Core Viewpoint - Two ETFs under China Merchants Fund have announced dividend distributions this month, highlighting the ongoing development of dividend investment strategies in the market [1]. Group 1: Dividend Distribution Details - The CSI Dividend Quality ETF (159209) will distribute a dividend of 0.003 yuan per share, marking its sixth distribution this year [1]. - The Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility ETF (520550) will distribute a dividend of 0.004 yuan per share, representing its eighth distribution this year [1]. Group 2: Investment Strategies - The Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility ETF (520550) follows a "high dividend + low volatility" dual-factor selection logic, focusing on sectors with defensive attributes such as finance and public utilities, with a current dividend yield exceeding 6% [2]. - The CSI Dividend Quality ETF (159209) employs a "high dividend + high profitability quality" stock selection strategy, focusing on high-quality companies in consumer and pharmaceutical sectors, achieving a balance between defensive characteristics and growth potential with a historical dividend yield of 3%-5% [3]. - Investors can choose between the two ETFs based on their risk preferences: conservative investors may prefer the Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility ETF, while aggressive investors seeking growth may focus on the CSI Dividend Quality ETF [3].

中证报中证网讯(记者黄一灵)12月10日，以"韧性与远见：重塑财富新战略"为主题的2025安联中国财富 论坛在上海召开。 个人财富管理分论坛同期，金融企业资产管理分论坛同步召开。安联资管权益投资部总经理杜毅认为， 中国权益市场正迎来三大转变：低利率环境推动险资等长期资金持续流入，资本市场生态优化转向重回 报，以及全球产业趋势引领的科技板块盈利确定性提升。展望明年，市场将在盈利温和修复与资金面改 善的支撑下呈现"收敛"态势，预计进入慢牛行情，哑铃策略下的红利资产与科技成长板块仍具配置价 值。 论坛上，《强势增长——2025年安联全球财富报告》正式发布。报告显示，2024年全球私人家庭金融资 产总额达269万亿欧元，同比增长8.7%。而持有证券，尤其是股票，是资产增长的关键。从国家来看， 中国已崛起为全球财富增长的"第二极"。 在全球经济格局深刻变革之际，增长动能切换与财富传承模式革新已成为每位个人投资者必须面对的核 心议题。为此，论坛特设"洞悉未来，守护传承——全球财富趋势与资产规划策略"个人财富管理分论 坛。在该分论坛上，安联基金副总经理兼首席投资官郑宇尘在《中国投资市场分析与展望》报告中进一 步具象化了中国 ...

宏观方面，美联储如期降息25个基点，中国银河证券指出，美联储降息后，美元走弱预期会推动港元利 率中枢下行，同时还能推动外资回流，双重作用将有效改善港股的流动性，进一步带动港股整体向好。 港股科技方面，12月10日，通义千问宣布语音合成模型Qwen3-TTS迎来升级，支持多音色、多语种和多 方言。此外，有消息称，美国科技巨头Meta使用阿里千问优化其最新AI模型。在行业看来，这一动向 从侧面证实了阿里千问作为开源模型的硬核实力。 招商证券表示，AI科技赛道长期产业趋势还在，从生产率的提升、应用范围的扩大都可以看出AI技术 仍蕴含潜能，短期市场波动并不影响实体产业的投资价值。已在业绩表现上开始兑现其AI投资回报的 企业，或将成为港股科技调整后，更具投资价值的标的。 12月11日，港股三大指数悉数飘绿，自带"科技+红利"哑铃策略的——香港大盘30ETF（520560）逆市 飘红，彰显韧性。成份股方面，百胜中国领涨超1%，美团、招商银行、中国平安、小米集团、泡泡玛 特、百济神州等个股飘红。 数据显示，香港大盘30ETF（520560）近5日连续吸金，合计金额3886万元，拉长时间来看，近20日累 计吸金7518万元， ...

12月11日，港股三大指数悉数飘绿，自带"科技+红利"哑铃策略的——香港大盘30ETF（520560）逆市 飘红，彰显韧性。成份股方面，百胜中国领涨超1%，美团、招商银行、中国平安、小米集团、泡泡玛 特、百济神州等个股飘红。 数据显示，香港大盘30ETF（520560）近5日连续吸金，合计金额3886万元，拉长时间来看，近20日累 计吸金7518万元，反映资金看好港股后市表现，积极运用哑铃策略进行布局！ 宏观方面，美联储如期降息25个基点，中国银河证券指出，美联储降息后，美元走弱预期会推动港元利 率中枢下行，同时还能推动外资回流，双重作用将有效改善港股的流动性，进一步带动港股整体向好。 港股科技方面，12月10日，通义千问宣布语音合成模型Qwen3-TTS迎来升级，支持多音色、多语种和多 方言。此外，有消息称，美国科技巨头Meta使用阿里千问优化其最新AI模型。在行业看来，这一动向 从侧面证实了阿里千问作为开源模型的硬核实力。 招商证券表示，AI科技赛道长期产业趋势还在，从生产率的提升、应用范围的扩大都可以看出AI技术 仍蕴含潜能，短期市场波动并不影响实体产业的投资价值。已在业绩表现上开始兑现其AI投资回报的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market shows resilience with the Hong Kong Large Cap 30 ETF (520560) performing positively despite overall market declines, indicating investor confidence in future performance [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong Large Cap 30 ETF (520560) has attracted a total of 38.86 million yuan in the last five days and 75.18 million yuan over the past 20 days, reflecting a positive outlook for the Hong Kong stock market [1]. - Major stocks such as Yum China, Meituan, China Merchants Bank, Ping An Insurance, Xiaomi, Pop Mart, and BeiGene have shown positive performance [1]. Group 2: AI Technology and Investment Value - The AI technology sector continues to show long-term potential, with companies that have begun to realize returns on their AI investments becoming more attractive post-adjustment in the Hong Kong tech market [3]. - The recent upgrade of the Qwen3-TTS voice synthesis model by Tongyi Qianwen and its use by Meta to optimize AI models highlights the strength of Alibaba's open-source capabilities [4]. Group 3: Dividend Trends - State-owned banks in China plan to distribute a total of 204.657 billion yuan in mid-year dividends for 2025, indicating a trend of increasing quantity, faster pace, and stable strength in dividend payouts [3]. - The number of banks implementing mid-year dividends is increasing, with many maintaining stable dividend rates and some enhancing their payout ratios, reflecting the robust dividend value of the banking sector [3]. Group 4: Investment Strategy - The recommendation for a "barbell strategy" suggests a combination of stable value assets and growth-oriented assets in the Hong Kong market, indicating a solid industrial logic amidst market fluctuations [3]. - The Hong Kong Large Cap 30 ETF (520560) is highlighted as an ideal long-term investment tool, combining high-growth tech stocks with stable, high-dividend stocks [5].

12月11日，港股三大指数悉数飘绿，自带"科技+红利"哑铃策略的——香港大盘30ETF（520560）逆市 飘红，彰显韧性。成份股方面，百胜中国领涨超1%，美团、招商银行、中国平安、小米集团、泡泡玛 特、百济神州等个股飘红。 数据显示，香港大盘30ETF（520560）近5日连续吸金，合计金额3886万元，拉长时间来看，近20日累 计吸金7518万元，反映资金看好港股后市表现，积极运用哑铃策略进行布局！ 招商证券表示，AI科技赛道长期产业趋势还在，从生产率的提升、应用范围的扩大都可以看出AI技术 仍蕴含潜能，短期市场波动并不影响实体产业的投资价值。已在业绩表现上开始兑现其AI投资回报的 企业，或将成为港股科技调整后，更具投资价值的标的。 港股红利方面，六家国有大行全部披露A股2025年中期分红发放日期，经统计，国有大行合计拟 派发2025年中期分红2046.57亿元。业内人士表示，2025年银行中期分红呈现"数量增、节奏快、 力度稳"的显著特征。 国信证券指出，2025年国有行中期分红进度早于去年，银行中期分红抢筹行情或有所提前。银河证券表 示，整体来看，拟实施中期分红的银行数量增加，多数银行分红率保持稳定， ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding economic cycles and adapting investment strategies accordingly, focusing on the interplay between risk and return, and the need for a dynamic asset allocation approach to navigate the evolving market landscape [1][2][3]. Group 1: Strategy Implementation - Investment strategies should be clearly planned at the end of each year, balancing proactive measures with responsive tactics to adapt to market changes [1]. - The essence of asset management strategies lies in seeking a dynamic balance among profitability, liquidity, and safety, transforming vague wealth goals into actionable frameworks [3]. Group 2: 2025 Strategy Review - The major shift in asset allocation for 2025 was driven by a change in risk premiums, transitioning from "conflict premium" to "repair premium" due to the stabilization of US-China trade tensions [4]. - AI+ technology is identified as a core driver of structural opportunities across various sectors, enhancing production efficiency and creating a viable industrial dividend chain [5]. - A supportive funding environment characterized by abundant liquidity has facilitated the concentration of capital in high-certainty and high-growth areas, enhancing the returns on quality assets [6]. Group 3: 2026 Asset Allocation Strategy - The risk premium for Chinese assets is expected to continue its downward trend, supported by the stabilization of external conflicts and the resonance of institutional reforms [10]. - The liquidity environment is anticipated to shift from abundance to structural adaptation, with a focus on high-certainty sectors, necessitating a refined asset selection approach [11]. - The correlation between inflation and profitability is expected to highlight the value of yield strategies, making fixed-income assets a key choice for stable returns [12]. - The focus of fiscal policy is projected to shift towards stability and social welfare, emphasizing structural opportunities over total economic growth [13]. - The narrative-driven trading approach is expected to weaken, with a shift towards profitability verification as the primary driver for industry selection [14]. Group 4: Key Conclusions for 2026 - The effective asset allocation strategy for 2026 is rooted in the interplay of declining risk premiums, rising profitability, and structural differentiation [16]. - The focus will be on midstream industries, which are expected to benefit from improved profitability and resilience against demand fluctuations [17]. - The use of tools like ETFs will remain crucial for efficiently capturing structural opportunities in specific sectors [17].

Core Viewpoint - Two ETFs under China Merchants Fund announced dividends this month, highlighting the growth of dividend investment strategies in the market [1] Group 1: Dividend Announcements - The CSI Dividend Quality ETF (159209) will distribute a dividend of 0.003 yuan per share, with a dividend ratio of 0.3%, marking its sixth dividend distribution this year [1] - The Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility ETF (520550) will distribute a dividend of 0.004 yuan per share, also with a dividend ratio of 0.3%, representing its eighth dividend distribution this year [1] Group 2: Investment Strategies - Deep Value Strategy: Represented by the Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility ETF (520550), which tracks the Hang Seng High Dividend Low Volatility Index, focusing on sectors like finance and utilities with defensive attributes. The current dividend yield exceeds 6%, supported by valuation advantages in the Hong Kong market and state-owned enterprise dividend policies [1] - Value Growth Strategy: Centered on the CSI Dividend Quality ETF (159209), which emphasizes a "high dividend + high profitability quality" stock selection strategy, focusing on high-quality companies in consumer and pharmaceutical sectors. Historical performance shows this index has outperformed mainstream broad-based indices while maintaining a dividend yield of 3%-5% and achieving a balance between defensiveness and growth potential [2] - Investors can choose based on risk preferences: conservative investors may prefer the Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility ETF, while aggressive investors may focus on the CSI Dividend Quality ETF. A "barbell strategy" is suggested for dynamic adjustment of the allocation between the two products, with regular rebalancing to optimize overall portfolio performance [2]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of focusing on the cyclical resonance of the Kondratiev and Juglar cycles to capture long-term trend opportunities in asset allocation for 2026 [1][18] - It advocates for a defensive base using high-quality fixed-income assets in a low-interest-rate environment to hedge against inventory cycle risks [1][18] - The article suggests that structural opportunities should be prioritized over total volume, avoiding real estate adjustments and traditional capacity clearance while embracing policy guidance and technological iteration [1][18] Strategy Implementation Rules - Clear planning for the next year's strategy is essential, balancing "strategy" and "action" to achieve the highest level of execution [19] - Understanding asset pricing fundamentals is necessary but not sufficient; strategies must focus on future pricing rather than past norms [20] - The core of investment lies in balancing risk and return, with a disciplined approach to risk management being paramount [20] 2025 Strategy Review - The restructuring of risk premiums was a significant change in asset allocation for 2025, transitioning from "conflict premium" to "repair premium" due to the stabilization of US-China trade tensions [22] - AI+ has emerged as a core technology driving structural opportunities across various sectors, enhancing production efficiency and demand scenarios [23] - A supportive funding environment characterized by abundant liquidity has facilitated the concentration of capital in high-certainty and high-growth areas [24] 2026 Asset Allocation Strategy - The risk premium for Chinese assets is expected to continue its downward trend, supported by the "15th Five-Year Plan" and adjustments in US global competition strategies [27] - Liquidity conditions are shifting from abundance to structural adaptation, with a focus on high-certainty sectors [28] - The alignment of inflation and profitability is expected to highlight the value of yield strategies, making fixed-income assets a core choice for asset allocation [29] - The focus will shift from total economic volume to structural opportunities, with fiscal policy expected to play a more significant role than monetary policy [30] - The narrative-driven trading approach is anticipated to weaken, with market pricing returning to profitability verification as the core driver [31] - The strategy will evolve towards a focus on midstream industries, driven by policies that constrain supply and enhance profitability [32] 2026 Asset Allocation Conclusions - The effectiveness of the 2026 asset allocation strategy is rooted in the threefold resonance of declining risk premiums, rising profitability, and structural differentiation [14] - The allocation will emphasize yield strategies while focusing on midstream manufacturing and technology-enabled sectors [14] - Industry selection will hinge on three dimensions: certainty of profitability recovery, overseas business share, and adaptability to technological innovation [15] - Tools like ETFs will remain efficient vehicles for implementing strategies and capturing structural opportunities in niche areas [16]

市场狂欢时，最了解公司的人正在悄然离场。 数据显示，2025年下半年以来A股重要股东减持金额已接近900亿元。 2025年9月的A股市场呈现冰火两重天的奇特景象。 上证指数连续突破3600点、3700点、3800点整数关口，两市成交额频频突破万亿元，而与此同时上市公司重要股东减持计划也密集涌现。 据统计，从7月初到9月12日，A股上市公司重要股东减持金额累计约为889.81亿元，净减持金额约为662.23亿元。 仅9月前半个月，A股上市公司发布的股东减持相关公告数量就已经超过500份。 更令人惊讶的是，9月前10天，就有400多家公司股东成功套现190亿元，同比实现翻倍增长。 这股减持潮不仅来势汹汹，而且涉及范围广泛，从半导体、人工智能到生物医药、新能源，几乎覆盖了所有热门赛道。 2025年A股市场的减持现象呈现出规模大、范围广、主体多元的特点。 根据执中ZERONE统计，2025年上半年，共有428家A股上市公司的股东进行减持，涉及1315起减持事件，对应减持交易金额近600亿元。 这一数据相较于2024年同期，减持事件数量、减持股数、减持金额均实现约翻倍增长。 进入下半年后，减持步伐进一步加快。 7月份， ...