Global Research Risk and Alpha amid Rising Volatility Cathy Fang Analyst S1460518100001 cathy.fang@ubs.com +86 21 3866 8891 July 2025 This document has been prepared by UBS Securities Co. Limited. UBS does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. ...

Core Viewpoint - Tesla's Q2 delivery data shows a significant decline in sales, with a total of 384,122 vehicles delivered, representing a 13.5% year-over-year decrease, marking the second consecutive quarter of decline [3][4][16] Group 1: Sales Performance - Tesla's Q2 delivery volume of 384,122 vehicles is lower than the previous year, with Model 3/Y combined deliveries at 373,728 units [3][4] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a delivery volume of approximately 336,700 vehicles, with a 32% quarter-over-quarter and 13% year-over-year decline, the lowest since Q4 2022 [3][4] - Despite the poor sales data, Tesla's stock price surged by 4.97%, adding $48.1 billion to its market capitalization, attributed to slightly exceeding analyst expectations [4][16] Group 2: Market Sentiment and Analyst Expectations - Analysts had predicted a more severe decline, with expectations set at 365,000 vehicles, making the actual delivery a "low expectation + small exceedance" scenario [4][9] - Cathie Wood, a prominent Tesla bull, increased her stake by purchasing 56,368 shares valued at approximately $17.91 million [4][9] - The disparity in analyst price targets for Tesla ranges from $115 to $500 per share, indicating a wide range of opinions on the company's future valuation [8][9] Group 3: Strategic Focus on AI and Future Prospects - Elon Musk emphasizes that Tesla is an AI company rather than a traditional automaker, aiming to shift focus from manufacturing to software capabilities like autonomous driving and robotics [5][8] - The future of Tesla is heavily tied to the success of its Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology and the anticipated Robotaxi service, which Musk believes could generate significant revenue [10][11] - The Robotaxi project is projected to potentially generate $203 billion in annual revenue by 2030, with a significant portion being profit [10][11] Group 4: Challenges and Adjustments - Tesla's energy storage business has also seen a decline, with Q2 installations at 9.6 GWh, down from a peak of 11 GWh in Q4 2022 [18][20] - The company is facing political and economic challenges in the U.S., including tariff pressures and uncertainty regarding policy support for electric vehicles [18][21] - Tesla's reliance on the Chinese market is increasing, with a notable drop in market share from 15.8% in Q1 2021 to 5.6% in Q1 2025 [16][17] Group 5: Organizational Changes and Market Strategy - Tesla is undergoing significant organizational changes, including layoffs and restructuring to adapt to market demands, particularly focusing on lower-tier markets [17][18] - The introduction of Model 3 and Model Y in the rural market indicates a strategy to penetrate deeper into the Chinese market before launching new models [17][18] - The company is also adjusting its approach to the Optimus robot project, pausing component procurement, which may affect its sales targets [20][21]

在刚刚过去的周末，即时零售补贴大战进一步白热化。 7月5日，当淘宝闪购、美团再次加大补贴力度，冲击外卖单量，部分用户突然发现，持续的外卖补贴之 外，补贴开始出现新方向，比如"预订酒店"。 7月6日晚间，有重庆用户向记者爆料，在淘宝闪购上点外卖，同时可以领优惠券预订"特价酒店"了。淘 宝集中推出价位在一二百元的低价酒店，降价幅度从18%到49%，甚至高达67%不等。 飞猪助攻"即时零售" 记者随即登陆淘宝闪购页面发现，只要将收货地址定位到重庆，原先"水果买菜"的"金刚位"就会被拿 下，取而代之的是"特价酒店"。 点击进入"特价酒店"页面，飞猪扑面而来，打出"全网低价、特价5折"的口号，用户可以领取45元消费 券再进行预订，参加活动的酒店清一色打上了"闪购"标。 "在远场、近场，电商会有更多结合的可能性。在未来一段时间内，我们重心会在积极投资上，把更多 淘宝用户转变成'即时零售'的用户。"蒋凡当时表示。 在业内人士看来，此番飞猪助攻即时零售，并入电商事业群后的角色也进一步清晰。6月23日，阿里巴 巴集团CEO吴泳铭宣布饿了么、飞猪合并入阿里中国电商事业群。接近阿里的人士曾对记者分析称，饿 了么作为即时零售基础设施 ...

从海外映射寻找下半年创新药新赛道 20250706 摘要 PD-1 plus 资产表现亮眼，康方生物伊沃西单抗研究提升市场确定性， 带动相关公司出海交易，如李新医药与默沙东、百安泰克收购钴锂斯生 物。 海外大药企加速布局 PD-1 plus 类资产，三生制药授权辉瑞 PD-1 v j 双 抗海外权益，百安泰克与 BMS 合作开发 PDL one V E G F 双抗，预计 类似交易将持续。 下半年创新药热点包括自免领域双抗（如 TSLP 白介 13 双抗，关注康诺 亚、信达生物），蛋白降解剂（Protac，关注百济神州），新一代 TCE 双抗（实体瘤领域，关注百济神州），以及 ADC 迭代开发（关注百利天 恒 EGFR ADC 进展）。 HER3 ADC 进入三期研究，是双抗 ADC 中领先靶点组合。信达生物披 露 EGFR 和 B7H3 ADC 初步临床前数据，双毒素双配体 ADC 有望克服 耐药性，关注恒瑞医药、科伦博泰等公司。 核药领域，诺华 Provelto 拓展适应症，国内相关公司包括科伦博泰、百 利天恒等。心血管领域，礼来脂蛋白 a 小干扰 RNA 疗法二期结果积极， 关注悦康药业、成都先导等映射 ...

出行链行业 - 需求韧性生长，渠道与品牌加速迭代 20250706 摘要 携程股价受出境游增速放缓及海外投资增加影响有所回调，而同程因估 值较低及政策利好预期表现良好。京东入局酒旅行业对携程影响有限， 但可能对同程造成约 10%的业绩下滑。 二季度携程业绩或受海外投放及地缘政治影响，但暑期旅游需求旺盛， OTA 平台仍将受益于量增逻辑，存在潜在上行空间。同城业务股价已反 映抖音影响，酒店行业二季度经营状况改善，但六月环比五月略有走弱。 酒店行业供给扩张是制约周期发展的关键因素。加盟商投资回报期拉长 影响签约速度，龙头集团签约速度维持较高水平，二线品牌放缓，未来 6-12 个月总供给扩张可能存在拐点。 雅朵受贝塔影响较小，门店快速扩张及零售业务持续向好支撑业绩，二 季度四五月数据环比一季度更佳，下半年将推出新品，估值相对合理。 酒店行业估值已回调较久，暑期高频数据若好转将带来阶段性机会，长 期需关注 6-12 个月维度发展。资源整合和履约能力是酒店在线旅游市 场的关键竞争要素。 Q&A 酒店和 OTA 之间的关系如何影响彼此的竞争和市场表现？ 酒店和 OTA（在线旅行社）之间存在上下游关系，同时也存在竞争。流量 ...

Group 1 - Pearl Gray is a proprietary investment fund and independent market research firm specializing in systematic analysis, focusing primarily on Bonds, Preferreds, and REITs [1] - The primary sectors of interest for the firm are Financials and Real Estate, aiming to discover actionable total return ideas [1] Group 2 - The content published by the firm is categorized as Independent Analysis and does not constitute financial advice [1][3] - The firm encourages consultation with a registered financial advisor before making investment decisions [3]

Core Viewpoint - The chairman of XPeng Motors, He Xiaopeng, expressed optimism about the company's financial performance in Q2 2025 and announced plans for global expansion of its intelligent driving technology starting in 2026 [1][7]. Financial Performance - He Xiaopeng indicated that the financial results for Q2 2025 will be significantly better than previously expected, with improvements in operational capabilities starting from 2024 [7]. - The company aims to enhance its operational capabilities each quarter, focusing on technology rather than price competition [7]. Strategic Development - He Xiaopeng described a transformative period for XPeng Motors from the end of 2022 to 2025, anticipating a rapid growth phase beginning in Q4 2025 [8]. - The company plans to improve four key capabilities: technical, organizational, commercialization, and global integration [8]. Global Expansion Plans - XPeng Motors aims to launch its intelligent driving technology globally in 2026, although current regulations in Europe are not yet conducive to such advancements [8]. - The company is preparing for OTA (Over-The-Air) upgrades for its vehicles, which will support both hardware and software enhancements [8]. Collaboration and Technology - XPeng Motors is open to collaborations in chip development and superintelligence, alongside its own development of the Turing chip [8]. - The company collaborates with other chip manufacturers, including NVIDIA, to integrate over 5,500 chips in its vehicles, focusing on key chip development while partnering for others [8].

2025 年 7 月 6 日 行业研究 2Q25 特斯拉交付环比修复，小米 YU7 订单火爆引发新势力购车权益加码 ——特斯拉与新势力 6 月销量跟踪报告 要点 2Q25 特斯拉全球交付量环比修复：2Q25 特斯拉全球交付量同比 -13.5%/环比 +14.1%至 38.4 万辆（Model 3+Y 同比-11.5%/环比+15.4%至 37.4 万辆）。 6 月理想交付同环比下滑，小鹏/蔚来环比企稳：1）理想交付量同比-24.1%/环 比-11.2%至 36,279 辆；2）小鹏交付量同比+224.4%/环比+3.2%至 34,611 辆； 3）蔚来交付量同比+17.5%/环比+7.3%至 24,925 辆（乐道 L60 交付环比+1.9% 至 6,400 辆、萤火虫交付环比+6.8%至 3,932 辆）。 小米 YU7 订单火爆引发国内新势力权益加码，小鹏 G7 上市差异化策略清晰： 特斯拉：国产 Model 3 后驱版和长续航版交付周期维持 1-3 周、高性能版交付 周期延长至 8-10 周（vs. 6 月为 1-3 周），焕新版 Model Y 交付周期缩短至 1-3 周（vs. 6 月为 2-5 周 ...

编 译 / 路 行 编 辑 / 黄大路 设 计 / 赵昊然 来 源 / I n si d e E V s 、美联社、 路 透 社 、e l e c t r e k等 作 者 / S u v r a t K o t h a r i 、 B e r n a r d C o n d o n、F r e d L a m b e r t 、A n d r e a S h a l a l 等 2025年中期，特斯拉深陷内外交困之中，一边是CEO埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）与美国总统特朗普 （Donald Trump）就"大而美"法案（Big Beautiful Bill）引发的激烈争端，另一边则是销量持续下 滑、品牌声誉受损、财政收入受挫，以及Robotaxi业务引发的质疑。 马斯克去年为特朗普的连任投入了近3亿美元资金，随后又短暂担任"政府效率部"（DOGE）的负 责人，推动大规模裁员并削减多个政府机构。这些政策在一些地区已带来严重后果，并引发全国范 围的"特斯拉下架"（Tesla Takedown）抗议潮。 而他与特朗普围绕"大而美"法案的公开争执，则进一步加剧了关于特斯拉的争议。这项法案加剧了 美国财政赤字， ...

声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型基于第三方数据库自动发布，任何在本文出现的信 息（包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成 个人投资建议。受限于第三方数据库质量等问题，我们无法对数据的真实性及完整性进行分辨或核验， 因此本文内容可能出现不准确、不完整、误导性的内容或信息，具体以公司公告为准。如有疑问，请联 系biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 点击查看公告原文>> 近日，北京中长石基信息技术股份有限公司接待了汇丰前海证券的调研。以下为本次投资者关系活动的 详细情况：1.基本信息投资者活动关系类别：特定对象调研时间：2025年7月4日地点：北京市海淀区复 兴路甲65号石基信息大厦会议室参与单位名称：汇丰前海证券，参与人员为张恒、刘逸然上市公司接待 人员姓名：董秘、副总裁罗芳；证券部何龙光2.调研要点万豪酒店落地情况：DAYLIGHT PMS上线前 需先完成与万豪新一代中央预订系统ACRS及其他集团层面系统集成等准备工作，目前正按万豪集团计 划时间表推进。SaaS业务定价：SaaS型业务按订阅费收取，如云PMS产品按月和酒店房间数计费，云 产品 ...