more significant rebound, particularly in the Hang Seng Medical and Technology indices, indicating a broad-based rally [1][5] - There is a notable rotation in sectors, with healthcare, pharmaceuticals, and pet economy stocks gaining attention, while the white wine sector remains underperforming [3][5] Group 2 - The market is expected to see a new rally, likely driven by a collective rise in sectors such as white wine, securities, and real estate, with a target of returning to 3400 points [5] - The current market environment suggests that as long as investors avoid chasing prices, they will not incur losses, emphasizing the importance of patience and waiting for opportunities to arise [5][3] - The Hong Kong market still presents opportunities, particularly in the Hang Seng Technology and Medical indices, which are at historical lows, suggesting potential for recovery [5][3]

每经记者｜郑步春 每经编辑｜肖芮冬 周一A股上午偏弱震荡，下午走势略转好，收盘各大股指以微涨为主。截至收盘，上证综指微涨0.12点 至3367.58点，其余主要股指涨幅细微，仅北证50显著上涨2.37%。全A总成交额11189亿元，较上周五的 11241亿元略有缩小。 由盘面看，航运港口、化纤、造纸、房地产、环保等板块表现稍强，白酒、矿物制品、工程机械、保 险、银行等板块表现稍弱。 周二央行将公布贷款市场报价利率（LPR），因关税战降温及近期经济数据相对较稳，多数市场人士预 计5月LPR将维持不变，稍后几个月才有望下调。 A股中短期内走势将很大程度上取决于中美后续谈判，投资者目前操作上多半会倾向于保守与观望。预 计在上述重大事项明朗前，A股大概率延续震荡格局，投资者可继续持股观望。 白酒类个股开盘即下跌。据新华社报道，近日印发修订后的《党政机关厉行节约反对浪费条例》，有与 酒相关的文字，具体是：工作餐不得提供高档菜肴，不得提供香烟，不上酒。 其他市场方面，上周五美股三大股指均小涨；周一港股小跌，恒指微跌0.05%，恒生科技指数跌 0.50%。本周二，宁德时代H股将于港交所主板挂牌上市，市场预期较好，近期宁德时 ...

13日早盘，两市股指全线高开，随后涨幅有所回落。到发稿，沪指小幅走高，创业板指涨近1%。 职业方面，家居、物流、医药、石油、钢铁等板块走强，航运概念、跨境电商、算力概念等活泼；军 工、稳妥、电力等板块走低。 昨日大幅拉升的港股回落走低，到发稿，恒生指数、恒生科技指数均跌超1%。 昨日下午，中美日内瓦经贸谈判联合声明发布，两边许诺将于2025年5月14日前采取修改加征的从价关 税等系列行动。 中航资本表明，此次关税下调的起伏大超商场预期，将明显提振商场心情，比如科技和外需板块，前者 受前期商场风险下行的压制，后者则受偏高关税税率影响较大。短期商场或重回风险偏好的心情中，前 期跌落较多的科技和外需板块或迎来节奏性修复。 A股短期震动偏强的趋势或许进一步加强，根本面预期的改进或许导致A股打破上行。一是近期A股震 动偏强的中心驱动要素或许进一步加强：首要，方针和流动性宽松是A股"五一"节后走强的主要驱动要 素，此次超预期大幅下降加征关税不会对国内方针和流动性宽松产生影响，反而或许进一步加大美联储 降息和人民币升值的预期，对流动性宽松预期有利；其次，中美平缓带来的风险偏好改进是推进近期走 势偏强的另一个中心要素，本次超 ...

最近的股市走势，简直像极了一场让人摸不着头脑的心理战。不少新入市的朋友开始有点慌了：前一阵子，大盘连续拉出几根小阳线，仿佛春天的脚步临 近，希望在心头悄悄萌芽；可还没高兴几天，画风突变，小阴线接连出现，像是突如其来的冷空气，把刚燃起的信心又浇灭了。 其实，当前的A股走势与5年前的一幕十分相像，就好像是剧本写的一样。当然了，向上收复A股那个跳空向下的缺口势必是大概率事件，毕竟，缺口必补的 理论在为数众多的技术派股民心中是非常正确的。对于经验丰富的老股民来说，真正值得关注的不是眼前的恐慌性下跌，而是那个被"打穿"的缺口何时补 上、补完之后的走势。大跌之下，散户往往选择"死守"，不到万不得已不愿割肉认赔。毕竟，"割肉"不只是账户上的亏损，更像是对自我判断的否定，心理 上很难接受。因此，真正的抛压其实并不在暴跌之时，而是在随后的反弹中悄然释放——当股价略有回升，一些心力交瘁的散户便迫不及待地选择离场，生 怕再次被套牢。 这时候，老股民就要看清一个关键节点：一旦补缺完成、市场情绪回暖，那些曾经的恐慌盘就可能变成推动行情的动力。毕竟，市场的每一次反转，都是由 这些情绪与行为的转换点所驱动。看懂这一点，才能在纷繁复杂的K线 ...

今天一醒来就听到了喜讯，潘展乐在100米自由泳决赛以打破世界纪录的成绩夺冠。这真的是平地惊雷，人一激灵就醒了。 国内媒体一般报喜不报忧，很多网友可能都不太清楚中国游泳队最近发生的事，几个月前有内部吹哨人给欧美媒体曝光23名中国游泳运动员曲美检测阳 性，这事在国际泳坛闹的鸡飞狗跳。兴奋剂检测组织wada被批包庇中国队，他们也承受了巨大压力，为了避嫌这次巴黎奥运会上对中国选手进行了非常 苛刻的兴奋剂检测，之前高敏都在微博上吐槽，说中国选手1天7检严重影响休息。 然后就是前几天覃海洋连续发挥失常，张雨霏也卫冕失败，你们懂的，从里到外压力拉满。有人说现在是中国泳队的生死时刻，这个说法夸张了，中国泳 队真搞砸了回去该清算的清算，换一批人下届继续来，但队里面某些人的职场生涯大概就真完了。 昨天195亿的净流入破案了，大部分是真外资席位买的，境内券商席位的占比不大。这就奇怪了，为什么老外昨天一窝蜂的进场抬轿，现在也没找到合理 解释，但看起来是一个意外，因为他们今天又开始抛了。 很多人担心昨天只是昙花一现，之后a股又陷入漫长的阴跌，坦率讲这事也不是没可能，但起码今天的走势还没有这么悲观。大阳线次日出现小幅缩量的 调整，在技术 ...