2025年，铂金打破多年沉寂，价格累计上涨超90%，引起投资者广泛关注。当前我国铂金投资市场面临 哪些挑战和机遇？铂金在未来资产配置中将发挥哪些重要作用？在2025广州投资顾问大会暨财富管理转 型发展会议上，新华财经专访了世界铂金投资协会亚太区总经理邓伟斌。 一是强化回收产业。铂金在很多行业被用作催化剂，而催化剂是可以回收的。强化和支持整个回收产业 的发展，充分调动回收资源，是解决供应难点的有效途径。 二是加强与南非矿业公司联系。通过与南非矿业公司加强联系，能够确保战略金属资源未来的长期供应 保障。南非虽然不缺铂金储量，但欠缺合理的价格激励推动矿业公司持续开采。广州期货交易所挂牌铂 期货，能够充分发挥市场价格发现功能，形成公允合理的定价，推动南非矿业公司更好地开采资源，从 而确保市场供应。 三是基础设施逐步完善。广州期货交易所推动铂期货挂牌上市，以及产业链上回购、回流等基础设施的 完善，提高了投资者购买铂金投资产品的便利性和信心，对市场发展起到了很大的推动作用。 在投资者的资产配置组合中，铂金正逐渐崭露头角。过去几年全世界很多国家的央行都在推动去美元 化、叠加通货膨胀和关键矿产资源争夺的背景，铂金作为一种兼具 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the response of Li Bei, founder of Hanxia Investment, to a critical piece published by Huxiu, highlighting the strong influence and rapid engagement of her rebuttal in the private equity circle [2][3]. Group 1: Market Risks and Asset Allocation - Li Bei identifies significant risks in current asset allocation, noting that high-net-worth individuals and wealth institutions are heavily concentrated in four main strategies: quantitative enhancement, sci-tech funds, all-weather strategies, and overseas assets, all of which carry notable risk factors [4]. - The risks associated with these strategies include the impact of small-cap factors and non-linear factors on quantitative enhancement, as well as potential downturns in the sci-tech sector due to rising domestic interest rates and the bursting of the AI bubble [4]. - Li Bei's observations on the concentration of wealth management strategies have sparked new discussions in the market, emphasizing the dangers of asset crowding and the potential for significant price volatility if common risk triggers occur [8]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - Hanxia Investment's current portfolio is characterized by a "deep value" approach, focusing on industry leaders with an average PE of 8 times, PB of 0.8 times, and a dividend yield of 5%, with 80% of holdings exhibiting strong cyclical properties [5][6]. - The portfolio also includes strategies to steepen the yield curve by buying medium- to short-term government bonds while shorting long-term bonds, which is expected to mitigate losses during prolonged deflation [7]. - Li Bei categorizes future economic scenarios into two: one where deflation reverses, leading to significant gains for Hanxia Investment, and another where deflation persists, resulting in minor losses or small gains for Hanxia while mainstream strategies continue to rise [7]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The article notes that the current market dynamics may not simply follow a "this or that" pattern, as both technology and cyclical sectors could perform well under certain conditions, depending on economic recovery and risk appetite [9]. - The performance of the AI sector, despite recent adjustments, is expected to rebound significantly in the latter half of 2024, indicating that the current asset crowding may not necessarily lead to a market style shift [8][9]. - Li Bei's strategy of waiting for the right economic conditions to capitalize on performance recovery reflects a confident stance, although it requires enduring pressure in a competitive fundraising environment [12].

时值年末，公募市场在权益投资中的竞逐轰轰烈烈，但机会并非只留给了高风险投资者。股债混合、债 多股少的"固收+"产品，正在成为相对稳健、资产配置单一的投资者资产配置的"压舱石"。 数据显示，截至今年三季度末，全市场包含偏债混合基金、混合债券型一级/二级基金、可转债基金在 内的公募"固收+"基金，总规模达到2.42万亿元，较2024年底的1.67万亿元大幅增长45%，总规模创出历 史新高。 具体到细分类别，混合债券型二级基金的规模同期突破1.3万亿元，较二季度激增近5000亿元。今年以 来，全市场混合二级债基的总份额则从5575亿份增至1.07亿份，总规模从0.69亿元1.31万亿元，接近翻 倍，成为规模增速领先的"固收+"基金品类之一。 在机构观点看来，展望未来，"固收+"产品仍具备广阔的发展空间，长期配置价值凸显。不过个体产品 之间的风险收益特征和业绩表现也存在着较大差异。基金经理的资产配置理念与基金公司的投研实力及 产品布局，成为投资者参与"固收+"市场、甄选优质产品的核心考量。 "固收+"迎历史性规模扩容 当大多数投资者的目光聚焦于火热的权益市场时，一个"低调"的市场正在悄然扩容。 今年以来，"固收+"产 ...

近期，伴随着A股的上涨行情，基金市场一片火热。截至2025年7月，公募基金规模已突破35万亿元，参与者涵盖了从白领、中产到年轻群体的广泛层 面。随着银行理财净值化转型、房地产投资回报率下降，基金逐渐成为普通投资者的首选理财工具。 然而，基金热度越高，投资者的困惑也越大。为什么有人在基金投资中实现了可观收益，而更多人却"追高杀跌"，长期亏损？为什么同样是股票基金，业 绩差距却能拉开数倍？为什么市场上常见的"爆款基金"，往往在投资者入场后表现反而平平？这些问题的根源在于：多数普通投资者缺乏系统的投资方法 和风险认知。他们往往凭直觉、凭推荐来做决策，而非基于对基金经理、投资风格、资产配置等关键因素的理性分析。 中信出版集团出版的《手把手教你选出赚钱好基金》一书聚焦这一问题，为普通理财者提供一套"可操作、可落地"的基金投资指南，让投资真正成为普通 人可以学习和掌握的技能，而非"靠运气"的赌博。 认知重构：从"挣钱"到"赚钱" 对大多数人来说，理财的第一步往往始于一个朴素的愿望——如何更快攒到"第一桶金"。书签客在书中指出，这个阶段的核心任务并不是追求复杂的投资 技巧，而是通过开源节流形成基础积累。开源意味着在工作之余 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the response of Li Bei, founder of Hanxia Investment, to a critical piece published by Huxiu, highlighting the strong influence and performance of Li Bei in the private equity sector. The discussion revolves around the risks in current asset allocation strategies and the potential for investment opportunities in a changing economic landscape [1][2]. Group 1: Current Market Risks - Li Bei identifies significant risks in mainstream asset allocation, which is heavily concentrated in four strategies: quantitative enhancement, sci-tech funds, all-weather strategies, and overseas assets. Each of these strategies carries distinct risks, such as the impact of small-cap factors and the potential fallout from the AI bubble in the U.S. [2] - The current valuations of these strategies are considered high, and the crowded positions pose substantial risks, particularly if economic conditions shift [2][7]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - Hanxia's current portfolio is characterized by a "deep value" approach, focusing on industry leaders with an average PE of 8 times, PB of 0.8 times, and a dividend yield of 5%. Approximately 80% of the holdings exhibit strong cyclical characteristics [3][4]. - The portfolio also includes strategies to steepen the yield curve by buying medium- to short-term government bonds while shorting long-term bonds, which is expected to mitigate losses during prolonged deflation [5][6]. Group 3: Economic Outlook - Li Bei categorizes the future economic scenario into two possibilities: a reversal of deflation, which would negatively impact the mainstream strategies but benefit Hanxia's investments, and a continuation of deflation, where Hanxia may experience slight losses or gains while mainstream strategies continue to rise [6][10]. - The article notes that the current market's asset concentration poses a significant risk, as evidenced by past instances of severe sell-offs in crowded trades, such as in the renewable energy sector [7]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - The future market dynamics may not simply be a binary outcome of either technology growth or cyclical recovery. If AI technology continues to evolve and applications expand, the tech market may persist, while cyclical sectors could also gain recognition if their fundamentals improve [8]. - The article emphasizes that even in a recovering economic environment, both cyclical and tech sectors could thrive simultaneously, depending on market conditions and investor sentiment [8][10]. Group 5: Investment Philosophy - Li Bei's investment philosophy suggests that diversifying into Hanxia's products, which are inversely correlated with mainstream assets, can effectively reduce overall portfolio volatility. The low valuation and high dividend characteristics of Hanxia's holdings provide strong downside protection in volatile markets [9]. - However, this strategy relies heavily on accurate macroeconomic predictions, and if deflation persists longer than expected, the appeal of these cyclical assets may diminish for short-term investors [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the insurance sector [11]. Core Insights - In the short term, investment yield is the dominant factor for valuation, while asset allocation ratio is the decisive factor for investment yield. In the medium to long term, the spread between the asset and liability sides of insurance is expected to improve due to policy and market changes, with sufficient long-term space in the industry leading to continuous improvement in ROE [3][9]. - Recommended stocks include China Life, New China Life, Ping An, and China Pacific Insurance as quality targets [3][9]. Summary by Sections 2025 Review - The insurance sector's performance was generally flat compared to the market, with the CSI 300 index rising by 15% and the Yangtze Insurance Index increasing by 14.5%, underperforming the market by 0.6 percentage points. Individual stocks like Ping An, New China Life, and China Pacific outperformed the market [6][23]. - The liability side is undergoing a transformation towards dividends, with new policy growth slightly slowing but value rates improving, driving new business value growth. The asset side performed well due to strong equity market performance, contributing to good total investment returns [6][23]. Investment Yield Analysis - The primary determinant of insurance companies' investment yield is asset allocation. As of Q3 2025, listed insurance companies had total investment assets exceeding 20 trillion yuan, indicating that investment yield is mainly influenced by asset allocation rather than significant and sustained alpha generation [6][39]. - Even in an extremely low-interest-rate environment, yields can remain above 2%, demonstrating that the risk of spread loss for listed insurance companies is minimal [6][39]. Pricing of the Insurance Sector - Over the past decade, expected investment yield has been the anchor for insurance industry valuation. The short-term valuation is primarily influenced by yield expectations, as the liability cost rate fluctuates less in the short term [7][71]. - The report emphasizes that the asset side, particularly equity assets, has a stronger influence on investment yield than the liability side, which has limited impact due to its long-term nature [7][71]. Future Demand and Market Dynamics - The report anticipates that insurance demand will remain high in 2026, driven by a significant amount of fixed deposits and wealth management products maturing. The comparative advantage of insurance products in terms of yield is expected to attract funds from fixed deposits without requiring an increase in risk appetite [8][84]. - The industry landscape is expected to continue improving, with leading listed insurance companies benefiting more from this trend [8][84].

Group 1 - The article highlights the current asset allocation trends among high-net-worth individuals, focusing on four main areas: quantitative enhancement, science and technology innovation funds, all-weather strategies, and overseas assets [1][2][3][4][5] - Quantitative enhancement involves significant investments in small-cap stocks, with risks associated with size factors and non-linear factors [1][3] - Science and technology innovation funds face risks from domestic interest rate increases leading to style shifts and potential AI bubble bursts due to revised capital expenditure expectations in the U.S. [1][3] - All-weather strategies are at risk from rising interest rates causing losses in bond holdings and declining gold prices [1][3] - Overseas assets are influenced by the RMB exchange rate and U.S. AI developments [2][4] Group 2 - The article provides insights into the scale of various investment vehicles, noting that since September 2022, the total margin financing balance has increased by 1.1 trillion, primarily directed towards the TMT sector [3][21] - By the end of 2024, the total scale of private equity funds is projected to reach 5.21 trillion, with a significant increase of 1.8 trillion observed this year [3][21] - The total scale of ETFs is expected to surge from approximately 3.73 trillion at the beginning of 2025 to 5.74 trillion, marking a growth of over 2 trillion and a growth rate exceeding 53% [3][21] - The A500 ETF has seen a net inflow of 255 billion in the past week and 367 billion in the past month, indicating strong market interest [3][21] Group 3 - The performance of investment vehicles shows that quantitative private equity funds have achieved over 40% returns this year, marking the third consecutive year of outperforming subjective strategies [8][26] - Mixed equity funds have recorded a 32% return this year, rebounding after three years of underperformance [8][26] - Broad market indices have generally yielded returns above 20%, with the A500 ETF at 22% and the CSI 300 ETF at 18% [8][27] Group 4 - The global fund manager survey indicates a peak in macro optimism since August 2021, with the stock and commodity allocation ratio reaching its highest since February 2022 [9][27] - Cash levels among fund managers have dropped to a historical low of 3.3%, down from 3.7% [9][27] - The survey also reveals that 37% of managers view the AI bubble as the biggest tail risk, while 40% believe private credit is the most likely source of credit events [12][30] Group 5 - The article raises questions about whether the trends observed in 2024 can be extrapolated into 2025, particularly regarding crowded positions and potential trend reversals [15][34] - It discusses the implications of rising interest rates on real estate and the effectiveness of macro hedging as a strategy for style switching [15][34] - The narrative suggests that the current market dynamics, influenced by a weak dollar and AI industry expansion, have led to an "asset shortage" and "capital bull" scenario [15][33]

值得关注的是，十年国债ETF成立以来经历了2018-2024年共计7个完整自然年度，均保持每年正收益， 有望成为穿越牛熊周期的资产配置利器。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 相关机构表示，随着30年国债接近房贷税后调整利率，其配置价值也逐渐凸显，但此轮风险提示我们， 不能再将超长债简单视为久期策略的利剑。在债市调整阶段，10年国债作为债市的压舱石，更加体现了 其稳健的特征。展望后市，经济"K"型结构短期无法得到缓解，仍是利好债市的环境，但悲观情绪尚未 完全释放，货币政策中性偏空，建议投资者缩短久期，观望进一步的入场信号。 十年国债ETF（511260）跟踪上证10年期国债指数，选取剩余期限7到10年且在上交所挂牌的国债作为 样本，久期恒定。从过往表现来看，十年国债ETF（511260）成立以来净值屡创新高，历史业绩持续稳 健。根据基金定期报告，截止三季度末，近1年回报率达4.17%，近3年回报率达14.04%，近5年回报率 达23.39%，成立至今累计回报率达35.77%。 ...

摘要：25年深耕分红险，中信保诚人寿的长期主义答卷 岁末年初的"开门红"，历来是保险行业特有的传统盛事。随着利率持续下行，消费者财富管理需求也不断改变，兼具保证与增长属性的分红型产品成为市场 主流，传统的"开门红"战役正被赋予全新的时代内涵，不仅仅是一场年度业绩的冲刺赛，更是一家保险公司战略眼光、产品韧性、服务温度与长期价值观的 集中展现。 在2026年"开门红"战役全面打响之际，中信保诚人寿总经理助理姜宏维不仅深刻阐释了开门红对于公司的战略意义，更分享了当前保险业面临的机遇与挑 战，以及中信保诚人寿凭借"分红险"核心战略所构建的独特发展路径。 正如姜宏维所说："在当前乃至未来相当长的时间里，我们可能都将处于一个相对低利率的环境。能够提供给客户相对安全、有一定收益和流动性的金融产 品并不多。而分红险，作为一种能较好地应对利率变动的产品，在市场上具有明显优势，是真正能够跨越周期的好产品。" 作为行业内最早聚焦分红险的险企之一，中信保诚人寿自2000年成立以来，便深耕于此，积累了长达25年、可完整追溯的分红数据。截至2024年底，公司分 红账户总规模超700亿元，成立以来累计向客户分配红利近76亿元，分红实现率长 ...

Core Insights - The role of channel managers in public fund companies is not merely sales but involves comprehensive service throughout the banking collaboration process [2][4] - Channel managers serve as a vital link between fund companies, banks, and investors, ensuring effective communication of investment products and philosophies [1][2] Group 1: Role and Responsibilities - Channel managers focus on matching suitable products and asset allocation plans to different bank branches, enhancing the overall service experience [2] - Their responsibilities encompass pre-sale product training, addressing inquiries during sales, and providing market insights post-sale, ensuring a complete service cycle [2][3] - They aim to create a win-win situation for fund companies, banks, and investors by leveraging both the professional investment research capabilities of fund companies and the comprehensive financial services of banks [2] Group 2: Professional Development - The role of channel managers has evolved from product promoters to investment advisors, requiring a deeper understanding of macro markets, industry trends, and asset allocation logic [4] - They participate in internal selection and strategy meetings to align product offerings with client needs, thereby enhancing the variety of products available to investors [4] - Channel managers engage in continuous professional development, balancing their time between on-site training at bank branches and internal strategy discussions [4]