Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Commerce has initiated a final review investigation of anti-dumping measures applicable to imported polyphenylene sulfide (PPS) from Japan, the United States, South Korea, and Malaysia, following a request from the Chinese PPS industry [1][2][3]. Group 1: Anti-Dumping Measures - The anti-dumping duties imposed on imported PPS from Japan, the United States, South Korea, and Malaysia range from 23.3% to 220.9%, with specific rates for companies in each country [1][4]. - The review period for the investigation will cover the period from July 1, 2024, to June 30, 2025, while the injury investigation period will span from January 1, 2021, to June 30, 2025 [5]. Group 2: Product Scope and Description - The product under review is polyphenylene sulfide (PPS), a high-performance thermoplastic resin known for its excellent properties such as high-temperature resistance, corrosion resistance, and flame retardancy [6]. - PPS is widely used in various industries, including textiles, automotive, electronics, machinery, petroleum, chemical, and aerospace [6]. Group 3: Investigation Process - Interested parties can register to participate in the investigation within 20 days from the announcement date, providing necessary information regarding their involvement with the investigated products [9][10]. - The Ministry of Commerce will utilize various methods, including questionnaires and hearings, to gather information during the investigation [14].

数据来源第三方，观点仅供参考。市场有风险，投资需谨慎！ 备注：HC：热轧卷板 研究员: 蔡跃辉 期货从业资格号F0251444 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0013101 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | HC 主力合约收盘价(元/吨) | 3,304 | -5↓ HC 主力合约持仓量(手) | 935189 | -64552↓ | | | HC 合约前20名净持仓(手) | -76,128 | -2468↓ HC1-5合约价差(元/吨) | 9 | -1↓ | | | HC 上期所仓单日报(日，吨) | 141932 | -900↓ HC2601-RB2601合约价差(元/吨) | 205 | +2↑ | | 现货市场 | 杭州 4.75热轧板卷(元/吨) | 3,330.00 | -10.00↓ 广州 4.75热轧板卷(元/吨) | 3,320.00 | 0.00 | | | 武汉 4.75热轧板卷(元/吨) | 3,330.00 | 0.00 天津 4.75热轧板卷( ...

Summary of the Conference Call for Sanren Biological Industry and Company Overview - The conference call discusses Sanren Biological, a company involved in the production of erythritol and other sugar substitutes, particularly in the context of international trade challenges and product development strategies. Key Points and Arguments Impact of U.S. Tariffs - The U.S. imposed a preliminary anti-dumping duty of 462% on erythritol, severely hindering direct exports. Despite this, the company managed to maintain some sales through transshipment trade due to strong demand and brand recognition in the U.S. market, although sales volume decreased by 25% year-on-year from January to September [2][3][5]. Legal Actions and Market Adaptation - Some customers have filed lawsuits regarding the anti-dumping duties, which could potentially allow for legal exports if the court rules that certain blended products are exempt. The U.S. government shutdown has delayed these rulings, but a resolution is expected within the next year [2][5]. European Market Challenges - The European Union has also imposed high anti-dumping duties, leading to a halt in direct exports. The company has adjusted its product formulations to produce erythritol blends with less than 90% altritol to circumvent these tariffs, which has been gradually accepted by customers, resulting in increased demand [2][6]. Domestic Market Conditions - Domestic erythritol prices have stabilized at around $1.2 to $1.3 per kilogram, with low inventory levels across the industry. Companies are primarily producing based on sales demand, and despite price reductions for promotions, Sanren Biological has managed to maintain operational effectiveness [2][7][8]. Cost Management Strategies - The company has implemented various measures to reduce production costs, including technological improvements, energy-saving modifications, and automation. These strategies have helped mitigate the impact of anti-dumping measures from the U.S. and Europe while expanding into emerging markets in Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and South America [2][9]. New Product Development - Sanren Biological is actively developing new products such as altritol, tagatose, and cosmetic ingredients, with increasing domestic and international demand for altritol. The company has begun small-scale supply of these products and is exploring market opportunities [2][4][10][11]. Financial Considerations - The decline in bank interest rates has negatively impacted the company's financial income. However, the company plans to manage funds flexibly and explore horizontal mergers and acquisitions to enhance performance and profitability [2][14]. Future Outlook for Altritol - There is significant interest in altritol, with several companies planning large-scale production. However, the company remains cautious about large investments due to potential market oversupply and competition risks [2][15]. Resource Allocation for New Products - The company prioritizes the development of new products based on market acceptance and potential, focusing on altritol, tagatose, and various cosmetic ingredients, while ensuring efficient resource allocation [2][16]. Long-term Development Goals - Sanren Biological aims to expand its product range and contribute to the health industry through technological innovation and resource integration, striving for sustainable development and shareholder returns [2][17].

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 期货研究报告 姓名：涂伟华 宝城期货投资咨询部 从业资格证号：F3060359 投资咨询证号：Z0011688 电话：0571-87006873 邮箱：tuweihua@bcqhgs.com 作者声明 本人具有中国期货业协会 授予的期货从业资格证书，期 货投资咨询资格证书，本人承 诺以勤勉的职业态度，独立、 客观地出具本报告。本报告清 晰准确地反映了本人的研究观 点。本人不会因本报告中的具 体推荐意见或观点而直接或间 接接收到任何形式的报酬。 钢材&铁矿石 | 日报 2025 年 11 月 21 日 钢材&铁矿石日报 专业研究·创造价值 现实格局偏弱，钢矿延续震荡 核心观点 螺纹钢：主力期价震荡运行，录得 0.07%日涨幅，量仓收缩。现阶段， 螺纹需求有所好转，但持续性存疑，相反供应也在回升，供需双增局面 下螺纹基本面表现依旧不佳，钢价继续承压，相对利好的是估值偏低， 预计走势延续低位震荡运行态势，关注需求表现情况。 热轧卷板：主力期价震荡运行，录得 0%日跌幅，量仓收缩。目前来看， 热卷供需格局有所好转，库存再度去化，但供应压力未解，且需求韧性 存疑，基本 ...

Core Viewpoint - The steel market is experiencing slight declines in both spot and futures prices, influenced by various factors including inventory levels, demand fluctuations, and external economic conditions [1][12]. Group 1: Market Trends - On November 21, the domestic steel market saw a slight decline, with major futures contracts primarily trending downwards, except for a minor increase in rebar prices [1][5]. - The average prices for various steel products showed slight increases, with rebar at 3239 CNY/ton, up by 15 CNY, and wire rod at 3603 CNY/ton, up by 12 CNY [6][8]. Group 2: Influencing Factors - India has initiated a preliminary anti-dumping ruling on low ash metallurgical coke from several countries, including China, which is expected to negatively impact steel prices [2]. - Heavy pollution alerts in Shandong and Huai Bei have led to emergency measures that may tighten supply in the steel industry, potentially supporting steel prices in the short term [3]. - The probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December is low, which may strengthen the dollar and suppress commodity prices, including steel [4]. Group 3: Raw Material Market - The iron ore market is under pressure due to high inventory levels and weak demand, with prices expected to remain weak in the coming week [11]. - The coke market is stable, but demand is weak due to reduced steel production, leading to limited cost support for steel prices [11]. - Scrap steel prices are declining due to reduced procurement by steel mills and increased inventory among traders, indicating a supply-demand imbalance [11]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The overall sentiment in the steel market remains cautious, with expectations of price fluctuations between weak and strong trends in the coming week, with a potential range of 10-30 CNY [12].

投资者提问： 敬爱的董秘您好，印度商工部近期撤销PTA、POY、FDY及PVC等产品BIS认证。请问公司在此政策实 施前，是否受到印度反倾销政策影响？此次认证撤销，公司出口印度相关产品是否有所成长？ 免责声明：本信息由新浪财经从公开信息中摘录，不构成任何投资建议；新浪财经不保证数据的准确 性，内容仅供参考。 尊敬的投资者，您好。目前，公司出口至印度的产品主要为PVC。在印度此前提出实施PVC产品BIS认 证要求时，公司已积极准备并开展认证申请相关工作，后续该项政策未正式实施即被撤销，因此对公司 PVC产品出口影响较小。关于印度反倾销政策，目前尚未正式实施，公司将持续关注相关进展，并积极 发挥自身在产品质量与客户服务方面的优势，进一步巩固和拓展印度市场合作。感谢您的关注。查看更 多董秘问答>> 董秘回答(北元集团SH601568)： ...

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - On November 13, the main contracts 2601 of coke and coking coal futures declined slightly compared to the previous day's closing prices, hitting new lows since October 23 during intraday trading. The futures of coke and coking coal dropped significantly due to coal supply - guarantee policies. Although the spot market still has support, considering the large increase in Mongolian coal customs clearance and the significant growth in coking coal inventories of independent coking plants and ports, there may be downward pressure on prices due to oversupply. It is expected that the futures of coke and coking coal still need to digest the strong negative factors from the news, and it is advisable to try high - selling hedging or investment strategies. Attention should be paid to the implementation of supply - guarantee policies and the rhythm of spot price declines [5][11]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Review - **Futures Market**: On November 13, the main contracts 2601 of coke and coking coal futures, J2601 and JM2601, first declined and then rebounded. J2601 closed at 1686 yuan/ton, down 0.30% from the previous day, with a trading volume of 13,768 lots and an open interest of 37,775 lots, a decrease of 164 lots. JM2601 closed at 1214 yuan/ton, down 0.29%, with a trading volume of 572,483 lots and an open interest of 592,106 lots, a decrease of 991 lots. In the black - series futures, the long - short positions of the top 20 in RB2601, HC2601, SS2601, J2601, JM2601, and I2601 contracts also changed [5][6]. - **Spot Market**: On November 13, the ex - warehouse price index of quasi - first - grade metallurgical coke at Rizhao Port, Qingdao Port, and Tianjin Port remained unchanged at 1620 yuan/ton. The aggregated price of low - sulfur main coking coal in some regions was stable, with a 40 - yuan increase in Linfen [8]. 3.2 Outlook for the Future - **Policy**: The National Development and Reform Commission organized a video conference on energy supply guarantee for the 2025 - 2026 heating season, requiring all regions and relevant enterprises to ensure stable energy production and supply, improve the performance of medium - and long - term coal contracts, and focus on ensuring coal demand in northern heating areas [10]. - **Supply and Demand**: Due to continuous losses for four weeks, the coke output of independent coking enterprises dropped to a new low since late March. Although coking plants and steel mills continued to reduce coke inventories, port coke inventories have increased in the past five weeks. Since October 25, the customs clearance volume of Mongolian coal has increased significantly, and the coking coal inventories of 230 independent coking plants and ports have also increased [10]. 3.3 Industry News - **Water Conservancy Construction**: From January to October this year, China completed 1.00947 trillion yuan in water conservancy construction investment, implemented 46,000 water conservancy projects, and started 28,000 new projects, creating 2.484 million jobs and paying 47.06 billion yuan in wages [12]. - **Energy in Yunnan**: From January to September, Yunnan's energy department promoted the integrated development of "source - network - load - storage", driving a 11.3% increase in coal production, a 7.4% increase in crude oil processing volume, a 6.2% increase in refined oil production, and a 17% increase in natural gas consumption [12]. - **Anhui Kuangneng**: From November 10 - 12, Anhui Kuangneng held a production and operation work symposium for the coal sector, summarizing this year's work and planning next year's key tasks [12][13]. - **Concrete Industry**: Affected by the real - estate market adjustment and infrastructure investment slowdown, the demand in the cement industry is weak, and prices are low. However, prices are expected to recover to some extent under the anti - involution trend [13]. - **Shanxi Coking Coal**: The company's main products are high - quality coking coals, and it has established long - term strategic partnerships with many large steel enterprises. It also has a power generation business with a power - generation capacity of 4.32 million kilowatts per year [13]. - **Other News**: There were coal mine accidents in Henan; Lu'an Huaneng announced its coal production and sales in October; Fangda Special Steel is cooperating with CATL; Handan launched a level - II emergency response for heavy pollution; Shaanxi's industrial production and consumption of coal, natural gas, and oil showed different trends; Inner Mongolia's coal production was stable, and its new - energy installed capacity increased; Newcastle Port and Indian coal production and exports had certain changes; OPEC predicted an oversupply in the oil market in 2026; India imposed anti - dumping duties on Vietnamese steel [11][12][13][14][15]. 3.4 Data Overview The report provides various data charts, including the spot price index of metallurgical coke, the aggregated price of main coking coal, the production and capacity utilization of coking plants and steel mills, iron - water production, coke and coking coal inventories, and the basis of futures contracts [18][20][25][27][28][29].

Summary of Silicon Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The silicon industry is experiencing a significant increase in production capacity, with mono-silicon capacity expected to reach 6.8 million tons by early 2025, a nearly 25% increase from 5.4 million tons at the beginning of 2024 [1][2] - Domestic demand has not kept pace with this increase in capacity, leading to an imbalance in supply and demand, resulting in continuous price declines below the full cost line for companies [1][2] Key Points and Arguments - **Price and Production Management**: - DMC prices are currently around 11,000-11,500 RMB/ton, with expectations to rise above 12,000 RMB/ton following upcoming meetings [5] - Companies are considering rotational production cuts to maintain operational rates between 60%-70% to meet domestic and export demand [5][6] - **Anti-Dumping Measures**: - Short-term anti-dumping measures are primarily driven by voluntary actions from companies, with potential for future guidance from associations or national bodies, similar to the multi-crystalline silicon industry [6] - The industry is facing significant price pressure, with profits currently at 100-200 RMB/ton, necessitating close monitoring of policy changes and market dynamics [6][12] - **Market Sentiment**: - Recent stock performance of companies like Hesheng, Dongyue, and Xin'an has shown an upward trend, reflecting market optimism regarding anti-dumping measures and potential improvements in supply-demand dynamics [7] Emerging Applications - **New Energy Vehicles (NEVs) and Robotics**: - NEVs and robotics are identified as key growth areas for silicon applications, with demand growth rates projected at 5%-6% annually [8] - In NEVs, silicon is used in battery encapsulation adhesives and other components, with demand per vehicle increasing significantly [17] - **Real Estate Market Impact**: - The real estate sector, despite recent contractions, still accounts for 40%-50% of silicon demand, with expectations of gradual recovery and annual growth of 4%-5% in the coming years [9] - **Electronics and Electrical Sector**: - The electronics sector is expected to see a slight increase in silicon consumption, currently accounting for 23%-24% of total demand, driven by government subsidies [10] - **Photovoltaic Industry**: - Although domestic photovoltaic demand has decreased, global demand is rising, particularly in overseas markets, which is expected to offset domestic declines [11] Supply Chain Challenges - The industry faces challenges with excess supply due to new capacity not matching consumption, leading to inventory build-up [12][15] - Without anti-dumping or production limitation measures, the risk of price competition remains high, potentially lasting until 2026 [12] Future Capacity and Market Dynamics - Planned new capacity additions of 400,000 tons in 2025, with further expansions anticipated in subsequent years, could impact market dynamics if new entrants disrupt current agreements [14] - The exit of overseas chemical plants presents opportunities for Chinese companies, but quality improvements are necessary for full market replacement [18] Global Trade and Demand Trends - Global trade flows are expected to balance over time, with Chinese companies gradually closing quality gaps through technological advancements [19] - The overall outlook for the silicon industry remains cautiously optimistic, with potential for growth driven by both domestic recovery and international demand [15][16]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. 2. Core Views - **螺纹钢**: The main contract price of rebar showed a weak and volatile trend, with a daily decline of 0.33%, and both trading volume and open interest remained stable. In the current situation, the fundamentals of rebar have not improved under the situation of weak supply and demand. The pressure of inventory reduction is relatively large, and steel prices continue to be under pressure. The relatively positive factor is that the cost still provides support. In the short - term, the price will continue to oscillate and seek the bottom. Attention should be paid to the production situation of steel mills [5]. - **热轧卷板**: The main contract price of hot - rolled coil oscillated, with a daily increase of 0.03%, and both trading volume and open interest decreased. At present, the industrial contradictions of hot - rolled coil remain unresolved, inventory has increased again, and prices continue to be under pressure. However, the cost side still provides support. In the short - term, the price will continue to show a weak and volatile trend. Attention should be paid to the production situation of steel mills [5]. - **铁矿石**: The main contract price of iron ore oscillated, with a daily increase of 0.20%, and both trading volume and open interest decreased. Currently, the demand for iron ore is weakening, while the supply remains at a high level. Under the situation of strong supply and weak demand, the fundamentals of the iron ore market are weak. Under the dominance of the real - world logic, the iron ore price will continue to be under pressure and show a weak operation trend. Attention should be paid to the performance of the steel market [5]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Industry Dynamics - **Energy Supply for Heating Season**: The National Development and Reform Commission organized a video conference on energy supply for the 2025 - 2026 heating season, requiring all regions and relevant enterprises to ensure stable energy production and supply, and improve the performance of medium - and long - term energy contracts, especially focusing on coal supply for northern heating areas [7]. - **New Energy Vehicle Sales**: From January to October 2025, China's automobile production and sales reached 27.692 million and 27.687 million vehicles respectively, with a year - on - year increase of over 10%. Among them, the production and sales of new energy vehicles reached 13.015 million and 12.943 million vehicles respectively, with a year - on - year increase of 33.1% and 32.7% respectively. In October, the sales of new energy vehicles accounted for 51.6% of the total vehicle sales for the first time [8]. - **Anti - Dumping Ruling**: On November 10, 2025, Thailand's anti - dumping and counter - subsidy sub - committee decided to continue to impose a 5 - year anti - dumping duty on cold - rolled stainless steel products from China. The anti - dumping duty for Ningbo Baoxin Stainless Steel Co., Ltd. is 8.5%, and for other Chinese producers/ exporters is 33.32%. Some producers/ exporters are exempted from the duty [9]. 3.2 Spot Market - **Steel Products**: The national average price of rebar (HRB400E, 20mm) was 3,228 yuan/ton, up 5 yuan/ton; the national average price of hot - rolled coil (4.75mm) was 3,308 yuan/ton, up 1 yuan/ton; the price of Tangshan billet (Q235) was 2,940 yuan/ton, unchanged; and the price of Zhangjiagang heavy scrap (≥6mm) was 2,140 yuan/ton, unchanged [10]. - **Iron Ore**: The price of 61.5% PB powder at Shandong ports was 773 yuan/ton, down 2 yuan/ton; the price of Tangshan iron concentrate (wet basis) was 798 yuan/ton, unchanged. The sea freight from Australia was 10.36 yuan/ton, down 0.09 yuan/ton, and from Brazil was 23.41 yuan/ton, down 0.12 yuan/ton. The SGX swap (current month) was 103.29, up 0.70, and the Platts index (CFR, 62%) was 103.00, up 0.95 [10]. 3.3 Futures Market | Variety | Closing Price | Change (%) | Trading Volume | Volume Difference | Open Interest | Open Interest Difference | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rebar | 3,025 | - 0.33 | 753,110 | - 296,403 | 1,923,701 | - 32 | | Hot - Rolled Coil | 3,242 | 0.03 | 324,368 | - 50,997 | 1,326,892 | - 19,179 | | Iron Ore | 763.0 | 0.20 | 262,391 | - 65,052 | 530,352 | - 11,250 | 3.4 Related Charts - **Steel Inventory**: The report provides charts on the weekly changes and total inventory (including steel mills and social inventory) of rebar and hot - rolled coil, which can be used to analyze the inventory trends of steel products [16][17][19]. - **Iron Ore Inventory**: Charts on the inventory of 45 ports in China, 247 steel mills, and domestic mines are provided, which are helpful for analyzing the supply and demand situation of iron ore [21][22][27]. - **Steel Mill Production**: Charts on the blast furnace operating rate, capacity utilization rate, profitability ratio of 247 steel mills, and the operating rate of independent electric furnaces are provided, which can be used to understand the production and operation status of steel mills [29][30][31]. 3.5后市研判 - **Rebar**: Both supply and demand are weakening. The weekly output of rebar decreased by 4.05 tons, and demand decreased by 13.66 tons. The fundamentals have not improved, and inventory reduction pressure is large. Although the cost provides support, the price will continue to oscillate and seek the bottom in the short - term. Attention should be paid to the production of steel mills [38]. - **Hot - Rolled Coil**: Both supply and demand are weakening. The weekly output decreased by 5.40 tons, and demand decreased by 17.59 tons. Industrial contradictions remain unresolved, inventory has increased again, and prices are under pressure. The cost provides support, and the price will continue to oscillate in the short - term. Attention should be paid to the implementation of steel mill production restrictions [38]. - **Iron Ore**: The supply - demand pattern remains weak, and inventory has increased significantly. Ore demand continues to decline, while supply remains at a high level. The price will continue to be under pressure and show a weak trend. Attention should be paid to the performance of the steel market [39].

Core Viewpoint - Mexico's Ministry of Economy has announced an initial ruling on anti-dumping duties for children's bicycles originating from China, increasing the duty from $13.12 per unit to $57.19 per unit, while continuing the anti-dumping review investigation [1] Group 1 - The anti-dumping tax for Chinese children's bicycles has been raised significantly [1] - The new duty rate is set at $57.19 per unit, a substantial increase from the previous rate [1] - The investigation will continue, indicating ongoing scrutiny of trade practices related to these products [1]