Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View of the Report The A-share market is expected to continue the trend of volatile upward movement after the holiday, and the gap formed on April 7 is expected to be filled. Investors are advised to closely monitor market dynamics, flexibly adjust their position allocation, and reasonably control their position levels [27][28]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs (1) Market Review - Last week, IF2505 closed at 3752.0 points, down 22.8 points or 0.6% from the previous week. IH2505 closed at 2627.2 points, down 17.8 points or 0.67% from the previous week [5]. (2) Fundamental Analysis - In April, the Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) was 49.0%, down 1.5 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a decline in the manufacturing prosperity level [7]. - In April, the Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index was 50.4%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, still above the critical point, indicating that the non-manufacturing sector continued to expand [9]. - In April, the Composite PMI Output Index was 50.2%, down 1.2 percentage points from the previous month, still above the critical point, indicating that China's business production and operation activities continued to expand [11]. (3) Valuation Analysis - As of May 5, the PE of the CSI 500 Index was 28.3 times, the quantile was 63.14%, and the PB was 1.74 times. The PE of the SSE 50 Index was 10.65 times, the quantile was 61.76%, and the PB was 1.17 times. The PE of the CSI 1000 Index was 40.06 times, the quantile was 59.8%, and the PB was 2.01 times [16]. (4) Other Data - The stock-bond yield spread is the difference between the stock market yield and the government bond yield. There are two formulas for calculating the stock-bond yield spread: one is based on the reciprocal of the price-earnings ratio, and the other is based on the dividend yield [23][24]. (5) Comprehensive Analysis - During the pre-holiday trading period, the A-share market showed a volatile and weak adjustment trend, and investor sentiment was relatively cautious. During the "May Day" holiday, the Hong Kong stock market performed strongly, which is expected to inject positive momentum into the A-share market after the holiday [27].

Group 1: Core Insights - The insurance industry is expected to see a gradual alleviation of interest spread loss risks due to continuous improvement in the liability side and strong market savings demand [1] - The ten-year government bond yield has recently dropped to approximately 1.63%, and with the anticipated domestic economic recovery, the pressure on new fixed-income investment returns for insurance companies is expected to ease [1] - The valuation of the insurance sector remains low, with projected 2025E PEV of 0.49-0.79 times and PB of 0.88-1.95 times, indicating a historical low and maintaining an "overweight" rating for the industry [1] Group 2: Q1 2025 Operational Review - Net profit and net asset growth for listed insurance companies experienced short-term fluctuations due to rising interest rates and falling bond markets, with significant differentiation among companies based on their reserve discount rates and VFA model measurement bases [2] - New business structure has improved significantly, with a rapid growth in NBV driven by factors such as reduced preset interest rates and optimized business structures, despite a slight short-term pressure on new single premiums [2] - The agent workforce remains stable, and the contribution of bank insurance channels to NBV is expected to continue increasing as companies' reform efforts yield results [2] Group 3: Property Insurance Insights - The combined ratio for property insurance has significantly improved year-on-year, primarily due to reduced disaster claims, cost-cutting measures, and the clearing of high-risk businesses [3] - Investment returns have faced slight pressure due to rising interest rates and falling bond markets, but improvements in bond-related investment losses are expected from Q2 onwards [3] Group 4: Product Evolution and Future Outlook - The insurance industry has evolved from single protection products to diversified offerings, with significant opportunities in health and long-term care insurance [4] - Learning from overseas markets, there are opportunities for both savings and protection products tailored to local conditions, with a focus on long-term value and investment [4] - The industry is optimistic about the innovative development of health insurance, with dividend insurance being a preferred choice for balancing premium growth and alleviating interest spread loss pressures [4]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese credit market is experiencing a significant shift as credit risks and spreads have reached historical lows, driven by a combination of value imbalance, policy changes, and debt cycle dynamics [1][2]. Group 1: Value Imbalance - The ratio of credit spreads to LPR spreads fell below 50% in the second half of 2024, leading to a disappearance of capital gain expectations [1]. - Institutional investors, such as banks and insurance companies, are shifting towards long-term interest rate bonds due to the imbalance in value, resulting in a sharp adjustment in the credit bond market [1]. - This institutional behavior has intensified the differentiation within the credit market, highlighting the severe inadequacy of overall credit spread value [1]. Group 2: Policy Dynamics - Since the initiation of the debt reduction policy in 2015, credit spreads have been on a long-term decline, but the policy focus has shifted towards urban investment transformation rather than debt reduction itself as of September 2024 [2]. - The next three years will see the completion of implicit debt replacement, leading to a reduction in policy support and a transition into a policy bottom phase for the credit market [2]. - The decrease in debt reduction funds and the advancement of urban investment transformation are gradually diminishing the factors that mitigate credit risk, necessitating attention to the survival pressures of tail-end entities [2]. Group 3: Debt Cycle Context - In the context of a global debt crisis, China has adjusted earlier due to pressures from real estate and local government debt, with credit risk pricing at historical lows [2]. - However, the pressures from external demand contraction and urban investment transformation are increasing actual tail-end risks [2]. - As the largest industrial nation globally, China’s reliance on external demand is facing challenges, while the push for urban investment transformation exacerbates credit risks for tail-end entities [2].

Core Viewpoint - The credit market is expected to receive support from the White House to limit the widening of spreads this year, as indicated by U.S. Bank's credit strategists led by Yuri Seliger [1] Group 1 - The Trump administration has shown sensitivity to the negative impacts of tariff policies on the market and the U.S. economy [1] - The "Trump put" supports the view that investment-grade bond spreads should remain in the range of 90 to 130 basis points by 2025 [1] - As of last Friday, the spread on U.S. high-grade bonds narrowed to 102 basis points, down from a peak of 119 basis points following the announcement of new tariffs on April 2 [1]

重要内容提示： 每股现金红利0.62元（含税） 本次利润分配方案经厦门特宝生物工程股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）2025年4月18日的2024年年度 股东大会审议通过。 二、分配方案 1.发放年度：2024年年度 2.分派对象： 截至股权登记日下午上海证券交易所收市后，在中国证券登记结算有限责任公司上海分公司（以下简 称"中国结算上海分公司"）登记在册的本公司全体股东。 本公司董事会及全体董事保证公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的 真实性、准确性和完整性依法承担法律责任。 3.分配方案： 本次利润分配以方案实施前的公司总股本406,800,000股为基数，每股派发现金红利0.62元（含税），共 计派发现金红利252,216,000元（含税）。 三、相关日期 ■ 四、分配实施办法 1.实施办法 除公司自行发放对象外，公司其余股东的红利委托中国结算上海分公司通过其资金清算系统向股权登记 日上海证券交易所收市后登记在册并在上海证券交易所各会员办理了指定交易的股东派发。已办理指定 交易的投资者可于红利发放日在其指定的证券营业部领取现金红利，未办理指定交易的股东红利暂由中 国结算上海分公 ...

曾经备受市场青睐的万能险，迎来监管新规。国家金融监督管理总局近日印发《关于加强万能型人身保 险监管有关事项的通知》(下称"《通知》")，允许万能险最低保证利率动态调整，禁止5年期以下产 品，同时要求保险公司强化万能险账户流动性管理，严控资金投向与期限错配风险，防范潜在兑付压 力。《通知》自2025年5月1日起实施，保险公司已经开展的万能险业务不符合本通知规定的，原则上应 当于2026年4月30日前完成整改。 全面从严监管万能险 保底收益也不再铁板一块 简单来说，万能险是一种包含保险保障功能并设立有保底收益投资账户的人寿保险，曾因交费灵活、保 额可调整、保单价值领取方便等优势，备受市场青睐。 记者留意到，此次《通知》围绕规范万能险产品发展、提升保障水平、强化账户管理、强化资金运用监 管、规范万能险销售行为五大方面，全面从严监管万能险，旨在从根本上解决万能险在以往发展过程中 积累的深层问题。 在规范产品发展方面。《通知》强调，除终身寿险、两全保险和年金保险等产品外，其他产品不得设计 成万能型。禁止开发五年期以下(不含五年)的万能险。同时鼓励保险公司通过合理调整退保费用、保单 持续奖金等产品设计要素延长保单实际存续 ...

Core Viewpoint - The performance of five listed insurance companies in A-shares for Q1 2025 shows a mixed result with three companies reporting profit increases and two reporting declines in net profit [2][3]. Group 1: Net Profit Performance - China Life Insurance reported a net profit of 288.02 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39.5% [3]. - China Pacific Insurance and Ping An Insurance reported net profits of 96.27 billion yuan and 270.16 billion yuan, respectively, with declines of 18.1% and 26.4% year-on-year [4]. - New China Life Insurance achieved a net profit growth of 19% due to a 26.1% increase in revenue [3]. Group 2: Business Transformation and New Business Value - China Life Insurance has diversified its product offerings, with floating income-type business accounting for 51.72% of first-year premiums, showing significant transformation [5]. - Ping An Insurance's new business value reached 128.91 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.9%, driven by multi-channel development [6]. - China Pacific Insurance's new business value grew by 39% year-on-year, with a scale premium of 1,184.22 billion yuan, reflecting strong performance [7]. Group 3: Investment Performance - The investment strategies of insurance companies have varied, with China Life achieving a total investment return rate of 2.75% and New China Life achieving 5.7% [9]. - The bond market has shown significant volatility, impacting the investment income of companies like Ping An and China Pacific [4][9]. - Insurance companies are adjusting their asset allocation strategies in response to low interest rates and regulatory changes, seeking higher-yielding assets [11]. Group 4: Regulatory Environment and Future Outlook - Regulatory measures are pushing insurance companies to transform their liability-side businesses to mitigate interest rate risks [5]. - Companies are exploring diversified asset allocations, including investments in private equity funds and infrastructure [10][11]. - The focus on high-dividend assets and long-term equity investments is expected to be a key direction for insurance companies moving forward [11].

| 作者 | 金融机构部 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 张 | 璐 | 010-66428877-432 | lzhang@ccxi.com.cn | | 邓 | 婕 | 010-66428877-631 | jdeng@ccxi.com.cn | | 陶美娟 | 010-66428877-323 | mjtao@ccxi.com.cn | | | 其他联络人 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 金融机构部 | 评级总监 | | | 王雅方 | | 010-66428877 | | | | yfwang@ccxi.com.cn | | 金融机构部 | 评级副总监 | | | 孟 航 | | 010-66428877 | | | | hmeng@ccxi.com.cn | 中诚信国际 中国人身险行业 中国人身险行业展望，2025 年 4 月 www.ccxi.com.cn 行业展望 2025 年 4 月 | 目录 | | | --- | --- | | 摘要 | 1 | | 监管环境 | 2 | | 业务运营 | 3 | | 财务状况 | 7 | | 附 ...

www.ccxi.com.cn 行业展望 2025 年 4 月 | 目录 | | | --- | --- | | 摘要 | 1 | | 监管环境 | 2 | | 业务运营 | 3 | | 财务状况 | 7 | | 附表 | 12 | 联络人 | 作者 | 金融机构部 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 张 | 璐 | 010-66428877-432 | lzhang@ccxi.com.cn | | 邓 | 婕 | 010-66428877-631 | jdeng@ccxi.com.cn | | 陶美娟 | 010-66428877-323 | mjtao@ccxi.com.cn | | | 其他联络人 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 金融机构部 | 评级总监 | | | 王雅方 | | 010-66428877 | | | | yfwang@ccxi.com.cn | | 金融机构部 | 评级副总监 | | | 孟 航 | | 010-66428877 | | | | hmeng@ccxi.com.cn | 中诚信国际 中国人身险行业 中国人身险行业展 ...

Group 1 - The Trump administration's tariff negotiations have not resulted in any agreements with other countries, including Japan, which has notably resisted U.S. pressure [1][3] - Japan's refusal to join any trade group aimed at isolating China marks a significant shift in its stance towards U.S. demands [1] - Japan is strategically delaying negotiations with the U.S. while seeking to improve trade and financial relations with China to bolster its economy [3] Group 2 - The meeting between the governors of the People's Bank of China and the Bank of Japan has raised concerns about potential coordinated actions against U.S. debt, which could impact the U.S. financial market [5] - Predictions suggest that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates 2-3 times this year, while the Bank of Japan may continue to raise rates, affecting the attractiveness of U.S. debt [5] - Japan's historical tendency to act independently from U.S. policies could lead to unexpected economic maneuvers that may challenge U.S. financial stability [5]