Group 1 - The current total holdings of the SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold ETF, stand at 935.91 tons, reflecting a decrease of 0.31 tons from the previous trading day [4] - On June 10, spot gold experienced fluctuations, reaching a high of $3349.20 per ounce and a low of $3300 per ounce, with a daily range of nearly $50, closing at $3322.49 per ounce, down $2.85 or 0.09% [4] - Market sentiment is relatively positive due to ongoing US-China trade negotiations, which may suppress gold prices in the short term if positive outcomes are reported [4] Group 2 - Analysts are closely monitoring the upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for May, which will help assess the health of the US economy and predict the Federal Reserve's interest rate trajectory [4] - Recent strong performances in silver and platinum have drawn attention, with silver prices soaring over 35% since April's low, surpassing the $36 mark for the first time in 13 years [4][5] - UBS attributes the strong performance of platinum and silver to five common factors, including expected supply shortages and relative value attractiveness compared to gold [5] Group 3 - Technically, the overall outlook for gold remains bullish, with the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) holding above the midpoint, indicating a positive short-term outlook [5] - If gold prices gain upward momentum, they may test the strong resistance level at $3350, with further resistance at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of $3375 [5] - Conversely, if the daily close falls below the strong support level of $3300, it may challenge the 50-day moving average at $3260, followed by $3230 [5]

Group 1 - The upcoming CPI report is expected to show a slight increase in inflation, particularly in goods inflation, due to companies gradually passing on higher import tariffs to consumers [1][5] - The market anticipates a year-on-year CPI increase to 2.5% from the previous 2.3%, with a monthly CPI rate holding steady at 0.2% and a core CPI monthly increase of 0.3%, marking the largest rise in four months [1][5] - Businesses are increasingly transferring tariff costs to consumers, with a significant portion of manufacturers and service providers fully passing on these costs through price increases [5][6] Group 2 - The inflation report will provide insights into the impact of tariffs, as investors remain cautious about rising inflation [3][5] - Consumer expectations regarding future inflation have eased, with one-year inflation expectations dropping to 3.2% from 3.6% in April, and five-year expectations decreasing to 2.6% from 2.7% [6] - The CPI report is a critical data point ahead of the Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting, with expectations that the Fed will maintain interest rates unless there is a significant unexpected rise in inflation [8][10]

北京市内特产店挂着中美国旗（4月，Kyodo） 由在中国开展业务的美国企业组成的中国美国商会日前公布了调查结果。调查向商会的会员 企业询问"如今后6～12个月内对华关税再次提高（至145%等），将如何改变业务模式"。回 答"将生产转移至（中美以外的）其他国家"的占13%…… 由在中国拓展业务的美国企业组成的中国美国商会日前公布了围绕两国贸易摩擦在5月下旬实 施的问卷调查结果。结果显示，即使目前已降至30%的美国对华加征关税再次大幅上调，考 虑将生产从中国转移到美国的企业仍为零。 另一方面，回答"将生产转移回美国"的回答为零。特朗普希望通过关税等一系列措施重振美 国制造业。不过，在中国拓展业务的美国企业目前对生产回归本国持极其慎重态度这一现实 凸显。 在中国设有基地的美国企业并非没有受到对华关税的影响。当询问5月中旬达成协议前的阶段 业务战略所受的影响时，回答"没有影响"的企业仅占21%。44%的企业称"受到某种程度的 影响"，25%表示"受到很大影响"，11%表示"受到极为巨大的影响"。 在江苏苏州生产汽车等的压铸件的企业的经营者表示，"存在客户指定零部件等成本以外的各 种制约因素。生产无法轻易地转移"。无论 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market saw a collective rise in major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.52%, Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.83%, and ChiNext Index up by 1.21% [1] - The total trading volume for the day was 1.28 trillion yuan, a decrease of 164.6 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - The rare earth permanent magnet sector experienced significant gains, with Zhongke Magnetic Materials hitting the daily limit of 20% [2][4] - The gaming sector also saw a surge, with companies like Deyuan Network reaching the daily limit [2][5] - The automotive parts sector was active, with multiple companies announcing a unified payment term of 60 days for suppliers, leading to strong performances from stocks like Tongda Electric and Meichen Technology [2][8] Key Stocks - Notable gainers included: - Jiuling Technology up by 29.89% [5] - Zhongke Magnetic Materials up by 19.99% [5] - Xinghui Entertainment up by 13.43% [6] - The automotive sector saw significant increases, with Jianghuai Automobile rising nearly 7% and BYD up by over 2% [8] Policy Impact - The ongoing trade negotiations between China and the U.S. are expected to address restrictions on rare earth materials, positively impacting related sectors [4] - The Zhejiang Provincial Department of Commerce and 17 other departments issued measures to support the international expansion of gaming companies, which is likely to benefit the gaming sector [5] Market Sentiment - The easing of U.S.-China trade tensions has boosted market risk appetite, particularly in the technology sector, which has continued its rebound since late May [14] - Analysts suggest a cautious approach, advocating for a rotation strategy in the technology sector while being prepared for potential market fluctuations [14]

Group 1 - China has not purchased US crude oil for two consecutive months, resulting in an estimated rejection of approximately 18 million barrels based on last year's procurement volume [1] - The US has significantly increased its crude oil production and export capacity due to the shale oil boom, making it a key player in the global energy market [1] - The trade conflict between the US and China has led to high tariffs on US crude oil exports to China, altering the economic dynamics of the market [3] Group 2 - The reduction in US crude oil purchases by China has severely impacted the US energy sector, leading to a sharp decline in energy export revenues [5] - Many US energy companies are facing financial difficulties, resulting in cost-cutting measures such as layoffs and reduced exploration and development investments [5] - The job losses in the energy sector and reduced production capacity could adversely affect the long-term development of the US energy industry [5] Group 3 - Some US politicians are attempting to regain leverage by threatening high tariffs on China if it continues to purchase Russian oil, but such threats are seen as ineffective and impractical [7] - High tariffs would harm US companies that rely on the Chinese market, leading to increased prices for American goods and higher living costs for US consumers [7] - The stability of US-China relations is crucial for global economic development, and cooperation in energy trade is in the best interest of both nations [8]

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 4 基本面数据 豆粕早报 2025-06-11 大越期货投资咨询部：王明伟 从业资格证号：F0283029 投资咨询资格证号：Z0010442 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 CONTENTS 目 录 1 每日提示 2 近期要闻 3 多空关注 5 持仓数据 ✸豆粕观点和策略 1.基本面：美豆震荡收涨，中美关税谈判正式启动和技术性震荡整理，美豆短期千点关口上 方震荡等待中美关税谈判后续和美国大豆产区种植天气进一步指引。国内豆粕震荡回升， 美豆带动和技术性买盘支撑，但6月进口大豆到港增多和现货价格弱势压制盘面反弹空间， 短期回归区间震荡格局。中性 2.基差：现货2830（华东），基差-201，贴水期货。偏空 3.库存：油厂豆粕库存38.25万吨，上周29.8万吨，环比增加28.36%，去年同期85.61万吨， 同比减少65.19%。偏多 4.盘面：价格在20日均线上方且方向向 ...

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 CONTENTS 目 录 1 前日回顾 2 每日提示 3 4 5 今日关注 基本面数据 持仓数据 黄金 贵金属早报—— 2025年6月11日 大越期货投资咨询部 项唯一 从业资格证号： F3051846 投资咨询证号： Z0015764 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 1、基本面：美商务部长讲话增添市场对会谈希望，金价震荡；美国三大股指全线收 涨，欧洲三大股指涨跌互现；美元指数涨0.04%报99.05，离岸人民币小幅贬值报 7.1892；美债收益率涨跌不一，10年期美债收益率跌0.4个基点报4.470%；COMEX黄 金期货跌0.30%报3344.80美元/盎司；中性 6、预期：今日关注中美经贸磋商机制首次会议、美国5月CPI、美国5月政府预算、 欧央行行长和委员讲话、美国财长贝森特在众议院委员会作证。中美伦敦会谈预期 有所反复，金价继续震荡。沪金溢价扩大至4.15元/克 ...

贵金属日报: 聚焦中美贸易谈判及今晚美CPI 夏莹莹（投资咨询证号：Z0016569） 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1290号 2025年6月11日 【行情回顾】 周二贵金属价格整体维持震荡，投资者等待更多中美贸易谈判结果以及今晚美CPI数据指引。 最终 COMEX黄金2508合约收报3344.8美元/盎司，-0.3%；美白银2507合约收报于36.655美元/盎 司，-0.38%。 SHFE黄金2508主力合约收报775.06元/克，-0.03%；SHFE白银2508合约收8887元/千 克，+0.62%。 【降息预期与基金持仓】 据CME"美联储观察"数据显示，美联储6月维持利率不变的概率为99.9%，降息25个基点的概率为 0.1%；美联储7月维持利率不变的概率为85.5%，累计降息25个基点的概率为14.5%，累计降息50个基点 的概率为0%；美联储9月维持利率不变的概率39.2%，累计降息25个基点的概率为52.9%，累计降息50 个基点的概率为7.9%，累计降息75个基点的概率为0%。长线基金看，SPDR黄金ETF持仓0.31吨至 935.91吨；iShares白银ETF持仓增加32.5 ...

商 品 研 究 研 究 所 晨 会 投资咨询业务资格： 证监许可[2011]1771号 分[析Ta师ble_Report] 观 点 精 萃 从业资格证号：F0256916 投资咨询证号：Z0000671 电话：021-68756925 邮箱：jialj@qh168.com.cn 从业资格证号：F03092124 投资咨询证号：Z0018827 电话：021-68758786 邮箱：mingdy@qh168.com.cn 从业资格证号：F3033924 投资咨询证号：Z0013026 电话：021-68751490 邮箱：Liuhf@qh168.com.cn 刘兵 从业资格证号：F03091165 投资咨询证号：Z0019876 联系电话：021-58731316 邮箱：liub@qh168.com.cn 从业资格证号：F03089928 投资咨询证号：Z0019740 电话：021-68757092 邮箱：wangyil@qh168.com.cn 从业资格证号：F3077183 投资咨询证号：Z0016121 电话：021-68757092 邮箱：fengb@qh168.com.cn 从业资格证号：F0314 ...

gtaxinstitute@essence.com.cn 隔夜沪铝窄幅波动。周一铝锭社库较上周四去库2.7万吨，铝棒持平。铝市维持低库存现实，需求面 临李节性转淡和出口前置后的考验，关注现货反馈边际变化。沪铝暂时震荡在前期缺口20300元存 在阻力,逢高偏空参与。 【氧化铝】 综合晨报 2025年06月11日 【原油】 隔夜国际油价冲高回落，布伦特08合约跌0.79%。在持续对中美谈判乐观预期进行定价后，最新迹 象显示暂无超出日内瓦共识之外的增量进展，油价上行动力不足。上周美国API原油库存下降37万 桶不及此前预期，关注今晚EIA库存结果。在OPEC+7月增产短期利空出尽后，宏观面中美贸易战相 关的风险情绪修复、旺季需求改善、地缘犹动下制裁风险仍存一度对原油构成支撑，但能源转型超 势下的中期石油需求降速叠加OPEC+产量策略改变后供应的快速回归仍将限制短期利好的强度，原 油暂以反弹空间有限定调,继续关注中美经贸磋商能否带动宏观预期的实质性扣转。 【责金属】 隔夜贵金属震荡。近期市场风险偏好修复给金价带来一定压力,但白银受益于商品的反弹向上突破 刷新2012年以来新高。随着关税暂缓三个月截止期的临近，特朗普关 ...