Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the emergence of high-end Chinese gold brands, particularly "Lin Chao Jewelry," which has completed angel financing and is expected to reshape the high-end gold market with its unique craftsmanship and brand positioning [4][23][25] - The retail sector is experiencing a shift towards emotional consumption, with brands that possess differentiated product capabilities and deep consumer insights gaining traction [28] - The jewelry sector, particularly the watch and jewelry segment, has shown significant growth, outperforming other retail segments [6][15] Summary by Relevant Sections Retail Market Overview - The retail industry index rose by 1.29% during the week of June 2 to June 6, 2025, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.16 percentage points [6][13] - The jewelry segment has been the best-performing sub-sector, with a weekly increase of 2.78% and a year-to-date increase of 30.59% [15][18] High-End Chinese Gold Brand "Lin Chao Jewelry" - Lin Chao Jewelry focuses on high-end handmade gold jewelry, integrating traditional cultural elements into its designs [4][23] - The brand has only one physical store in Lanzhou and emphasizes exclusivity, with a delivery period of at least one year for its products [25] - The company offers a "Heritage Series" for emotional customization, allowing customers to engrave family sayings or fingerprints, enhancing its luxury appeal [25] Investment Recommendations - Investment focus includes high-quality companies in high-growth sectors driven by emotional consumption themes, particularly in gold and jewelry [7] - Recommended brands include "Lao Pu Gold," "Chao Hong Ji," and "Zhou Da Sheng" for their differentiated product offerings and consumer insights [28][30] - The report also suggests monitoring retail companies that are actively transforming and exploring new strategies, such as "Yonghui Supermarket" and "Ai Ying Shi" [28] Company Performance Highlights - "Lao Pu Gold" reported a revenue of 8.506 billion yuan in FY2024, a 167.5% increase, and a net profit of 1.473 billion yuan, up 253.9% [30] - "Chao Hong Ji" achieved a revenue of 6.518 billion yuan in 2024, a 10.5% increase, with a significant growth in Q1 2025 [36] - "Zhou Da Sheng" faced challenges with a revenue drop of 14.7% in 2024, but future growth potential is anticipated through brand optimization [40]

Group 1 - The overall consumption environment in China is showing signs of recovery, with a consumer confidence index slightly rebounding and retail sales growth exceeding 5% in early 2025 [2][12][22] - New retail companies like Pop Mart, Lao Pu Gold, and Mixue Ice City are experiencing significant growth in both revenue and stock performance, driven by consumer enthusiasm for new consumption models [2][22] - The low-tier markets are emerging as a new growth engine, with companies like Luckin Coffee expanding their presence in these areas, leading to increased store numbers and sales [3][22] Group 2 - Traditional consumption sectors are focusing on cost-effectiveness, with companies increasing promotions and offering high-value products to attract consumers [4][22] - There is a growing demand for self-indulgent and emotional consumption, as evidenced by the increase in tourism during the May Day holiday, with 314 million domestic tourists and an 8% increase in tourism revenue [5][22] - The inventory clearance phase for many consumer goods companies is nearing its end, leading to improved competition dynamics and a focus on inventory management [6][22] Group 3 - Chinese consumer companies are accelerating their overseas expansion despite uncertainties from the US-China trade war, with firms like Pop Mart establishing factories in Vietnam and successfully entering the North American market [7][22] - The 2025 consumption market is characterized by new trends such as the rise of low-tier markets, a focus on cost-effectiveness, the flourishing of self-indulgent consumption, optimized inventory management, and accelerated overseas expansion [7][22]

淘宝热搜数据显示，今年受考生青睐的"高考神器"涵盖了吃、穿、用等多个领域，兼具好寓意和实用性 的商品在淘宝上最受欢迎。一些老字号商店推出了上上签饼干、状元点心、逢考必过绿豆糕、好运面 条，和励志士力架等。除此之外，文具品牌商家纷纷推出了文具祈福套装，"国家图书馆"天猫旗舰店推 出的全铜的一飞冲天"文昌尺"，近几天卖出了1000多把。 新华财经北京6月6日（记者丁雅雯）随着高考临近，带有祈福寓意的虚拟商品在淘宝销售火爆。淘宝热 搜的数据显示，"考神附体" "老子祝你天下第一""考试锦鲤""爱因斯坦大脑"等虚拟商品搜索量直线攀 升，折射情绪消费正成为消费新热点。 淘宝热搜6日发布了搜索量排名前十的"高考神器"，"全对"字样T恤、"一举夺魁"字样向日葵、虚拟商 品"考神附体"等情绪价值商品入选。 "虚拟商品本质是服务消费。这类商品销售火爆，显示消费者愿意为服务消费支付更多溢价。"中国社会 科学院财经战略研究院研究员魏翔说。 （文章来源：新华财经） 值得注意的是，中国传媒大学数字人研究院推出的超写实数字人"老子"，并在"AI惊喜社"淘宝店推出 的"老子祝你天下第一""老子祝你考个好大学""老子祝你逢考必过""老子劝你 ...

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the "New Consumption" sector, which differs from traditional consumption by focusing on emotional value, cost advantages, and innovative pricing strategies. Traditional consumption relies on economic growth and income increases, while new consumption is driven by consumer emotions and utility [1][2]. Key Insights - **New Consumption Growth**: Guotou Securities is optimistic about the continuous growth of the new consumption sector in 2025, despite potential volatility. Factors such as tax policies and domestic demand are expected to drive the development of emerging companies like Laopu Gold and Pop Mart [1][5]. - **Investment Performance**: The New Consumption 50 portfolio launched by Guotou Securities in early 2025 has shown good excess returns, indicating the investment potential in this sector [4]. - **Market Dynamics**: The current new consumption trend is not solely about new product cycles but is driven by changes in channels, scenarios, and customer groups. The market is characterized by a diverse range of offerings, supported by actual performance rather than speculative narratives [9]. Industry Trends - **Pet Food Sector**: There is a clear trend of domestic brands replacing imported pet food, with companies like Zhongchong and Guai Bao gaining traction. The focus is on higher-margin staple food products and reaching younger consumers through innovative marketing strategies [17][18]. - **Cosmetics and Medical Beauty**: The cosmetics market remains vibrant, while the medical beauty sector shows signs of weakness. Domestic brands are increasingly favored, with a notable shift towards cost-effective local products [14][15][13]. - **Tea Beverage Market**: The tea beverage industry is experiencing a shift towards low-cost, high-volume models, with brands like Mixue Ice City leading the way. The competitive landscape is evolving, with a focus on product differentiation and market expansion [20][24]. Investment Opportunities - **Emerging Brands**: Companies that align with the emotional consumption model, cost-effectiveness, and innovative pricing strategies are seen as potential investment opportunities. The ability to cultivate and leverage intellectual property (IP) is crucial for valuation [12][11]. - **Market Expansion**: New consumption brands are exploring international markets, particularly in Southeast Asia, where cultural similarities and geographical proximity provide a favorable environment for expansion [26][25]. Risks and Considerations - **Market Volatility**: The new consumption sector may experience fluctuations due to changing market sentiments and the potential for capital to shift between new technology and new consumption sectors [5]. - **Consumer Behavior**: The success of high-end brands like Nayue and Xicha is under pressure due to changing consumer income expectations and high operational costs, necessitating strategic adjustments [22]. Conclusion - The new consumption sector presents a dynamic landscape with significant growth potential across various industries, including pet food, cosmetics, and tea beverages. Continuous monitoring and strategic investment in emerging brands that can adapt to changing consumer preferences and market conditions are essential for capitalizing on these opportunities [27].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the controversy surrounding a restaurant's marketing strategy that used offensive language, highlighting the broader issue of "vulgar marketing" in the food industry and its negative impact on brand image and consumer respect [1][2]. Group 1: Marketing Trends - "Vulgar marketing" has become a recurring issue, with many companies using lowbrow humor and offensive content to attract attention, often disregarding consumer feelings and brand integrity [1][2]. - Some businesses mistakenly believe that edgy or vulgar content can effectively drive short-term traffic and engagement, leading to a misunderstanding of consumer preferences [2][3]. Group 2: Consumer Behavior - The rise of emotional consumption indicates that consumers are willing to pay for products that fulfill emotional or psychological needs, suggesting a significant market potential for brands that can tap into this trend without resorting to vulgarity [3]. - Successful brands have managed to create engaging marketing campaigns that resonate with consumers while maintaining respect and creativity, contrasting with those that rely on lowbrow humor [2][3]. Group 3: Regulatory and Industry Response - There is a call for stronger regulatory measures and legal frameworks to deter companies from using offensive marketing tactics, emphasizing the need for a balance between creativity and consumer respect [3]. - The article suggests that media and consumers should play a role in monitoring and promoting positive marketing practices, fostering a healthier marketing environment in the food industry [3].

Group 1: Policy and Platform Dynamics - The consumption stimulus policy for 2025 is significantly penetrating daily scenarios, with subsidies for home appliances, electric vehicles, and energy-saving products creating a dual leverage effect with e-commerce promotions [3] - Major platforms are simplifying rules and extending promotional periods, with the 618 sales event lasting 37 days, allowing for diverse consumption scenarios [3] - The shift in the burden of discounts from merchants to platforms is evident, as platforms like Douyin and Taobao are providing cash subsidies to merchants, indicating a transition from "traffic harvesting" to "ecosystem cultivation" [3] Group 2: Consumer Segmentation - The consumer structure is evolving into three main groups: new power consumers (Z generation and small-town youth), blue ocean consumers (silver-haired and middle-aged), and quality-focused consumers (urban white-collar and discerning mothers) [4][5] - Emotional value is becoming a key driver of consumption, with 40.1% of young consumers prioritizing emotional satisfaction in their purchasing decisions [5] Group 3: Technological Empowerment - The 618 event highlights three key areas of technological empowerment: smart home revolution, globalized duty-free consumption, and the industrialization of emotional consumption [6][7] - Smart locks are predicted to see sales exceed 1.3 million units, with advanced biometric technologies becoming increasingly popular [6] - Duty-free shopping is evolving into a major cross-border consumption scene, with significant growth in inbound tourism and duty-free store revenues [6] Group 4: Capital Market Dynamics - The secondary market is experiencing a revaluation of consumption investments, with new consumption entities like Pop Mart and Lao Pu Jin seeing significantly higher price-to-earnings ratios compared to traditional consumer stocks [8] - Traditional leaders are stabilizing, with a focus on cash flow and return on equity, while low-tier market consumption confidence is recovering [8] Group 5: Key Variables in June - Three critical variables will determine consumption performance in June: the balance of price and experience, the efficiency of emotional consumption conversion, and the multiplier effect of policies [9][10] - The average price of smart locks is rising, but enhanced features are helping to mitigate the impact of price increases [9] Group 6: Conclusion on Market Trends - The 2025 consumption market is characterized by differentiation, emotionalization, and technological advancement, with the true battleground shifting to consumer psychology [11] - The new consumption symbols are emerging, reflecting a shift in consumer values and preferences [12]

当"比赛第一，友谊第十四"的标语刷屏社交网络，江苏省城市足球联赛（以下简称"苏超）正以燎原之势点燃消费市场。 图源来自Pixabay免版税图库 而苏超的"出圈"也恰逢政策红利密集释放。4月央行等四部门出台《金融支持体育产业高质量发展指导意见》，明确强化足球基础设施金融保障；5月底发改 委《促进体育消费实施方案》更要求"打造区域特色赛事IP"。 在消费提振需求迫切的2025年，这场政府主导的业余联赛，正以地域文化为燃料，以城市荣誉感为引擎，催化出"赛事经济"的全新叙事。 地域认同引发观赛狂潮，一场情绪消费完成酝酿 众所周知，江苏是个"散装省份"，实力相当的十三个地级市一直"互不相让"。 而这次苏超联赛虽是地方赛事，但据江苏媒体《现代快报》报道，第二轮联赛共有5.9万名球迷走进球场，场均观赛人数9852人，已超越中甲、直逼中超， 成功跻身"全球顶级联赛"。 开赛仅三轮，这场被网友戏称为"十三太保内斗"的赛事已吸引超18万球迷涌入现场，抖音相关话题播放量突破8亿次，更在资本市场掀起波澜。 6月3日，金陵体育以"20CM"涨停领涨板块，共创草坪连续两日涨停，双象股份、康力源、棕榈股份等跟涨，足球概念股整体涨幅超5%， ...

Core Insights - The popularity of Labubu plush toys has surged, becoming a trendy accessory among various demographics, especially among young adults and celebrities [3][35][41] - Labubu's appeal lies in its unique design and emotional comfort, resonating with consumers seeking companionship and nostalgia [21][32][34] Market Trends - The plush/toy market is projected to reach 4.24 billion yuan in 2024 and exceed 7.723 billion yuan in 2025, with over 70% of consumers being adults [21] - Labubu's limited editions have become sought-after collectibles, with prices on secondary markets soaring, sometimes exceeding ten times the original price [6][37] Celebrity Influence - High-profile endorsements from celebrities like Lisa from BLACKPINK and David Beckham have significantly boosted Labubu's visibility and desirability [35][25] - Labubu has been integrated into luxury fashion, with celebrities pairing it with high-end bags, transforming it into a fashion statement [27][25] Social Media Impact - The rise of Labubu has been amplified by social media platforms, where its popularity has led to significant online engagement and sales [17][37] - The phenomenon of "Kidult" culture reflects a growing trend of adults purchasing toys, with Labubu embodying this youthful spirit [34] Counterfeit Market - The surge in demand has led to a rise in counterfeit products, with imitations like "Lafufu" gaining unexpected popularity due to their unique flaws [38][37] - The presence of counterfeit goods may dilute the brand's value and consumer sentiment over time [41] Consumer Behavior - Many consumers are drawn to Labubu for its emotional support and the ability to personalize their accessories, reflecting a desire for individuality [29][23] - The phenomenon of "fear of missing out" drives consumers to purchase Labubu, despite the risk of market saturation and declining exclusivity [39][41]

Core Insights - The article highlights the evolving consumer behavior among young adults, particularly the trend of adults celebrating Children's Day, driven by nostalgia and emotional connections to childhood memories [5][6][30]. Group 1: Marketing Strategies - Major brands are leveraging popular IP collaborations to attract young consumers, with KFC's early launch of limited edition toys and promotional activities on social media platforms like Douyin [7][11]. - The marketing approach has shifted from simple product promotion to engaging content and interactive live streams, allowing deeper consumer participation [30][31]. - Brands are utilizing social media to create a buzz around their products, with KFC's toys and drinks becoming highly sought after, leading to price increases on resale platforms [11][28]. Group 2: Consumer Behavior - The phenomenon of adults purchasing children's meals is fueled by social media's nostalgic influence, with platforms like Douyin facilitating emotional consumption [18][30]. - The Z generation is becoming the main consumer force, prioritizing emotional value and ritualistic consumption, which is expected to drive the holiday consumption market to exceed 5 trillion by 2025 [31][32]. - The trend of "big friends celebrating Children's Day" reflects a broader shift in consumer psychology, where age is no longer a barrier to participation in traditionally child-focused events [30][31]. Group 3: Social Media Influence - Douyin serves as a powerful connector for brands, transforming holiday marketing into a communal experience where users share their celebrations and purchases [6][30]. - The platform's interactive features encourage users to engage with brands and each other, creating a viral effect that boosts sales and brand visibility [27][28]. - The success of campaigns, such as Luckin Coffee's collaboration with SpongeBob, demonstrates the effectiveness of targeted marketing through influencer partnerships and engaging content [17][30].

当前，"情绪消费"正在成为我国服务消费的一个新热点。消费者在情绪消费中更加注重产品和服务对精 神文化需求的满足，从而获取情绪价值和精神支持。情绪消费的兴起，不单体现了个人消费行为的变 化，也是时代发展的写照。随着经济社会发展，人们对美好生活的向往不再仅停留在物质层面，而是扩 展到精神层面。一些帮助释放焦虑情绪、提供情感陪伴的新型产品和服务，从传统意义上看似乎实用性 不强，却因承载情感价值而成为消费新热点。比如，今年"五一"假期，各地景区推出沉浸式体验项目， 年轻人为演唱会来一场说走就走的旅行；又如，在电商平台上，"禁止蕉绿"水培香蕉、"放青松"盆栽香 松等桌面绿植销售火爆；此外，人工智能与一些情绪消费产品的融合，增加了消费者的选择，丰富了消 费体验。 相较于传统的产品和服务，不断更新的情绪消费新产品、新场景、新业态、新模式更加注重消费者的体 验与感受，是更好顺应居民消费需求变化、改善民生福祉的务实举措，有利于满足人民群众更高层次、 更加多样的美好生活需要，也有利于拓展就业渠道、增加劳动者收入；是全方位扩大国内需求的重要抓 手，为扩大服务消费带来了新机遇、提供了新动能，有利于进一步挖掘消费潜力；是加快动能转换的 ...